Leans for Friday 1/23/09 CK versus hockeytown11 Challenge

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • cocknocker
    Restricted User
    • 11-06-08
    • 8001

    #106
    That's good hockeytown11. I didn't know that you were also playing them straight. that gives me great comfort to know that you are doing it the right way. Now you're good.
    Comment
    • Dexter
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-24-08
      • 25829

      #107
      Originally posted by OC
      Dex:

      Just curious, why don't you have your own threads? Love your comments and views and am interested to see your posted totals if you don't mind. Always looking for somoeone to get some good insight from.

      All for now. BOL to everyone tonight.
      i'm not at all interested in having a following etc...too many people will act like whiners when you get cold, and thats a headache i dont want. i commend cocknocker for making this thread each day, and taking the heat/backing us up when we get trolled on. i'm simply here to provide my insight, bounce ideas off of one another, and to simply escape from work for a few hrs each day. i dont gamble for a living, but most certainly would like to add some extra income during this nasty recession. my bonus is not even close to what it once was. however, that may not matter now that i'm here with you fine folks.

      the only thing i keep track of since ive been here at sbr is the record of my *big* plays - and they are currently 9-15. i did awful in the bowls and made some plays that i was not equipped to make (didnt know some of the teams well enough). so hopefully someone out there has faded those plays this month, and has collected more than my book has. lol - but i'm very confident that i'll be at 500 soon enough. thanks to some of ck's heavy/pc plays, i have not lost as much as i would have. and chase has been good to me so far as well. thx bro...

      ck mafia>gambino's
      Comment
      • cocknocker
        Restricted User
        • 11-06-08
        • 8001

        #108
        hockeytown11

        You hit it right on the nail. I am riding the Cards until the wheels fall off. And you know what (this will show how much of a degenerate I am) the Steelers are my favorite football team, and have been since I started watching football as a 6-7 year old kid. The game that got me sold was the Super Bowl where Lynn Swann caught that deep sideline ball while tumbling over against the Cowboys. Plus Jack Lambert looking into the backfield with his front grill knocked out, and LC Greenwood and the yellow cleats, or Mean Joe Green and the Pepsi commercial with the kid giving him the coldie!

        I am playing the Cards and the moneyline as well. I just think that heir receivers are big and strong enough to take whatever punishment the Steelers secondary may pass out, and also they will burn them deep. Their receiving corps are ball hawks and they don't drop passes. Also Edgerrin James is adept at picking up blitzes. Kurt Warner doesn't hold the ball that long neither. They have to keep the pedal to the metal tough if they get up and not allow the Steelers to come back in the game if they get up on em'. The 2nd half meltdown to the Eagles was awful to watch, but they pulled it out in the end for me. The Steelers offensive line is not that great at all and is a shell of the lines that they have had in the past. The Cardinals will get a few turnovers, as they have an excellent and opportunistic defensive secondary with big punishing corners. This is gonna be one hell of a game, and not the Steelers blowout that the experts predict.
        Comment
        • hockeytown11
          SBR MVP
          • 01-04-09
          • 1102

          #109
          mean joe greene commercial it was Coke not pepsi,lol hey thanks joe!
          Comment
          • hockeytown11
            SBR MVP
            • 01-04-09
            • 1102

            #110
            i have vannes and lille is a 2 team french soccer parlay thats about to start,thats how big a degenorate i am. I have to much time on my hands,i own my own business so i can be here during the day while i work,night gets a little tougher since the kids need some of my attention,lol
            Comment
            • hockeytown11
              SBR MVP
              • 01-04-09
              • 1102

              #111
              people are easy to forget that this is warners 3rd sb
              Comment
              • Dexter
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-24-08
                • 25829

                #112
                so ck, who has had their finger pricked in this crew? haha - wang and big money i know

                Comment
                • DevilDog
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 12-27-08
                  • 190

                  #113
                  Guys! This betting thing is a marathon...stop chasing losses with bad money management! It is so frustrating to see guys take a hit then try to get it back by doing a lot of the same things that got them in trouble! And for the life of me how do you lose nine straight days?

                  I have been doing this thing for a long time, 35 years to be exact, and the reason I always win in the long run is because I wager with control. Always bet what YOU think are strong plays. If they are not strong do NOT bet them. Do NOT bet just to have some action on a game, that is the first sign of a degenerate.

                  Also, I know CK and others do not bet the SAME amount on each game but you have to really know YOURSELF to bet that way. If you are not 100% positive of your style of play then just bet the same amount on each game. And you should NOT be betting more than about 2.5% of your bankroll on any one game. In fact about 1% is a good wager amount.

