SK: NBA Playoffs 2010

[suicidekings]

4/26 Booked Plays

MIL +2.5 (-113) x2
MIL ML (+120) x1
MIL (series) (+760) x1

I feel there's a great chance that the Bucks win tonight and go back to Atlanta tied 2-2. If that happens, the ATL series price is going to drop.

[HoulihansTX]

4/26 Booked Plays MIL +2.5 (-113) x2 MIL ML (+120) x1 MIL (series) (+760) x1 I feel there's a great chance that the Bucks win tonight and go back to Atlanta tied 2-2. If that happens, the ATL series price is going to drop.

Totally agree

[suicidekings]

I like the Blazers to tough it out and win this series, but I missed the +750 series price, so...

POR to win series 4-2 (+560) x1u
POR to win series 4-3 (+530) x1.05u

Same concept as the MIL series bet. If either wins, I net 4.55u. If PHX wins game 5, I'm still in a position to arb out.

[Goat Milk]

I think Portland winning in 7 is more likely; i still like the suns in 7 because they'll close it out on their home floor; the suns are not getting any respect right now, this isn't the same suns team like its been in the past; Good luck though the Portland in 7 is much more solid IMO or PHX in 7

[suicidekings]

I think Portland winning in 7 is more likely; i still like the suns in 7 because they'll close it out on their home floor; the suns are not getting any respect right now, this isn't the same suns team like its been in the past; Good luck though the Portland in 7 is much more solid IMO or PHX in 7

True. But on a 560/530 payout, I'll gladly sacrifice that one unit in potential profit to guarantee I'm covered if the Blazers surprise everyone and take the next 2 games. There's such huge value in these exact series results...

[nmr123321]

good luck

[sweetjones55]

Good luck on your plays tonight.

[suicidekings]

ORL ML (-190) x2

[suicidekings]

4/26 Booked Plays

MIL +2.5 (-113) x2
MIL ML (+120) x1
MIL (series) (+760) x1

Added Live @ 5:10 in the 3Q. Going for the middle...

ATL +6 (-110) x0.5

[suicidekings]

4/26 Booked Plays

MIL ML (+120) x1

Added at end of 3Q:

ATL ML (+525) x0.35u

Gotta respect the Hawks defense and their ability to get back into the game late... Between the two MLs, guaranteed profit of 0.85u, plus return from spreads

[suicidekings]

4/26 Early Games

MIL +2.5 (-113) x2
ATL +6 (-110) x0.5
MIL ML (+120) x1
ATL ML (+525) x0.35
ORL ML (-190) x2

3-2 (+4.3u)

[suicidekings]

Added Live: (@4:22 in 1Q, 23-13 POR)

PHX -2 (-108) x2

[suicidekings]

POR to win series 4-2 (+560) x1u

LIVE: PHX -2 (-108) x2

Suns 2H -1 (-108) x1.2u

Suns aren't likely to lose this game at home, which will kill the above POR future. I can't see the Blazers losing Game 6 in Portland either way, so I'm playing this as (Suns-2 + Suns 1H-1) = POR 4-2 series win. Either one will return 2.2u in profit. If the Blazers come back to make it a close game, I'll still have the option of adding more on the PHX ML (or a spread smaller than what was available live at the end of the 1H) to compensate for the lost 2H bet.

[Van G]

suns 2h -1 (-108) x1.2u

suns aren't likely to lose this game at home, which will kill the above por future. I can't see the blazers losing game 6 in portland either way, so i'm playing this as (suns-2 + suns 1h-1) = por 4-2 series win. Either one will return 2.2u in profit. If the blazers come back to make it a close game, i'll still have the option of adding more on the phx ml (or a spread smaller than what was available live at the end of the 1h) to compensate for the lost 2h bet.

sounds like a sound strategy.....keep us posted as what plays you make in the 2nd half

[suicidekings]

POR-PHX

PHX -2 (-108) x2
Suns 2H -1 (-108) x1.2u
POR to win series 4-2 (+560) x1u

2-1 (+2.2u)

[suicidekings]

4/26: 5-3 (+6.5u)
Playoffs: 57-59-4 (+38.24u)

[shari91]

4/26: 5-3 (+6.5u) Playoffs: 57-59-4 (+38.24u)

Great job!!

Seems like you and I tend to be on a lot of the same plays. Too bad Portland didn't pull it off tonight but I'm happy to see you were on the Magic and Bucks. Best of luck tomorrow!!

[suicidekings]

Great job!!

Seems like you and I tend to be on a lot of the same plays. Too bad Portland didn't pull it off tonight but I'm happy to see you were on the Magic and Bucks. Best of luck tomorrow!!

Thanks Shari

Now that we're a few games into the playoffs, I'm starting to get a great feeling about the next month. Gotta love the NBA playoffs for making money.

