New MLB System Strategies, Based on Statistics.

**Formulawiz** · 05-22-11, 09:07 AM

Todays ML plays

HOU
STL < -140
CWS
BOS < -140

**ShivaBowl** · 05-22-11, 10:07 AM

Originally posted by BrewMaster

21May11 Result: will update later Record Official Start 15May11: will update later Scientific Approach 22May11:
CLE, -142
WAS, -236
PIT, -138
LAD, -179
MLW, -171
ATL, -180
CHC, -133
PHI, -232 np if >-150
ARZ, -295 np if >-150
STL, -294 np if >-150

Filtered: OAK
Can someone please check these, I'm on the road today.

PHI, due to line <-

**BrewMaster** · 05-22-11, 11:56 AM

Thanks Shiva.

**feedmecappers** · 05-22-11, 12:23 PM

**FINAL** 5/22/2011 Summary

Originally Posted by ShivaBowl
Team Projected Runs
System NO PLAY if >-150
No Plays

PR Predicted Runs
MLW
LAD

Originally Posted by BrewMaster
Scientific Approach
System NO PLAY if >-150
CLE, -142
WAS, -236
PIT, -138
LAD, -179
STL, -294 (NP if >-150)
MLW, -171
ATL, -180
ARZ, -295
CHC, -133

Filtered:
OAK

Originally Posted by Formulawiz
ML plays
System NO PLAY if >-140
HOU
STL < -140
CWS
BOS < -140

Originally Posted by Losemyloot
PT Power Plays
System NO PLAY if >-130
TOR n/p if >-130 (Currently n/p at -135)
BAL 1/2U
KC
LAA

Filtered:
CIN n/p L4
TEX n/p L3
MIN n/p L2

Originally Posted by HoulihansTX
Bullpen Projection System
System NO PLAY if >-150
Arizona 7.51
CWS 3.08
Toronto 2.58
Boston 2.33
Florida 2.05
Atl 2.03
Mets 1.38

Filtered:
Cincy np L2
Detroit np L2
Oakland np L2
San Diego np L2
_____________________________________
RECORDS (Including W/L and YTD units)
*PM me if incorrect or have past daily data

**Vastey** · 05-22-11, 01:16 PM

Formulawiz, thank you very much. GL!

**rask7rask7** · 05-23-11, 07:22 AM

Best of luck today on your plays

**Formulawiz** · 05-23-11, 07:40 AM

ML went 2-0, +2.25
YTD, 16-9, +4.0

Todays ML plays fav must be < -140

DET, NYY?

**feedmecappers** · 05-23-11, 08:17 AM

5/23/2011 Summary

Originally Posted by ShivaBowl
Team Projected Runs
System NO PLAY if >-150
STL 2.3

Filtered:
CIN 1.3 L5
MIL 1.0 >-150
LAA 1.0 >150

PR Predicted Runs
CLE

Filtered:
WAS L/2
SDP L/3

Originally Posted by BrewMaster
Scientific Approach
System NO PLAY if >-150
CLE, -245
TB, -183
SEA, -181
STL, -206
TEX, -205 (np >-150)

Filtered:
TOR
CIN
WAS

Originally Posted by Formulawiz
ML plays
System NO PLAY if >-140
DET
NYY if line drops

Originally Posted by Losemyloot
PT Power Plays
System NO PLAY if >-130
CWS

Filtered:
BOS n/p CLE W3
TOR n/p NYY W2
CIN n/p L5
MIN n/p L3
SDP n/p L3

Originally Posted by HoulihansTX
Bullpen Projection System
System NO PLAY if >-150
CWS 1.77
SEA 1.16

Filtered:
PHI np>-150
TOR np(Yanks W2)
LAD np L2
MIL np>-150
OAK np L2
SDP np L2
_____________________________________
RECORDS (Including W/L and YTD units)
*PM me if incorrect or have past daily data

**losemyloot** · 05-23-11, 08:20 AM

Yesterdays PT Power Plays 05/22
TOR n/p (>-130)
BAL 1/2U -107 W
KC +158 L
LAA +115 W
Yesterday 2-1 +.65 Units
Start Date 05/01
50-52 +3.74 Units

Todays PT Power Plays 5/23
CWS
n/p if >-130

Filtered Out
BOS n/p CLE W3
TOR n/p NYY W2
CIN n/p L5
MIN n/p L3
SDP n/p L3

**ShivaBowl** · 05-23-11, 08:33 AM

Team Projected Runs, 05/22
No Plays
ARZ 1.7 n/p if >-150 W
TEX 1.0 n/p L/3 W
Start Date 05/01
25-25 +.65

PR Predicted Run, 05/22
MLW +1.04 W
LAD +1.10 L
Start Date 05/13
7-4 +4.84u

TPR Plays, 05/23
STL 2.3
Filtered Out
CIN 1.3 L5
MLW 1.0 >-150
LAA 1.0 >150

PR Predicted Run,05/23
CLE
Filtered Out
WAS L/2
SDP L/3

**BrewMaster** · 05-23-11, 08:54 AM

21,22May11 Result: 4-10
Record Official Start 15May11: 15-15, -1.36 units)

Scientific Approach 23May11:

CLE, -245
TB, -183
SEA, -181
STL, -206
TEX, -205 (np >-150)

Filtered (TOR, CIN, WAS)
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck.

