SK: NBA Playoffs 2010

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  • suicidekings
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-23-09
    • 9962

    #176
    hedged out of my Jazz +6 with DEN -11.5 (x1.5) (+115) in the last break... Seems like it'll work out fine, but bad practice to leave that big middle...
    Comment
    • suicidekings
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-23-09
      • 9962

      #177
      Originally posted by suicidekings
      4/28

      Jazz ML (+284) x1.5
      Jazz +6 (-108) x1.5
      Jazz ML (+387) x0.5
      DEN -11.5 (+115) x1.5
      1-3 (-1.9u)
      4/28: 1-7 (-8.55u)
      Playoffs: 58-69-4 (+23.37u)
      Comment
      • ten_lost_monkeys
        SBR High Roller
        • 03-21-10
        • 229

        #178
        do you bet soccer?
        Comment
        • suicidekings
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 03-23-09
          • 9962

          #179
          Originally posted by suicidekings

          SAN 4-1 win: (+1241) x0.3 + SAN ML (+205) x2.38
          SAN 4-2 win: (+463) x2
          SAN 4-3 win: (+629) x1.55


          If San Antonio wins the series, I net 5.04u profit from the above wagers

          GM5: SAN +5.5 (-111) x3
          GM5: SAN ML (+210) x2

          As I said before, chasing the Spurs on Thursday, and expecting them to close it out. My modified future above is going to pay out 5.04u in net profit if the Spurs win the series. I took them and lost in Game 5 for an additional 5.33u. In Game 6, I'm chasing those losses and going for an additional 5u in profit.

          Spurs -3.5 (-108) x6.33
          Spurs ML (-166) x4

          _________________________________

          Spurs win gm6 and cover: 10.04u profit
          Spurs win gm6 but don't cover: 2.2u profit
          Comment
          • suicidekings
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-23-09
            • 9962

            #180
            PHX ML (+109) x3

            Nothing tricky about this play. The Suns will not hold back tonight with the Spurs winning their series. They're going to come to play and finish the Blazers off.
            Comment
            • suicidekings
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 03-23-09
              • 9962

              #181
              Originally posted by suicidekings
              SAN 4-1 win: (+1241) x0.3 + SAN ML (+205) x2.38
              SAN 4-2 win: (+463) x2
              SAN 4-3 win: (+629) x1.55
              If San Antonio wins the series, I net 5.04u profit from the above set of wagers
              Originally posted by suicidekings

              Spurs -3.5 (-108) x6.33
              Spurs ML (-166) x4
              4/29 Wagers: 2-0 (+10.33u)
              Futures: 1-2 (+5.04u)
              Overall: 3-2 (+15.37u)
              Comment
              • williams22
                Restricted User
                • 09-19-08
                • 6134

                #182
                GL SK, let's get this Phoenix cash
                Comment
                • Goat Milk
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 03-24-10
                  • 25850

                  #183
                  Originally posted by suicidekings
                  PHX ML (+109) x3

                  Nothing tricky about this play. The Suns will not hold back tonight with the Spurs winning their series. They're going to come to play and finish the Blazers off.
                  Good luck I was really considering this play today. The great start for J rich is an excellent sign for you, he is the gage for this team. When he scores 25+ the suns can't be stopped. Just hard to bet against Mcmillan here so I passed.

                  But hey, if you lose this, double/tripple up on Suns Game 7.

                  I'm kinda surprised you took the Suns in this game considering you had those Port series bets lol
                  Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                  Comment
                  • suicidekings
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 03-23-09
                    • 9962

                    #184
                    Originally posted by Goat Milk

                    Good luck I was really considering this play today. The great start for J rich is an excellent sign for you, he is the gage for this team. When he scores 25+ the suns can't be stopped. Just hard to bet against Mcmillan here so I passed.

                    But hey, if you lose this, double/tripple up on Suns Game 7.

