Betting Favorites - Season Thread
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GGPLAYERSBR MVP
- 03-26-09
- 2981
#36Comment -
PanekkkkSBR MVP
- 03-12-09
- 2430
#37Yeah, Baltimore game is done. They had a chance to get to Petite early which probably would have changed the outcome. I hit 3 big dogs earlier in the season that met the same trend as this Baltimore game so I was a little skeptical to see it hit 4 in a row! Shoulda held off :PComment -
PanekkkkSBR MVP
- 03-12-09
- 2430
#38Avila HR ... Second of the game. Nailbiting time.
All 4 Tigers runs on HR. Seriously... Close it out!Comment -
PanekkkkSBR MVP
- 03-12-09
- 2430
#39NICE! Game over.Comment -
PanekkkkSBR MVP
- 03-12-09
- 2430
#41Yeah I took Tex and took the under on a separate system play, but Oakland out to a 2 nothing start will make it tough for both to cash. Good thing is that if Tex loses the under might cash so I may push. Still looking to win both :PComment -
PanekkkkSBR MVP
- 03-12-09
- 2430
#42YES!!! Baltimore covers!Comment -
PanekkkkSBR MVP
- 03-12-09
- 2430
#44May 5th
POTENTIAL PLAYS
HOME:
2* Twins -150
2* Red Sox -162
ROAD:
1* Rangers -128
1* Braves -145
Remember, if line near closing is 10 cents or more in the opposite direction = NO PLAY. Otherwise, all are a go. I'm not so confident about the Red Sox pick since it's right near the cut-point of -165. But, I can't go against the system now.
STD
Home: 0-0 for 0 units
Road: 2-1 for +0.47 unitsComment -
PanekkkkSBR MVP
- 03-12-09
- 2430
#46Don't know why they didn't pinch-hit Montanez... the guy is terrible.Comment -
NBAStatsSBR Wise Guy
- 01-18-10
- 665
#47Through 5 innings the Rangers have 7 baserunners to 6 for Oakland, but trail 3-0. Not a bad play by any means, just shitty results so far.For the Twins though.
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jolmscheidRestricted User
- 02-20-10
- 3256
#48Hey Panekkk...this looks really promising!Comment -
jolmscheidRestricted User
- 02-20-10
- 3256
#49I will definitely be tailing you on your picks my man!Comment -
jolmscheidRestricted User
- 02-20-10
- 3256
#50BTW....I was AT the Twins Game at Target Field! It was a nailbiter...I wish the weather woulda been a bit better though...Ah wellComment -
PanekkkkSBR MVP
- 03-12-09
- 2430
#51Looks like the Rangers are done. I pushed with the under but I'm still questioning these road games. Hopefully Boston and Atlanta can get us a 3-1 night!Comment -
PanekkkkSBR MVP
- 03-12-09
- 2430
#52Adding a PERSONAL PLAY for thread followers. This is not part of the Betting Favorites system so play at your own risk
1.5* Orioles +2.5 -140
0.75* Orioles ML +255
This is a system play that has already cashed 3 big dogs this season (which incidentally makes it a bit less likely that this will cash today). But because it's a system play I have to play it. A little hint behind the play: Teams don't like losing 3 games in a row as large dogs in the same series.Comment -
PanekkkkSBR MVP
- 03-12-09
- 2430
#53Atlanta booked. Ortiz in the lineup causing Boston line to drop a little.Comment -
NBAStatsSBR Wise Guy
- 01-18-10
- 665
#54Can market agreement price out one of your plays? For example you liked a team at -115 and the market agreed with you so much it moved to -155. Are there cases when it becomes a no play for you due to a huge price change?Comment -
PanekkkkSBR MVP
- 03-12-09
- 2430
#55Comment -
PanekkkkSBR MVP
- 03-12-09
- 2430
#56May 5th
POTENTIAL PLAYS
HOME:
2* Twins -150
2* Red Sox -162
ROAD:
1* Rangers -128
1* Braves -145
Remember, if line near closing is 10 cents or more in the opposite direction = NO PLAY. Otherwise, all are a go. I'm not so confident about the Red Sox pick since it's right near the cut-point of -165. But, I can't go against the system now.
Home: 2-0 for +4.00 units
Road: 3-2 for +0.18 units
Home teams continue their amazing streak! (21-2 since April).Comment -
CollectingSBR Sharp
- 12-02-09
- 370
#57Nice man, will be interested in tomorrows picks.Comment -
HighVoltageSBR Wise Guy
- 05-31-09
- 562
#58Good work, PanekkkkComment -
PanekkkkSBR MVP
- 03-12-09
- 2430
#593-1 on the night adding just under 4 units! On to tomorrow. At first glance, looking like 3 or so plays tomorrow, but mostly road games. Still not sure what to make of those.Comment -
GGPLAYERSBR MVP
- 03-26-09
- 2981
#60Great job. I missed the Bos and Atl plays. I was out and not sure if I should have locked them in before I left work. I guess that will be a call I will have to make in the future. Liking what you've come up with here and I'm looking to try it out. Been doing chase systems and things are'nt going as well as I hoped.Comment -
quick$SBR Sharp
- 03-15-10
- 281
#61thanks for sharing this system. Looks promising so far (including that April record ).