**HoulihansTX** · 05-23-11, 09:34 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

March 26 to May 14
Overall
(68-52) +22.56 Units

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(21-14) +6.7 Units

_____________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

May 22
Bullpen Projection System

Arizona 7.51 (NO Play >-150)
CWS 3.08 W (-125)
Toronto 2.58 L (-140)
Boston 2.33 (No Play>-150)
Florida 2.05 L (+130)
Atl 2.03 L (-125)
Mets 1.38[/I] L (+170)

March 26 to May 14
Overall
(68-52) +22.56 Units

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(22-18) +3.15Units

_____________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

May 23
Bullpen Projection System

CWS 1.77
Seattle 1.16

Philly np>-150
Toronto np(Yanks W2)
Dodgers np L2
Milwaukee np>-150
Oakland np L2
San Diego np L2

**ShivaBowl** · 05-23-11, 11:08 AM

FYI; I think the TORONTO BLUE JAYS have filtered out with three
systems today, but I think their a nice dog at >+1.60 ?
Carlos Villanueva, 1.48 ERA, 0.82 WHIP and 21/10 K/BB ratio over 24 1/3 relief innings this season.
BOL

**feedmecappers** · 05-23-11, 11:15 AM

**FINAL** 5/23/2011 Summary

Originally Posted by ShivaBowl
Team Projected Runs
System NO PLAY if >-150
STL 2.3

Filtered:
CIN 1.3 L5
MIL 1.0 >-150
LAA 1.0 >150

PR Predicted Runs
CLE

Filtered:
WAS L/2
SDP L/3

Originally Posted by BrewMaster
Scientific Approach
System NO PLAY if >-150
CLE, -245
TB, -183
SEA, -181
STL, -206
TEX, -205 (np >-150)

Filtered:
TOR
CIN
WAS

Originally Posted by Formulawiz
ML plays
System NO PLAY if >-140
DET
NYY if line drops

Originally Posted by Losemyloot
PT Power Plays
System NO PLAY if >-130
CWS

Filtered:
BOS n/p CLE W3
TOR n/p NYY W2
CIN n/p L5
MIN n/p L3
SDP n/p L3

Originally Posted by HoulihansTX
Bullpen Projection System
System NO PLAY if >-150
CWS 1.77
SEA 1.16

Filtered:
PHI np>-150
TOR np(Yanks W2)
LAD np L2
MIL np>-150
OAK np L2
SDP np L2
_____________________________________
RECORDS (Including W/L and YTD units)
*PM me if incorrect or have past daily data

**ShivaBowl** · 05-23-11, 12:24 PM

MLB 2010 Premium Internet Service Plays 31 - 7 ( + 24.30 Units )
Complimentary Selection for 5/23/2011

Take St Louis W/Lohse over San Diego W/Moseley NO PLAY if STL > -140

**docvinny** · 05-23-11, 01:02 PM

feed me cappers thanks for tracking the records on the one spreadsheet

**BrewMaster** · 05-23-11, 02:32 PM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

MLB 2010 Premium Internet Service Plays 31 - 7 ( + 24.30 Units )
Complimentary Selection for 5/23/2011

Take St Louis W/Lohse over San Diego W/Moseley NO PLAY if STL > -140

Shiva, have you been tracking the complimentary plays? I'm fairly certain that the record above doesn't reflect it.

**Formulawiz** · 05-23-11, 03:45 PM

Originally posted by BrewMaster

Shiva, have you been tracking the complimentary plays? I'm fairly certain that the record above doesn't reflect it.

The 31-7 are the internet service plays. Someone the other day was following his free plays and I think it is 10-1 the past 11 days and hitting in the 67% range or better for over a month now. Can someone give us the free plays record. I can vouch for his internet plays which are correct.

**barts185** · 05-23-11, 06:27 PM

Originally posted by Formulawiz

The 31-7 are the internet service plays. Someone the other day was following his free plays and I think it is 10-1 the past 11 days and hitting in the 67% range or better for over a month now. Can someone give us the free plays record. I can vouch for his internet plays which are correct.

