1. #1
    LT Profits
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    NBA - Wednesday, 11/23/16

    2 NBA Plays Wednesday

    Trail Blazers +11 -105 (Heritage)
    Trail Blazers +600 ML (DSI)


    YTD: 25-31, -6.35

  2. #2
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    2 NBA Plays Wednesday

    Trail Blazers +11 -105 (Heritage)
    Trail Blazers +600 ML (DSI)


    YTD: 25-31, -6.35
    The points I can see, the ML, are you serious ????

  3. #3
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    The points I can see, the ML, are you serious ????
    Good value pop at those odds. I think ML seems over-adjusted for Portland on back-to-back, model has Cavaliers winning SU 83% of the time, which is "only" -488. So I only expect to win this play 17% of the time (so lose 83% if the time) but the +600 makes it +EV.

  4. #4
    Roscoe_Word
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  5. #5
    lakerboy
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    No chance on the ml. Cavs rested

  6. #6
    eddycash
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    any thoughts on nets and kings?

  7. #7
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by eddycash View Post
    any thoughts on nets and kings?
    I find Nets intriguing as I only have Boston -5.9. I lean OKC vs. Sac though, I have Thunder favored -0.81.

  8. #8
    eddycash
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    has your system been updated for okc now having no Durant?

  9. #9
    cankid
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    GL on the doggie, have a great Thanskgiving!!

  10. #10
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by eddycash View Post
    has your system been updated for okc now having no Durant?
    Of course!

  11. #11
    p4$$ion
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    im in sacramento and the kings will get mauled tonight by the thunder. cousins will be in foul trouble from the westbrook penetration and adams should also frustrate him. kings perimeter defense isn't that good either, so those westbrook kickouts to the 3pt shooters should be very effective tonight.

  12. #12
    eddycash
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    wth all that money on okc I think sac town gets it done tonight with rudy gay back, okc couldn't even beat the lakers

  13. #13
    Conqueror
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    Trail Blazers ML? Are you kidding?

  14. #14
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Conqueror View Post
    Trail Blazers ML? Are you kidding?
    Read Post #3, I expect to lose that play 83% of the time but +600 makes the 17% +EV

  15. #15
    Conqueror
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Read Post #3, I expect to lose that play 83% of the time but +600 makes the 17% +EV
    Ok. I get it. Theoretically, that's a value play but the Trail Blazers just aren't playing the kind of defense that should give them a chance to win SU here. Just saying.

  16. #16
    RavensFan2k3
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    LT do you play the lottery?

  17. #17
    Madison
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    Nets +7.5 solid play

  18. #18
    LT Profits
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    2 Last NBA Additions

    4 NBA Plays Wednesday

    Trail Blazers +11 -105 (Heritage)
    Trail Blazers +600 ML (DSI)
    Grizzlies / 76ers UNDER 196 -105 (5 Dimes)
    Heat / Pistons UNDER 189 -105 (Heritage)

  19. #19
    Cuse0323
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    Thought on the Spurs/Hornets? Sorry to bug ya, just looking to blow some money.

  20. #20
    mikefan1034
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    Lol trailblazers moneyline lol

  21. #21
    doitnow
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    Tough loss on the pts

  22. #22
    slayer14
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    never covered on points by only 1 point

  23. #23
    LT Profits
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    WOW. Aside from the ML, look at the other three losses.

    Blazers miss by one point.
    Lost Grizzlies Under in second overtime.
    Lost Pistons Under by 2 points.

    Good thing this was offset by 6-1 night in college hoops for slightly profitable hoops night.

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