New nba power rating system

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  • Formulawiz
    Restricted User
    • 01-12-09
    • 1589

    #526
    Todays NBA-PR Chart

    NBA PR Chart
    Attached Files
    Comment
    • diogee
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-11-08
      • 19477

      #527
      Interesting stuff Formulawiz. Always good to add a little something extra to the capping...thanks for posting.
      Comment
      • Formulawiz
        Restricted User
        • 01-12-09
        • 1589

        #528
        Updated NBA _PR System Spreadsheet

        Download the updated NBA PR system spreadsheet ver. 7. Its been updated to include yesterday's closing lines and scores. I have been following the picks and they seem to be working correctly. Make sure you enter the lines prior to looking at the picks. The lines influence the picks. Make certain you manually compare your picks with the spreadsheets picks and if you find any error, let me know immediately.

        The spreadsheet still works the same way. For instructions go to one of my earlier posts.

        NBA picks will be up later.
        Attached Files
        Comment
        • Ditaln1
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-26-07
          • 588

          #529
          Thanks FW!
          Comment
          • Formulawiz
            Restricted User
            • 01-12-09
            • 1589

            #530
            Todays NBA Plays

            Todays NBA Plays based on early lines

            DEN - 4.5 or <
            CHI + 4.5 or >
            MIN + 8 or >

            Good Luck
            Comment
            • Bookman
              SBR Hustler
              • 01-30-09
              • 81

              #531
              Thanks Wiz.

              I agree, last night was a tough one to navigate using your system. Both Orlando and GS dropped out by my count, but they were both borderline right up to game-time. Also, the Denver game looked good even though they were a no-play here, again illustrating your point that using other resources is critical in developing the right 'touch' when choosing plays.
              Comment
              • Achilles15
                SBR High Roller
                • 01-25-09
                • 156

                #532
                Originally posted by Formulawiz
                Todays NBA Plays based on early lines

                DEN - 4.5 or <
                CHI + 4.5 or >
                MIN + 8 or >

                Good Luck

                these plays are not very good , day after day i come here and they lose, denver only had to lay -2, and it wasnt even close, so this system is not very productive
                Comment
                • gameday10
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-16-09
                  • 601

                  #533
                  Originally posted by Achilles15
                  these plays are not very good , day after day i come here and they lose, denver only had to lay -2, and it wasnt even close, so this system is not very productive
                  lol, wow...no mention of football jesus in your post. Shocked.
                  Comment
                  • MJAZER
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 12-09-08
                    • 10

                    #534
                    Originally posted by Formulawiz
                    Download the updated NBA PR system spreadsheet ver. 7. Its been updated to include yesterday's closing lines and scores. I have been following the picks and they seem to be working correctly. Make sure you enter the lines prior to looking at the picks. The lines influence the picks. Make certain you manually compare your picks with the spreadsheets picks and if you find any error, let me know immediately.

                    The spreadsheet still works the same way. For instructions go to one of my earlier posts.

                    NBA picks will be up later.

                    Is it only me??

                    When I press through the Macro tabs to get

                    Get-Power –Averages and press Run

                    I get

                    Run-time error 91
                    Object variable or with block variable not set


                    Then


                    Public Function get_stats_game_range(yesterdayDate As Date) As Range
                    Dim dateRange As Range
                    Dim statsSheet As Worksheet
                    Set statsSheet = Sheets("Stats")
                    Set dateRange = statsSheet.Range("A1", "A1231")
                    Dim dateString As String
                    Dim rFound As Range
                    dateString = Format(yesterdayDate, "dd-mmm-yy")
                    Set rFound = dateRange.Find(dateString, After:=dateRange.Cells(1, 1), LookIn:=xlValues)
                    Dim startRow As Integer
                    startRow = rFound.row
                    Dim currRow As Integer
                    currRow = startRow
                    Dim sameDay As Boolean
                    sameDay = True
                    Dim currDate As Date
                    Dim value As Date
                    While sameDay = True
                    currDate = statsSheet.Range("A" & CStr(currRow + 1)).value

                    If currDate < yesterdayDate Then
                    sameDay = False
                    End If

                    If sameDay = True Then
                    currRow = currRow + 1
                    End If
                    Wend
                    Dim game_range As Range
                    Set game_range = statsSheet.Range("A" & CStr(startRow), "K" & CStr(currRow))
                    Set get_stats_game_range = game_range
                    End Function
                    Comment
                    • Formulawiz
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-12-09
                      • 1589

                      #535
                      Originally posted by MJAZER
                      Is it only me??