                  Guys on these boards see others posting big wins and betting big amounts and they think they have to follow suit. Most guys on this board probably don't make $200 a day on their regular jobs, but yet they snicker at that amount if they make it wagering! Get real. Most of you if you could make an average of $200 a day could quit your day jobs. So get into reality guys.

                  There are others that will disagree and I understand...but discipline with both your wagers and money management are key to making money in the long haul.

                  Honestly, I would be sick to my stomach if I lost $17,000 in the last week or two. With this board, and all of the knowledge, that is inexcusable!! Of course if you are laying $3000 to $5000 a game that is understandable. But if you have a $35,000 bankroll and are betting that much a game you are an IDIOT!

                  What I have found out over the years is that guys think they are much better cappers than they really are. Hockey, you might be one of those. And those guys will go on big winning streaks, but invariably they fall back fast.

                  Slow and steady makes the money boys. You will not see me making a lot of plays here, this thread has some good players on it right now and we don't need more guys just throwing plays out. But you will see me trying to give guys good betting advice.

                  There are two parts to making money gambling. One is betting good plays. The other is money management. Without both of these working for you, you will LOSE.
                  Comment
                  • Smacksmiter
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-20-08
                    • 1169

                    #114
                    Originally posted by peeiempee
                    Not many plays for me tonight. Liked the Cavs -6 until I found out Ellis is back. Don't know how well the starting 5 will play together. Staying away from them. (light)

                    Ellis plays for Golden State...him coming back should mess up the Warriors rotation...so that should make the Cavs pick a better pick...I do not understand how that makes you like the Cavs less...
                    Comment
                    • mixpicks
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 01-09-09
                      • 280

                      #115
                      This has been working for me.
                      Big Fav. 1st Q esp. Boston. hey, ck U didn't forget Boston, wow,Their still getting it done. (when will it end) can't stop playing them now. Ok, Picks...
                      ________________________
                      FRI:
                      SA 1st. (Q)
                      Cleve. 1st (Q)
                      ________________________
                      Nets + 14.5 (2pt buy) For Game.

                      GLTA
                      Comment
                      • hockeytown11
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-04-09
                        • 1102

                        #116
                        I blow,I admitted it,but I am super super competetive,its not about the money for me at all,all losing 17k to me is that I was beat at a game,I dont like getting beat. I will reload 100 more times before I will quit and admit defeat,its just my personality, everything you say is 100 percent correct,but I do bet just for the action,and I want to win,losing sucks,bt its not because of the money for me. When I play a game I do the reaseach,I beleiive its the right play and I make it,lately I have been scrwed more ways than I can count,ever had a hockey play over 5.5 when it was 3-2 with 14 mins to go in the second period and finished 3-2? well thats how you lose 11 days in a row.
                        Comment
                        • ragiche
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-09-08
                          • 3110

                          #117
                          gonna play 3 tonight:

                          Pho -4 (styles)

                          Mem/NyK O 202.5 (CK)

                          Lac +3 (CK)
                          Comment
                          • OC
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 01-05-09
                            • 136

                            #118
                            Great points and well said DD. One more thing to add. Gambling and alcohol do not mix (unless you've already made your plays). I did go through my bankroll attempting a chase system for the first time. Candidly didn't know exactly what I was doing and got away from what worked for me. I typically do not exceed a 3% bankroll play on a strong play. Got into the "I'm bound to win this one" frame of mind after a significant number of losses and cocktails and rolled the dice with an amazingly stupid large bet and well ... you can figure out the results. It's back to what has worked for me now and hopefully getting back on track. Keep up the good work folks, I appreciate it as I'm sure most others do.
                            Comment
                            • cheesehead004
                              Restricted User
                              • 12-24-08
                              • 715

                              #119
                              I've noticed that CK's better half seems to never get a Bobcats game wrong, and if she is picking Phoenix, I shall follow with that same pick.

                              Also, Dexter I love what you said about that Sixers-Knicks game and I will be saving some cash to throw on Philly depending on the line.

