Hotcross MLB 2018 Thread

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Tuesday May 1 - adding ::

ST.LOUIS -0.5 -160 first five innings // 3.20 units to win 2

Pitching matchup James Shields @ Michael Wacha

checking into the remaining late games....

[2daBank]

Tuesday May 1 - adding ::

ST.LOUIS -0.5 -160 first five innings // 3.20 units to win 2

Pitching matchup James Shields @ Michael Wacha

checking into the remaining late games....

I wanted to play this but it was so damn pricey. Ended up playing the -1.5 for game mostly just being a fan/degen cause didn't have time to cap the card. Gl bro

[hotcross]

Tuesday May 1 - 6pm eastern start game

UNDER 9.5 -105 TEX@CLE // 1.05 units to win 1

Texas up 6-2, bottom 9th, relief pitcher Keoni Kela allows bases loaded, then gets 2 outs.....and with 0-2 count on Michael Brantley, gets hit for a mistake pitch Grand Slam (first ever by Brantley)

Just making a note of it. Crazy bad mistake to do it on 0-2 count though

I think the announcer just said all 12 runs in the game by both teams have come with 2 outs in the innings

[2daBank]

Texas up 6-2, bottom 9th, relief pitcher Keoni Kela allows bases loaded, then gets 2 outs.....and with 0-2 count on Michael Brantley, gets hit for a mistake pitch Grand Slam (first ever by Brantley)

Just making a note of it. Crazy bad mistake to do it on 0-2 count though

I think the announcer just said all 12 runs in the game by both teams have come with 2 outs in the innings

Wow, that tough to swallow when playing a under!! In other news cards offense still missing in action, can't even do any damage vs one of biggest gas cans in the league, that after making pirates pitchers look like Cy young for 3 games in Pittsburgh. Doesn't make any sense, this lineup ought to be producing a fair amount of damn runs!!

[hotcross]

Getting back to the Cardinals, you notice those real no-brainer first five inning plays, tend to lose a lot?

[hotcross]

Tuesday May 1 - adding ::

SEATTLE -0.5 +117 first five innings // 3 units to win 3.51

Pitching matchup Andrew Triggs @ Felix Hernandez

[2daBank]

Getting back to the Cardinals, you notice those real no-brainer first five inning plays, tend to lose a lot?

I don't pay them a lot of attention honestly, other than days I love the sp matchup but fear side I likes pen. Unreal cards are being 1 hit by James stinking washed up shields! This off the heels of letting a kid making his 1st career start flirt w a perfect game into the 7th!! Something really wrong w this team, i was willing to give them a pass in pit thinking going back into cold weather was the problem. But now not so sure, we have a terrible record against everyone not named cincy! 7-0 vs reds, well below .500 vs all others, doesn't make a lot of sense, they have more than enough talent on this team imo.

[hotcross]

Tuesday May 1 - adding ::

SAN DIEGO -0.5 +173 first five innings // 2 units to win 3.46

SAN DIEGO +133 ML // 1 unit to win 1.33

Pitching matchup Tyson Ross @ Andrew Suarez

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I don't pay them a lot of attention honestly, other than days I love the sp matchup but fear side I likes pen. Unreal cards are being 1 hit by James stinking washed up shields!

both points you make are exactly why I took the first five !!!

[StackinGreen]

I was on the tex cle under 9.5 too, painful. They had Kipnis 0-2 in the 7th too, 2 out, up 6-0

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I just got good luck on the KC@Boston over. KC tied it 3-3 in top of 9th, now in extra innings both teams score a run and its 4-4. I sold a run to make it Over 9 @ +120, so at least cannot lose now.

It evens out, like they say. I just make the notes here to help me track what happens.

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^^^boom! Soler 3-run blast top 13th inning

the over 8 with Junis @ Sale was just too strange for me.....so took the Over. Had to get some luck, I'll take it !!!

a lot of Extra Innings games being played on tonight's slate

[StackinGreen]

Almost blew that too. I had +300. White Sox +210, up 2-1 9th another blow job

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man, you play those high value dogs based on principle....cannot do it with James Shields in the White Sox game, although that whole game played out nothing like expected.

Chris Sale -300 whatever he was for Boston, that one I can sorta see....but against the Royals.....you just have to hold the nose and make the wager.....but I will say Chris Sale is declining

[StackinGreen]

Fact was, neither team should be anywhere near -220 or -310 ... dont look at win % look at price when you score. No pro team cant sneak a few, Royals proved it, Sox should have won. Keep Shields in maybe they do.

