John Morrison 2011-12 NBA Thread

[1gamer]

Just locked in the Grizz at +1.5 at 5D.

[johncrud]

So what is the pending C play for tmr? Fading the lakers?

[manutd19]

Detroit should be C bet tommorow. Charlotte as well under chase 110

[peeiempee]

Your not chasing. Like I said you labby line. Never chase 6 games! I got in a little late last season but made around 100 units labbying. Great system.

I still don't understand labby too much. Can you explain it to me in detail come baseball season? (I think there's enough seperate conversations here already) Thanks so much if you can.

[peeiempee]

This C bet is gonna be scary. Knicks dropping two after a 40 pt blow out.

[manutd19]

This C bet is gonna be scary. Knicks dropping two after a 40 pt blow out.

you can say that again. It's gonna be more than scary. Detroit&Charlotte? Let's hope for d best

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2011-12 System to date: 26-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +26.00 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 2 (-5.81 units)

(1/30/12):
#27 Memphis (M/L) (A) - Loss
#28 Orlando (+7) (A) - Win

v1 Plays
(A) 20-8
(B) 2-5
(C) 2-2
(D) 2-0

V2 Plays
In production


Games for (1/31/12):
#24 Charlotte (+12½) @ L.A. Lakers (C) (10:35 pm EST)
#27 Denver @ Memphis (+1) (B) (8:05 pm EST)


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a zero point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change, but it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from my post. On occasion, we will have plays that go head-head. The system will grade ALL bets, regardless of opponents, how you wish to play these games is your choice.

[knugen]

Wallco.. Memphis are at +1,5 at pinnacle, why do u have them as a ML bet?

[BSUWADDY]

Peeiempee: Here is a link that is a good basic explanation of the labby. I used it when trying to figure it out myself just last year.

http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/labouchere-system.html

(btw, no endorsement of the rest of the site as this was the only page I looked at)

[Nino7]

use that:http://platinumsportsinvesting.com/labourchere.aspx

[Win89]

For everyone interested Detoit(1-9) and Charlotte(1-10) hold the two worst road records in the league at the moment. I know there's no injury filter for Chase 110 and they must be last for JM, just info. GL

[Wilba]

I am soo gun shy on the pistons. Was playing JM system 2 yrs ago and Pistons lost a C bet. I had poor bankroll management and it ate up majority of my BR. I had to drop the rest of the season.

Someone tell me it is going to be alright....... ; )

It "will be alright" as long as you have only played the series for an appropriate amount of your bankroll.
Given that it is a V3 series (the weakest version out of all 3 versions) I play each V3 series for a grand total risk of 4% of my bankroll. A lost series of 4% of your bankroll really does not hurt that much. And if you're playing V3 for much more than that - you are doing it wrong! (and have no one to blame but yourself, especially if you have been burned in the past but poor BR management)

[Wilba]

wow, loving the Bobats with the big start. I'm gonna make my own play on this, which is VERY rare for me in the NBA!

[Nino7]

how long does it take to you to double up playing 4% total on a serie?

[knugen]

the line on bobcats still raising +12,5 now

[GGPLAYER]

Wallco.. Memphis are at +1,5 at pinnacle, why do u have them as a ML bet?

It opened at -1 on some books.

[thelimit0310]

JM January 30

V3 DETROIT +10 @ Milwaukee (B) LOSS

RESULTS PER VERSION

Version 1
A: 8-4
B: 2-2
C: 2-0

Version 2
A: 1-2
B: 2-0
C: 0-0

Version 3
A: 16-9
B: 6-3
C: 2-0

Totals
A: 25-15
B: 10-4
C: 4-0

JM January 31

V1 CHARLOTTE +15.5 @ LA Lakers (A)
V3 DETROIT +12 @ NY Knicks (C)

All official plays are posted with 3 points bought. ML will not be taken on favorites greater than -3.

[GGPLAYER]

For everyone interested Detoit(1-9) and Charlotte(1-10) hold the two worst road records in the league at the moment. I know there's no injury filter for Chase 110 and they must be last for JM, just info. GL

Guess that's why we bet ATS and buy points. Don't care what the SU record is. We're on dogs. Every year someone makes a post like this. It means nothing.

[doin]

hope this was the day to catch your thread wallco. thanks for the pix.

