New MLB System Strategies, Based on Statistics.

[HoulihansTX]

WHAT TIME DOES THE HA OVERS GET PUT UP ! NEVER PLAYED THEM BUT SOMEONE SAID THEY ARE THE PLAYS TO PLAY

GrillD. Please exercise patience in regards to the time it takes to post the systems.

Just know that they will be posted either ASAP early bird, or @ least an hour B4 the first pitch.

Thanks

[ShivaBowl]

FYI: If anyone wants to do some work and take over the TPR System, please send me a PM. chinoloco ?
Thanks


Sportrends, has updated their Pitching and Team Overall Power Rating System.
I now have to scrap the old system and start a new P/T system as of today

[grilldog24]

SORRY ABOUT THAT !

[HoulihansTX]

TPR system went 2-1 yesterday. TEX –136 L DET –118 W CIN +143 W Start Date 05/01 48-53 –8.34u

Start Date 05/01
48-53 –8.34u

TPR 6/12
Texas 1.8
Detroit 1.7
Cincy 1.1
CWS 1.0

I can do this for the remainder of the season. As I have been tracking this myself.

[barts185]

FYI: If anyone wants to do some work and take over the TPR System, please send me a PM. chinoloco ?
Thanks


Sportrends, has updated their Pitching and Team Overall Power Rating System.
I now have to scrap the old system and start a new P/T system as of today

It just looks like they added more things on that page ( http://sportrends.com/team_pr_mlb.htm).

Do you know that they actually changed the way that they are calculating the P-Power and T-Power?

P-Power and T-Power are still there and the explanation at the top didn't change.

If they didn't change it, why scrap the old system?

[Small Timer]

Thanks. And Yes Minny sucks, but this guy Colby Lewis for the Rangers is trash also.

Good Call

[barts185]

GrillD. Please exercise patience in regards to the time it takes to post the systems.

Just know that they will be posted either ASAP early bird, or @ least an hour B4 the first pitch.

Thanks

For what it's worth, I've become convinced that this is just someone making posts in different threads for the points, I plan on ignoring him going forward.

[barts185]

The site is listing the wrong number of innings pitched for D. Davis of the CUBS. Normally I don't comment (and normally it's the other way around, with ST counting innings pitched as a reliever, which I think is wrong, but not looking to get into that debate).

In this case, they have him (D. Davis of the CUBS) with less than 20 IP when he has more than 20 IP, so it could affect systems.

Best guess since they are showing 19.2 IP is that they missed his last start, with 4.1 IP to bring his total to 24.0 IP

[grilldog24]

LOOK DUDE COOL OUT ! DONT BE A PUNK B---- , JUST ASKING QUESTONS . GET A LIFE

[Formulawiz]

Sportrends, has updated their Pitching and Team Overall Power Rating System.
I now have to scrap the old system and start a new P/T system as of today.

Its the same I believe they only added the Due Factor

[barts185]

It just looks like they added more things on that page ( http://sportrends.com/team_pr_mlb.htm).

Do you know that they actually changed the way that they are calculating the P-Power and T-Power?

P-Power and T-Power are still there and the explanation at the top didn't change.

If they didn't change it, why scrap the old system?

Also, once they stop changing the layout (not saying they should if they are adding more things which they think are useful), I have a spreadsheet that will do the calculations and point out the teams they say have less than 20 IP, so would make it easier. I haven't had a chance to add all the filters, so still have to check some, but it shows which teams fit the P-Power, which teams fit the T-Power, and the difference in the projected runs when it is 2 or more. All done in a couple of seconds. If the layout stabilizes, I'll put it here.

[Formulawiz]

The site is listing the wrong number of innings pitched for D. Davis of the CUBS. Normally I don't comment (and normally it's the other way around, with ST counting innings pitched as a reliever, which I think is wrong, but not looking to get into that debate).

In this case, they have him (D. Davis of the CUBS) with less than 20 IP when he has more than 20 IP, so it could affect systems.

Best guess since they are showing 19.2 IP is that they missed his last start, with 4.1 IP to bring his total to 24.0 IP

I believe its 24 IP.

