SK: NBA Playoffs 2010

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  • suicidekings
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-23-09
    • 9962

    #141
    4/26 Booked Plays

    MIL +2.5 (-113) x2
    MIL ML (+120) x1
    MIL (series) (+760) x1


    I feel there's a great chance that the Bucks win tonight and go back to Atlanta tied 2-2. If that happens, the ATL series price is going to drop.
    Comment
    • HoulihansTX
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 02-12-09
      • 30566

      #142
      Originally posted by suicidekings
      4/26 Booked Plays MIL +2.5 (-113) x2 MIL ML (+120) x1 MIL (series) (+760) x1 I feel there's a great chance that the Bucks win tonight and go back to Atlanta tied 2-2. If that happens, the ATL series price is going to drop.
      Totally agree
      Comment
      • suicidekings
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-23-09
        • 9962

        #143
        I like the Blazers to tough it out and win this series, but I missed the +750 series price, so...

        POR to win series 4-2 (+560) x1u
        POR to win series 4-3 (+530) x1.05u


        Same concept as the MIL series bet. If either wins, I net 4.55u. If PHX wins game 5, I'm still in a position to arb out.
        Comment
        • Goat Milk
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 03-24-10
          • 25850

          #144
          I think Portland winning in 7 is more likely; i still like the suns in 7 because they'll close it out on their home floor; the suns are not getting any respect right now, this isn't the same suns team like its been in the past; Good luck though the Portland in 7 is much more solid IMO or PHX in 7
          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
          Comment
          • suicidekings
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-23-09
            • 9962

            #145
            Originally posted by Goat Milk
            I think Portland winning in 7 is more likely; i still like the suns in 7 because they'll close it out on their home floor; the suns are not getting any respect right now, this isn't the same suns team like its been in the past; Good luck though the Portland in 7 is much more solid IMO or PHX in 7
            True. But on a 560/530 payout, I'll gladly sacrifice that one unit in potential profit to guarantee I'm covered if the Blazers surprise everyone and take the next 2 games. There's such huge value in these exact series results...
            Comment
            • nmr123321
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-06-10
              • 609

              #146
              good luck
              Comment
              • sweetjones55
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-07-09
                • 5257

                #147
                Good luck on your plays tonight.
                Scared money don't make money

                182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                Comment
                • suicidekings
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 03-23-09
                  • 9962

                  #148
                  ORL ML (-190) x2
                  Comment
                  • suicidekings
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 03-23-09
                    • 9962

                    #149
                    Originally posted by suicidekings
                    4/26 Booked Plays

                    MIL +2.5 (-113) x2
                    MIL ML (+120) x1
                    MIL (series) (+760) x1

                    Added Live @ 5:10 in the 3Q. Going for the middle...

                    ATL +6 (-110) x0.5
                    Comment
                    • suicidekings
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 03-23-09
                      • 9962

                      #150
                      Originally posted by suicidekings
                      4/26 Booked Plays

                      MIL ML (+120) x1
                      Added at end of 3Q:

                      ATL ML (+525) x0.35u

                      Gotta respect the Hawks defense and their ability to get back into the game late... Between the two MLs, guaranteed profit of 0.85u, plus return from spreads
                      Comment
                      • suicidekings
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 03-23-09
                        • 9962

                        #151
                        Originally posted by suicidekings
                        4/26 Early Games

                        MIL +2.5 (-113) x2
                        ATL +6 (-110) x0.5
                        MIL ML (+120) x1
                        ATL ML (+525) x0.35
                        ORL ML (-190) x2

                        3-2 (+4.3u)
                        Comment
                        • suicidekings
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 03-23-09
                          • 9962

                          #152
                          Added Live: (@4:22 in 1Q, 23-13 POR)

                          PHX -2 (-108) x2
                          Comment
                          • suicidekings
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 03-23-09
                            • 9962

                            #153
                            Originally posted by suicidekings
                            POR to win series 4-2 (+560) x1u
                            Originally posted by suicidekings
                            LIVE: PHX -2 (-108) x2

                            Suns 2H -1 (-108) x1.2u

                            Suns aren't likely to lose this game at home, which will kill the above POR future. I can't see the Blazers losing Game 6 in Portland either way, so I'm playing this as (Suns-2 + Suns 1H-1) = POR 4-2 series win. Either one will return 2.2u in profit. If the Blazers come back to make it a close game, I'll still have the option of adding more on the PHX ML (or a spread smaller than what was available live at the end of the 1H) to compensate for the lost 2H bet.
                            Comment
                            • Van G
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 03-30-10
                              • 261

                              #154
                              Originally posted by suicidekings
                              suns 2h -1 (-108) x1.2u

                              suns aren't likely to lose this game at home, which will kill the above por future. I can't see the blazers losing game 6 in portland either way, so i'm playing this as (suns-2 + suns 1h-1) = por 4-2 series win. Either one will return 2.2u in profit. If the blazers come back to make it a close game, i'll still have the option of adding more on the phx ml (or a spread smaller than what was available live at the end of the 1h) to compensate for the lost 2h bet.



