EP36's Tennis Talk

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-07-10, 09:18 AM

Heh. Yeah Mahut just gave that feeling like he was happy to hang on to win that 1st rounder. Maybe he gets steadier today, maybe he doesn't. The interesting thing to me is reading about him, it sounds like he thinks about that Isner match way too much, like it haunts him. Physically, I think he's okay. I really think his toughest thing right now is the mental aspect of things. Yesterday's match may have showed that. He was completely in control after 1 set and then got crushed in the 2nd, but regained his nerve in the 3rd. I just like Dancevic here if he can serve with that heater again today.

**Wilforth** · 07-07-10, 09:26 AM

EP,

Dancevic looks promising but I don't like the way some of these dogs choke at critical stages of the game.

**Tsonga** · 07-07-10, 09:44 AM

Kleybanova is a hefty player - hopefully this match goes long

**Yezzir** · 07-07-10, 09:51 AM

EP, what do you think of Dabul?

And i'm loving the Dancevic play.

**Tsonga** · 07-07-10, 09:51 AM

i think i'm regretting tailing this one already - the schneyder pick that is

**JNic** · 07-07-10, 09:53 AM

yezzir dabul should be a no play here, Soeda went from +140 to -350 and then he dropped to -250 back to -350. just way too crazy odd movements to consider a play, looks like a fix like bloomfield yesterday

**Yezzir** · 07-07-10, 09:54 AM

Originally posted by Tsonga

i think i'm regretting tailing this one already - the schneyder pick that is

This is WTA for god sake, there will be another 10+ breaks of serve, you need to learn to calm down a bit and be more patient, you pessimistic bastard.

**Yezzir** · 07-07-10, 09:54 AM

Originally posted by JNic

yezzir dabul should be a no play here, Soeda went from +140 to -350 and then he dropped to -250 back to -350. just way too crazy odd movements to consider a play, looks like a fix like bloomfield yesterday

I didn't realise there was so much movement, i'll stay away from that then.

**Tsonga** · 07-07-10, 09:58 AM

1-1 schnyeder gets the break...now i remember why i don't bet/watch women's tennis.

**Tsonga** · 07-07-10, 10:34 AM

patty takes the first 6-4...good start

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-07-10, 10:55 AM

Looks like I outsmarted myself again.

**Tsonga** · 07-07-10, 10:58 AM

Nice...I went with the initial advice and patty is up 3-1in the 2nd

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-07-10, 11:01 AM

Glad everyone is gonna cash. Lots on Patty today. My dumb ass again should have just trusted my guy and not f-ed around. Oh well, gotta have one of these every once in awhile to knock some sense back into me.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-07-10, 11:05 AM

Dabul about to go up a set. Some people might be getting massacred today if they took Soeda, that or Dabul is about to pull out some Russian craftiness.

**shari91** · 07-07-10, 11:08 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Dabul about to go up a set. Some people might be getting massacred today if they took Soeda, that or Dabul is about to pull out some Russian craftiness.

I had Soeda before the line started going funky and my book voided it. Maybe it worked in my favour for once.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-07-10, 11:08 AM

QUERREY-BROWN OVER 20.5 [-140]
Could be a trap, but with two big servers and the surface playing fast - seems like even in a two set affair this number would be beaten. Key is Brown obviously not double faulting so much. Should be lots of aces and quick games, I think. Gonna try it and see what happens.

**Tsonga** · 07-07-10, 11:17 AM

i agree with the querrey brown over...but I haven't actually seen brown's serve...just heard it was good.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-07-10, 11:19 AM

Dabul up a break in the 2nd set. If anyone has stats on what the wager amounts were on this match, I'd LOVE to see them. I have a feeling there is like one mother F-er out there that made a shit ton of money off Dabul.

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-07-10, 11:22 AM

Fish rolls again. 3rd rounder vs. Mahut or Dancevic is his biggest hurdle IMO to the final here. Got that +425 future on him. Will see the price and how Dancevic and Mahut play today. Might be a small hedge [0.3 units] depending on the price, but it's need to be around +200 or better on the dog I think to make it worth it.