                              Anyone think 216 points is WAY too high in the Cavs-GSW game? People honestly expect the Warriors to be able to score on one of the best defensive teams in the league?
                              Comment
                              • hockeytown11
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-04-09
                                • 1102

                                #120
                                cheese i posted under cavs as one of my challenge plays so proceed with caution.
                                Comment
                                • Smacksmiter
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-20-08
                                  • 1169

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by cheesehead004
                                  I've noticed that CK's better half seems to never get a Bobcats game wrong, and if she is picking Phoenix, I shall follow with that same pick.
                                  Styles faded the Bobcats on Wednesday and lost (Grizzlies)... just to keep you up to date.. normally, she is money on them for sure.
                                  Comment
                                  • cocknocker
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 11-06-08
                                    • 8001

                                    #122
                                    mixpicks,

                                    Ihad my finger on the Celtics pulse the whole way through their cold streak and I started wagering on them again in the Cleveland game, which of course they lost, but it did not deter me, as I have taken them every single game and every single first quarter since then with the exception of last night's game against the Magic, and the only reason why i didn't ride them last night was because i was fully vested with what i like to put out on an average night. The spreads are gonna get higher in a couple more games, so ride them until the wheels fall off.
                                    Comment
                                    • isiah121
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 12-04-08
                                      • 313

                                      #123
                                      CK, why did the line for Houston go from -1 to PK? Seems like 80% of better are on Houston. Is there something I'm missing here?
                                      Comment
                                      • mixpicks
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-09-09
                                        • 280

                                        #124
                                        hey, devilDog: That is some good sound advice. Gambling/Investing 101 Bet What You Can Afford To Lose.
                                        your correct about the amounts, it's funny when people say "your only betting $200 on a game, then they make 400 a week at their job (all Week) but what is the correct % to bet thats the question everyone ask, don't know If their is a correct one. IMO, bet an amount that will not make you sick to lose and a amount that makes you a bit excited to win. the main thing, is to "Stay In The Game" and take $ out. whenever, possible. and don't play everyday, play lose. ok, sorry to clutter your thread ck. I realize this should be for current game Info. but, I think If I lose 9days in a row, (any advice may be helpful) and I personally would bet $20.00 a game the the next 9 days. (to stay loose) stick with one method. I don't even like to know the out comes eachday, I try not to even look at the balance, when putting in my bet, like to look at it at the end of the week. Anyway, hope some of this is somewhat helpful. GLTA
                                        str8 bets rule
                                        Comment
                                        • cocknocker
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 11-06-08
                                          • 8001

                                          #125
                                          The Nets will get blown off tonight against the Spurs. I think that I will play them tomorrow though, but today is gonna be tough against the Spurs who are well rested and have a player on their team that is unguardable (Duncan) for the Nets. The Spurs smalls are better than the Nets smalls, and that is what normally gets them through. Devin Harris is good, but he is fragile and in and out of the lineup too much. he needs a strength and conditioning off season program to be sure. I am holding off of the Nets for their matchup with the Grizzlies on Saturday, which will be one of my final competiton picks in addition to:

                                          Jazz-3 (projected)
                                          Sixers-7.5 (projected)
                                          Sacramento+4.5 (projected)
                                          Nets+2 (projected)

                                          These will be my final four for the competition. I will play the Heaters too but I will be buying a few points to insure a close game, so obviously I won't be able to use that one in the competition.
                                          Comment
                                          • cocknocker
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 11-06-08
                                            • 8001

                                            #126
                                            isiah121,

                                            I had the Oilers at a pick. It's what the line should be anyway. The Pacers beat them earlier this year, and it was a close game in the 4th quarter. This game will be a squeaker, make no bones about it. I like the Oilers to even the score with the Pacers, and pick up the win in a nailbiter. The Rockets with their current inury situation shouldn't ever be favored on the road to begin with.
                                            Comment
                                            • BelieveTheHype
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 01-03-09
                                              • 747

                                              #127
                                              Am I crazy or is 215.5 way too much for CLE/GS?
                                              Comment
                                              • cheesehead004
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 12-24-08
                                                • 715

                                                #128
                                                $330 Minnesota PK 1H
                                                $330 Houston PK 1H
                                                $345 PHO/CHA Under 100.5 1H

                                                Locked in. Hopefully I can set myself up for a big play later on the Cavs.
                                                Comment
                                                • BelieveTheHype
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 01-03-09
                                                  • 747

                                                  #129
                                                  and Dallas over 186 seems solid too.. they just let Milwaukee score almost 140 points...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mixpicks
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 01-09-09
                                                    • 280