                      When I press through the Macro tabs to get

                      Get-Power –Averages and press Run

                      I get

                      Run-time error 91
                      Object variable or with block variable not set


                      Then


                      Public Function get_stats_game_range(yesterdayDate As Date) As Range
                      Dim dateRange As Range
                      Dim statsSheet As Worksheet
                      Set statsSheet = Sheets("Stats")
                      Set dateRange = statsSheet.Range("A1", "A1231")
                      Dim dateString As String
                      Dim rFound As Range
                      dateString = Format(yesterdayDate, "dd-mmm-yy")
                      Set rFound = dateRange.Find(dateString, After:=dateRange.Cells(1, 1), LookIn:=xlValues)
                      Dim startRow As Integer
                      startRow = rFound.row
                      Dim currRow As Integer
                      currRow = startRow
                      Dim sameDay As Boolean
                      sameDay = True
                      Dim currDate As Date
                      Dim value As Date
                      While sameDay = True
                      currDate = statsSheet.Range("A" & CStr(currRow + 1)).value

                      If currDate < yesterdayDate Then
                      sameDay = False
                      End If

                      If sameDay = True Then
                      currRow = currRow + 1
                      End If
                      Wend
                      Dim game_range As Range
                      Set game_range = statsSheet.Range("A" & CStr(startRow), "K" & CStr(currRow))
                      Set get_stats_game_range = game_range
                      End Function
                      This looks like way beyond me. When you go to the macros your only suppose to use update scores. Secondly I think your getting this error because possibly you dont have enough games when updating. Maybe one of the gurus can explain this.
                      Comment
                      • Formulawiz
                        Restricted User
                        • 01-12-09
                        • 1589

                        #536
                        Yesterdays plays

                        Yesterday we went 1-3

                        YTD 51-34 = 60%

                        Since I have been keeping win/loss records I have noticed we have lost quite a few games due to the fact the overlay of 2 may be too close to the line. I think if we raise our overlay in the pro's to at least 3 instead of 2 this may improve our wins.
                        Luckily the college system is saving my ass again yesterday, I went 5-3.
                        Any thoughts out there
                        Comment
                        • peterpan19
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-02-08
                          • 3377

                          #537
                          formulawiz,

                          well I dont know if we raise it to 3 (I already raised it to 2.5), what I have is that games under 3 went 10-4 (since I keep record of the score) and games under 4 are 22-13 and games over 4 are 21-23, I mean thats at least what I have
                          Comment
                          • Formulawiz
                            Restricted User
                            • 01-12-09
                            • 1589

                            #538
                            Originally posted by peterpan19
                            formulawiz,

                            well I dont know if we raise it to 3 (I already raised it to 2.5), what I have is that games under 3 went 10-4 (since I keep record of the score) and games under 4 are 22-13 and games over 4 are 21-23, I mean thats at least what I have
                            Peterpan, I am talking about the overlay which is the difference between the line and the PR which is set at 2.5 or > which is the way we have it now. So therfore I am suggesting we go to 3.5 or >. I am not sure what you are referring to. Can you explain yourself a little better.
                            Comment
                            • Formulawiz
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-12-09
                              • 1589

                              #539
                              Todays NBA PR chart and plays

                              Since everyone should have the new PR spreadsheet, this will be the last day I will post the NBA PR chart.

                              I will continue to put the plays up.

                              Based on early lines today we have
                              NYK + 8.5 or >
                              CHA + 4.5 or >
                              SAC + 4.5 or > good luck with this team
                              UTA -3 or <
                              Comment
                              • peterpan19
                                Restricted User
                                • 11-02-08
                                • 3377

                                #540
                                Originally posted by Formulawiz
                                Peterpan, I am talking about the overlay which is the difference between the line and the PR which is set at 2.5 or > which is the way we have it now. So therfore I am suggesting we go to 3.5 or >. I am not sure what you are referring to. Can you explain yourself a little better.
                                well I was talking about the Line Value, if it is under 4 and above 2.5 the record I got was 22-13 and above 4 it was only 21-23, at least for the games I followed, so dont know what you have ? or if I just did it wrong ?
                                Comment
                                • MJAZER
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 12-09-08
                                  • 10

                                  #541
                                  Originally posted by Formulawiz
                                  This looks like way beyond me. When you go to the macros your only suppose to use update scores. Secondly I think your getting this error because possibly you dont have enough games when updating. Maybe one of the gurus can explain this.

                                  Formulawiz, the same happens when i try to update scores??

                                  Formulawiz, would you please mind posting the PRs for the next few days OR someone else just so the figs i have (or anyone else with this issue) can cross reference?

                                  When i open the xl doc it says

                                  Enable automatic refresh so i press this

                                  and hope it is refreshing the PR values fingers crossed but i will not know if they are not on the forum so could you please help us out?

                                  Many thanks
                                  Comment
                                  • Formulawiz
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 01-12-09
                                    • 1589

                                    #542
                                    Originally posted by MJAZER
                                    Formulawiz, the same happens when i try to update scores??