                              sounds like a sound strategy.....keep us posted as what plays you make in the 2nd half
                              Comment
                              • suicidekings
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 03-23-09
                                • 9962

                                #155
                                Originally posted by suicidekings

                                POR-PHX

                                PHX -2 (-108) x2
                                Suns 2H -1 (-108) x1.2u

                                POR to win series 4-2 (+560) x1u
                                2-1 (+2.2u)
                                Comment
                                • suicidekings
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 03-23-09
                                  • 9962

                                  #156
                                  4/26: 5-3 (+6.5u)
                                  Playoffs: 57-59-4 (+38.24u)
                                  Comment
                                  • shari91
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 02-23-10
                                    • 32661

                                    #157
                                    Originally posted by suicidekings
                                    4/26: 5-3 (+6.5u) Playoffs: 57-59-4 (+38.24u)
                                    Great job!!

                                    Seems like you and I tend to be on a lot of the same plays. Too bad Portland didn't pull it off tonight but I'm happy to see you were on the Magic and Bucks. Best of luck tomorrow!!
                                    Comment
                                    • suicidekings
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 03-23-09
                                      • 9962

                                      #158
                                      Originally posted by shari91

                                      Great job!!

                                      Seems like you and I tend to be on a lot of the same plays. Too bad Portland didn't pull it off tonight but I'm happy to see you were on the Magic and Bucks. Best of luck tomorrow!!
                                      Thanks Shari

                                      Now that we're a few games into the playoffs, I'm starting to get a great feeling about the next month. Gotta love the NBA playoffs for making money.

                                      Let's keep it rolling tomorrow
                                      Comment
                                      • suicidekings
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 03-23-09
                                        • 9962

                                        #159
                                        Originally posted by suicidekings
                                        SAN 4-1 win (+1241): 0.3u to win 3.72u = Net win of 0.17u
                                        SAN 4-2 win (+463): 2u to win 9.24u = Net win of 7.4u
                                        SAN 4-3 win (+629): 1.55u to win 9.7u = Net win of 7.4u

                                        Mavs win series: Net loss of 3.85u
                                        This is looking great now. One more step to add 2.38u @ +205 on the Spurs ML for game 5 and then a Spurs win in any of the next three games will return a net profit of 5.04u.

                                        I'm very confident in a Spurs series win (historically, only 4.2% of teams come back from a 3-1 series deficit in the NBA, with 60% of them losing Game 5 & 20% losing in Game 6), so in addition to the profits from this, I'm considering betting the Spurs big in Game 5, and then chasing into Game 6 if they lose on Tuesday.
                                        __________________________

                                        SAN 4-1 win: (+1241) x0.3 + SAN ML (+205) x2.38
                                        SAN 4-2 win: (+463) x2
                                        SAN 4-3 win: (+629) x1.55


                                        Added wager in blue.
                                        Comment
                                        • SparJMU
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-18-10
                                          • 1648

                                          #160
                                          I saw all that action you put on Portland to win the series. So I assume you think Portland is a lock to win game 6 at home?
                                          Comment
                                          • suicidekings
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 03-23-09
                                            • 9962

                                            #161
                                            Originally posted by SparJMU
                                            I saw all that action you put on Portland to win the series. So I assume you think Portland is a lock to win game 6 at home?
                                            I just saw value in the POR series prices so I bet them to establish position at a good price, just in case Portland was able to win game 5. I then had the flexibility to hedge out of that Portland bet by playing PHX for the game and 2H after I had seen how the lines closed and watched the first few part of the game, netting 2.2u from the exchange.