                    I'm kinda surprised you took the Suns in this game considering you had those Port series bets lol
                    Those were always value bets for me. I could always make up that one unit with a small bet on the Suns at some point, but having a +560 ticket in your back pocket is a great position to be in. The Suns have really impressed me in this series, and I never thought I'd hear the phrase "the Blazers are being suffocated by the Suns defense"...
                    Comment
                    • suicidekings
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 03-23-09
                      • 9962

                      #185
                      Portland will lead (or be close) at the half, but the Suns will put this series away in the 3Q. Suns 2H is going to be BIG.
                      Comment
                      • Goat Milk
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 03-24-10
                        • 25850

                        #186
                        Yeah bro, most of the top cappers on here and Vegas is under the impression that PHX doesn't play defense. They're very misinformed. The suns are still an offensive team, but this is not the same suns team as in years past.
                        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                        Comment
                        • suicidekings
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 03-23-09
                          • 9962

                          #187
                          Originally posted by Goat Milk
                          Yeah bro, most of the top cappers on here and Vegas is under the impression that PHX doesn't play defense. They're very misinformed. The suns are still an offensive team, but this is not the same suns team as in years past.
                          Or even 6 weeks ago
                          Comment
                          • williams22
                            Restricted User
                            • 09-19-08
                            • 6134

                            #188
                            +160 enough to entice a 2H ML bet?
                            Comment
                            • suicidekings
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 03-23-09
                              • 9962

                              #189
                              PHX 2H ML (+194) x1

                              I just have a feeling...
                              Comment
                              • suicidekings
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 03-23-09
                                • 9962

                                #190
                                Originally posted by suicidekings

                                PHX ML (+109) x3
                                PHX 2H ML (+194) x1

                                POR wins series 4-3 (+560) x1
                                1-2 (+1.27u)

                                4/29: 4-4 (+16.64u)
                                Playoffs: 62-72-4 (+40.01u)
                                Comment
                                • suicidekings
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 03-23-09
                                  • 9962

                                  #191
                                  Originally posted by suicidekings
                                  Pending Future

                                  MIL (series) (+760) x1
                                  Dunno what to do with this... This is an ideal spot to take the profit and walk away. I initially thought of 2 options:

                                  ATL (series +113) x4.04u for 3.56u profit
                                  PARLAY (+162): ATL (series) / Cavs (series) x3.28u for 4.3u profit

                                  The ATL hedge is obviously 100% assured, but I have to think that the Cavs series is only going to end one way...

                                  Then I decided to make this a LOT more fun and see what happens. Instead of the above options, I made a 3 way hedge:

                                  1) Original Bet: Bucks (series +760) 1u to win 3.86u
                                  2) Atlanta Hawks (series +113) 2.77u risked to win 1u
                                  3) PARLAY: Hawks (series) / Thunder -1.5 / Jazz -4.5 / Cavs (series) / Penguins (series) 1.05u risked to win 7.6u

                                  But since (2) & (3) have ATL in common, if (3) hits I'll actually net 13.3u. Worst case scenario, I'm up 1u on the whole transaction. I did play the Bucks series price for fun after all...
                                  Comment
                                  • SparJMU
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-18-10
                                    • 1648

                                    #192
                                    SK, as soon as the lines came out I put $1,050 to win $500 on the Jazz ML, knowing the line would move and I could hedge if I got nervous. Only problem is as I get closer to game time I am only getting more confident and I think I am going to let it ride. Any chance Denver wins?
                                    Comment
                                    • suicidekings
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 03-23-09
                                      • 9962

                                      #193
                                      Originally posted by SparJMU
                                      SK, as soon as the lines came out I put $1,050 to win $500 on the Jazz ML, knowing the line would move and I could hedge if I got nervous. Only problem is as I get closer to game time I am only getting more confident and I think I am going to let it ride. Any chance Denver wins?
                                      Obviously too late of a reply, but I was leaning heavily on the Jazz & Thunder to win tonight. However, instead of playing anything I decided to take the night off from wagers. Can't wait for Game 7 in LA
                                      Comment
                                      • suicidekings
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 03-23-09
                                        • 9962

                                        #194
                                        Originally posted by suicidekings

                                        Obviously too late of a reply, but I was leaning heavily on the Jazz & Thunder to win tonight. However, instead of playing anything I decided to take the night off from wagers. Can't wait for Game 7 in LA
                                        Scratch that.

