1. #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Monday, 9/28/15

    3 MLB Plays Monday

    Cardinals / Pirates UNDER 7.5 -115 (Heritage)
    Orioles +123 (5 Dimes)
    Twins +153 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 512-480-26, +79.26

  2. #2
    LT Profits
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    No 60%ers in meaningful games today.

  3. #3
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    No 60%ers in meaningful games today.
    I am surprise TX didn't make the cut (60%). They still need to win to clinch??? And I know it is meaningless to Detroit.

  4. #4
    mth61
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    I am surprise TX didn't make the cut (60%). They still need to win to clinch??? And I know it is meaningless to Detroit.

    Justin Verlander might not think its meaningless

  5. #5
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by mth61 View Post
    Justin Verlander might not think its meaningless
    The rest of that pathetic team does. LOL.

  6. #6
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    No 60%ers in meaningful games today.
    That's what you said about the Cubs/Pitt game and Cubs won
    Last edited by RavensFan2k3; 09-28-15 at 08:01 AM.

  7. #7
    Nitronett
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    I don't see how TOR at -123 isn't a gift in a meaningful gm to them...w Tillman huge struggles and splits vs TOR..that's some good odds on a hot team

  8. #8
    hsvankie
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    What do you think about Giants and Yankees?

  9. #9
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    I am surprise TX didn't make the cut (60%). They still need to win to clinch??? And I know it is meaningless to Detroit.
    I am considering TIGERS actually, only have Texas 51% (-104) vs. Verlander. Resisting as of now though, but subject to change.

  10. #10
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nitronett View Post
    I don't see how TOR at -123 isn't a gift in a meaningful gm to them...w Tillman huge struggles and splits vs TOR..that's some good odds on a hot team
    In my opinion (insert laughter) Toronto is much better at home, and doubt they can be caught by the NYY.

  11. #11
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I am considering TIGERS actually, only have Texas 51% (-104) vs. Verlander. Resisting as of now though, but subject to change.
    Roger, thanks.

  12. #12
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    That's what you said about the Cubs/Pitt game and Cubs won :banghead;
    But you would have lost a shitload on Washington this past week.

  13. #13
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nitronett View Post
    I don't see how TOR at -123 isn't a gift in a meaningful gm to them...w Tillman huge struggles and splits vs TOR..that's some good odds on a hot team
    Note the odds that I got (+123). Game is now scalpable with Toronto -122 at a few places including 5 Dimes.

    That aside though, sometimes lines are overly skewed this time of year with teams that need to win vs. also-rans, such as Milwaukee the last two days. Remember that my model doesn't care about "needing to win" and it has Toronto only 52% (-108) on the road. I tend to ignore the model when it points to favorites that are either eliminated or have clinched this time of the season, but I always pay attention to live underdogs any time of the year.

  14. #14
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    But you would have lost a shitload on Washington this past week.
    Yes but I lost a shitload on Pitt last night!

  15. #15
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Yes but I lost a shitload on Pitt last night!
    Brother, you took Pitt on the road against probably the best pitcher in baseball, well, at least the hottest ??? Yikes.

  16. #16
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by hsvankie View Post
    What do you think about Giants and Yankees?
    There is no line right now on either game at my books, but for the record, model has Yankees 58% (-138) and Dodgers 57% (-133). We will take it from there one lines come out.

  17. #17
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Brother, you took Pitt on the road against probably the best pitcher in baseball, well, at least the hottest ??? Yikes.
    I trusted in LT...gave up all my Rockies winnings

  18. #18
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Brother, you took Pitt on the road against probably the best pitcher in baseball, well, at least the hottest ??? Yikes.
    As did I. I will gladly take +182 on the hottest team in baseball still trying to win a division vs. a team locked into its playoff spot. And I didn't quite expect Arrieta to go seven innings either. No biggie.

  19. #19
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Yes but I lost a shitload on Pitt last night!
    No need to lose that much on a +182 underdog.

  20. #20
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    No need to lose that much on a +182 underdog.
    And Washington has still been in the -200s the last week.

  21. #21
    MoeSedway
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    I trusted in LT...gave up all my Rockies winnings
    People who makes posts like this should be banned.

  22. #22
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by MoeSedway View Post
    People who makes posts like this should be banned.
    I know right!

  23. #23
    Nitronett
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    I hear you LT but outside the model Toronto still wants the best AL record so when you add on
    Better team
    Something to play for vs elim team
    Better pitcher

    I'm not sure being in another offensive stadium is gon effect a hot team . I just think at -123 when it opened that's great odds, I'll ario backing them cus it's a set up for a loss but I'm not seeing value in a flat orioles team and TILLMAN....

  24. #24
    eddycash
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    Rats under 7 +105?

  25. #25
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by eddycash View Post
    Rats under 7 +105?
    OK but no lower than +105

  26. #26
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nitronett View Post
    I hear you LT but outside the model Toronto still wants the best AL record so when you add on
    Better team
    Something to play for vs elim team
    Better pitcher

    I'm not sure being in another offensive stadium is gon effect a hot team . I just think at -123 when it opened that's great odds, I'll ario backing them cus it's a set up for a loss but I'm not seeing value in a flat orioles team and TILLMAN....
    There are other factors too, especially Estrada not being as good as his record and mainstream stats. You say "better pitcher" with confidence, but Estrada has an ugly 5.00 xFIP vs. a 4.58 xFIP for Tillman.

  27. #27
    LT Profits
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    1 MLB Addition

    4 MLB Plays Monday

    Reds / Nationals UNDER 7 +105 (Heritage)
    Cardinals / Pirates UNDER 7.5 -115 (Heritage)
    Orioles +123 (5 Dimes)
    Twins +153 (5 Dimes)

  28. #28
    Wrecked
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    4 MLB Plays Monday

    Reds / Nationals UNDER 7 +105 (Heritage)
    Cardinals / Pirates UNDER 7.5 -115 (Heritage)
    Orioles +123 (5 Dimes)
    Twins +153 (5 Dimes)
    Following via parlay
    yolo

  29. #29
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wrecked View Post
    Following via parlay
    yolo
    I would never recommend that, just like I would never recommend overplaying any one of my plays individually.

  30. #30
    brett1508
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    "Yolo" haha BOL wrecked

  31. #31
    LT Profits
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    Another MLB Addition

    5 MLB Plays Monday

    Reds / Nationals UNDER 7 +105 (Heritage)
    Cardinals / Pirates UNDER 7.5 -115 (Heritage)
    Orioles +123 (5 Dimes)
    Twins +153 (5 Dimes)
    Twins / Indians UNDER 7.5 +102 (5 Dimes)

  32. #32
    LT Profits
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    No Action on Twins and Twins Under due to pitching chance by Minnesota to Milone, now down to 3 plays.

  33. #33
    Wrecked
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I would never recommend that, just like I would never recommend overplaying any one of my plays individually.
    No worries, I'm not going to cry like RavensFan2k3 LOLOLOL

    LETS BANG ONE OUT BABY AYYYYYYY

  34. #34
    TheSchafe
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    How do the Mariners look to you tonight LT?

  35. #35
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheSchafe View Post
    How do the Mariners look to you tonight LT?
    Too close to number, I get Houston 57% (-133)

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