                                    Formulawiz, would you please mind posting the PRs for the next few days OR someone else just so the figs i have (or anyone else with this issue) can cross reference?

                                    When i open the xl doc it says

                                    Enable automatic refresh so i press this

                                    and hope it is refreshing the PR values fingers crossed but i will not know if they are not on the forum so could you please help us out?

                                    Many thanks
                                    NO problem
                                    Comment
                                    • NBA Hero
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-05-08
                                      • 1886

                                      #543
                                      on utah to win another on the road
                                      Comment
                                      • Formulawiz
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 01-12-09
                                        • 1589

                                        #544
                                        Originally posted by peterpan19
                                        well I was talking about the Line Value, if it is under 4 and above 2.5 the record I got was 22-13 and above 4 it was only 21-23, at least for the games I followed, so dont know what you have ? or if I just did it wrong ?
                                        Are you referring to the pros or college. I know the college is really lighting it up this year.
                                        Comment
                                        • Cranium
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 09-05-08
                                          • 363

                                          #545
                                          Anything to tighten up the system is great Wiz. Any idea how going to 3 would change the overall record?
                                          Thanks for posting Wiz!
                                          Cranium
                                          Comment
                                          • Formulawiz
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 01-12-09
                                            • 1589

                                            #546
                                            Originally posted by Cranium
                                            Anything to tighten up the system is great Wiz. Any idea how going to 3 would change the overall record?
                                            Thanks for posting Wiz!
                                            Cranium
                                            I believe some of our losses were right at the 2.5 point overlay. By going to 3.5 we may bypass more losses then wins and of course a few less games. Again this is just for the pros. College is doing just fine.
                                            Comment
                                            • peterpan19
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 11-02-08
                                              • 3377

                                              #547
                                              formulawiz
                                              pros it is, never really got on the train with the college games, would be nice if you could post the plays here too
                                              Comment
                                              • Ditaln1
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-26-07
                                                • 588

                                                #548
                                                Wiz. What's the college record at? I haven't seen any posts with plays..
                                                Comment
                                                • Formulawiz
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 01-12-09
                                                  • 1589

                                                  #549
                                                  Originally posted by peterpan19
                                                  formulawiz
                                                  pros it is, never really got on the train with the college games, would be nice if you could post the plays here too
                                                  You might be on to something I missed.
                                                  Lets look at todays games
                                                  LAK + 5 has a 3 pt overlay
                                                  CHA + 8 has 6 pt
                                                  SAC +7 has 5 pt
                                                  UTA -1.5 has 4
                                                  NO -3 has 3
                                                  So 3 out of 5 games fall into your 2.5 to 4 category and 2 games fall > 4 Correct.
                                                  Where is 4 counted in your win/loss record
                                                  Comment
                                                  • peterpan19
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 11-02-08
                                                    • 3377

                                                    #550
                                                    well i got 5 games for today: Char, Sac, Lak, NO -3 and Utah
                                                    Lak and NO between 2.5 and 4
                                                    and Char, Sac and Utah over 4
                                                    edit:
                                                    to decide were I put 4 I look into the original sheet to make my decision, so utah would be above 4 in that one
                                                    dont know if it works out, but I think we give it a shot
                                                    Comment
                                                    • PerfecTrader
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-08-07
                                                      • 959

                                                      #551
                                                      Originally posted by Achilles15
                                                      these plays are not very good , day after day i come here and they lose, denver only had to lay -2, and it wasnt even close, so this system is not very productive
                                                      Day after day? You have been a member here for 14 days. What the fvck is it with people like you? Find another forum or stfu about other peoples picks. Why don't you pick some games on your own so you won't have anyone else to blame? There's a novel idea or does it just make more sense to play the follower and bark when things don't go your way?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Formulawiz
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 01-12-09
                                                        • 1589

                                                        #552
                                                        Originally posted by Ditaln1
                                                        Wiz. What's the college record at? I haven't seen any posts with plays..
                                                        I am not keeping any records and I dont post plays. Its just too time consuming. Just go to sportrends and get the power ratings off their website.
                                                        Ex: today it started off with one game, Richmond -5.5 or < and that game went to -6 so I wound up with no plays.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • gameday10
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 01-16-09
                                                          • 601

                                                          #553
                                                          Originally posted by peterpan19
                                                          well i got 5 games for today: Char, Sac, Lak, NO -3 and Utah
                                                          Lak and NO between 2.5 and 4
                                                          and Char, Sac and Utah over 4
                                                          edit:
                                                          to decide were I put 4 I look into the original sheet to make my decision, so utah would be above 4 in that one
                                                          dont know if it works out, but I think we give it a shot
                                                          I don't quite understand your reasoning behind utah not being between 2.5-4. I have it at 4. Could you explain.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jholl
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 09-02-08
                                                            • 151

                                                            #554
                                                            Originally posted by PerfecTrader
                                                            Day after day? You have been a member here for 14 days. What the fvck is it with people like you? Find another forum or stfu about other peoples picks. Why don't you pick some games on your own so you won't have anyone else to blame? There's a novel idea or does it just make more sense to play the follower and bark when things don't go your way?

