LTA's NBA Plays

[CarmeLO15]

Nicely done LTA !

[TC Woods]

[Gudis]

Nice work LTA! It always feels nice when the write ups come to fruition. Your hard work is always appreciated, I'm going to mash that refresh button for your thread so much this year. Keep your mind on the grind!

[tonyp0387]

Atlanta ML on Saturday shuld be a huge play ........trust me ....... i just cant see Sixers winning . I expect Atl to close higher jumping on it ASAP.

[Sixla]

perfect picks tonight LTA!! keep it up man!

[alamo]

You said not so long ago after a couple of horrible bad beats that it only meant one thing - a big streak was on the way. Prophetic words. Congrats and as always ty.

[Sol]

Well done LTA

[Love The Action]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 2/3/2012 Recap

3 - 0 = +3x

NBA 2011-2012 Season

60 - 47 = +13.85x

This is the start of the streak that we've been looking for as we are now 9 - 2 for +8.9x in profit over our last 11 plays and back at 56% through the first 107 plays of the season. I highlight that only to show the natural peaks and valleys of a conservative money management plan. You just have to grind it out day after day, put the losing days behind you and wait out the hot streaks. As long as you can tread water and manage the valleys, the peaks are where you make your money. Let's keep this peak going for as long as we can before we hit the next valley. Good luck on Saturday.

[Donkeys2012]

Good thing you laid off the lakers over. Looks like the NUGS decided they wanted to try and grind out a half court game until the last minute of the half.

[Catchn_Picks]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 2/3/2012 Recap

3 - 0 = +3x

NBA 2011-2012 Season

60 - 47 = +13.85x

This is the start of the streak that we've been looking for as we are now 9 - 2 for +8.9x in profit over our last 11 plays and back at 56% through the first 107 plays of the season. ******* that out only to highlight the natural peaks and valleys of a conservative money management plan. You just have to grind it out day after day, put the losing days behind you and wait out the hot streaks. As long as you can tread water and manage the valleys, the peaks are where you make your money. Let's keep this peak going for as long as we can before we hit the next valley. Good luck on Saturday.

[Dave88]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 2/3/2012 Recap

3 - 0 = +3x

NBA 2011-2012 Season

60 - 47 = +13.85x

This is the start of the streak that we've been looking for as we are now 9 - 2 for +8.9x in profit over our last 11 plays and back at 56% through the first 107 plays of the season. I highlight that only to show the natural peaks and valleys of a conservative money management plan. You just have to grind it out day after day, put the losing days behind you and wait out the hot streaks. As long as you can tread water and manage the valleys, the peaks are where you make your money. Let's keep this peak going for as long as we can before we hit the next valley. Good luck on Saturday.

Sounds good to me! Thanks again for the hard work you put in.

[jimmy007oc]

I missed 2 of your play today. Wish you used twitter. that case, we could follow your pick easier. But well, congrat mang!!!

[Nikigreat]

I would like to thank you LTA, tonight I missed one play to add to Boston win and Nets handicap, I checked your thread and I picked the Miami - Philadelphia under, thank you!
I will check your thread every night I can since now

[BHawksforLife]

LTA, you sir are a boss. Congrats on your winnings, and thank you for all of the work you do.

Let's keep this up!

[Rolo1984]

great calls LTA, was only able to go 2 out of your 5 picks but still up a nice %. YOu are just beating the closing number a lot shows the skills you have

[Dtown13]

LTA, I have been on the service plays page for a while now but am fairly new here. However, Gchild mentioned that he follows you one day so I thought I would take a look and I have tailed you a couple of times this week including tonight. I love your in depth analysis of the games and you really know your stuff. Congrats on the night and I will continue to tail you. I'm still trying to figure all of this out but when I figure out what the SBR points are for and how to send them I will send some your way. I have tried the betting thing several times in the past with no luck but I studied this site for a while before trying it again and I believe that I have found the correct people to tail and the correct one to fade (Lang/Quinn) and I seem to be getting the hang of it. Or at least I hope so. If you or anyone else has any information that you think might be useful to a new player feel free to send it my way. Again, thank you for your incite and congrats on the awesome evening.

[JM92]

We should've really gone with the Lakers, I know it damnit!

Still, another great sweep. Excellent as always

[Love The Action]

We should've really gone with the Lakers, I know it damnit!

Still, another great sweep. Excellent as always

Don't get greedy. Greed is the bookmakers friend and is one of the main reasons people lose in this business. Be thankful for whatever profits we earn and move onto the next play. GL

What does everyone like today?

[Mooks]

Hawks?

[mikea33]

Don't get greedy. Greed is the bookmakers friend and is one of the main reasons people lose in this business. Be thankful for whatever profits we earn and move onto the next play. GL What does everyone like today?

Whoever you like

Seriously though, after looking into the games for 20 minutes only leans are okc most leans seem sharp

[tonyp0387]

Hawks

[Pross1]

Don't get greedy. Greed is the bookmakers friend and is one of the main reasons people lose in this business. Be thankful for whatever profits we earn and move onto the next play. GL

What does everyone like today?

