Again, as a reminder, the 20* plays are not LOCKS - no such thing. The key to my work is to BET the same per * unit play and resist the temptation to make too large a bet on the stronger plays. Requires discipline and time to learn that discipline, but is a key to any successful betting strategy.. Near exact to trading currencies, commodities, or stocks. Just like my number one rule tradig markets is never add good money to a trade that is not working out. But brokers make livelihoods on telling clients to dollar cost average their losing positions - that way the under performing stock only has to recover to a lower price. Problem is there are fundamental reasons the stock went down in the first place and even the great Warren Buffett hardly ever catches the exact bottom in his investments. He is the greatest long-term 'investor' and has that fundamental discipline that is required in all professional careers. Any, enough preaching, especially after a 20* loss.
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Im just pissed because I missed out on the other 20* plays that hit...then when I finally catch one, its a stinker. No big deal man! keep up the solid work.Comment -
Play on ATL 5* correct?Comment -
I didn't get to see all of the game last night John, but it seemed Atlanta couldn't stop New Orleans' passing attack at all... What did you think? Their defense looked pretty hapless.Comment -
You can't win them all. Keep those plays coming, looking forward to any plays for this week.Comment -
John what do you think about teasing redskins and patriots 7 pts for +100 redskins +15.5, patriots -6?Comment -
you got any nfl for the final week i saw your seahawks write up you sticking keeping it 5 unit or going up.Comment -
Happy New Year Everyone! Hope everyone is waking up bright eyed and full of vigor. Well, at least with a Bloody Mary in hand and nursing down some hangover remedies. But, seriously, i want to thank everyone for your valuable contributions to all of my threads. It has been quite enjoyable and I am very excited about he prospects for the playoffs.
Plays for Week 17 with research on the site for the Redskins and Seattle plays
5* Washington +9 -112 playing Philadelphia
5* Atlanta -10 -110 playing the Bucs
5* Seattle +2 1/2 -110 playing Arizona
20* 49ers -10 -108 (Five Dimes) playing the Rams
Please, and to reiterate once again, the last thing you want to do with a 20* play is bet over your head, especially on the first day of 2012. Please, make it the equivalent of FOUR 5* wagers and not a penny more. In fact, there is NOTHING wrong with playing it with less money. I obviously, love the play, but as you have seen this season, they do NOT all win.. We have made money grinding it out week after week and that is the discipline we all must maintain.Comment -
Briefly, Rams are 0-28 SU and 4-24 ATS as division home dogs of three or more points since 1982 and they’re
0-9 ATS against greater than .500 division foes when they own a losing record and are coming off three or more SU losses.
49ers get the 2nd seed and the VERY important week off while the Saints have to play. It is very likely, that the 49ers would face the Saints at home in the Conference semi-final. The No. 1 ranked defense will dominate the line of scrimmage and could pitch a shutout against a Rams team that has essentially NO interest in winning this game. The 49ers like to create one-on-one matchups on the outside where their big, athletic wide receivers can out-maneuver or out-physical cornerbacks to the ball. Look for a lot of motion and combination routes that force the Rams into single coverage with their cornerbacks. St. Louis has given up 19 receiving touchdowns this year.Comment -
ALERT: I am adding a 5* play on new England -10 -110 playing the Bills.Comment -
got any thoughts on Indy getting+3.5 at jacksonville? Like Indy is this spot they have been playing better of late and Blane Gabbert is terribleComment -
John, how do you feel about SFO -11.5?Comment -
Any opinion on giants and Dallas?Comment -
I'll be back shortly with a play on tonight's big time showdown. SF , I thought was a near LOCK goig into the fourth quarter... that's why there are No guarantees.. final score is all that matters. Sorry about that one.Comment -
Hey John. 5-0 today http://www.sbrforum.com/nfl-football...ek-17-a-22707/ but looking for an angle tonight. I believe my buddy Geno (of the famous Genos Picks right here on SBR) likes Dallas. We await your learned opinion Johnny!
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John, looking forward to your pick. I'm hoping its NY so I don't have to root against my team
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I'm leaning Dallas here. The Giants loss to Washington a couple weeks back was the final straw with this team. The public is all over coughlin's Gaymen. I mean "gmen" --also like the over again.Comment -
John tough break on SF, brutal backdoor...
keep up the great work...Comment -
I'm playing the over. See both QB's having their way with the defensive back fields of the opposing teams. BOL to everyone...Comment -
Yeah I can't believe that SF game. I was at my local sportsbar trying to watch all the games at once... It felt like I took a few bitesof my sandwich and looked up and SF went from being up by 21 to up by 7 in the blink of an eye.
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No play tonight John?Comment -
He says he has a pick and will post it shortly 1 1/2 hours ago, now 5 minutes until gametime and nothing. He could at least post that he doesn't have a play.Comment -
Stop whining lose my loot, it's not like you're paying him for his picks.
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Your right but I look like a degenerate constantly hitting refresh until 7:30.Comment -
I'm looking at Dallas +3 and the unders 48. GL
John, Thanks for all of the picks. Have a healthy and prosperous New Year!Comment -
I am goig to not force anything here. I want to see how this game plays out in the first half. I like Dallas, but Romo's hand may be worse than media outlets are stating. One hit and who knows. I will provide a possible 5* play or higher at the half...Comment -
Great work !!!!!!!! awesome.. No better feeling. Congrats.Hey John. 5-0 today http://www.sbrforum.com/nfl-football...ek-17-a-22707/ but looking for an angle tonight. I believe my buddy Geno (of the famous Genos Picks right here on SBR) likes Dallas. We await your learned opinion Johnny!Comment -
Sorry for the lateness. Internet log-in issues, but I had decided to wait and see how this game goes as already mentioned. Truly, I want to unload on dallas, but then I would be a hypocrite with all that I have been about this season. Even after 18 seasons, it is still hard to resist the temptation to load up on the last week of the regular season, but I remind myself that we will have some outstanding plays in the playoffs, where I have done very well.Comment -
awsome year!! Bring on the play-offs!Comment -
I highly recommend a 5* play on Dallas in the second half. Giants habitually go into a shell with the lead and will undoubtedly go to a cover-2.. or cover-3.. As bad as this looked in the first half Dallas had Three great opportunities to turn the tide. Two fumbles they could have had had and then capitalizing on the missed FG. Dallas did take Cruz out of the game in the second quarter. Giants under Coughlin have always been very predictable with the lead... and I strongly believe Dallas will make a game of this yet.Comment -
It sure looks bleak for Dallas backers! You think they can turn it around? HmmmmComment
