LTA's MLB Plays

[Love The Action]

You forgot about the Indians White Sox under 8 1/2. Masterson at home tonight...

Indians are playing the twins....I didnt forget, I just don't like it. My model has 7.9 for that one and the line moved to 8, si there is no value. Plus, its 96% chance of rain in cle too....no play.

I predict a lot of rain delays tonight, but the five games I locked should have no weather problems. GL.

[adamo1018]

Yeah it sucks usually the rain screws up the under, and so far today a fielding error just caused the most recent run. I got it early at 8 1/2 tho but it looks like it wont matter. I jumped on that Brewers/Fish under tho so hopefully that'll cash.

[KTeller]

LTA what a run of games, i dont see how i ****** this up and i took the over on almost every single one listed. What a bad day for me.. why in the world i didnt double check? I think i was stuck on all these 'overs' for NCAA footballs that i just clicked 4 wrong games.. damm what a hit in the wallet..

[Full-Grown]

Any idea why Red Sox opened at -145 favs today to -102 tomorrow with same starting pitchers pitching???

[hawley]

Boom. nice call on the under Brewers under LTA.

[Full-Grown]

Any idea why Red Sox opened at -145 favs today to -102 tomorrow with same starting pitchers pitching???

nevermind, it was an old line with different pitchers, new line back up. BoSox -143. My bad.

[815Sox]

Great Night so far LTA

[rav8998]

Hey LTA, new to the site man and new to MLB betting. Been reading you forum and wanted to say thank you for your insight and discussions and congrats on an awesome night. Tailed all five bets so couldnt thank you enough!

[pacocn]

Lta, great night you are rollin i tailed the A's game

[CdeQ]

Great day! Again...

[moguler]

LTA's done it again.

LTA, your picks today gave me a descent profit again.
I guess you can make money not only by picking the right ones but also selling your picks.
I get help from the covers "professional" free picks and you and this website, and I find out that
you are very consistent and sharp. I think your picks are worth buying although I don't want to see you do that.
Keep up the good work, LTA. Again, Thanks so much for your effort.

[r1kkie]

Thank you for an excellent day!

[Donnie Brasco]

Great day again Lta, true professional! Good luck with ncaa

[Redscot]

Outstanding work my man. Hope you had a great night out!

[Supaman]

gj.

[funnyman]

LTA, Loking forward to post season on MLB.Good for unders.

[Love The Action]

MLB Recap 9/23/11

5 - 0 = +7.5x

MLB Season 2011

410 - 365 = +44.315x

Good luck on Saturday!

[SilverTongueFox]

LTA-you gonna have any totals today for MLB? Or no time to cap with football.

[Love The Action]

MLB 9/24/11

Play #1

Toronto/TB under (7.5) 1x (Locked)

I had capped this one yesterday before I went out, so I jumped on it last night before I passed out. The line has since moved to 7 and I would still take it at that number, especially at plus odds. My model has this one at 6.5, which provides some value at both 7.5 and 7. Even though I was getting a full run of variance, I didn't take it for more because Rapuano is the ump and he has a considerable over lean. Nevertheless, his strike rate is at 62.9%, so that's not horribly painful for an under. Romero and Niemann have both pitched well against these lineups and I've been backing Niemann a lot this second half to considerable success. This one is in the Trop and I don't expect a barrage of runs. Romero has hit a run of consistency which is exactly what his career needed. I expect both starting pitchers to pitch into the 7th inning in a 3-1 or 2-1 type game. As long as the relievers hold it down, we should cash. I'm rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

[Love The Action]

MLB 9/24/11

Play #1

Toronto/TB under (7.5) 1x (Locked)

I had capped this one yesterday before I went out, so I jumped on it last night before I passed out. The line has since moved to 7 and I would still take it at that number, especially at plus odds. My model has this one at 6.5, which provides some value at both 7.5 and 7. Even though I was getting a full run of variance, I didn't take it for more because Rapuano is the ump and he has a considerable over lean. Nevertheless, his strike rate is at 62.9%, so that's not horribly painful for an under. Romero and Niemann have both pitched well against these lineups and I've been backing Niemann a lot this second half to considerable success. This one is in the Trop and I don't expect a barrage of runs. Romero has hit a run of consistency which is exactly what his career needed. I expect both starting pitchers to pitch into the 7th inning in a 3-1 or 2-1 type game. As long as the relievers hold it down, we should cash. I'm rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #2