                                            I expect Portland to play a lot better in game 6 and likely win it, but I haven't really put much thought into that game yet. Honestly, the Suns have really impressed me in this series with their ability to play defense, albeit against one of the weaker offenses still playing.
                                            Comment
                                            • million2one
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-19-09
                                              • 1290

                                              #162
                                              Originally posted by suicidekings
                                              4/26 Booked Plays MIL +2.5 (-113) x2 MIL ML (+120) x1 MIL (series) (+760) x1 I feel there's a great chance that the Bucks win tonight and go back to Atlanta tied 2-2. If that happens, the ATL series price is going to drop.
                                              Great Call right here, congrats, wish I would have tailed.
                                              Comment
                                              • suicidekings
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 03-23-09
                                                • 9962

                                                #163
                                                Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                SAN 4-1 win: (+1241) x0.3 + SAN ML (+205) x2.38
                                                SAN 4-2 win: (+463) x2
                                                SAN 4-3 win: (+629) x1.55


                                                If San Antonio wins the series, I net 5.04u profit from the above wagers
                                                I've decided to take San Antonio for the win tonight beyond what I already have above. If I lose tonight, I'll be chasing in Game 6.

                                                SAN +5.5 (-111) x3
                                                SAN ML (+210) x2

                                                5.33u risked to win 7.2u (or +1u if SAN only covers)
                                                Comment
                                                • suicidekings
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 03-23-09
                                                  • 9962

                                                  #164
                                                  CHI ML (+1275) x1

                                                  Just for fun, and likely to hedge out later. There's no way that the Cavs will be such huge faves for the entire game's worth of live betting.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • suicidekings
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 03-23-09
                                                    • 9962

                                                    #165
                                                    My big interest is on San Antonio tonight, but there's three other dogs that I really like today/tomorrow. I feel like all three are at juicier prices than they should be, so time for a fun little parlay.

                                                    PARLAY: MIA ML (+305) / OKC (+260) / UTA (+285)
                                                    0.25u to win 13.78u


                                                    Everyone has given up on the Heat, but I have to think that the team will come to play tonight. They might get rolled badly, but no team wants to go out quietly in the first round. Especially a competitor like Dwayne Wade. I actually think that OKC has a legitimate chance to keep it close until the end and steal a win in LA. They have all the momentum after tying the series at home and I think this will be an intense game. As for Utah, I will be on them heavily tomorrow and chasing into Game 6 if necessary.

                                                    Nothing major. Just for fun here...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • suicidekings
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 03-23-09
                                                      • 9962

                                                      #166
                                                      Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                      4/27

                                                      SAN +5.5 (-111) x3
                                                      SAN ML (+210) x2
                                                      CHI ML (+1275) x1
                                                      0-3 (-6.33u)
                                                      Playoffs: 57-62-4 (+31.91u)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • suicidekings
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 03-23-09
                                                        • 9962

                                                        #167
                                                        4/28 (Added Live at end of 1Q)

                                                        Hawks -7.5 (-110) x2
                                                        Comment
                                                        • suicidekings
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 03-23-09
                                                          • 9962

                                                          #168
                                                          Added Live @ 2:28 in the 2Q, Tied 38-38

                                                          Hawks -6.5 (-110) x2
                                                          Comment
                                                          • suicidekings
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 03-23-09
                                                            • 9962

                                                            #169
                                                            Timeout at 1:12 in 4Q

                                                            ATL ML (+310) x1

                                                            Come on Hawks... Bail my ass out...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • suicidekings
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 03-23-09
                                                              • 9962

                                                              #170
                                                              11 seconds left... Hawks down 2

                                                              ATL ML (+700) x0.25

                                                              If they pull this off I can just about break even on the game..
                                                              Comment
                                                              • suicidekings
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 03-23-09
                                                                • 9962

                                                                #171
                                                                MIL-ATL

                                                                0-4 (-6.65u)... wow
                                                                Comment
                                                                • suicidekings
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 03-23-09
                                                                  • 9962

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Added Live (first timeout):

                                                                  Jazz ML (+284) x1.5
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • suicidekings
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 03-23-09
                                                                    • 9962

                                                                    #173
                                                                    Jazz +6 (-108) x1.5
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Goat Milk
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 03-24-10
                                                                      • 25850

                                                                      #174
                                                                      Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                      Jazz +6 (-108) x1.5
                                                                      GL I would be very careful with the jazz bro they're shooting excellent right now but getting beat to every lose ball and the Nugs are really going to try to get the ball outa Derrons hands early.

                                                                      You may be able to get a much better spread on the jazz midway through the third, maybe a +12 or so; patience with live betting is so importnat
                                                                      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • suicidekings
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 03-23-09
                                                                        • 9962

                                                                        #175
                                                                        Added at end of 3Q:

                                                                        Jazz ML (+387) x0.5
                                                                        Comment
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