Great spot for ATL tonight in my opinion. They should have won @ PHI a few weeks ago but gave the game away. I don't see that happening again in ATL on a Saturday night.

[Mooks]

Any thoughts on Cleveland?

[Love The Action]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 2/4/2012

Play #1

Sixers/Hawks under (180) 1x (Locked)

I wish I could have gotten 181, but my local opened at 180.5 last night when Pinny was juicing the under 181 at -121 and moved to 180 not too long ago. My other local opened this morning at 180 as well. I am locking this up now because I do not expect this one to go back up. I could be wrong, but I think we see under money come in pushing this one to 179 and a possible close of 178 or 178.5 despite what will end being a healthy majority of all bets on the over in the 65/35 range. This game sets up similarly to yesterday, but without the explosiveness of the Heat offense. Philly and Atlanta rank 21st and 18th respectively in points in the paint and both teams depend on their spot up offense. However, both teams' defenses are two of the best defenses in the league in spot up defense. Both Philly and Atlanta rank in the top 10 of DEFF, OFloor%, 3pt% and rate, OTS%, etc. In addition, both teams like to play a half-court game predicated on ball movement which eats up the clock. Both teams are in the bottom 12 of possessions per game and PACE. I expect a slow paced game tonight, especially when you consider that Philly played last night and has a tendency to slow down the PACE on b2b with a O/U record of 2-5 with no rest at an average total of 181. The refs are Brothers, Poole and Wall, which is a rather neutral crew for this matchup. Nonetheless, both teams are top 7 in OFT/FGA and bottom 10 in FT/FGA which means that they don't cause a lot of fouls on defense or draw a lot of fouls on offense. Consequently, I don't expect more than 40 FT attempts tonight. In the last game between these teams about 12 days ago, the game stayed way under. However, both teams shot around 42% and the pace was slow at 87.2. Therefore, I don't deem this a particularly bad shooting performance that the teams should bounce back from like we expect in other matchups. Instead, I think that boxscore is indicative of these two teams' style of play and is predictive of tonight's outcome. I have this game set at 177, giving us a full three points of value. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the under for 1x.

[Mooks]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 2/4/2012

Play #1

Sixers/Hawks under (180) 1x (Locked)

I wish I could have gotten 181, but my local opened at 180.5 last night when Pinny was juicing the under 181 at -121 and moved to 180 not too long ago. My other local opened this morning at 180 as well. I am locking this up now because I do not expect this one to go back up. I could be wrong, but I think we see under money come in pushing this one to 179 and a possible close of 178 or 178.5 despite what will end being a healthy majority of all bets on the over in the 65/35 range. This game sets up similarly to yesterday, but without the explosiveness of the Heat offense. Philly and Atlanta rank 21st and 18th respectively in points in the paint and both teams depend on their spot up offense. However, both teams' defenses are two of the best defenses in the league in spot up defense. Both Philly and Atlanta rank in the top 10 of DEFF, OFloor%, 3pt% and rate, OTS%, etc. In addition, both teams like to play a half-court game predicated on ball movement which eats up the clock. Both teams are in the bottom 12 of possessions per game and PACE. I expect a slow paced game tonight, especially when you consider that Philly played last night and has a tendency to slow down the PACE on b2b with a O/U record of 2-5 with no rest at an average total of 181. The refs are Brothers, Poole and Wall, which is a rather neutral crew for this matchup. Nonetheless, both teams are top 7 in OFT/FGA and bottom 10 in FT/FGA which means that they don't cause a lot of fouls on defense or draw a lot of fouls on offense. Consequently, I don't expect more than 40 FT attempts tonight. In the last game between these teams about 12 days ago, the game stayed way under. However, both teams shot around 42% and the pace was slow at 87.2. Therefore, I don't deem this a particularly bad shooting performance that the teams should bounce back from like we expect in other matchups. Instead, I think that boxscore is indicative of these two teams' style of play and is predictive of tonight's outcome. I have this game set at 177, giving us a full three points of value. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the under for 1x.

nice call already dropped to 178.5 at 5Dimes

[Love The Action]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 2/4/2012

Play #1

Sixers/Hawks under (180) 1x (Locked)

