Wow.. Just wow.
1st half - 36pts
2nd half - 0pts
Even UNDER betters would have held out no hope. Tough tough beat..
Comment
hjrozay
SBR High Roller
11-28-11
103
#1087
I'm truly disgusted by that 2nd Half. J.Hayne did not man up.
What a shame all that was needed was a converted try. Early of rounds of NRL are being brutal so far.
Comment
the tross
SBR Sharp
02-14-13
450
#1088
Fuk me. That was painful. Congrats to the unders backers and thank you 'the house of shame',shane hayne stellar performance....
Comment
Mase of Base
SBR MVP
07-24-12
3622
#1089
Originally posted by That Guy
Wow.. Just wow.
1st half - 36pts
2nd half - 0pts
Even UNDER betters would have held out no hope. Tough tough beat..
Stopped watching at half time. Checked the score and ended up tuning in and chewing my nails for the last ten, unreal beat for you guys that's horrible.
Comment
benrama
SBR MVP
01-19-11
1499
#1090
Pretty brutal beat ... That said the only plays that looked like scoring all night were the kicks and in the 1st half every kick that could get scored off did. I think lines makers were pretty on the money with this one.
Hayne was indeed a pussy, guy has talent but often no heart.
Comment
garygroundwork
SBR Wise Guy
02-12-12
729
#1091
i can't believe that...
Comment
ultrasouth
SBR MVP
12-23-10
1175
#1092
What a fkn joke
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#1093
Worst beat I've ever seen in the NRL. Get 'em tomorrow TG.
Comment
dRavidC
SBR MVP
01-22-11
2516
#1094
Just a suggestion TG, maybe it's time to look into handicap lines rather than totals? It seems the bookies are just too sharp with their totals and it doesn't help with so many ridiculous scoring games...
Comment
That Guy
SBR Wise Guy
01-13-12
973
#1095
Originally posted by dRavidC
Just a suggestion TG, maybe it's time to look into handicap lines rather than totals? It seems the bookies are just too sharp with their totals and it doesn't help with so many ridiculous scoring games...
Totals are my thing.. Had I of played handicap lines last week I'd be 1-5 and well into minus units. The messy totals will settle down after the first few rounds - always starts off crazy. GL!
Comment
That Guy
SBR Wise Guy
01-13-12
973
#1096
updated: NRL Season 2013 4-0-5 -1.20 Round 2 0-1
Last night was the worst beat I've ever had. Give me a chance to replay that game 100 times and I'd pick the OVER at half time in every game... anyhow.. we move on. Being a unit down after some crazy results isn't too bad, but positive is better. GL
Play #2 Dragons vs Broncos UNDER 36.5 1x 1.95 These two sides have some of the worst points conceded figures from last weeks round.. so why the low total?
The struggle to put points on the board on a wet ground will show tonight. Dragons looked pathetic in attack and the Broncos didn't fare much better. Predicting a grind out game tonight as both sides look to control the football more and lay on some strong defense. Both coaches quoted as saying marker defense needs to improve and focusing on completing sets. Model has total at 28pts in wet conditions.. which would normally be a 2x play, but laying low on plays above 1x in the early rounds.
Rolling 1x on the UNDER at 1.95. GL
Comment
Coopertrooper
SBR Wise Guy
02-20-12
925
#1097
I stopped watching at half time last night too, that was brutal. Cheers for the plays tg, luck will even out soon!
Comment
s2230011
SBR Sharp
06-14-10
368
#1098
I dont know what I am playing yet but I dont think either attack is pathetic ... they are below average. The Dragons defence was pretty good I thought because Melbourne threw alot at them. But I think the Broncos attack was not bad on the weekend but their goal line defence was poor at times.
I think Hodges is the key to this .. If the Dragons stop Hodges they will go a long way.
I also think that Soward's goal kicking has deteriorated massively so that will help the under.
Comment
dRavidC
SBR MVP
01-22-11
2516
#1099
Originally posted by That Guy
Totals are my thing.. Had I of played handicap lines last week I'd be 1-5 and well into minus units. The messy totals will settle down after the first few rounds - always starts off crazy. GL!
not saying you should play handicaps all the time. just saying sometimes there is more value in the handicap than the total. for example with the opening game of the round 1, there appeared to be more value in the rabbitohs ATS than spread. and yesterday, I saw more value in the dogs line movement down to -2.5. easier said after than before a game but just my opinion. Still currently working on a model to cap the NRL.
Comment
hjrozay
SBR High Roller
11-28-11
103
#1100
Both teams are under the pump tonight so I expect a conservative approach from both teams to just try get the win.
I might pass out after 30 minutes from this game, not expecting champagne Rugby League from these two teams.
Hopefully it's 8-2 scoreline tonight boys.
Comment
fitguy67
SBR Hall of Famer
03-13-11
5082
#1101
For late shoppers: Pinny still has at 36.5 at a fair-enough price, 1.926
(sbo has confirmed the play by already dropping to 35.5)
Comment
ExodusNZ
SBR Wise Guy
09-02-11
605
#1102
Broncos -2.5? Or am i missing something tonight
Comment
benrama
SBR MVP
01-19-11
1499
#1103
Like the under too, it's actually my best play of the week. Total looks low but it will take at least 7 tries for this to go over, and it's been raining all day here in Sydney (though looks OK now).
