Reverend's 2010 MLB

**JVP3122** · 06-28-10, 01:26 PM

Originally posted by GGPLAYER

I will pull for them to win but I will never put my money on the Cubs again. They are the most disfunctional team in baseball. This line is inflated if you ask me just because Pit are in a losing streak to good AL teams. Chi is not that good. GL guys.

I think I'm with you here. I think this line is not necessarily one for the Cubs but instead fading the Pirates on the road. I know the Pirates have been garbage on the road recently, but it's not like the North-Siders have been playing well recently, and on top of that they're only 2-7 against the Pirates this season. I think I might stay away from this one and wait and see if tomorrow's makes me feel any better.

**balls2wall** · 06-28-10, 02:47 PM

Monday FAV System Play

A Bet: CUBS -1rl (-131) risking 1.31 units to win 1 unit

**ngates815** · 06-28-10, 02:48 PM

Did Reverend Bounce after having 3-5 series lose in a span of 2 weeks or did he make a new name?

**DustyDiamond** · 06-28-10, 03:21 PM

GL today everyone!!!

**DustyDiamond** · 06-28-10, 03:35 PM

I know that this is early, but does the FAV system end at the end of August? I know some chase systems end at this time. I went back to the first post and I didn't see anything about this. Any insight? Also anyone think this system will work with NHL pucklines or maybe in the NBA? I'm thinking if the FAV system was to work in the NBA you would have to bet on the ML because of the change in lines. What do you guys/gals think?

**peterpan19** · 06-28-10, 03:45 PM

DD
you will get killed in NBA if you do this, playing the ML,
maybe the biggest spread or biggest Home Fav ATS, but not ML

**balls2wall** · 06-28-10, 05:12 PM

going with TOR for my early play tonight

**balls2wall** · 06-28-10, 05:19 PM

Originally posted by DustyDiamond

I know that this is early, but does the FAV system end at the end of August? I know some chase systems end at this time. I went back to the first post and I didn't see anything about this. Any insight? Also anyone think this system will work with NHL pucklines or maybe in the NBA? I'm thinking if the FAV system was to work in the NBA you would have to bet on the ML because of the change in lines. What do you guys/gals think?

I don't recall, but I think it may end then...

I know several do. I can't remember if this one does or not.

May shut down the "official" plays at the end of August if it is still on the same pace

**JVP3122** · 06-28-10, 05:24 PM

Originally posted by DustyDiamond

I know that this is early, but does the FAV system end at the end of August? I know some chase systems end at this time. I went back to the first post and I didn't see anything about this. Any insight? Also anyone think this system will work with NHL pucklines or maybe in the NBA? I'm thinking if the FAV system was to work in the NBA you would have to bet on the ML because of the change in lines. What do you guys/gals think?

I've got to second what peterpan19 said. You'll have some home favorites in the NBA at -4500 if it's the Lakers at home against the Nets or something like that, maybe even more. We might try testing out the largest favorite each night against the spread, again like what peterpan19 said, but I don't think we should just jump right into that. I'm actually curious about NHL, because it's a ML sport like baseball. We can bet on the -1 puck line. Like the basketball one, though, we should test it out before using it for wagering.

**JVP3122** · 06-28-10, 05:27 PM

Originally posted by balls2wall

going with TOR for my early play tonight

Good luck with this one. I had considered the Jays but went against it because I don't like the pitching matchups tomorrow and Wednesday. As such, here are mine for tonight (not doing the FAV play because I just don't trust the Cubs):
ATL (-125) - Risking 1.25 units to win 1 unit
STL (-166) - Risking 1.66 units to win 1 unit
MIL (-185) - Risking 1.85 units to win 1 unit
The Brewers owe me after what they did to the Twins. Plus, with Parra going tonight and Gallardo going tomorrow I like my chances in taking this in the A or B bet.

**balls2wall** · 06-28-10, 05:36 PM

Originally posted by JVP3122

Good luck with this one. I had considered the Jays but went against it because I don't like the pitching matchups tomorrow and Wednesday. As such, here are mine for tonight (not doing the FAV play because I just don't trust the Cubs):
ATL (-125) - Risking 1.25 units to win 1 unit
STL (-166) - Risking 1.66 units to win 1 unit
MIL (-185) - Risking 1.85 units to win 1 unit
The Brewers owe me after what they did to the Twins. Plus, with Parra going tonight and Gallardo going tomorrow I like my chances in taking this in the A or B bet.