**JNic** · 07-07-10, 11:25 AM

some of Dabuls friends and family probably unloaded live betting when it was on serve in the 1st set

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-07-10, 11:26 AM

Dulgheru ready to start in Budapest. Let's cash the 2nd half of this parlay!

**Yezzir** · 07-07-10, 11:46 AM

Originally posted by Yezzir

I didn't realise there was so much movement, i'll stay away from that then.

I shoulda gone with my heart, oh well.

**Rainman12** · 07-07-10, 01:26 PM

match suspended due to darkness thank god. dulgheru drops all 4 service games in the 2nd

**Tsonga** · 07-07-10, 01:36 PM

terrible match with dulgheru - takes forever just to get one game finished....maybe they can sleep on it an dulgheru wakes up and remembers how to play.

**SRBI** · 07-07-10, 02:05 PM

Cashed 3 tennis doggies today, Ana +245, Patty +155 and most recent Dancevic +175 - loving me some tennis right about now!

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-07-10, 02:55 PM

Originally posted by Tsonga

terrible match with dulgheru - takes forever just to get one game finished....maybe they can sleep on it an dulgheru wakes up and remembers how to play.

Right on. That might have been the best thing to happen to her today is suspending that match. Really thought after she fought through the tie break in the 1st that she'd settle in a little more. Expected Chakvetadze to be somewhat tough, but did not expect her to lose 6-1!

Big match for Rochus tomorrow for the futures play I have as he goes up against Ram. Ram beat him pretty easy last year here. Ram wasn't very impressive today, so maybe Rochus has a shot in hell if Ram double faults himself to death.

**JNic** · 07-07-10, 03:04 PM

Klaasen won... so you're rochus and fish futures are looking better and better

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-07-10, 03:18 PM

Oh snap. I thought I saw Ram won 7-6 in the tie break. Never mind then. Rochus legitimately has a shot in that bracket now. Actually should be the favorite to come through at least from an experience standpoint. Suh-weet.

**beefcake** · 07-07-10, 06:40 PM

Its a cake walk for fish now.if he doesnt get to the final then something stinks in newport..
No way Anna Chak wakes up and wins this match..!

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-07-10, 06:46 PM

Tomorrow is it for Fish. Dancevic could provide a test if he serves well, but he honestly might be the toughest guy left in the tournament in my opinion. Other guys are young or inexperienced on grass or both.

**JNic** · 07-07-10, 07:40 PM

tomorrow for some reason its just brown/dabul and rochus/klaasen, brown should get it done but i think he will be too much of a fav

**EaglesPhan36** · 07-08-10, 12:08 AM

THURSDAY

PARLAY: REZAI + BACSINSZKY [+112]

ARN +187
Garriques is a quality player who has been solid on dirt this season. Still, going to side with the home standing Hungarian in this one. Arn has some decent pop on her serve and has more experience on these courts with 10 career matches and a 7-3 mark. That is a little misleading with a lot of those coming early in qualifying, but she did make the semis here in 2008. If Arn serves well and uses her power consistently, I think she has a chance to pull off the upset.

**mistral** · 07-08-10, 03:24 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

THURSDAY

PARLAY: REZAI + BACSINSZKY [+112]

ARN +187
Garriques is a quality player who has been solid on dirt this season. Still, going to side with the home standing Hungarian in this one. Arn has some decent pop on her serve and has more experience on these courts with 10 career matches and a 7-3 mark. That is a little misleading with a lot of those coming early in qualifying, but she did make the semis here in 2008. If Arn serves well and uses her power consistently, I think she has a chance to pull off the upset.

Good choices EP

**rumple** · 07-08-10, 04:05 AM

Took Bascinsky -160, even though I hate laying that kind of juice.

**vinnysantos** · 07-08-10, 04:48 AM

Good luck EP