                                                    #130
                                                    ck: Yes, (I was happy for the cold streak too) I do remember, week or so ago, when everyone seemed to give up on them, and I was thinking just a matter of time, then you said Boston Every night, then I replyed YES, That Makes Sence, Now, It's continuing to make dollars. I Have To Say, Last Night, I would have played Magic, with their rest and home record, then I remembered, and Glad I did.
                                                    They, should be coming up as DD Favs. for a while. betting them 1st Q even if they don't cover the game I Think they will continue winning 1st Q I also, think a lot of their upcoming games will also go under the total. esp. when the spot is right, like lastnight. I will look at the shot again, from lastnight, and when it is the same "Spot"=same bet, hopfully same result... BOL Keep Up The Good Work!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • solobass
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-15-09
                                                      • 1277

                                                      #131
                                                      [SBRFORUM][/SBRFORUM]
                                                      Originally posted by BelieveTheHype
                                                      and Dallas over 186 seems solid too.. they just let Milwaukee score almost 140 points...
                                                      I am looking for the Pistons to seriously roll tonight, probably parlaying Det -3.5 and the over.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • fusion
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 01-17-09
                                                        • 54

                                                        #132
                                                        hey ck, i like to rockets tonight. i think they will revenge their losses earlier. what do you think of suns under 200.5? bobcats are No. 7 in the NBA defensively and have given up an average of just 87 PPG in their last five games. rockets over 209? indiana will push up the tempo. what about warriors +6.5, ellis is back and they play well at home, cle is having injury probs. knicks -5.5? they play well at home and they are also very dangerous from the outside while the Grizzlies have struggled to guard the perimeter.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • africanroller
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 11-30-08
                                                          • 936

                                                          #133
                                                          Hockey to answer your 1st question I am hardly ever bitter. #2 It drives me crazy when people just blow smoke.

                                                          But seriously, Is anyone having problems with sportsinsights.

                                                          I keep getting this

                                                          Oops! We can't find the webpage you're looking for

                                                          Here are some suggestions:
                                                          • Check the address for typing errors such as ww.example.com instead of www.example.com
                                                          • If you are unable to load any pages, check your computer's internet connection.
                                                          • If your computer or network is protected by a firewall or proxy, make sure that your browser is permitted to access the Web
                                                          I am actually getting this on a couple sites I use regurarly and I am thinking its me. Any help? Even on thespread it works until I try to access the sportsinsights lines and I get the same message in the middle of the page. Also the sportsinsights banner doesnt show up on the top of the page. Just the redbox and when you click on it the same message appears.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • RoagBettor
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 01-20-09
                                                            • 8355

                                                            #134
                                                            I don't see the Rockets winning tonight. Yao has been on a tear but he's tired, and he won't be able to keep "Pace".
                                                            Comment
                                                            • solobass
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-15-09
                                                              • 1277

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by africanroller
                                                              Hockey to answer your 1st question I am hardly ever bitter. #2 It drives me crazy when people just blow smoke.

                                                              But seriously, Is anyone having problems with sportsinsights.

                                                              I keep getting this

                                                              Oops! We can't find the webpage you're looking for

                                                              Here are some suggestions:
                                                              • Check the address for typing errors such as ww.example.com instead of www.example.com
                                                              • If you are unable to load any pages, check your computer's internet connection.
                                                              • If your computer or network is protected by a firewall or proxy, make sure that your browser is permitted to access the Web

                                                              I am actually getting this on a couple sites I use regurarly and I am thinking its me. Any help? Even on thespread it works until I try to access the sportsinsights lines and I get the same message in the middle of the page.
                                                              try logging out and closing the window/tab and log in as normal. if you have it bookmarked with saved log/pass like me sometimes it is flaky. hope this helps and best of luck tonight!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • hockeytown11
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-04-09
                                                                • 1102

                                                                #136
                                                                roller,
                                                                fair enough,now help me out i need 3 winners,lolol
                                                                Comment
                                                                • africanroller
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-30-08
                                                                  • 936

                                                                  #137
                                                                  I actually have cleared cache, fixed adaptor and restarted 3 times with no avail. I even took them off of my book marks. I had problems with the other site on and off last night but I have never had a problem with sports insights.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • africanroller
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-30-08
                                                                    • 936

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Hockey I would love to give you three winners but right now I cannot access a couple pages.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • solobass
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-15-09
                                                                      • 1277

                                                                      #139
                                                                      here are my plays for the day

                                                                      NBA
                                                                      Det -3.5
                                                                      Det/Dal Over 185.5
                                                                      Knicks ML (-245) and Over 202 parlay

                                                                      NCAA
                                                                      Brown +6
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • hockeytown11
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-04-09
                                                                        • 1102

                                                                        #140
                                                                        I am thinking Minny,Spurs,Bulls....Bulls have boned me so much last 10 days I might as well keep riding em until they cover
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...