Just don't chase 'em, man. Chasing your losses is how they get you.
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Definitely didn't chase anything lol. I didn't even add anything other than a flyer on Sadollah by sub and that was before the card even started. I don't really worry myself with profit from card to card. Its a marathon, not a sprint!
In other news, Jorge Rivera says his fighting Bisping in Australia. I'd love to see Jorge put him on a nice KO reel!Comment -
I actually thought he looked great. His kicks and punches were very fluid and had crazy snap on them. His footwork was also improved. He just got caught with that counter and couldn't recover. I still think he has a bright future. In all honesty, I don't regret the bet at all, and I'd prolly do it again. Its just dissappointing to lose on him again in a fight that he should win!Comment -
I agree his stand up looks good. It even looked sharp in spurts against Lentz as well. Having said that he is the type of fighter that always finds a way to lose. Also, I don't think he has much future 2-4-1 in his last 7 fights against average fighters at best. After that fight he could possibly be cut by the ufc. Best case scenario is they give him one more fight.Comment -
Dana said at the press conference ""Let me tell you what. Andre Winner looked awesome. That kid came out (and) looked fantastic – sharp punches, hard kicks. And then Siver went in there and finished him. Siver looked like a superstar tonight in his own country"
He definitely isn't getting cut. I agree, if he loses one more that he will obviously be cut. He's only 28 and still has room to grow IMO. I guess it depends how much he wants to put in to grow.Comment -
Ye Winner will defintely have one more fight and it will be against a guy who is predominantly stand-up but not as good as Siver's...maybe Spencer Fisher. Winner showed great speed and kicks...was just too anxious. Osipzak on the other hand might be cut as he has less potential to be exciting due to his lack of power.Comment -
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as an unbiased observer with no dog in the hunt,i had winner winning the first until the stoppage....his punches and kicks were thrown with bad intentions.....i was honestly expecting him to whack siver based on what i was watching.....
somebody was getting knocked out....winner got caught...he moved inside instead of keeping distance with his length...
tough fight to call....enhjoyable fan friendly fight while it lasted...
another big weekend upcoming...already parlaying davis and sotiropoulos....just think that sotiropoulos does what lauzon does...just a naturally bigger and better version...with superior striking...lauzon seems to stumble vs the higher level guys...he knows how to exploit his advantages(per jeremy stephens)...problem here?...i really don`t see him having any...not expecting a one-sided beatdown.....leery enough to force me to parlay it....just see sotiropoulos as being a bit better...
anxious to see what the board culls out for this coming weekend....Comment -
Haven't got around to much tape on this fight yet. Early inclination is a no play for me.
Let's get this party started! Heading to the card on Saturday. Prolly the weigh-ins and autograph session as well on Friday. Pretty pumped up. Havent been to a card since WEC 47 in Columbus. Anyway, here's my first bet for the card. Truthfully, I should probably wait to play it as I expect the line to get better, but it's a price that I'm happy to lock in at.
UFC 123:
Foster (-140) 3.5 units to win 2.5 unitsComment -
o man i didnt even realize you went to wec 47, i just looked up that thread and saw your post about going. I posted in there and must have never checked back in. I apologize for not sending out an invite, I definitely would have said we should meet up. This is my hometown, i feel like a jerk ha.
Did you go to the arnolds festival that day?
im liking the foster play alsoComment -
Haha no worries. I had no idea you were from there! Ya I was able to check out a bit of the arnolds fest, not as much as I would have liked though. You shoulda made the trip down to Detroit for this one! I will be a sad panda to see Rampage lose in person thougho man i didnt even realize you went to wec 47, i just looked up that thread and saw your post about going. I posted in there and must have never checked back in. I apologize for not sending out an invite, I definitely would have said we should meet up. This is my hometown, i feel like a jerk ha.
Did you go to the arnolds festival that day?
im liking the foster play also
Comment -
Ya the arnolds fest is pretty big, a lot going on. It used to be great when the economy was on the up, you could walk out of there both days with hundreds of dollars worth of free supplements but the number of booths took a big drop. Speaking of economy im sure Detroit would love for me to make it to 123 haha. I did think about going but never found a partner to go with. I also dont know if I want to see page lose in person but I really hope we are wrong. I think im going to do one of those victory tax bets on machida and hope it loses.Comment -
Adding:
Rampage-Machida Over 2.5 Rounds (+120) 1.5 units to win 1.8 units
Pinny has this line while 5Dimes has goes the distance at -120. Rampage has an excellent chin and I believe Lyoto will be very cautious coming off of a KO loss where he got a little bit too aggressive. I expect a lot of circling and kicks from Lyoto in this one. I also wouldn`t be too surprised to see Rampage mix in some dirty boxing and a takedown attempt or two in this one if he can get inside, all using up more of the clock.Comment -
Adding:
BJ Penn (-155) 3.875 units to win 2.5 units
I obviously waited too long on the line for this one, but I needed to wait closer to fight time to see what I needed to see.