I have stl -1 marked for a possible play tonight so I may be on it with ya

The TOR play is just a single play for tonight. I may chase it if needed, but hoping it doesn't come to that. I will make that decision tomorrow if needed.

good luck

**JVP3122** · 06-29-10, 06:32 AM

Originally posted by JVP3122

ATL (-125) - Risking 1.25 units to win 1 unit

STL (-166) - Risking 1.66 units to win 1 unit

MIL (-185) - Risking 1.85 units to win 1 unit

2-1 +0.15 units

The Brewers were going so well up 5-0 and then everything seemed to fall apart in three consecutive innings. Oh, well, on to a B bet on them. Playing the Fav play starting today with the Cards as an A bet, and adding one.

MIL (-240) - Risking 6.84 units to win 2.85 units
NYY (-160) - Risking 1.6 units to win 1 unit
I'm out most of today, so I'll wish

to all today.

**balls2wall** · 06-29-10, 08:15 AM

nice day yesterday JVP

thought you were going to have a perfect day until MIL folded

yanks look like a good one too

BOL

...and thanks for the points

**NastyStuff** · 06-29-10, 08:17 AM

Glad STL pulled it out at the bottom of the 9th last night...hope they are worth the juice today.

**balls2wall** · 06-29-10, 08:20 AM

I don't think anyone felt too great about the Cubs as the play yesterday, but it was the play so had to go with it.

Tuesday FAV System Play

B Bet: STL -1rl (-215) risking 4.96 units to win 2.31 units (1 unit profit)

**GGPLAYER** · 06-29-10, 08:24 AM

F*#king Brewers! I usually shrug off a loss but to be up like that and then choke to the Stros at home really blew. I am glad I laid off the Cubs. I lost more money on that team earlier this year than any. Pitt owns them and they still have Chi as over -200 fav...amazing. Hope the Cards bring it tonight. They also lost a lead and then had to put up a 3 run rally in the 9th to win. AZ is playing better ball lately. I wish that line was not so high. May sit this out too.

**jgiun1** · 06-29-10, 08:31 AM

I was also real surprised when I seen the score and the Brew Crew fall after having a five to zip lead

**df1000** · 06-29-10, 09:21 AM

i have to wonder if detroit is going to go on a run, and prove they are not that bad a road team.

**DustyDiamond** · 06-29-10, 03:18 PM

Thanks everyone for the input, I forgot about those crazy -4500 ML in the NBA. Could be fun to track this system in the NHL for a season and see what happens.

**balls2wall** · 06-29-10, 04:32 PM

Originally posted by DustyDiamond

Thanks everyone for the input, I forgot about those crazy -4500 ML in the NBA. Could be fun to track this system in the NHL for a season and see what happens.

I am not an NHL guy, but would follow the thread if you wanted to track it. In fact, I never bet on NHL, but may if I had something like this that didn't require any real knowledge of the sport.

I say go for it

**balls2wall** · 06-29-10, 04:37 PM

Originally posted by df1000

i have to wonder if detroit is going to go on a run, and prove they are not that bad a road team.

they have SEA and BAL coming up so that should help

they are both at DET though so that won't help the road record though

**balls2wall** · 06-29-10, 05:52 PM

starting two chases

haven't done many of them at all lately

NYY

&

OAK

**NastyStuff** · 06-30-10, 04:52 AM

The overall juice seems better today than it has been of late...everything is under -200 when I looked....
Cubs look like the FAV today...good luck to those brave souls who bet them...I'll pass...the Dr. is on the mound today for Philly...will he get any run support this time out?...I'm leaning towards the Yanks today...just to see how it feels to bet them at under -300...or for that matter -200!!...

**JVP3122** · 06-30-10, 06:32 AM

Originally posted by balls2wall

I am not an NHL guy, but would follow the thread if you wanted to track it. In fact, I never bet on NHL, but may if I had something like this that didn't require any real knowledge of the sport.