Dragons play really strong at Win, careful anyone backing Broncs here.
Comment
hjrozay
SBR High Roller
11-28-11
103
#1104
Originally posted by ExodusNZ
Broncos -2.5? Or am i missing something tonight
First home game for the dragons and the fact every man and his dog has written off St.George for this season they could come out hungry and shock Brisbane.
If you still like Brisbane the line has gone down to - 1.5. But I'd be careful.
Comment
Aussie Dog
SBR Rookie
05-25-12
11
#1105
......and it's been raining all day here in Sydney (though looks OK now).
The Dragon/Broncos game's in Wollongong, mate.. and there's been some slight piddling through the day. So the ground is neither drizabone nor sloppy slosh. The Stadium is on the coast line. So they will play in salty air with slight gusts ... Great weather for footy
Comment
kingsr
SBR MVP
01-23-10
1983
#1106
Dragons 1-12 for me. Should be close low scoring either way...Both teams are shit ATM but I'll take the dragqueens at Wollongong
$100 @ $3.35
Good luck all. Ugly game last night.
Comment
benrama
SBR MVP
01-19-11
1499
#1107
Originally posted by Aussie Dog
......and it's been raining all day here in Sydney (though looks OK now).
The Dragon/Broncos game's in Wollongong, mate.. and there's been some slight piddling through the day. So the ground is neither drizabone nor sloppy slosh. The Stadium is on the coast line. So they will play in salty air with slight gusts ... Great weather for footy
Yea no shit Sherlock! I've been watching the weather and the rain had been hitting the gong too. Looks ok for tonight and to be honest weather is not the factor it's made out to be.
Line movement to the under that's for sure.
Comment
tommo67
SBR Rookie
03-15-13
4
#1108
Yeah agree last night was just ugly, glad i found this thread as i am a nrl bettor and like to take the totals. Will follow this thread with interest this season, like the look of the under with Broncs v Dragons as well, anyway it's early days so see how we go.
Cheers guys
Good luck
Comment
Domestic
SBR Hall of Famer
02-10-09
6323
#1109
Great stuff, congrats.
Comment
ExodusNZ
SBR Wise Guy
09-02-11
605
#1110
Great pick. Wish I followed! (obviously!! lol) - My -2 paid out so all good! Great defense tonight
Comment
the tross
SBR Sharp
02-14-13
450
#1111
thanks TG for the pick,had the Broncs spread too. Might be worth fading the Dragons all year too.
Comment
tommo67
SBR Rookie
03-15-13
4
#1112
Nice work on the under, 2 unders for the round, any thoughts guys on storm v cows? Thurston v Cronk going to be good to watch but it's going to be a tight one IMO
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#1113
Nice work TG - your analysis was on target as usual.
Comment
Crowing Capers
SBR Sharp
03-30-12
295
#1114
cheers TG.
Comment
Coopertrooper
SBR Wise Guy
02-20-12
925
#1115
Great way to bounce back TG
Comment
That Guy
SBR Wise Guy
01-13-12
973
#1116
Originally posted by MrXYZ
Nice work TG - your analysis was on target as usual.
Originally posted by Crowing Capers
cheers TG.
Originally posted by Coopertrooper
Great way to bounce back TG
cheers guys..
Comment
That Guy
SBR Wise Guy
01-13-12
973
#1117
updated: NRL Season 2013 5-0-5 -0.25 Round 2 1-1 Nice to bounce back with a game that sticks to the script for the FULL 80mins.. we grind on!
Only 1 play tonight - holding off Storm vs Cowboys as it's too close to call from mine and total looks spot on.
Play #3 Warriors vs Roosters OVER 44 1x 1.95 It's a high total for a reason - both these sides defensive efforts are hardly 'fortress' like. Roosters were battered by the Rabbitohs and Warriors were over run by wooden spoon favourites the Eels. While some would look at this and determine that both sides will plug gaps this week and focus efforts on defence.. I don't think it happens. The problems are simply too big and both sides have a history of big scores after losses. Previous games at Mt Smart between these teams have put up totals in excess of 60 points.
Expect a scrappy game with lots of drop ball and easy tries to cheapen the match.
Rolling 1x OVER 44 at 1.95. If you can get it lower I'd even have a bash at 2x. GL
Comment
Bazz27
SBR High Roller
02-21-09
196
#1118
TG have i missed something as its now down to 42pts
Comment
That Guy
SBR Wise Guy
01-13-12
973
#1119
Originally posted by Bazz27
TG have i missed something as its now down to 42pts
Was at 44 when I got it.. moved to 44.5 and now 42 on some books.
Would be a 2x play at that number for me. GL
Comment
That Guy
SBR Wise Guy
01-13-12
973
#1120
... and back up to 44 on 365 & CB again.
Total is bouncing all over this play - weather forecast from overcast with rain back to fine.