Question if you don't mind. Do you play all favorites that are under -165 or do you also
cap those favorites prior to making it a play?....today there are 8 games that meet the #1 criteria so far.
GL with the season. Hope you hit/pass your goal by July.Comment -
PanekkkkSBR MVP
- 03-12-09
- 2430
#62thanks for sharing this system. Looks promising so far (including that April record ).
Question if you don't mind. Do you play all favorites that are under -165 or do you also
cap those favorites prior to making it a play?....today there are 8 games that meet the #1 criteria so far.
GL with the season. Hope you hit/pass your goal by July.
The "core" of the system caps picks between -120 and -165. I'm now gathering lots of additional data to see if I can add additional filters to improve the record. So to answer your question, I don't just play all favs under -165. Usually of all the favs in that range the system picks about 1/4.Comment -
PanekkkkSBR MVP
- 03-12-09
- 2430
#632 games meeting the system so far: Braves and Cubs... However, I have not yet listed these as potential plays. Cubs line is moving heavily -155 when I capped it up to -163 now.
What do you guys think? Both are road teams and I'm still not sold on my road team filters. Pouring over the data to see where the better edge comes up. I have to think that the Cubs win today but I HATE laying on them. Washington is also pretty damn unpredictable even despite the pitching matchup. What works in our favour though is the fact that Washington threw all their bullpen aces out last night so I'm thinking that with the starting pitching matchup, if Hudson goes deep, Atlanta wins.Comment -
PanekkkkSBR MVP
- 03-12-09
- 2430
#64Great job. I missed the Bos and Atl plays. I was out and not sure if I should have locked them in before I left work. I guess that will be a call I will have to make in the future. Liking what you've come up with here and I'm looking to try it out. Been doing chase systems and things are'nt going as well as I hoped.. Finally made back my hockey losses.
Comment -
GGPLAYERSBR MVP
- 03-26-09
- 2981
#652 games meeting the system so far: Braves and Cubs... However, I have not yet listed these as potential plays. Cubs line is moving heavily -155 when I capped it up to -163 now.
What do you guys think? Both are road teams and I'm still not sold on my road team filters. Pouring over the data to see where the better edge comes up. I have to think that the Cubs win today but I HATE laying on them. Washington is also pretty damn unpredictable even despite the pitching matchup. What works in our favour though is the fact that Washington threw all their bullpen aces out last night so I'm thinking that with the starting pitching matchup, if Hudson goes deep, Atlanta wins.Comment -
GGPLAYERSBR MVP
- 03-26-09
- 2981
#66If Chi loses today or even if they win I think I'm going to revert back to my conservative ways. I chased in the NBA but I did not have to lay the chalk I do in baseball and it's not worth losing 10-15 units to win 1.Comment -
GGPLAYERSBR MVP
- 03-26-09
- 2981
#672 games meeting the system so far: Braves and Cubs... However, I have not yet listed these as potential plays. Cubs line is moving heavily -155 when I capped it up to -163 now.
What do you guys think? Both are road teams and I'm still not sold on my road team filters. Pouring over the data to see where the better edge comes up. I have to think that the Cubs win today but I HATE laying on them. Washington is also pretty damn unpredictable even despite the pitching matchup. What works in our favour though is the fact that Washington threw all their bullpen aces out last night so I'm thinking that with the starting pitching matchup, if Hudson goes deep, Atlanta wins.Comment -
PanekkkkSBR MVP
- 03-12-09
- 2430
#68I take the line at the time when I cap the play. The "core" of the system depends heavily on lines so if they move out of range before I cap then it's a no go. I find the best time to do this right in the morning (10 am) before the public starts hammering plays. That's just how it's worked for this system so I'm not going to second guess it now :P. Wish I could say more
Cubs line is moving STEEP!!! Another filter might eliminate the ATL play so I might just play the cubs but the price is getting out of control.
If you're tailing, I'd say you can't go wrong with the home games. With that said, the run is a bit ridiculous at 21-2 so I'm scared it's going to move towards a correction!!!
Let's hope it sticksComment -
CollectingSBR Sharp
- 12-02-09
- 370
#69Just the two away games today eh? BOL man, looks like its doin great for ya!Comment -
PanekkkkSBR MVP
- 03-12-09
- 2430
#70Comment
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