Philly/Mets under (7)(-115) 1x (Locked)

Hamels needs a nice performance as a tuneup for the playoffs. Dickey has been pitching great. Both guys have solid advanced numbers, with Hamels sporting top 10 MLB stats. Dickey has pitched to three unders in a row and with Philly's offense struggling a bit and their historic troubles against Dickey, I think we have a great shot at the under here. The Mets are dangerous, but Hamels should contain their offense and I'm just not a believer in a team that has Pagan as the third hitter in their lineup. The weather is supposed to cooperate, although their is a chance of rain. I'm rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

[Love The Action]

MLB 9/24/11

Play #1

Toronto/TB under (7.5) 1x (Locked)

I had capped this one yesterday before I went out, so I jumped on it last night before I passed out. The line has since moved to 7 and I would still take it at that number, especially at plus odds. My model has this one at 6.5, which provides some value at both 7.5 and 7. Even though I was getting a full run of variance, I didn't take it for more because Rapuano is the ump and he has a considerable over lean. Nevertheless, his strike rate is at 62.9%, so that's not horribly painful for an under. Romero and Niemann have both pitched well against these lineups and I've been backing Niemann a lot this second half to considerable success. This one is in the Trop and I don't expect a barrage of runs. Romero has hit a run of consistency which is exactly what his career needed. I expect both starting pitchers to pitch into the 7th inning in a 3-1 or 2-1 type game. As long as the relievers hold it down, we should cash. I'm rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #2

Philly/Mets under (7)(-115) 1x (Locked)

Hamels needs a nice performance as a tuneup for the playoffs. Dickey has been pitching great. Both guys have solid advanced numbers, with Hamels sporting top 10 MLB stats. Dickey has pitched to three unders in a row and with Philly's offense struggling a bit and their historic troubles against Dickey, I think we have a great shot at the under here. The Mets are dangerous, but Hamels should contain their offense and I'm just not a believer in a team that has Pagan as the third hitter in their lineup. The weather is supposed to cooperate, although their is a chance of rain. I'm rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #3

Braves -1 RL (-120) 1x (Locked)

This is a pure play on advanced stat domination of Beachy over Wang. Although Wang has pitched better since a rough start after returning from injury, his advanced stats pale in comparison to Wang. I don't have to go through it all, but I will state that Beach's K% in the mid 20's dwarfs Wang's K% which is under 10% and Beach's SIERA around 2.8 is more than a run better than Wang's which is over 4. The Braves have the better lineup and the better bullpen. When you add such a huge mismatch in starting pitchers, it's almost an autoplay. I'm rolling with the Braves -1 RL for 1x. Good luck.

[Trivial]

Thanks dood. Lets go 3/3 today LTA. I got Tor/TB under for -130. I felt it still was good.

[Love The Action]

Braves trying to give away the wild card, but the Cards can't capitalize. I am very surprised the Braves bats didn't hit Wang.

[Love The Action]

MLB 9/24/11

Play #1

Toronto/TB under (7.5) 1x (Locked)

I had capped this one yesterday before I went out, so I jumped on it last night before I passed out. The line has since moved to 7 and I would still take it at that number, especially at plus odds. My model has this one at 6.5, which provides some value at both 7.5 and 7. Even though I was getting a full run of variance, I didn't take it for more because Rapuano is the ump and he has a considerable over lean. Nevertheless, his strike rate is at 62.9%, so that's not horribly painful for an under. Romero and Niemann have both pitched well against these lineups and I've been backing Niemann a lot this second half to considerable success. This one is in the Trop and I don't expect a barrage of runs. Romero has hit a run of consistency which is exactly what his career needed. I expect both starting pitchers to pitch into the 7th inning in a 3-1 or 2-1 type game. As long as the relievers hold it down, we should cash. I'm rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #2

Philly/Mets under (7)(-115) 1x (Locked)

Hamels needs a nice performance as a tuneup for the playoffs. Dickey has been pitching great. Both guys have solid advanced numbers, with Hamels sporting top 10 MLB stats. Dickey has pitched to three unders in a row and with Philly's offense struggling a bit and their historic troubles against Dickey, I think we have a great shot at the under here. The Mets are dangerous, but Hamels should contain their offense and I'm just not a believer in a team that has Pagan as the third hitter in their lineup. The weather is supposed to cooperate, although their is a chance of rain. I'm rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #3

Braves -1 RL (-120) 1x (Locked)

This is a pure play on advanced stat domination of Beachy over Wang. Although Wang has pitched better since a rough start after returning from injury, his advanced stats pale in comparison to Wang. I don't have to go through it all, but I will state that Beach's K% in the mid 20's dwarfs Wang's K% which is under 10% and Beach's SIERA around 2.8 is more than a run better than Wang's which is over 4. The Braves have the better lineup and the better bullpen. When you add such a huge mismatch in starting pitchers, it's almost an autoplay. I'm rolling with the Braves -1 RL for 1x. Good luck.

