1. #71
    Da Manster!
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    Quote Originally Posted by pattymayo View Post
    Breaking even is a win for leet... see Exhibit A:
    https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...nday-card.html

    damn patty...missed that thread...0 - 4 stings and I wouldn't wish that on anyone...but I'm pretty sure we'll get a response from him saying he had 5 units on the side and only 1 on the ML...business as usual on SBR.

  2. #72
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by leetreaper View Post
    Got greedy with that ML.

    I find that in the end, whether you split the bets and buy both or just take the spread with a whole unit, you end up about the same in the long run.

    But hitting the upset now and then feels good.

  3. #73
    pattymayo
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    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post
    damn patty...missed that thread...0 - 4 stings and I wouldn't wish that on anyone...but I'm pretty sure we'll get a response from him saying he had 5 units on the side and only 1 on the ML...business as usual on SBR.
    You'll be lucky to see him back in the thread. He usually abandons ship pretty quick.. see Exhibit B:

    https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...t-saville.html

    Leet is probably the biggest denerate there is, I honestly don't even think he wagers on these games, he just has some weird addiction to posting his picks daily in separate threads (never keeping a running record) and acting like he has some idea what he's talking about. You can tell by his "analysis" of the games that he doesn't even watch. He's fukkin weird.

  4. #74
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    There was a time where just pure line analysis could produce winners. There were indications, no stats needed, with line moves, as well as non moves, that could be done as an entire subset that showed a positive EV for years.

    We had a guy who just worked on that, that's all. He uncovered edges with it, solid ones.

    This was a long time ago, things were easier in general back then.

    You didnít see my next post?

    Originally Posted by 2daBank
    Iím not disputing you could prob give me a 100 example bro, no doubt. Thing is you could be shown 100 where had same type moves and it lost. Way back when in a time long ago I knew guys that could have success like this but times have changed, shit that worked 15-20 years ago ainít working the same still, if so every state wouldnít be clamoring to be books!!! I saw lot of those guys start crashing and burning and so pissed off and confused, mad at books like something was wrong cause their tried and true beliefs had become extinct.. same thing happened to me w nfl unders a decade or so ago, used to get fat off identifying low scoring ass defensive games, then got my shit pushed in for bout a year and a half until I pulled head out my ass and adjusted my thinking as the script got flipped..


    Pretty much identical to yours
    Nomination(s):
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  5. #75
    cyclingbettor
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    But what if the read is that a move like that indicates the underdog?

    In that case it worked just fine.

    You are making false assumptions that the move towards the team always points to the that team...this is wrong.
    Point taken. But, in that case, the line move on its own doesn't really mean anything, right? Other factors also have to be taken into account.

  6. #76
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by cyclingbettor View Post
    Point taken. But, in that case, the line move on its own doesn't really mean anything, right? Other factors also have to be taken into account.
    That what I been trying to say!! Quite frankly if you wanna use it as a tool go for it, never can have enough! but Iíd suggest it a minimal influence on your decision. Personally for me itís only purpose is occasionally getting me off a game, it never tips me on to a play.

  7. #77
    PAULYPOKER
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  8. #78
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    You didn’t see my next post?

    Originally Posted by 2daBank
    I’m not disputing you could prob give me a 100 example bro, no doubt. Thing is you could be shown 100 where had same type moves and it lost. Way back when in a time long ago I knew guys that could have success like this but times have changed, shit that worked 15-20 years ago ain’t working the same still, if so every state wouldn’t be clamoring to be books!!! I saw lot of those guys start crashing and burning and so pissed off and confused, mad at books like something was wrong cause their tried and true beliefs had become extinct.. same thing happened to me w nfl unders a decade or so ago, used to get fat off identifying low scoring ass defensive games, then got my shit pushed in for bout a year and a half until I pulled head out my ass and adjusted my thinking as the script got flipped..


    Pretty much identical to yours

  9. #79
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by cyclingbettor View Post
    Point taken. But, in that case, the line move on its own doesn't really mean anything, right? Other factors also have to be taken into account.
    Exactly.

    Different situations call for different conclusions.

  10. #80
    jjgold
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    Tough game
    Good call

  11. #81
    kingdom
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    Quote Originally Posted by kingdom View Post
    they sub him out on hail mary's. definitely not able to throw the deep ball. Carolina, much like the eagles did last night, bears did last week, and cowboys did to saints, cover with defense.

    December football.

  12. #82
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by kingdom View Post
    December football.

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