on3's MLB 2012 Opening Game system thread 194-8 last year +60 units

[knugen]

Dlunc what more system do u follow?

[dlunc3]

Dlunc what more system do u follow?

hey man.. would hate to clutter this thread with talk of other systems... stop by my thread some time and we can talk.. http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-b...-business.html

[knugen]

Yes ofcourse i dont want to clutter
this thread either, just didnt know that u had a thread, sorry On3 and everyone else, hope for alit of plays tomorrow

[J.M. Disciple]

Anyone on texas today besides Dlunc and I? I know LTA had the under which isn't looking good so far.... Texas might be an upset today for several of us. add it to the line and keep moving forward though.

[J.M. Disciple]

delete duplicate...

[moshi]

Anyone on texas today besides Dlunc and I? I know LTA had the under which isn't looking good so far.... Texas might be an upset today for several of us. add it to the line and keep moving forward though.

Dafuq you post twice for? And no, I'm on TB. Its still early though.

[dlunc3]

APRIL 30
Red Sox vs Athletics
Yankees vs Orioles
Rays vs Mariners
Blue Jays vs Rangers
Tigers vs Royals
Angels vs Twins
Astros vs Mets
Rockies vs Dodgers
Padres vs Brewers

Only a GUESS, but the bolded series are ones I would anticipate being plays... look forward to taking more from the bookieman

looking like they are all plays.... close one is Det as it opened right on -145

[J.M. Disciple]

Dafuq you post twice for? And no, I'm on TB. Its still early though.

When the site updated I guess it posted it twice. I did not even realize it....This was a problem for several people in the JM nba thread as well when the site changed.

Good Job on TB. Texas is usually money!! Money making machine this year I think. Just wait for them to play worse teams I guess...

[KennyM10]

Jm disciple should be banned for soliciting. He is a nob gobbler and ruins this thread.

[J.M. Disciple]

as posted earlier not responding to any criticism in this thread.


here is some food for thought as learned in the system integrity thread. I am not sure how often it happens, but biggest favorite of the day has never lost 6 straight times in over 6 seasons of back testing. So Maybe do a 3 game chase once they have lost 3 straight times.

Food for thought
JMD

[O]

as posted earlier not responding to any criticism in this thread.


here is some food for thought as learned in the system integrity thread. I am not sure how often it happens, but biggest favorite of the day has never lost 6 straight times in over 6 seasons of back testing. So Maybe do a 3 game chase once they have lost 3 straight times.

Food for thought
JMD

Honestly man, you are just ruining this with all this crap. It takes 20 mins to go back 5 pages to find On3's post. It really is kinda disrespectful to all the work On3 is doing for ALL of us. Pretty beat man.

[Wallco99]

***

[J.M. Disciple]

EARLY LINES FOR ON3 HOME GAME CHASE
*PLEASE STAY ON TOPIC*

APRIL 30
Red Sox vs Athletics (-160) O/U 9
Yankees vs Orioles (-167) O/U 9
Rays vs Mariners (-122)
Blue Jays vs Rangers (+138)
Tigers vs Royals (-146)
Angels vs Twins (-235) *PROBABLY RUN LINE* -1.5 RL (-110)
Astros vs Mets (+100)
Rockies vs Dodgers (-138) **KEEP EYE ON THIS ONE** O/U 9.5
Padres vs Brewers (-112)


Thanks Dlunc for posting in bold to make it easier. Again everyone please stay on topic of this system only. I am done posting and discussing anything besides this system in this thread. You all get your wish.


At least 2 filtered plays tomorrow possibly 3. Lot of action. Good Luck everyone. Please await on3's official post.

[Wallco99]

When all the JMD posts were deleted from this thread, my was deleted also, since I included his quote in my response. Hopefully that will be the last of the Asstari topic in this thread. And high five to the moderators!

[SlickRick1382]

When all the JMD posts were deleted from this thread, my was deleted also, since I included his quote in my response. Hopefully that will be the last of the Asstari topic in this thread. And high five to the moderators!

That was a solid you did us all there. Appreciate that Wallco. same goes to the mods

Not sure how many times I (and other members) could tell that asshole to stop with the nonsense, which he would pompously ignore. Nothing worse than having good threads ruined by people like him ....

[Gndias]

nice to see that we are back on track,now lets make some fvcking money tonight

[xxplosive]

If I am looking to play this system starting now should I just use the amounts you guys are using? Also what kind of bankroll you guys using? Thanks.