I wish I could have gotten 181, but my local opened at 180.5 last night when Pinny was juicing the under 181 at -121 and moved to 180 not too long ago. My other local opened this morning at 180 as well. I am locking this up now because I do not expect this one to go back up. I could be wrong, but I think we see under money come in pushing this one to 179 and a possible close of 178 or 178.5 despite what will end being a healthy majority of all bets on the over in the 65/35 range. This game sets up similarly to yesterday, but without the explosiveness of the Heat offense. Philly and Atlanta rank 21st and 18th respectively in points in the paint and both teams depend on their spot up offense. However, both teams' defenses are two of the best defenses in the league in spot up defense. Both Philly and Atlanta rank in the top 10 of DEFF, OFloor%, 3pt% and rate, OTS%, etc. In addition, both teams like to play a half-court game predicated on ball movement which eats up the clock. Both teams are in the bottom 12 of possessions per game and PACE. I expect a slow paced game tonight, especially when you consider that Philly played last night and has a tendency to slow down the PACE on b2b with a O/U record of 2-5 with no rest at an average total of 181. The refs are Brothers, Poole and Wall, which is a rather neutral crew for this matchup. Nonetheless, both teams are top 7 in OFT/FGA and bottom 10 in FT/FGA which means that they don't cause a lot of fouls on defense or draw a lot of fouls on offense. Consequently, I don't expect more than 40 FT attempts tonight. In the last game between these teams about 12 days ago, the game stayed way under. However, both teams shot around 42% and the pace was slow at 87.2. Therefore, I don't deem this a particularly bad shooting performance that the teams should bounce back from like we expect in other matchups. Instead, I think that boxscore is indicative of these two teams' style of play and is predictive of tonight's outcome. I have this game set at 177, giving us a full three points of value. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the under for 1x.

How's that for an accurate prediction. Exactly 10 minutes after I post my writeup predicting steam that would drop this total to the 178.5 range, that steam actually hits. That's when you know you are hot and really understanding the market well. Now, let's just hope it closes in that same range or lower and the play hits.

[BigBurk]

That's when you know you are hot and really understanding the market well.

Even though you are spot on, this comment makes you sound very cocky dude.

[Love The Action]

Even though you are spot on, this comment makes you sound very cocky dude.

Not cocky, but confident. I know I can lose every game today. However, I am very confident in my ability to read the market right now.

I didn't say "I'm the best ever" or "I'm the best capper" or "I'm this or I'm that." All I said was that you know you are hot when you are reading the market well. That is simply an observation based on my experience in this business.

While I regret if you interpreted that comment as cocky, that is not how it was intended nor how I expect most other people will interpret it. If anything, I think you are a little off base with your comment.

But whatever....no biggie. Good luck today Burk, hope you sweep your card.

[h23jdmlude]

LTA - Can you recommend minimum number that you would lock this under in at?

[BubbleTeaJelly]

I got a mancrush

[BigBurk]

Not cocky, but confident. I know I can lose every game today. However, I am very confident in my ability to read the market right now.

I didn't say "I'm the best ever" or "I'm the best capper" or "I'm this or I'm that." All I said was that you know you are hot when you are reading the market well. That is simply an observation based on my experience in this business.

While I regret if you interpreted that comment as cocky, that is not how it was intended nor how I expect most other people will interpret it. If anything, I think you are a little off base with your comment.

But whatever....no biggie. Good luck today Burk, hope you sweep your card.

Just kidding dude. Really appreciate your work and insight as always.

[Bbobbi]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 2/4/2012

Play #1

Sixers/Hawks under (180) 1x (Locked)

I wish I could have gotten 181, but my local opened at 180.5 last night when Pinny was juicing the under 181 at -121 and moved to 180 not too long ago. My other local opened this morning at 180 as well. I am locking this up now because I do not expect this one to go back up. I could be wrong, but I think we see under money come in pushing this one to 179 and a possible close of 178 or 178.5 despite what will end being a healthy majority of all bets on the over in the 65/35 range. This game sets up similarly to yesterday, but without the explosiveness of the Heat offense. Philly and Atlanta rank 21st and 18th respectively in points in the paint and both teams depend on their spot up offense. However, both teams' defenses are two of the best defenses in the league in spot up defense. Both Philly and Atlanta rank in the top 10 of DEFF, OFloor%, 3pt% and rate, OTS%, etc. In addition, both teams like to play a half-court game predicated on ball movement which eats up the clock. Both teams are in the bottom 12 of possessions per game and PACE. I expect a slow paced game tonight, especially when you consider that Philly played last night and has a tendency to slow down the PACE on b2b with a O/U record of 2-5 with no rest at an average total of 181. The refs are Brothers, Poole and Wall, which is a rather neutral crew for this matchup. Nonetheless, both teams are top 7 in OFT/FGA and bottom 10 in FT/FGA which means that they don't cause a lot of fouls on defense or draw a lot of fouls on offense. Consequently, I don't expect more than 40 FT attempts tonight. In the last game between these teams about 12 days ago, the game stayed way under. However, both teams shot around 42% and the pace was slow at 87.2. Therefore, I don't deem this a particularly bad shooting performance that the teams should bounce back from like we expect in other matchups. Instead, I think that boxscore is indicative of these two teams' style of play and is predictive of tonight's outcome. I have this game set at 177, giving us a full three points of value. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the under for 1x.

LTA - Can you recommend minimum number that you would lock this under in at?

went back up to 179 on 5dimes

[EricZ116]

Tailing at 179, thanks man great run lately - bound to happen after those awful beats.

[Love The Action]

Does Deng play tonight?

[Donnie Brasco]

LTA - Can you recommend minimum number that you would lock this under in at?

Read his write up. He always says what he has the total/line set at, and will occasionally give a highest or lowest point that he feels is safe. Please be cautious in playing lines other than his. Best of luck!