                                                            well i have been a member for awhile, this guy doesnt have to post picks, he didnt make the claim that his system worked, the burden is on the system to prove itself, without exceptions , so far it seems to be 50-60 % , as good as most pros out there.

                                                            check the record tonite of todays "plays " you will see.

                                                            Based on early lines today we have
                                                            NYK + 8.5 or >
                                                            CHA + 4.5 or >
                                                            SAC + 4.5 or > good luck with this team
                                                            UTA -3 or <
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Formulawiz
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 01-12-09
                                                              • 1589

                                                              #555
                                                              Originally posted by jholl
                                                              well i have been a member for awhile, this guy doesnt have to post picks, he didnt make the claim that his system worked, the burden is on the system to prove itself, without exceptions , so far it seems to be 50-60 % , as good as most pros out there.

                                                              check the record tonite of todays "plays " you will see.

                                                              Based on early lines today we have
                                                              NYK + 8.5 or >
                                                              CHA + 4.5 or >
                                                              SAC + 4.5 or > good luck with this team
                                                              UTA -3 or <
                                                              Lets keep this thread civil. No one is forcing anyone to follow our PR system. Its up to you. Instead of those individuals who continually bash and complain about our system, I ask you wouldnt it be better if you had something of value to add. Obviously, there is no system, trend, situation or whatever that will continually win. Its funny I follow another thread on our forum called the 70% system with over 250,000 hits. This 70% system is an old system called the Christmas system and if used properly has a record of 19-16, thats 54%. I dont see people in that thread going nuts over a 54% win/loss record. Everyone seems to be civil and trying to help each other. Our system is at 60% and hopefully it will improve. If it does not so be it, we tried. So lets all calm down and hope for the best.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BoomerOK95
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 08-22-08
                                                                • 191

                                                                #556
                                                                Originally posted by Formulawiz
                                                                Lets keep this thread civil. No one is forcing anyone to follow our PR system. Its up to you. Instead of those individuals who continually bash and complain about our system, I ask you wouldnt it be better if you had something of value to add. ...... Everyone seems to be civil and trying to help each other. Our system is at 60% and hopefully it will improve. If it does not so be it, we tried. So lets all calm down and hope for the best.
                                                                yes please keep posting em , im finding them VERY helpful
                                                                Comment
                                                                • MexicanStallion
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 09-08-08
                                                                  • 20429

                                                                  #557
                                                                  Originally posted by Formulawiz
                                                                  Lets keep this thread civil. No one is forcing anyone to follow our PR system. Its up to you. Instead of those individuals who continually bash and complain about our system, I ask you wouldnt it be better if you had something of value to add. Obviously, there is no system, trend, situation or whatever that will continually win. Its funny I follow another thread on our forum called the 70% system with over 250,000 hits. This 70% system is an old system called the Christmas system and if used properly has a record of 19-16, thats 54%. I dont see people in that thread going nuts over a 54% win/loss record. Everyone seems to be civil and trying to help each other. Our system is at 60% and hopefully it will improve. If it does not so be it, we tried. So lets all calm down and hope for the best.
                                                                  That system is actually 16-3. There is another standings listed testing it out to see how it works without the filters such as letting games count with injuries and back to back games. The original formula though with filters is 16-3 on the year
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Formulawiz
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 01-12-09
                                                                    • 1589

                                                                    #558
                                                                    Originally posted by MexicanStallion
                                                                    That system is actually 16-3. There is another standings listed testing it out to see how it works without the filters such as letting games count with injuries and back to back games. The original formula though with filters is 16-3 on the year
                                                                    Tex, I know the system real well it was developed by sportrends many years ago and originally called the Christmas system. It is being followed by several sports forums throughout the internet. I have been using it for years and with yesterdays 2 wins it is now 21-16, if followed the way the rules were originally outlined. I am in no way knocking your system and there is nothing wrong with making changes to improve it by using different parameters as your are. Thats what these forums are all about, to help each other win. So based on your new system I dont doubt the win/loss record is 16-3.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Formulawiz
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 01-12-09
                                                                      • 1589

                                                                      #559
                                                                      Todays NBA-PR Chart and yesterdays record

                                                                      Yesterday record was 4-1
                                                                      YTD 55-35 = 61.1%

                                                                      Todays Plays will be up later

                                                                      Todays NBA PR Chart
                                                                      Attached Files
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • MexicanStallion
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 09-08-08
                                                                        • 20429

                                                                        #560
                                                                        I have no idea, how it is going. I pop inot it and see how it goes. At least your system is going strong
                                                                        Comment
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