UFC 123 Recap (So Far):
Foster (-140) 3.5 units to win 2.5 units
BJ Penn (-155) 3.875 units to win 2.5 units
Rampage-Machida Over 2.5 Rounds (+120) 1.5 units to win 1.8 unitsComment -
Very solid bets. Particularly, the Rampage-Machida over 2.5 rounds. Machida's style doesn't look for a knockout in the early rounds, and Rampage will try, but probably will not prevail. So there's a very good chance it goes to 3 or more rounds.
I bet BJ Penn to get his shit together as well. Ol' Cabbage Patch lookin' mug.
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thx MT. GL this weekend!Very solid bets. Particularly, the Rampage-Machida over 2.5 rounds. Machida's style doesn't look for a knockout in the early rounds, and Rampage will try, but probably will not prevail. So there's a very good chance it goes to 3 or more rounds.
I bet BJ Penn to get his shit together as well. Ol' Cabbage Patch lookin' mug.
Adding:
Penn by Sub (+700) 0.35 units to win 2.45 units.Comment -
Ill buck the Falcao KO wrecking machine trend and go with Harris. I don't think you will see Harris mess around with the standup too much in this one. I forsee GNP stoppage in the 2nd.
Adding:
Harris inside the distance (-125) 1.875 units to win 1.5 unitsComment -
Adding 2 more, this should be all other than a prop or 2.
Adding:
Hallman (+140) 1.35 units to win 1.89 units
Griffin/Davis 2-fight parlay (-130) 3.25 units to win 2.5 units
UFC 123 Recap:
Foster (-140) 3.5 units to win 2.5 units
BJ Penn (-155) 3.875 units to win 2.5 units
Penn by Sub (+700) 0.35 units to win 2.45 units.
Rampage-Machida Over 2.5 Rounds (+120) 1.5 units to win 1.8 units
Harris inside the distance (-125) 1.875 units to win 1.5 units
Hallman (+140) 1.35 units to win 1.89 units
Griffin/Davis 2-fight parlay (-130) 3.25 units to win 2.5 unitsComment -
Bets looking good Ecco, have an awesome time at the event bro...should be epic!Comment -
Not a title fight, so it won't be going over 3 rounds.Very solid bets. Particularly, the Rampage-Machida over 2.5 rounds. Machida's style doesn't look for a knockout in the early rounds, and Rampage will try, but probably will not prevail. So there's a very good chance it goes to 3 or more rounds.
I bet BJ Penn to get his shit together as well. Ol' Cabbage Patch lookin' mug.
But I do agree that it will most likely go 2.5+
I really like Machida by UD here and will be looking for that prop bet.Comment -
I wouldn't say I'm expecting a finish, but lets say I wouldn't be surprised. I'm on Penn by sub for a small amount but thats just because I see value in play. I don't see any way Hughes can finish this fight and I think BJ is going to fight smart and strategical which means he will most likely keep his distance and pick his shots. Hughes was able to finish Penn last time because of an injury and also because Penn's cardio was very bad based on the fact that he only had a 2 week training camp leading up to the fight. He's well prepared this time and Hughes doesn't have the arsenal to put him in any danger to get a finish. I can see BJ pulling off a sub if Hughes gets too sloppy with his shots and ends up on the bottom similar to their first fight. But I think Matt is durable from a damage standpoint, and won't get TKOed.Comment -
Penn by sub at +700 is crazy value! Where did u get tht? Best I can get is +300Comment -
One last play. I kept going back and forth on this one in terms of a straight up winner, but once the handicaps came out I loved this one. I think Simpson/Munoz will be very competitive, a very tight fight. If it finishes inside the distance, I think Simpson will be the one to do it. Otherwise I see it going to a decision. And if it does, I don't see either guy winning all 3 rounds. By playing Simpson +3.5 I get the underdog in a fight that I think could easily end up a split decision.
Also adding one small flyer for fastest sub. There are potentially a handful of subs on this card, but I think this has some good value.
Adding:
Simpson +3.5 (-135) 2.3625 units to win 1.75 units
Davis fastest submission (+725) 0.3 units to win 2.175 units
UFC 123 Recap:
Foster (-140) 3.5 units to win 2.5 units
BJ Penn (-155) 3.875 units to win 2.5 units
Penn by Sub (+700) 0.35 units to win 2.45 units.
Rampage-Machida Over 2.5 Rounds (+120) 1.5 units to win 1.8 units
Harris inside the distance (-125) 1.875 units to win 1.5 units
Hallman (+140) 1.35 units to win 1.89 units
Griffin/Davis 2-fight parlay (-130) 3.25 units to win 2.5 units
Simpson +3.5 (-135) 2.3625 units to win 1.75 units
Davis fastest submission (+725) 0.3 units to win 2.175 units
Big card for me. Hopefully its a good one, or I may just drink myself into a coma at the event and not make it back to the hotel haha. GL tomorrow everyone!Comment -
GL tommorrow Lasker!
One small play for Strikeforce tonight:
Finney (-120) 1.2 units to win 1 unitComment -
gl luck sirComment
Oliveira is fighting Jim Miller next month!
I'm expecting a big night tomorrow.
