Reverend's 2010 MLB

**balls2wall** · 06-30-10, 10:45 AM

Originally posted by df1000

i wonder if the doctor is worth a look today, also i think the yankees will bounce back after taking there medicine yesterday.

doc definitely has the pitching edge today

everything else is about equal it appears

I will be on NYY

good luck

**DustyDiamond** · 06-30-10, 03:45 PM

I hate having the Cubs as a FAV bet, I don't think they have hit yet. Down 2-0 in the 9th

**balls2wall** · 06-30-10, 04:30 PM

yeah, I did 't care for them either time when they were the fav play lately

I would rather have high juice on these plays with a NYY -280/-130rl vs a baltimore than an almost coin flip game with two sub .500 teams

I said I was gonna be on NYY earlier, but am reconsidering

I don't really love anything tonight

may just wait till tomorrow

**JVP3122** · 06-30-10, 05:22 PM

Originally posted by JVP3122

So I did a little back-checking on the previous NHL season. Instead of wagering on the -1PL in hockey, I thought about just straight winning and losing, because the lines are typically lower than they are in baseball. They tend to get higher towards the end of the season, though. I went off of the closing line each day from covers.com and even on a day when there was only one game I still took the result. As it were, if you followed just like we do for the baseball system, you'd be 145-1, and up 67.96 units at the end of the season (including playoffs). The breakdown is 101 wins on the A bet, 27 on the B, 11 on the C, 6 on the D. I have the spreadsheet if anyone wants it.

There are a few people who asked for the spreadsheet, so I thought I'd just upload it here.

Attached Files

NHL Fav System.xls (74.5 KB, 169 views)

**Pacok** · 06-30-10, 05:47 PM

Originally posted by JVP3122

There are a few people who asked for the spreadsheet, so I thought I'd just upload it here.

Thanks, 1 coin for you

**DustyDiamond** · 07-01-10, 04:47 AM

Yankees opened at -315! Yikes, looks to be the play today

**balls2wall** · 07-01-10, 07:29 AM

Thursday FAV System Play

B Bet: NYY -1rl (-245) risking 5.8 units to win 2.37 units (1 unit profit)

**NastyStuff** · 07-01-10, 07:31 AM

Originally posted by DustyDiamond

Yankees opened at -315! Yikes, looks to be the play today

things are back to normal....they played like crap last night

**df1000** · 07-01-10, 10:05 AM

i think the yankees have too much pride to be swept today. go yankees.

**JVP3122** · 07-01-10, 10:18 AM

Originally posted by df1000

i think the yankees have too much pride to be swept today. go yankees.

I don't even know if it's about that. I still have to see the lineup, but I've got to think Girardi's going to put in a decent group of guys today. With CC going against Rowland-Smith and his 1-7 record and 6.18 ERA the Yanks have a good chance to win today. That's why I started the chase with them; if someone besides CC was going in the final game I wouldn't have done the chase. Luckily for me, the juice was relatively low in the first two games so I'm not on the hook for as much as I could be if this were a series where the first two games were against pitchers other than Lee and Hernandez.

**JVP3122** · 07-01-10, 10:24 AM

Originally posted by JVP3122

NYY (-150) - Risking 3.9 units to win 2.6 units

0-1 -3.9 units

NYY (-330) - Risking 21.45 units to win 6.5 units

I know it sounds like a lot, but like I just wrote above, I was expecting something like this when I went into this chase. Now I just have to hope it holds up. I might be adding some more later in the day as some weekend sets get started today, but I wanted to get the Yankees one in since that game starts at 1:05 EDT.

**G's pks** · 07-01-10, 12:51 PM

Good luck guys the Yankees are in game "C' in my system and I also am going to have a series sweep loss because of the jays... I kept my amounts under control as always but been a rough week... I did not even place a bet on the Yankees because of the high juice... I see they are winning 1-0...pulling for everyone on them...

**balls2wall** · 07-01-10, 02:36 PM

thanks G

AROD BAAAABYYYY

I was pissed they let SEA tie it up at 2

now let's hold onto this one

**DustyDiamond** · 07-01-10, 03:35 PM

Nice win today everyone

**DustyDiamond** · 07-01-10, 03:52 PM

Originally posted by JVP3122

There are a few people who asked for the spreadsheet, so I thought I'd just upload it here.

Thanks! Looks good for the NHL season. After seeing your back tracking, I'm thinking about playing this system for NHL

**JVP3122** · 07-01-10, 05:41 PM

Originally posted by JVP3122

NYY (-330) - Risking 21.45 units to win 6.5 units

A-Rod
1-0 +6.5 units

Got a decent amount for tonight.
PHI (-185) - Risking 1.85 units to win 1 unit
COL (-145) - Risking 1.45 units to win 1 unit
SD (-210) - Risking 2.1 units to win 1 unit
STL (-133) - Risking 1.33 units to win 1 unit

Hopefully some of these will take care of business tonight because there might be more in the series starting tomorrow.