Play #4

Mariners ML (-110) 1x (Locked)

Wow...I've been busy with NCAAF and NFL and almost forgot to check that Texas lineup...they are sitting everyone but Michael Young...I'll take my chances with King Felix. I missed some of the value, but my sharper book has the Mariners at -115 which is where Pinny is at, so we will still beat the closer by 5 cents or so. I'm rolling with the Mariners for 1x. Good luck.

[Love The Action]

Ouch...they just took Hernandez out in the 4th inning after giving up three straight hits...Mariners play not looking good. That one will take a miracle to cash. Not good...

[Love The Action]

Looks like the late steam on the over in the Toronto/TB game was spot on. Check out this line history from Pinny. This type of late, all at once switch in the line around 5pm tells me there could have been some type of inside info on Niemann....perhaps he was out drinking before the game

TOTALS - OVER/UNDER
09/23 20:10 7½ +100 / 7½ -110
09/24 07:56 7½ +109 / 7½ -120
09/24 08:04 7½ +111 / 7½ -123
09/24 08:42 7½ +116 / 7½ -128
09/24 12:18 7½ +113 / 7½ -125
09/24 17:04 7½ +114 / 7½ -126
09/24 17:41 7½ +111 / 7½ -123
09/24 17:42 7½ -102 / 7½ -108
09/24 17:43 7½ -103 / 7½ -107
09/24 17:44 7½ -102 / 7½ -108
09/24 17:45 7½ -103 / 7½ -107
09/24 17:46 7½ -105 / 7½ -105
09/24 17:53 7½ -103 / 7½ -107
09/24 17:54 7½ -102 / 7½ -108
09/24 18:17 7½ -106 / 7½ -104
09/24 18:31 7½ -114 / 7½ +103
09/24 18:34 7½ -110 / 7½ +100
09/24 18:36 7½ -107 / 7½ -103
09/24 18:37 7½ -116 / 7½ +105
09/24 18:38 7½ -114 / 7½ +103
09/24 18:42 7½ -112 / 7½ +102
09/24 18:43 7½ -113 / 7½ +102
09/24 18:58 7½ -115 / 7½ +104
09/24 18:59 7½ -114 / 7½ +103
09/24 19:02 7½ -110 / 7½ +100
09/24 19:03 7½ -113 / 7½ +102
09/24 19:07 7½ -110 / 7½ +100

[hawley]

Somebody knew something.

[italianbandit]

LTA you the man, although I miss the God1, NC, Redscott talkshow. Make sure you leave enough time for the little one.

[Love The Action]

LTA you the man, although I miss the God1, NC, Redscott talkshow. Make sure you leave enough time for the little one.

He's sitting on my lap as I type

We spent the whole day together while the wife was out...best day in awhile

[hawley]

another error kills the under

[KTeller]

yeah i missed out on the 5-0 firday and have gone 0-5 since.. i had 2 full units on the Under in the Tampa game and of course, instead of just getting out of the inning and having 1/2 inning to go, Damon rocks it out of the park; ****!

[hawley]

yeah i missed out on the 5-0 firday and have gone 0-5 since.. i had 2 full units on the Under in the Tampa game and of course, instead of just getting out of the inning and having 1/2 inning to go, Damon rocks it out of the park; ****!

Its just garbage

I knew something was coming after that error.

[KTeller]

Its just garbage I knew something was coming after that error.

Yeah no doubt, i dont know why i feel like that is just destine to happen to me. Sometimes i think its just a natural coin flip; you pick the right or wrong side.. but how can some of us go 0 & 5 or more in a row; Lets go Sports Gods Shine on us..

Tomorrow will be a great day with NFL!

[KTeller]

And then mark Hunt takes down another favorite~! down 2 full bets there
dammit son!

[fitguy67]

today it's about winning and losing (ergo, about breaks and screw-ups, etc.) but in the long run it's about VALUE...which is what u do well, LTa...

KEEP UP THE +ev WORK , lta