SirtySree's Rookie Player Watch + Match Analysis

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  • SirtySree
    SBR MVP
    • 12-19-13
    • 2370

    #701
    Mylokostov @2.6 down set A-40
    Comment
    • beefcake
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-26-09
      • 14029

      #702
      Well, two dogs won in Uzbek last night..One biggie and one slight. So fitguy I think you got your money back.
      Comment
      • beefcake
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-26-09
        • 14029

        #703
        Well shit...5 dimes not offering lines on Raleigh..Fukk... And I looked at the matchups for today..Neel looks very enticing at +150 if I could bet it..
        Comment
        • SirtySree
          SBR MVP
          • 12-19-13
          • 2370

          #704
          garcia @3 down set, 3-2
          Comment
          • SirtySree
            SBR MVP
            • 12-19-13
            • 2370

            #705
            Originally posted by beefcake
            Well shit...5 dimes not offering lines on Raleigh..Fukk... And I looked at the matchups for today..Neel looks very enticing at +150 if I could bet it..
            i thought neel would b higher bt still ok value. flood could also win bt listed a bit low too fr my liking
            Comment
            • beefcake
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-26-09
              • 14029

              #706
              Nice call on Neel. Hope somebody won money.
              Comment
              • SirtySree
                SBR MVP
                • 12-19-13
                • 2370

                #707
                Garcia

                +$3519

                Once lines are up for today, I'll check again if anything at Raleigh sticks out.
                Comment
                • SirtySree
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-19-13
                  • 2370

                  #708
                  Jang @3.75 down set and 1-0 on serve.
                  Comment
                  • SirtySree
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-19-13
                    • 2370

                    #709
                    +$3794

                    Jang did her best to frustrate me but a win is a win.

                    As for Moutet yesterday, didn't end up watching it as fell asleep right before the start. Disappointing scoreline though. Thought he would be able to trouble Haase a little bit and keep it close.
                    Comment
                    • SirtySree
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-19-13
                      • 2370

                      #710
                      Kalva 2nd set @3.3 down 2-0
                      Comment
                      • SirtySree
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-19-13
                        • 2370

                        #711
                        Finally got one of those bs moments to go my way. Down 5-2 and a few match points on serve but survives and wins in a tb.

                        +$4024
                        Comment
                        • cryptocap
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-04-14
                          • 1528

                          #712
                          Comment
                          • SirtySree
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-19-13
                            • 2370

                            #713
                            ^

                            Duckworth @4.35. Might regret this instantly, I hate him.
                            Comment
                            • SirtySree
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-19-13
                              • 2370

                              #714
                              Gavrilova @3.75 1-1 40-40. Was thinking about taking her pre-match but decided to do it now instead.
                              Comment
                              • SirtySree
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-19-13
                                • 2370

                                #715
                                2/12 break points vs 3/4 in that 1st set. Broken a few times when up 30-0 to then lose 4 straight points. Right up there with one of the more frustrating set to follow.
                                Comment
                                • SirtySree
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-19-13
                                  • 2370

                                  #716
                                  Frustration continues despite winning the tiebreak. Was up 4-0 in that set. 2/5 break points vs 2/2 in that set...
                                  Comment
                                  • gaebiskon
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 03-10-12
                                    • 869

                                    #717
                                    nerve racking match
                                    Comment
                                    • SirtySree
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-19-13
                                      • 2370

                                      #718
                                      Insane! Finally after 8 match points Gavrilova takes it. 40-0 up 6-5 and misses all 3 and then misses all 3 again in the tiebreak up 6-3.
                                      Comment
                                      • gaebiskon
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 03-10-12
                                        • 869

                                        #719
                                        no idea how ivanovic won a slam
                                        she pretty much fks up every point that matters
                                        Comment
                                        • beefcake
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-26-09
                                          • 14029

                                          #720
                                          Hope someone carpet bombed the dogs in Samarkland last night...Bout time it caught up!!
                                          Comment
                                          • fitguy67
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 03-13-11
                                            • 5082

                                            #721
                                            yeah, i did a full matrix of all the 3-leggers...4 winning meant i scored about 0.70x the total stake...but if just one more dog had eeked itself out it'd have been more like 5x...

                                            the day previous i was running 2-leggers and two dogs won, but one of 'em was in the one match that was off the board damn-near every book, so instead of a push i lost my stake...