Here's what I have since May 1st. People can decide if the qualifying line was met or not, I included my comments on the ones I marked as NP and some other ones.

Since 05/01

W= Win
L=Loss
PPD = game was postponed
NP = No play due to line filter. I'm using the consensus close (20 to 30 minutes) to gametime, not adjusting at all for whether or not the game fit other systems or anything like that.

L 05/01/11 Take Boston over Miami NO PLAY if < +5
W 05/02/11 Take Dallas over LA Lakers NO PLAY if < +6
W 05/03/11 Take Oklahoma over Memphis NO PLAY if > -6.5
W 05/04/11 Take Chicago over Atlanta NO PLAY if > -8.5
W 05/05/11 Take Kansas City W/Chen over Baltimore W/Tillman NO PLAY if > -120
W 05/06/11 Take Dallas over LA Lakers NO PLAY if > -2.5
L 05/07/11 Take Oklahoma over Memphis NO PLAY if < +3 (At the very end, moved to +2.5, but most places it was within 15 minutes of the game start time.)
L 05/08/11 Take LA Lakers over Dallas NO PLAY if < +2
W 05/09/11 Take Miami over Boston NO PLAY if > PK
NP 05/10/11 Take Boston W/Lester over Toronto W/Drabek NO PLAY if > -150 (not close, -160 or worse)
W 05/11/11 Take Philly W/Lee over Florida W/Nolasco NO PLAY if > -110 (Very close, definitely places higher than -110)
NP 05/12/11 Take St Louis W/Garcia over Chi Cubs W/Coleman NO PLAY if > -145 (-150 or worse)
L 05/13/11 Take Washington W/Gorzelanny over Florida W/Volstad NO PLAY if > -130
W 05/14/11 Take Toronto W/Reyes over Minnesota W/Blackburn NO PLAY if > -110
PPD 05/15/11 Take San Fran W/Lincecum over Chi Cubs W/Zambrano NO PLAY if > -140
NP 05/16/11 Take San Fran W/Lincecum over Colorado W/Mortensen NO PLAY if > -145 (close)
PPD 05/17/11 Take Washington W/Zimmerman over Pittsburgh W/Morton NO PLAY if > -130
W 05/18/11 Take NY Yankees W/Colon over Baltimore W/Britton NO PLAY if > -125
NP 05/19/11 Take Arizona W/Collmenter over Atlanta W/Jurrjens NO PLAY if < +125
W 05/20/11 Take Milwaukee W/Greinke over Colorado W/Hammel NO PLAY if > -140
W 05/21/11 Take Seattle W/Pineda over San Diego W/Richard NO PLAY if > -130
NP 05/22/11 Take Arizona W/Hudson over Minnesota W/Liriano NO PLAY if > -150 (consensus was >-150, although it was available in spots at times during the day)
05/23/11 Take St Louis W/Lohse over San Diego W/Moseley NO PLAY if > -140

Qualified plays 11-4
NP 3-2
All plays 14-6

**rask7rask7** · 05-24-11, 03:27 AM

gl on your plays today

**Formulawiz** · 05-24-11, 06:33 AM

ML plays went 1-0, +1.0 units
YTD 17-9, +5 units

Todays ML Plays
CHC

**ShivaBowl** · 05-24-11, 07:59 AM

Originally posted by Formulawiz

The 31-7 are the internet service plays. Someone the other day was following his free plays and I think it is 10-1 the past 11 days and hitting in the 67% range or better for over a month now. Can someone give us the free plays record. I can vouch for his internet plays which are correct.

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Since March 26th (20-10) Since May 9th (7-1) A couple of baseball games were PPD, and I have one No Play due to filters.

Since May 9th (9-1)

**BrewMaster** · 05-24-11, 08:03 AM

23May11 Result: 3-1 (TEX was a winner as well but the average line was just above -150, so I won't count it)
Record Official Start 15May11: 18-15, +0.65 units)

Scientific Approach 24May11:

ATL, -160
MLW, -104
SEA, -152
ARZ, -128 (GAME #2)

Filtered (CWS, KC, BOS, TB, NYM, FLA)
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck.