Let's keep it rolling tomorrow

[suicidekings]

SAN 4-1 win (+1241): 0.3u to win 3.72u = Net win of 0.17u
SAN 4-2 win (+463): 2u to win 9.24u = Net win of 7.4u
SAN 4-3 win (+629): 1.55u to win 9.7u = Net win of 7.4u
Mavs win series: Net loss of 3.85u

This is looking great now. One more step to add 2.38u @ +205 on the Spurs ML for game 5 and then a Spurs win in any of the next three games will return a net profit of 5.04u.

I'm very confident in a Spurs series win (historically, only 4.2% of teams come back from a 3-1 series deficit in the NBA, with 60% of them losing Game 5 & 20% losing in Game 6), so in addition to the profits from this, I'm considering betting the Spurs big in Game 5, and then chasing into Game 6 if they lose on Tuesday.
__________________________

SAN 4-1 win: (+1241) x0.3 + SAN ML (+205) x2.38
SAN 4-2 win: (+463) x2
SAN 4-3 win: (+629) x1.55

Added wager in blue.

[SparJMU]

I saw all that action you put on Portland to win the series. So I assume you think Portland is a lock to win game 6 at home?

[suicidekings]

I saw all that action you put on Portland to win the series. So I assume you think Portland is a lock to win game 6 at home?

I just saw value in the POR series prices so I bet them to establish position at a good price, just in case Portland was able to win game 5. I then had the flexibility to hedge out of that Portland bet by playing PHX for the game and 2H after I had seen how the lines closed and watched the first few part of the game, netting 2.2u from the exchange.

I expect Portland to play a lot better in game 6 and likely win it, but I haven't really put much thought into that game yet. Honestly, the Suns have really impressed me in this series with their ability to play defense, albeit against one of the weaker offenses still playing.

[million2one]

4/26 Booked Plays MIL +2.5 (-113) x2 MIL ML (+120) x1 MIL (series) (+760) x1 I feel there's a great chance that the Bucks win tonight and go back to Atlanta tied 2-2. If that happens, the ATL series price is going to drop.

Great Call right here, congrats, wish I would have tailed.

[suicidekings]

SAN 4-1 win: (+1241) x0.3 + SAN ML (+205) x2.38
SAN 4-2 win: (+463) x2
SAN 4-3 win: (+629) x1.55

If San Antonio wins the series, I net 5.04u profit from the above wagers

I've decided to take San Antonio for the win tonight beyond what I already have above. If I lose tonight, I'll be chasing in Game 6.

SAN +5.5 (-111) x3
SAN ML (+210) x2

5.33u risked to win 7.2u (or +1u if SAN only covers)

[suicidekings]

CHI ML (+1275) x1

Just for fun, and likely to hedge out later. There's no way that the Cavs will be such huge faves for the entire game's worth of live betting.

[suicidekings]

My big interest is on San Antonio tonight, but there's three other dogs that I really like today/tomorrow. I feel like all three are at juicier prices than they should be, so time for a fun little parlay.

PARLAY: MIA ML (+305) / OKC (+260) / UTA (+285)
0.25u to win 13.78u

Everyone has given up on the Heat, but I have to think that the team will come to play tonight. They might get rolled badly, but no team wants to go out quietly in the first round. Especially a competitor like Dwayne Wade. I actually think that OKC has a legitimate chance to keep it close until the end and steal a win in LA. They have all the momentum after tying the series at home and I think this will be an intense game. As for Utah, I will be on them heavily tomorrow and chasing into Game 6 if necessary.

Nothing major. Just for fun here...

[suicidekings]

4/27

SAN +5.5 (-111) x3
SAN ML (+210) x2
CHI ML (+1275) x1

0-3 (-6.33u)
Playoffs: 57-62-4 (+31.91u)

[suicidekings]

4/28 (Added Live at end of 1Q)

Hawks -7.5 (-110) x2

[suicidekings]

Added Live @ 2:28 in the 2Q, Tied 38-38

Hawks -6.5 (-110) x2

[suicidekings]

Timeout at 1:12 in 4Q

ATL ML (+310) x1

Come on Hawks... Bail my ass out...

[suicidekings]

11 seconds left... Hawks down 2

ATL ML (+700) x0.25

If they pull this off I can just about break even on the game..

[suicidekings]

MIL-ATL

0-4 (-6.65u)... wow

[suicidekings]

Added Live (first timeout):

Jazz ML (+284) x1.5

[suicidekings]

Jazz +6 (-108) x1.5

[Goat Milk]

Jazz +6 (-108) x1.5

GL I would be very careful with the jazz bro they're shooting excellent right now but getting beat to every lose ball and the Nugs are really going to try to get the ball outa Derrons hands early.

You may be able to get a much better spread on the jazz midway through the third, maybe a +12 or so; patience with live betting is so importnat

[suicidekings]

Added at end of 3Q:

Jazz ML (+387) x0.5