                                            now i'm a fraction of a unit worse than square and will persist with the 4 matches on the board, but only one of them has a fat-payout...divided up my unit to cover the 6 two-leggers...given the odds involved (-105, +130, +175, and +333) three of 'em wouldn't be too big of a surprise, but i'd settle for just 2 if one of'em is broady+333

                                            thanks for the idea...it's been fun using real-bullets to test out someone else's interesting angle (since your "heads up" at 40-2, we've gone 11-6, making for 51-8...the two tourney's sample is still light on the dogs, but no longer alarmingly so--so tonight will be my last stab at a dog-rally bonanza)
                                            Last edited by fitguy67; 05-13-15, 11:17 PM.
                                            Comment
                                            • SirtySree
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-19-13
                                              • 2370

                                              #722
                                              +$4199

                                              Tempted to go with Gavrilova again but coming through qualifiers and playing 3 grinding 3 setters in a row might take its toll. Looked a bit tired at the end of her last match and even might have picked up a bit of an abdominal injury so not going with it until possibly in-game. Glad she is finally putting the pieces together as she was a beast in juniors but never really kicked on until this year. Def top 10 material as I mentioned earlier in the year and she has taken down a few big name now since.

                                              Nothing really interesting in Raleigh. All pretty standard results and looks like that again for tmrw. If I had to pick a few dogs and name all the winners, would think Molinero, Mueller, Boserup, Hsu, Sanchez, Moore, Neel, and Abaza to upset Kiick. Wouldn't actually bother betting any though.
                                              Comment
                                              • Hardcoar
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 02-17-13
                                                • 15606

                                                #723
                                                Originally posted by beefcake
                                                Hope someone carpet bombed the dogs in Samarkland last night...Bout time it caught up!!
                                                CARPET BOMBING SAMARKAND CONFIRMED
                                                Comment
                                                • SirtySree
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-19-13
                                                  • 2370

                                                  #724
                                                  simonsson @3.25
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SirtySree
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-19-13
                                                    • 2370

                                                    #725
                                                    Naso @4
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SirtySree
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-19-13
                                                      • 2370

                                                      #726
                                                      +$4099

                                                      Qualifiers for RG early next week. Some exciting names I see already in both mens and womens. Moutet got a QWC and same with Stewart in the womens draw. Disappointing Chirico got the main draw WC over her considering Stewart has bet her twice already this year.

                                                      Will post if there are any good lines once actual draws are out.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SirtySree
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-19-13
                                                        • 2370

                                                        #727
                                                        Deviatiarov @2.75
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SirtySree
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-19-13
                                                          • 2370

                                                          #728
                                                          struff @3.25
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SirtySree
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-19-13
                                                            • 2370

                                                            #729
                                                            abanda @2.75
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SirtySree
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-19-13
                                                              • 2370

                                                              #730
                                                              kokk @3.25
                                                              Comment
                                                              • SirtySree
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-19-13
                                                                • 2370

                                                                #731
                                                                +$4524

                                                                Really liking Kokkinakis's game now. Kid is 25-9 this year playing all ATP events and just the 1 Challenger event he is at now.

                                                                Gavrilova into the SF against Pova, who she bet 2 months ago on hard court. @6 it is way too high but obviously she is still the dog in the match regardless.

                                                                Mikael Ymer through to his 1st final today. Been underachieving a bit this year though. Expected him to kick on a lot more.

                                                                Also one last point, would look to avoid anyone that is scheduled to play at the qualifiers of RG. A lot of them are simply just playing to get in some court time and actually have no intention of doing well at their current tournament. If they make it pass the first few rounds, they will likely end up missing the qualifiers of RG.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SirtySree
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-19-13
                                                                  • 2370

                                                                  #732
                                                                  Ze Zhang @3.5 down 4-1
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SirtySree
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-19-13
                                                                    • 2370

                                                                    #733
                                                                    ymer @3
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SirtySree
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-19-13
                                                                      • 2370

                                                                      #734
                                                                      mikael wins his 1st itf tournament

                                                                      +$4624
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • SirtySree
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-19-13
                                                                        • 2370

                                                                        #735
                                                                        Palkina @2.75. Love betting on and against Sezer. 80% win and loss record as the fav and dog, respectively.
                                                                        Comment
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