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1. ## Bet 2 games & go 1-1, or bet 100 and go 50-50, does it matter?

What is the point of capping 100 games, or 2 games if the result is going to be the same? are you really eliminating risk by betting more games?

I know there is many different schools of thought on this.

2. Doesn't the juice factor into it in the end?

3. Originally Posted by Powderguy
Doesn't the juice factor into it in the end?
okay, lets assume that its all -110. does it matter now?

4. People who bet liek 100 games in a day are finding value in them all. They might have a 2% edge in each game so if their betting 100 bux a game, at the end of their day their expected to be up 200 dollars.

5. Originally Posted by robzilla
okay, lets assume that its all -110. does it matter now?
It actually matters alot, if you go 1-1, you lose .1 units.
if u go 50-50, you lose 5 units.

6. Originally Posted by jkilla990
It actually matters alot, if you go 1-1, you lose .1 units. if u go 50-50, you lose 5 units.
okay, well with betting 2 games there are 3 outcomes. 0-2, 1-1, 2-0 (0%, 50%, 100%).
if you bet 100 games, with a 2% edge, maybe you win 52% long term... so i guess that is the thinking. +2% is better than, 3 outcome of which 1 is breakeven or less with juice or 0%.

7. More games = reduced variance.

Based on a 50% hit rate
Chances of going 0-2 are 25%
Chances of going 0-10 are less than 0.1%.

At the end of the day if you are a losing bettor, you might as well go all-in on two plays (also 25% chance of going 2-0) but if you are an advantage bettor, reducing variance and amplifying your edge is key.