New MLB System Strategies, Based on Statistics.

**HoulihansTX** · 07-01-11, 09:34 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(138-118)54% +17.05 Units
___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

June 30
Bullpen Projection System

CWS 3.90 W (+100)
Philly 1.48 L (-125)
Toronto 1.46 No Play >-150
[B][U]

March 26 to May 14
Overall
(68-52) +22.56 Units

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(139-119)54% +16.80 Units
___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

July 1
Bullpen Projection System

Florida 2.26
Minny 1.85
Cleve 1.52
Zona 1.32

No Plays
Seattle np L2 2.96
Dodgers np L2 2.89
SF np L2 2.14
Mets np(Yanks W2) 1.91
Tampa np(Stl W2) 1.57
Colo np L2 1.04

**BrewMaster** · 07-01-11, 10:58 AM

Since 15May11: 91-80 (+10.91 units)

http://brewmaster.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

Scientific Approach 01Jul11:

CLE, -160
NYY, -170
ATL, -213
FLA, -108

Filtered (CWS (on a W2 playing a W2), MLW, KC, SEA)
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck

**ShivaBowl** · 07-01-11, 12:24 PM

06/30/11
TPR system went 0-0
No Plays TOR > -150
Start Date 05/01
57-68 –14.73u

H/A system went 1-1
Start Date 05/29
38-25 +8.34u

P/T Power Plays went 1-2
Start Date 06/12
17-15 +1.41

07/01/11

TPR System Plays Filter No Play if >-150
DET 1.6
ARZ 1.6
BOS 1.5
MLW 1.5 No Play L/3
TEX 1.2 No Play FLA W/2

H /A System Plays
Filter No Play if >-150
No Plays

P/T Plays Filter No Play if >-150
CLE
COL

**ShivaBowl** · 07-01-11, 12:30 PM

Formulawiz, please turn on your PM service, I need to talk to you.
TX: PM?
Thanks

**HoulihansTX** · 07-01-11, 12:36 PM

I have room now Shiva

**ShivaBowl** · 07-01-11, 12:59 PM

Complimentary Selection From Sportrends, for 7/1/2011
Take Florida W/Sanchez over Texas W/Ogando NO PLAY if TEX < -175

**BrewMaster** · 07-01-11, 03:48 PM

Record updated above.

**Formulawiz** · 07-02-11, 06:29 AM

NO ML plays yesterday

**ShivaBowl** · 07-02-11, 07:39 AM

07/01/11
H/A system 0-0
No plays yesterday
Start Date 05/29
38-25 +8.34u

P/T Power Plays 1-0
COL >-150 W
CLE +107 W
Start Date 06/12
18-15 +2.48

07/02/11
H /A System Plays
Filter No Play if >-150
PHI
NYY
CHC 1/2U CWS W/3
COL NO PLAY

P/T Plays
Filter No Play if >-150
NYY 1/2U
MLW 1/2U MLW L/4

BOL

**Formulawiz** · 07-02-11, 07:41 AM

Todays ML plays. FAV must be < -140.

NYY if = -140 only
OAK
LAA
SEA

**barts185** · 07-02-11, 07:46 AM

While the line puts it out of reach anyway, the site has too many innings pitched for Colorado pitcher Greg Reynolds. They are showing 26. Even counting his relief innings, I only get 17.2 so far this season. Just pointing this out in case anyone is keeping track of games with less than 20 IP even if they don't fit the filters.

**ShivaBowl** · 07-02-11, 07:53 AM

Originally posted by barts185

Colorado pitcher Greg Reynolds. They are showing 26. Even counting his relief innings, I only get 17.2 so far this season.

Thanks barts185, BOL.

**ShivaBowl** · 07-02-11, 08:24 AM

Originally posted by BrewMaster

Since 15May11: 91-80 (+10.91 units) http://brewmaster.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

Originally posted by BrewMaster

Scientific Approach 01Jul11: CLE, -160 NYY, -170 ATL, -213 FLA, -108 Filtered (CWS (on a W2 playing a W2), MLW, KC, SEA) System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck

BM, CWS was a play yesterday.
S/A System is on fire! Keep up the good work.
BOL

**BrewMaster** · 07-02-11, 10:54 AM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

BM, CWS was a play yesterday.
S/A System is on fire! Keep up the good work.
BOL

I don't understand our filters. I asked this a few days ago and from Bart's response I thought we were sticking to the original ST filters. Are we negating if on a WIN streak? And ignoring if the opposing team is on a LOSING streak.

I don't care either way. Just can't figure out where this is defined.

**BrewMaster** · 07-02-11, 11:03 AM

Record to be updated.

3-1 last night. System is hot. Ride it out, then hop off. SA is streaky.

Scientific Approach 02Jul11:

CWS, NP >-137
NYY
BOS
STL
ANA, NP>-122
SD, NP <+104

Filtered (CIN, MLW, ARZ)
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck

**HoulihansTX** · 07-02-11, 12:22 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

March 26 to May 14
Overall
(68-52) +22.56 Units

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall (139-119)54% +16.80 Units
___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

July 1
Bullpen Projection System

Florida 2.26 L (+140)
Minny 1.85 W (+105)
Cleve 1.52 W (+105)
Zona 1.32 L (+105)

March 26 to May 14
Overall
(68-52) +22.56 Units

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(141-121)54% +16.90 Units
___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

July 2
Bullpen Projection System

Seattle 5.57
Florida 4.23
Pitt 1.59 (Only GM 1)
Cleve 1.52

No Plays
Toronto np L2 4.09
Zona np L2 3.31
Mets np(Yanks W2) 1.77
KC np L2 1.06
_________