[darkmatter117]

Xxplosive, unless you have a BR of $2,000+ I wouldn't play to win the same amounts as on3. His units are $20. If you're unfamiliar with Labby lines, there's some good info at the beginning of the thread, or you can PM me and I'll do my best to explain. If you want to simplify things, though, I would suggest dividing the amounts on3 is playing to win by 2 if your BR is $1,000; divide by 4 if your BR is $500. I hope that helps.

[Aubsdad]

Xxplosive, darkmatter is right on......this might help...Good luck !

http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/labouchere-system.html

[oklahoma]

Finally we get a couple filtered plays at once.

[on3]

worried about the DET line. we just took an L on them, and they dont have Verlander until the (C) bet if necessary. the line opened at -140, public push to -150, then sharp movement back down to -141. o/u is at 8.5. passing on DET, no play.

System record 29-1-0; 7-0-0
Units +14
1 unit = $20

4/30

#31 -- baltimore @ NYY -173 (A) -- o/u 9 -- eligible for 5/2 if (A) loses
#32 -- oakland @ BOS -149 (A) -- o/u 9 -- eligible for 5/2 if (A) loses
#33 -- minnesota @ LAA -225/-105 (A) -- o/u 7.5 -- play RL

Game 1 win = 15-15; 5-2
Game 2 win = 12-3; 2-0
Game 3 win = 2-1; 0-0

Labby Line (regular)

40-47-46-50*
x-x-x-x
10-30-30-33

Labby Line (filter)

10-10-10-10

NYY to win 40
BOS to win 47
LAA to win 50

NYY to win 20
BOS to win 20

*note on the line, all losses from todays (A) bets, hopefully none, will be placed on the (B) line in favor of keeping the lines weighted equally. if we reach a 5/2 bet, that bet will NOT be on the labby and will be a straight 5 unit bet.

[on3]

fyi, i am experimenting with road faves that meet the o/u filter on both the A, B, C method and 5/2. i wont be tracking units here, but will probably add a note if/when these plays hit so we can see if they are profitable. so today i will be on TEX, but i dont recommend this to anyone

[J.M. Disciple]

ON3

you stated B would be a straight 5 unit bet and will not be added to the labby? I thought limit suggest for those who have a bigger bankroll to do both. Also if the B loses does that mean you are betting to show a 2unit profit on the series if B loses?

So basically only labby the A bets and doing 5/2 with B & C?

[AwesomeGuy]

Can someone quickly summarize what the "5/2" thing is?

[darkmatter117]

Can someone quickly summarize what the "5/2" thing is?

Post #790.

[oklahoma]

Hopefully we do better than last week. Bol tonight.

[on3]

ON3

you stated B would be a straight 5 unit bet and will not be added to the labby? I thought limit suggest for those who have a bigger bankroll to do both. Also if the B loses does that mean you are betting to show a 2unit profit on the series if B loses?

So basically only labby the A bets and doing 5/2 with B & C?

they will be run seperately. the B and C will continue on the labby. the 5/2 will be tracked on their own. i understand that not everyone will be playing the 3 variations of this system (standard, fitlered, 5/2).

[volkmannthad]

Loving this system, even with recent loss.

[J.M. Disciple]

fyi, i am experimenting with road faves that meet the o/u filter on both the A, B, C method and 5/2. i wont be tracking units here, but will probably add a note if/when these plays hit so we can see if they are profitable. so today i will be on TEX, but i dont recommend this to anyone

Are you tracking all road favorites -101 or higher with o/u at 9 or higher or are you doing it based on a certain juice as well? I mentioned in the past, but pretty sure it got ignored. Do you have any stats on the favorites that open below -145 with o/u at 9 based on 3 game home stand.

Only reason i bring this up is because the favorites were 63-0 last season on the filtered correct? Just trying to add in a few more plays, but do not know if it has been back tested or not.

[thelimit0310]

There was a loss in the filtered plays last year though On3 decided not to play the series in his thread.

[oklahoma]

Red sox in meltdown mode. Bases loaded, already gave up 5 runs this inning.

[ifiwaspresident]

The friggin' BoSox are trying to give away my money.

[soul786]

Cash the Yanks filtered play. Boston lead in the Bot 8th, need to hold for the save and that's 2 for 2 on the filtered A bets.

[ifiwaspresident]

Boston tried to lose but Oak just wouldn't let them.

[NoHero]

Boston tried to lose but Oak just wouldn't let them.