**JVP3122** · 07-01-10, 05:51 PM

Originally posted by DustyDiamond

Thanks! Looks good for the NHL season. After seeing your back tracking, I'm thinking about playing this system for NHL

Remember, though, I used closing lines because I think that's what they have on covers.com. Also I had a play every day, even if there was only one game and it was a -115 favorite. Some tweaking and fine-tuning might need to be done before we start blindly wagering on it, but it is definitely a possibility.

Also, as a side note, we should keep an eye on the Red Sox line. They're going to be the Fav play tomorrow, and with Wakefield (Mr Hot-and-Cold) pitching it could very well move in our favor. You might get a lot of people heavily fading the O's, though. I'm not saying any of us need to make a play on it now, but we all might want to keep an eye on the line.

**balls2wall** · 07-01-10, 06:03 PM

Originally posted by JVP3122

Got a decent amount for tonight.
PHI (-185) - Risking 1.85 units to win 1 unit
COL (-145) - Risking 1.45 units to win 1 unit
SD (-210) - Risking 2.1 units to win 1 unit
STL (-133) - Risking 1.33 units to win 1 unit

Hopefully some of these will take care of business tonight because there might be more in the series starting tomorrow.

I think PHI and SD take care tonight

BOL

**DustyDiamond** · 07-02-10, 04:47 AM

Looks like Boston today, opened at -240 according to covers.com

**JVP3122** · 07-02-10, 05:52 AM

Originally posted by DustyDiamond

Looks like Boston today, opened at -240 according to covers.com

Dear lord, no. I hope you didn't book it. You shouldn't end up spending more than -225 right now on the ML. You should try using sbrodds.com

**JVP3122** · 07-02-10, 05:55 AM

Originally posted by JVP3122

PHI (-185) - Risking 1.85 units to win 1 unit

COL (-145) - Risking 1.45 units to win 1 unit

SD (-210) - Risking 2.1 units to win 1 unit

STL (-133) - Risking 1.33 units to win 1 unit

1-3 -4.28 units

Rough night. Oh, well, at least they were all A bets.

**JVP3122** · 07-02-10, 06:15 AM

It's still early but I'm going to be out all day again so I'm going to post what I've got now. As a note, I'll do a two-game chase on the Yanks if they lose tonight, but I just don't want to start out with A.J. on the A bet.

PHI (-155) - Risking 4.42 units to win 2.85 units
SD (-155) - Risking 4.81 units to win 3.1 units
STL (-185) - Risking 4.31 units to win 2.33 units
BOS (-225) - Risking 2.25 units to win 1 unit
LAA (-165) - Risking 1.65 units to win 1 unit

I know this is a lot of action, but if I had any self-control then I'd be following G's system.

**BigMama** · 07-02-10, 06:35 AM

Liking those picks here....good luck today all

**balls2wall** · 07-02-10, 07:36 AM

FAV System Record

40-0 (+46 units)

A: 11
B: 8
C: 2
D: 0
Loss: 0

*Rev's record (19-0 +25 units) is included in above record

**we have no record of Rev's A, B, C and D bets

**balls2wall** · 07-02-10, 07:39 AM

Originally posted by BigMama

Liking those picks here....good luck today all

you too mama

**balls2wall** · 07-02-10, 07:42 AM

Originally posted by JVP3122

I know this is a lot of action, but if I had any self-control then I'd be following G's system.

I hear ya man. It's hard to only play a few games a week.

good luck on those plays

**balls2wall** · 07-02-10, 07:43 AM

Friday FAV System Play

A Bet: BOS -1rl (-158) risking 1.58 units to win 1 unit

**df1000** · 07-02-10, 09:24 AM

the question for me today is which yankee team will show up against the blue jays.

**diegoelmestre** · 07-02-10, 10:22 AM

I dont feel very confident about Wakefield... but lets wait for the game and cash it

**NastyStuff** · 07-02-10, 04:16 PM

FAV is Bos on Saturday @ -280...

**DustyDiamond** · 07-02-10, 04:49 PM

Originally posted by JVP3122

Dear lord, no. I hope you didn't book it. You shouldn't end up spending more than -225 right now on the ML. You should try using sbrodds.com

Line moved a little bit throughout the day, up and down but remained over -200. Just checked out sbrodds.com first time I have seen the site. Hey Balls when you make your plays what site do you use to pick the fav? I always thought it was based on openings at covers.com.

**JVP3122** · 07-02-10, 05:08 PM

Originally posted by DustyDiamond

Line moved a little bit throughout the day, up and down but remained over -200. Just checked out sbrodds.com first time I have seen the site. Hey Balls when you make your plays what site do you use to pick the fav? I always thought it was based on openings at covers.com.

No, its based on the opening line from Pinny. Sbrodds is my favorite for checking lines. I use the Greek and Bookmaker and I've got them sorted right at the top of the list

**balls2wall** · 07-02-10, 06:02 PM

COL under 8

5 straight overs

41% over team should have 6 max overs on most occasions

chasing COL for 4 or 5 games for a half unit

**NastyStuff** · 07-02-10, 06:08 PM

Originally posted by balls2wall

COL under 8 5 straight overs 41% over team should have 6 max overs on most occasions chasing COL for 4 or 5 games for a half unit

Good to know...thanks Balls

**DustyDiamond** · 07-02-10, 11:48 PM

Pushed tonight