I say go for it

Yeah, man! I think it'd be great to track it for NHL or even checking the spread stats on the largest NBA favorite each day. If not, we can always just follow some good NHL cappers like paco or DennisGreen.

**JVP3122** · 06-30-10, 06:38 AM

Originally posted by JVP3122

MIL (-240) - Risking 6.84 units to win 2.85 units

NYY (-160) - Risking 1.6 units to win 1 unit

1-1 +1.25 units

Took a chance on the Yanks but oh, well. I feel comfortable with Vazquez today, oddly enough.

**balls2wall** · 06-30-10, 07:00 AM

Originally posted by JVP3122

Yeah, man! I think it'd be great to track it for NHL or even checking the spread stats on the largest NBA favorite each day. If not, we can always just follow some good NHL cappers like paco or DennisGreen.

the only problem with the hockey I can think of off the bat is that the o/u lines and scores are generally much lower than the MLB

I would assume that translates into not as many wins by multiple goals (a lot more 1 goal wins).

**balls2wall** · 06-30-10, 07:01 AM

Originally posted by JVP3122

Took a chance on the Yanks but oh, well. I feel comfortable with Vazquez today, oddly enough.

same here

knew it was a tough pitching matchup yesterday, but liked their chances to win 1 of 3

**peterpan19** · 06-30-10, 07:34 AM

Originally posted by balls2wall

the only problem with the hockey I can think of off the bat is that the o/u lines and scores are generally much lower than the MLB I would assume that translates into not as many wins by multiple goals (a lot more 1 goal wins).

There are a lot of close games in NHL and a lot of pushes on the -1RL, but I think it might be a good ides to track it...

**balls2wall** · 06-30-10, 07:41 AM

FAV System Record

39-0 (+45 units)

A: 11
B: 7
C: 2
D: 0
Loss: 0

*Rev's record (19-0 +25 units) is included in above record

**we have no record of Rev's A, B, C and D bets

**balls2wall** · 06-30-10, 08:59 AM

It looks like the cubs again today, but the rl is not out yet...

will post the official play when it comes out

**balls2wall** · 06-30-10, 09:48 AM

Wednesday FAV System Play

A Bet: CUB -1rl (-137) risking 1.37 units to win 1 unit

**df1000** · 06-30-10, 10:07 AM

i wonder if the doctor is worth a look today, also i think the yankees will bounce back after taking there medicine yesterday.

**JVP3122** · 06-30-10, 10:10 AM

Originally posted by peterpan19

There are a lot of close games in NHL and a lot of pushes on the -1RL, but I think it might be a good ides to track it...

So I did a little back-checking on the previous NHL season. Instead of wagering on the -1PL in hockey, I thought about just straight winning and losing, because the lines are typically lower than they are in baseball. They tend to get higher towards the end of the season, though. I went off of the closing line each day from covers.com and even on a day when there was only one game I still took the result. As it were, if you followed just like we do for the baseball system, you'd be 145-1, and up 67.96 units at the end of the season (including playoffs). The breakdown is 101 wins on the A bet, 27 on the B, 11 on the C, 6 on the D. I have the spreadsheet if anyone wants it.

**JVP3122** · 06-30-10, 10:16 AM

So, hopefully the Yanks can lock it up and I can take the day off tomorrow and just focus on the Fav play.

NYY (-150) - Risking 3.9 units to win 2.6 units

**balls2wall** · 06-30-10, 10:42 AM

Originally posted by JVP3122

So I did a little back-checking on the previous NHL season. Instead of wagering on the -1PL in hockey, I thought about just straight winning and losing, because the lines are typically lower than they are in baseball. They tend to get higher towards the end of the season, though. I went off of the closing line each day from covers.com and even on a day when there was only one game I still took the result. As it were, if you followed just like we do for the baseball system, you'd be 145-1, and up 67.96 units at the end of the season (including playoffs). The breakdown is 101 wins on the A bet, 27 on the B, 11 on the C, 6 on the D. I have the spreadsheet if anyone wants it.

nice work JVP

looks like we definitely need to get something going when the season starts up

thanks