TPR
(58-70) –15.88u

Boston 1.5 (Watch the line)
Yanks 1.0

No Plays
Detroit np>-150 1.5
Zona np L2 1.5
Milwaukee np L2 1.4
TX np >-150 1.3

**Formulawiz** · 07-03-11, 06:39 AM

ML plays went 1-2, -1.3 units
YTD 75-42, 23.35 units

Plays later today

**Formulawiz** · 07-03-11, 07:41 AM

Todays ML plays. FAV must be < -140

TB, MIL, LAA, OAK

**ShivaBowl** · 07-03-11, 07:45 AM

07/02/11
H/A system 1-1
Start Date 05/29
39-26 +8.86u

P/T Power Plays 2-0
Start Date 06/12
20-15 +3.48u

07/03/11
H /A System Plays
Filter No Play if >-150
SFO
WAS
MLW 1/2U

P/T Plays
Filter No Play if >-150
SFO
STL

**HoulihansTX** · 07-03-11, 09:48 AM

July 3
Bullpen Projection System

Florida 4.33
Brew 3.33
Oak 2.87
Pitt 2.54
SF 1.93
Cleve 1.31

No Play
Boston np >-150 7.89
Toronto np L2 2.99
Atl np >-150 1.85
KC np L2 1.84

I will update Monday, but yesterday was a +3.3Unit success w/the BPR. +1Unit TPR as well

BOL

**HoulihansTX** · 07-03-11, 09:52 AM

TPR
Brew 1.4
Zona 1.4
Yanks 1.0

No Plays
Boston np>-150 1.5
Det np L2 1.4
TX np>-150 1.3

**BrewMaster** · 07-03-11, 11:01 AM

Record to be updated.

5-1 last night. System is very HOT

Scientific Approach 03Jul11:

SF
NYY
STL
BOS
ARZ, NP > -117

Filtered (CHC)
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck

**HoulihansTX** · 07-03-11, 02:05 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(141-121)54% +16.90 Units
___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

July 2
Bullpen Projection System

Seattle 5.57 L (-120)
Florida 4.23 W (+150)
Pitt 1.59 (Only GM 1) W (+160)
Cleve 1.52 W (+140)
_________

TPR
(58-70) –15.88u

Boston 1.5 (NP>-150)
Yanks 1.0 W (-120)

March 26 to May 14
Overall
(68-52) +22.56 Units

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(144-122)54% +20.20 Units
___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

July 3
Bullpen Projection System

Florida 4.33
Brew 3.33
Oak 2.87
Pitt 2.54
SF 1.93
Cleve 1.31

No Play
Boston np >-150 7.89
Toronto np L2 2.99
Atl np >-150 1.85
KC np L2 1.84

_________

TPR
(59-70) –14.88u

Brew 1.4
Zona 1.4
Yanks 1.0

**agos** · 07-04-11, 02:25 AM

gl on your plays today

**Formulawiz** · 07-04-11, 06:46 AM

ML system went 2-1, +0.85 units
YTD 77-43, +24.2 units

Plays later today

**ShivaBowl** · 07-04-11, 08:30 AM

Originally posted by BrewMaster

I don't understand our filters. I asked this a few days ago and from Bart's response I thought we were sticking to the original ST filters. Are we negating if on a WIN streak? And ignoring if the opposing team is on a LOSING streak. I don't care either way. Just can't figure out where this is defined.

BM, do what you feel is best for S/A, with the both W/2 filter.
I think you should have it as a play and a no play if L/2.
BOL

**ShivaBowl** · 07-04-11, 08:32 AM

07/03/11
H/A System went 0-2
WAS np >-150
Start Date 05/29
39-28 +7.29u

P/T Plays went 0-2
Start Date 06/12
20-17 +1.48u

07/04/11
H/A Plays
Filter No Play if >-150
TAM
SFO
CLE
TOR 1/2U.

P/T Plays
Filter No Play if >-150
ATL
CLE
SFO
TOR 1/2U

**HoulihansTX** · 07-04-11, 10:02 AM

July 4
Bullpen Projection System

Pitt 6.70
Balty 5.02 5.02
Cleve 3.94
Angels 2.71
Colo 2.68
Cubs 2.32
Boston 2.11
Florida 2.03
Oak 1.84
KC 1.59

No Plays
SF np >-150 3.69
Dodgers np L2 2.53
Tampa np>-150 2.35

TPR

Yanks 1.2
Boston 1.0

No Plays
Det np(Angels W2) 1.0
Tampa np>-150 1.0

**HoulihansTX** · 07-04-11, 10:03 AM

Updates tomorrow 10am pacific.

**djprimem** · 07-04-11, 11:17 AM

Anybody know what the Sportrend Complimentary pick was yesterday?

**wikaj** · 07-04-11, 11:18 AM

Sportstrend pick was atl <-155

**wikaj** · 07-04-11, 11:21 AM

Can somebody post the M/L plays please. I cant figure it out

**barts185** · 07-04-11, 01:00 PM

Originally posted by wikaj

Sportstrend pick was atl <-155

Just to clarify, since different people are using the < and > signs differently, yesterday's play was

Take Atlanta W/Beachy over Baltimore W/Britton NO PLAY if > -155

It wound up being a no play since it was (barely) worse than -155

Today's (July 4th) is

Take Washington W/Zimmerman over Chi Cubs W/Coleman NO PLAY if > -145

That's not even close.

**Tommygunn** · 07-04-11, 01:01 PM

SA Brew?

**HoulihansTX** · 07-04-11, 01:06 PM

Originally posted by wikaj

Can somebody post the M/L plays please. I cant figure it out

Angels np <-125
Florida np <+125 (so +126 and so on=NP)
Pitt np <-130
Boston np <-130

STL np L2
Dodgers np L2

Any mistakes, please correct Bart.