[hotcross]

April 29 thru May 1 results:

-2.60 CUBS TEAM TOTAL OVER 4 -130 ----> score 2-0 home win vs MILW
+2.00 SEATTLE -108 first five inn. ML ---> score 5-2 SEA end 5th (final 10-4 road win at CLE)
+1.00 TORONTO -1.5 -125 runline ----> score 7-2 home win vs TEX
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-1.06 PITTSBURGH -106 first five inn. ML ----> score 3-1 WSH end 5th (final 3-2 road loss at WSH)
+3.00 OVER 7.5 -110 PHILLY@MIAMI ---> score 8-4 MIAMI home win vs PHI
-1.00 SAN DIEGO +150 first five inn. ML ----> score 3-2 SF end 5th (final 6-5 road loss at SF)
-1.00 SAN DIEGO -0.5 +195 first five innings
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-1.05 UNDER 9.5 -105 TEX@CLE ----> score 8-6 CLE home loss vs TEX in 12 innings
+1.20 OVER 9 +120 KC@BOS *sell 1 run ---> score 7-6 KC road win at BOS in 13 innings
+1.00 DETROIT +1.5 -117 runline ----> score 2-1 home win vs TB
+2.65 COLORADO -1.5 +265 alternate runline ----> score 3-1 road win at CHC
-1.00 CINCINNATI +110 ML ----> score 7-6 home loss vs MILW
-1.00 CINCINNATI -1.5 +205 alternate runline
-3.20 ST.LOUIS -0.5 -160 first five inn. ----> score 2-1 CHW end 5th (final 3-2 STL home win vs CHW on two runs in bottom 9th)
+3.51 SEATTLE -0.5 +117 first five inn. ---> score 4-1 SEA end 5th (final 6-3 home win vs OAK)
+3.46 SAN DIEGO -0.5 +173 first five inn. ----> score 2-1 SD end 5th
+1.33 SAN DIEGO +133 ML ----> final score 3-2 road win at SF
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April 29 thru May 1 = +7.24 units (W/L = 9-8 = .529 pct)

OVERALL THREAD = +15.12 units (W/L = 37-35-2 = .513 pct)
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Went ahead and played the volume today (May 1), seeing many opportunities I liked.
Well, it took the later games hitting for me to keep a nice gain.

(needed it too, bombed -6.00 units on NHL playoff games the past two days)

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Wed. May 2

HOUSTON +110 first five innings ML // 2 units to win 2.20
*push if tied end 5th

OVER 8 -115 NYY@HOU // 3.45 units to win 3

pitching matchup Luis Severino @ Dallas Keuchel; homeplate ump Alfonso Marquez

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underestimated Severino last night against a cold-hitting Astros team

Thursday May 3

TEXAS +137 first five moneyline // 1 unit to win 1.37
*push if tied end 5th

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May 2 & 3 results:

-2.00 HOUSTON +110 first five inn. ML ----> score 3-0 NYY lead end 5th
-3.45 OVER 8 -115 NYY@HOU ----> final score 4-0 HOU home loss vs NYY
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+1.37 TEXAS +137 first five inn. ML ---> score 10-3 TEX lead end 5th (final 11-5 home win vs BOS)
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May 2 & 3 = -4.08 units (W/L = 1-2)

OVERALL THREAD = +11.04 units (W/L = 38-37-2 = .506 pct)
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Fri. May 4

PITTSBURGH +104 ML // 3 units to win 3.12


sorry for last minute post. Looking at later games now.

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Saturday May 5

CLEVELAND -106 ML // 2.12 units to win 2

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Sat. May 5

UNDER 8 +100 PITT@MILW // 2 units to win 2

another last minute post. Looking at later games now.

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calling it a day, don't really love either of the two games remaining on the West coast

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almost forgot to mention about the earlier Cleveland at NY Yankees game....was bizarre. Trevor Bauer had a perfect game going thru the first 13 batters / bottom of 5th inning, when not only him but also the defense (Francisco Lindor) self-destructed. Bauer walked two in a row to break up his perfect game, gave up a couple hits, but then got a ground-ball hit to Lindor in which not only did he boot the catch, but then inexplicably shovel-passed the ball to third base for no reason and it got away, so two errors were charged to Lindor on the play.

Yankees won 5-2 and Sonny Gray pitched well. Cleveland can't expect to win only scoring 2. But the point is, that meltdown in the 5th was not something this team does....that's awful teams like the White Sox do. Lindor also had an error on Friday, as did Yan Gomes but that was just a dropped foul ball play by the catcher....so I get the impression something is wrong with Cleveland now, at least in the short-term.