[J.M. Disciple]

Guess that's why we bet ATS and buy points. Don't care what the SU record is. We're on dogs. Every year someone makes a post like this. It means nothing.

Thats pretty much what i was going to say! What are the ATS records for these two teams anyways?

Lakers don't cover a lot of spreads especially double digits. Knicks might be scary bet though.

JMD

[Wilba]

how long does it take to you to double up playing 4% total on a serie?

You only win .6 of a % playing from B, so you would need to win more than 150 series to double up. But I don't trust the V3 any more than risking 4% per series. For me it's just a bit of a bonus if I get extra cash from it.

[Wilba]

Thats pretty much what i was going to say! What are the ATS records for these two teams anyways?

Lakers don't cover a lot of spreads especially double digits. Knicks might be scary bet though.

JMD

Yeah, I tried explaining this the other day to someone here but they just don't get it.. People need to learn

1. Bad straight up team does not equal bad ATS covering team
2. Good SU team can be horrible at covering spreads..

[GGPLAYER]

Thats pretty much what i was going to say! What are the ATS records for these two teams anyways?

Lakers don't cover a lot of spreads especially double digits. Knicks might be scary bet though.

JMD

statfox has Char at 7-14 ATS and Det at 7-15. I did not take the time to see what the records would be with adding points.

[Wallco99]

Wallco.. Memphis are at +1,5 at pinnacle, why do u have them as a ML bet?

Because I don't use Pinnacle, as I've clearly stated in every update, and they were -1 when I posted.

[Wilba]

Yeah, these two teams are horrible at covering so far.. Was not referring to these two teams just in general. If whoever posted above wrote what you just wrote about their spread covering, THAT is relevant, I'm just saying that SU records are not relevant in any way to ATS covering. As I'm sure you know..

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2011-12 System to date: 26-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +26.00 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 2 (-5.81 units)

(1/30/12):
#27 Memphis (M/L) (A) - Loss
#28 Orlando (+7) (A) - Win

v1 Plays
(A) 20-8
(B) 2-5
(C) 2-2
(D) 2-0

V2 Plays
In production


Games for (1/31/12):
#24 Charlotte (+12½) @ L.A. Lakers (C) (10:35 pm EST)
#27 Denver @ Memphis (+1) (B) (8:05 pm EST)


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a zero point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change, but it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from my post. On occasion, we will have plays that go head-head. The system will grade ALL bets, regardless of opponents, how you wish to play these games is your choice.

[Aiwiz]

Big night's coming. gl everyone

[Wallco99]

Big night's coming. gl everyone

Where is you typical "system bashing" post? I almost didn't recognize you!

[Nino7]

[Nino7]

....

[Win89]

Yeah, these two teams are horrible at covering so far.. Was not referring to these two teams just in general. If whoever posted above wrote what you just wrote about their spread covering, THAT is relevant, I'm just saying that SU records are not relevant in any way to ATS covering. As I'm sure you know..

Yea sorry guys for the post it's an honest mistake I meant to post ATS as yes we all know SU means nothing... It was early and I looked at the wrong column of my stats. No need to get heated

[dlunc3]

If I ever find a free month and have absolutely nothing to do... this is a system that I would spend time backtesting.. some good thoughts here for anyone interested..

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-betting/1548879-lunts-4q-betting-system.html

[COBRA31]

It "will be alright" as long as you have only played the series for an appropriate amount of your bankroll.
Given that it is a V3 series (the weakest version out of all 3 versions) I play each V3 series for a grand total risk of 4% of my bankroll. A lost series of 4% of your bankroll really does not hurt that much. And if you're playing V3 for much more than that - you are doing it wrong! (and have no one to blame but yourself, especially if you have been burned in the past but poor BR management)

Thanks Wilba....yes I played this series soft. I have no faith in the Pistons. This is second time I have bet them on a c bet for a loss.

I will stay away from Detroit just in general for my own superstitions.

[BSUWADDY]

Cash the Grizzlies!

Is there a system where we can buy 20 pts for the Pistons? I am seriously considering just fading them the whole year. Horrible horrible horrible. I don't know a lot about the NBA so I've just been following/playing Wallco and JM the last couple of weeks (didn't get in from the beginning)--trust the system. But this one hurts. The knowledge in this thread is just amazing--thanks to all the veterans for sharing.

[COBRA31]

Nice come back win for the Grizzlies....let the Detroit recovery begin.