**ShivaBowl** · 05-24-11, 08:07 AM

Team Projected Runs, 05/24
STL 2.3
Filtered Out
CIN, MLW, LAA

PR Predicted Run, 05/24
N/P
Filtered Out
NYM, LAD, CWS

TPR Plays, 05/23
STL 2.3 –131 W
Start Date 05/01
26-25 +1.65

PR Predicted Run, 05/23
CLE +100 W
Start Date 05/13
8-4 +5.84u

Complimentary Selection for 5/24/2011

Take Atlanta W/Jurrjens over Pittsburgh W/Morton NO PLAY if > -130

**losemyloot** · 05-24-11, 08:18 AM

Yesterdays PT Power Plays 05/23
CWS +137 L
Yesterday 0-1 -1.0 Units
Start Date 05/01
50-53 +2.74 Units

Todays PT Power Plays 5/24
CLE
PIT
HOU
SFG ½ NP >-130 (watch line movement currently -143)
n/p if >-130

Filtered Out
TAM n/p DET W2
WAS n/p L3
MIN n/p L4
COL n/p L3

**HoulihansTX** · 05-24-11, 09:11 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

March 26 to May 14
Overall
(68-52) +22.56 Units

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(22-18) +3.15Units
_____________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

May 23
Bullpen Projection System

CWS 1.77 L (+140)
Seattle 1.16 W (+100)

March 26 to May 14
Overall
(68-52) +22.56 Units

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(23-19) +3.15Units

_____________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

May 24
Bullpen Projection System

Arizona 6.70 (Only Game 1. GM2 will be ignored no matter the early result)
Atl 5.93
Philly 1.93

Tampa np (Det W2)
Balty np >-150
Boston np (Cleve W2)
Mets np L2
CWS np (TX W2)
Oakland np L2
San Diego np L2
Florida np (Giants W2)

**ShivaBowl** · 05-24-11, 09:48 AM

Tracking: Pitching and Team H/A Power Plays
Went 4-0 yesterday
Today’s Plays 05/24
DET, MLW

**HoulihansTX** · 05-24-11, 10:23 AM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

FYI; I think the TORONTO BLUE JAYS have filtered out with three
systems today, but I think their a nice dog at >+1.60 ?
Carlos Villanueva, 1.48 ERA, 0.82 WHIP and 21/10 K/BB ratio over 24 1/3 relief innings this season.
BOL

Nice Call Shiva. Yanks have been avg @ home this year.

**feedmecappers** · 05-24-11, 11:00 AM

**FINAL** 5/24/2011 Summary

Originally Posted by ShivaBowl
Team Projected Runs
System NO PLAY if >-150
STL 2.3

Filtered:
CIN
MIL
LAA

PR Predicted Runs
No Plays

Filtered:
NYM
LAD
CWS

Originally Posted by BrewMaster
Scientific Approach
System NO PLAY if >-150
ATL, -160
MLW, -104
SEA, -152
ARZ, -128 (GAME #2)

Filtered:
CWS
KC
BOS
TB
NYM
FLA

Originally Posted by Formulawiz
ML plays
CHC

Originally Posted by Losemyloot
PT Power Plays
System NO PLAY if >-130
CLE
PIT
HOU
SFG ½ NP (watch line)

Filtered:
TB n/p DET W2
WAS n/p L3
MIN n/p L4
COL n/p L3

Originally Posted by HoulihansTX
Bullpen Projection System
System NO PLAY if >-150
ARI 6.70 (Game 1)
Atl 5.93
PHI 1.93

Filtered:
TB np (Det W2)
BAL np >-150
BOS np (Cleve W2)
NYM np L2
CWS np (TX W2)
OAK np L2
SDP np L2
FLA np (Giants W2)
_____________________________________
RECORDS (Including W/L and YTD units)
*PM me if incorrect or have past daily data

**Tommygunn** · 05-24-11, 11:09 AM

Nice call on Toronto yesterday Shiva.

Good luck today guys

**Formulawiz** · 05-24-11, 11:16 AM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

Tracking: Pitching and Team H/A Power Plays
Went 4-0 yesterday
Today’s Plays 05/24
DET, MLW

Shiva, what filters are you using for H/A PP plays. I look to see at least a 50 point differential between pitcher Power and apply all the other filters we are currently using.

**Tommygunn** · 05-24-11, 11:16 AM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

Tracking: Pitching and Team H/A Power Plays
Went 4-0 yesterday
Today’s Plays 05/24
DET, MLW

So this is the brand new system??? Whats the YTD for it???

**barts185** · 05-24-11, 02:22 PM

In case this comes out wrong, didn't expect the site to be updated, just want to make sure that people realize that ARI switched starters for the games of the double header.

game 1 Collmenter / De La Rosa

game 2 Saunders / Chacin

Game 1 currently in rain delay.

The site has 2 games listed for ARI/COL on some pages, and 1 on others. But on the ones where they list the starters, they have the original starters.

Good Luck,
Bart

**barts185** · 05-24-11, 02:32 PM

Question on the team H/A power plays.

From the site:

"Some pitching-only based systems may work well as early as May when a pitcher has completed 15 or more starts."

Is that a typo? Does it mean to say 5 starts?

**grilldog24** · 05-25-11, 12:28 AM

two plays today !