[2daBank]

almost forgot to mention about the earlier Cleveland at NY Yankees game....was bizarre. Trevor Bauer had a perfect game going thru the first 13 batters / bottom of 5th inning, when not only him but also the defense (Francisco Lindor) self-destructed. Bauer walked two in a row to break up his perfect game, gave up a couple hits, but then got a ground-ball hit to Lindor in which not only did he boot the catch, but then inexplicably shovel-passed the ball to third base for no reason and it got away, so two errors were charged to Lindor on the play.

Yankees won 5-2 and Sonny Gray pitched well. Cleveland can't expect to win only scoring 2. But the point is, that meltdown in the 5th was not something this team does....that's awful teams like the White Sox do. Lindor also had an error on Friday, as did Yan Gomes but that was just a dropped foul ball play by the catcher....so I get the impression something is wrong with Cleveland now, at least in the short-term.

Wow, I wasn't able to follow any of the early action, you right those are type plays you expect from bad teams not good ones!!!

Honestly other than a decent week or so I havnt thought tribe have played very good baseball all season. Dunno if it was all the rainy cold weather early on but their bats were non existent 1st several weeks? the pitching staff did a incredible job stealing them a bunch of real low scoring wins vs crappy teams (tigers and kc come to mind!) I got burnt bunch of times fading them, lol, they even kept managing to cash the rl with bunch of late inning 2 run jacks! If it wasn't for the unders I wouldn't be able to laugh! Lol.,

this happened w them last season as well, they barely kept heads above water then got going after ASB if I recall correctly? In this division they really don't need to do much.

[hotcross]

Monday May 7

OVER 9.5 -105 NYM@CIN // 1.05 units to win 1

[StackinGreen]

bol

[hotcross]

May 4,5,7 results:

+3.12 PITTSBURGH +104 ML ---> score 6-4 road win at MILW
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-2.12 CLEVELAND -106 ML ----> score 5-2 road loss at NYY
+0 push UNDER 8 +100 PITT@MILW ----> final score 5-3 MILW home win vs PITT
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+1.00 OVER 9.5 -105 NYM@CIN ---> score 7-6 NYM road win at CIN
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May 4,5,7 = +2.00 units (W/L = 2-1-1)

OVERALL THREAD = +13.04 units (W/L = 40-38-3 = .512 pct)
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shoulda gone bigger on today's Over pick, AAA callup PJ Conlon pitching at Homer Bailey. Mets bats were cold this weekend, then with the Reds offense don't really trust them even when it looks like a great spot.

[StackinGreen]

Monday May 7

OVER 9.5 -105 NYM@CIN // 1.05 units to win 1

They got Homer early then started tacking some on. What you got today?

[hotcross]

Stackin it seems every single time you've asked who I'm on....ends up being a day when I'm too busy to play.

Swear it's not on purpose!

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Thursday May 10

KANSAS CITY -0.5 -101 first five innings // 2.02 units to win 2

UNDER 7 +115 MINN@LAA *sell 0.5 runs // 4 units to win 4.60


taking a look at a couple other games still.....

[hotcross]

Thursday May 10 - Coors Field

COLORADO -140 ML // 5 units to win 3.57

brief reasoning here, Colorado got shutout yesterday (vs LAA) for only the 3rd time this year. They actually stranded several base runners but never converted with men in scoring position. They were about the same 'size' favorite yesterday as they are today, plus the other two previous times the Rockies were shutout this year....they also lost the next game. I don't think that trend continues tonight because this appears to be a game where runs should be scored by both teams. Milwaukee comes in after only scoring 0,3,2 runs in their last 3 games. The 11.5 o/u posted total is a bit too high for me to play, but I would say it looks like a 10-13 runs total game to me.


checking the late West coast games.....

[hotcross]

Thursday May 10
KANSAS CITY -0.5 -101 first five innings // 2.02 units to win 2

this one loses by a score of 10-6 Baltimore end of 5th. Ugh, guess the Over was the more obvious play with a pitching matchup Ian Kennedy at Chris Tillman in Baltimore.

[hotcross]

Thursday May 10 - adding ::

CINCINNATI -1.5 +295 alternate runline // 2 units to win 5.90

[hotcross]

Thursday May 10 - Coors Field
COLORADO -140 ML // 5 units to win 3.57
brief reasoning here, Colorado got shutout yesterday (vs LAA) for only the 3rd time this year. They actually stranded several base runners but never converted with men in scoring position. .....

this lost 5-2 as the Rockies did the same dam thing, leaving men on base. The backbreaker was the bottom of the 6th when the score was already 5-2 and Rockies get the bases loaded with one out against relief pitcher Matt Albers, who somehow this year has been pretty good. Gerardo Parra batting sixth in the order comes up and grounds to third for the throw home then to first base double-play to end the inning.