                                        LIVE: OKC +2.5 (-108) x1

                                        Added at 65-63 Lakers in 3Q.
                                        Comment
                                        • suicidekings
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 03-23-09
                                          • 9962

                                          #195
                                          Originally posted by suicidekings
                                          LIVE: OKC +2.5 (-108) x1
                                          4/30: 1-0 (+1u)
                                          Playoffs: 63-72-4 (+41.01u)
                                          Comment
                                          • suicidekings
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 03-23-09
                                            • 9962

                                            #196
                                            5/3 Booked Plays

                                            PHX -4 (-110) x3
                                            SAN/PHX O213.5 (-105) x2


                                            I really like the feel of backing the home team in games 1-4 in this series.
                                            Comment
                                            • SparJMU
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-18-10
                                              • 1648

                                              #197
                                              I loved that Jazz game last night, and luckily did not hedge it down.
                                              Comment
                                              • SparJMU
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-18-10
                                                • 1648

                                                #198
                                                The Suns-Spurs is such an interesting matchup. Such contradicting styles. I agree home court advantage will be huge.
                                                Comment
                                                • suicidekings
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 03-23-09
                                                  • 9962

                                                  #199
                                                  LIVE: CLE ML (-101) x1.5 (Score 46-38 Celtics)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • shoebox
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 11-26-08
                                                    • 5710

                                                    #200
                                                    Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                    LIVE: CLE ML (-101) x1.5 (Score 46-38 Celtics)

                                                    lets get it, looks solid!

                                                    got em at +105
                                                    Comment
                                                    • suicidekings
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 03-23-09
                                                      • 9962

                                                      #201
                                                      Originally posted by shoebox
                                                      lets get it, looks solid!

                                                      got em at +105
                                                      Should have played it for more... That game had Cavs 2H smackdown written all over it.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • suicidekings
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 03-23-09
                                                        • 9962

                                                        #202
                                                        Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                        LIVE: CLE ML (-101) x1.5 (Score 46-38 Celtics)
                                                        5/1: 1-0 (+1.5u)
                                                        Playoffs: 64-72-4 (+42.51u)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SparJMU
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-18-10
                                                          • 1648

                                                          #203
                                                          How do you feel about this Jazz series? I feel like these two teams are going to be very evenly matched.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • suicidekings
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 03-23-09
                                                            • 9962

                                                            #204
                                                            Added in 1Q at 3:03, 28-17 Lakers

                                                            LIVE: Jazz +11.5 (-117) x2
                                                            Comment
                                                            • suicidekings
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 03-23-09
                                                              • 9962

                                                              #205
                                                              Originally posted by SparJMU
                                                              How do you feel about this Jazz series? I feel like these two teams are going to be very evenly matched.
                                                              The Jazz have a ton of trouble with tall teams like the Lakers normally. I like them to cover the +11.5 I just played, as I feel they will adjust to compensate for their past problems dealing with the Lakers height. Hoever, just watching the game so far, they're not even competing for the rebounds. When the Lakers shooting starts to cool off from the current 79%, then we'll see what happens.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • suicidekings
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 03-23-09
                                                                • 9962

                                                                #206
                                                                Probably a waste, but:

                                                                LIVE: Jazz ML (+385) x0.5 (82-81 Lakers)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • suicidekings
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 03-23-09
                                                                  • 9962

                                                                  #207
                                                                  Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                  Added in 1Q at 3:03, 28-17 Lakers

                                                                  LIVE: Jazz +11.5 (-117) x2
                                                                  LIVE: Jazz ML (+385) x0.5
                                                                  1-1 (+1.5u)
                                                                  Playoffs: 65-73-4 (+44.01u)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • suicidekings
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 03-23-09
                                                                    • 9962

                                                                    #208
                                                                    Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                    5/3 Booked Plays

                                                                    PHX -4 (-110) x3
                                                                    SAN/PHX O213.5 (-105) x2
                                                                    PHX (series) (-130) x5

                                                                    I'm not saying Phoenix definitely wins this series, but this is the side that the value is on, with Phoenix having the first two games at home, and still not really getting respect from the public...

                                                                    Hoping for a big Suns win in Game 1.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Goat Milk
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 03-24-10
                                                                      • 25850

                                                                      #209
                                                                      I'm with you on the Suns in game 1. I'm probably going 3x on it to.
                                                                      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • suicidekings
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 03-23-09
                                                                        • 9962

                                                                        #210
                                                                        Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                        5/3 Booked Plays

                                                                        PHX -4 (-110) x3
                                                                        SAN/PHX O213.5 203.5 (-105) x2


                                                                        I really like the feel of backing the home team in games 1-4 in this series.
                                                                        Corrected line as shown...
                                                                        Comment
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