[ShivaBowl]

Its the same I believe they only added the Due Factor

Its all new calculations on what is a play or not.
Are you looking at the same thing as I am?
Now you have to factor in the P-DF and the T-DF please read it again.
The old system is out.
TKS

http://www.sportrends.com/team_pr_mlb.htm

[ShivaBowl]

Start Date 05/01 48-53 –8.34u TPR 6/12 Texas 1.8 Detroit 1.7 Cincy 1.1 CWS 1.0 I can do this for the remainder of the season. As I have been tracking this myself.

Thanks TX I need to here from chinoloco ?? I gave him first ..

CWS No Play OAK IP <-20
No Play if >-150 ?

[barts185]

Its all new calculations on what is a play or not.
Are you looking at the same thing as I am?
Now you have to factor in the P-DF and the T-DF please read it again.
The old system is out.
TKS
http://www.sportrends.com/team_pr_mlb.htm

The P-Power and T-Power are still there, and appear to be the same. Just because they added other things, doesn't mean that the other system has changed. If you want to update it, or make a new system taking into account the new factors, that's fine.

As of right now, they don't even have an explanation of how to use the Team Due Factor. They say to use 20 or more for the Pitching due factor. While that's the same as the pitching power rating difference, don't want to presume that Team due factor needs a difference of 100.

[ShivaBowl]

Thanks. And I see the new system, that they have started. It seems more convoluted than ever.

It’s a madhouse

[barts185]

Here's the current version of the spreadsheet with today's games.

Again, since the layout keeps changing, not sure if this will work on subsequent days. I can easily add the Due Factors once I know what they are for the team difference.


Apparently the Angels are expected to score a lot today (or Kansas City is expected to give up a lot of runs).


Edit - I added the pitching due factor to the spreadsheet. I also added a column for the team due factor, but it isn't calculating anything since I don't know what to use for the difference.

Column J lists the teams where the pitcher has less than 20 innings pitched.
Column K lists the team if they qualify for P-Power
Column L lists the team if they qualify for T-Power
Column M lists the team if they have a 2.0 or higher run difference. It also shows the run difference.
Column N lists the team if they qualify for pitching due factor.

[ShivaBowl]

06/12/11
TPR System Plays
DET 1.9
TEX 1.8
CIN 1.1
CWS 1.0 np OAK IP <-20 CWS was a Play and a WIN but its to late know I missed it.

H/A System Plays
DET
MLW
WAS
SFO
ATL

H/A Total Plays
½ Units today due to the # of plays.
DET & SEA Over 7 –115
NYY & CLE Over 10 –115
HOU & ATL Over 7.5 +105
MLW & STL Over 8 –115
SDP & WAS Over 6.5 +105
SFG & CIN Over 7 -110

P/T Power Plays
BOS
ATL
MLW
SFO
Ok I fixed it >-175

[grilldog24]

THANKS GUYS DON'T MEAN TO A PEST !

[ShivaBowl]

Todays M/L Plays.
Plays must be < -140
Check lines prior to game.
PIT?, NYY?, CWS?.

TPR System Plays.
TPR System Plays
DET 1.9
TEX 1.8
CIN 1.1
CWS 1.0 np OAK IP <-20 CWS was a Play and a WIN but its to late know, I missed it.

H/A System Plays.
DET
MLW
WAS
SFO
ATL

H/A Total Plays.
½ Units today due to the # of plays.
DET & SEA Over 7 –115
NYY & CLE Over 10 –115
HOU & ATL Over 7.5 +105
MLW & STL Over 8 –115
SDP & WAS Over 6.5 +105
SFG & CIN Over 7 –110

LML, P/T Power Plays
BOS
ATL
MLW
SFO

BM, Scientific Approach
PIT
TEX
CIN
ADD WAS

Bullpen Projection System
Florida 4.74
Brew 3.38
San Fran 3.12
Balty 3.00
Minny 2.56
Pitt 1.88
Detroit 1.61

[BrewMaster]

11Jun11 Result: TBD
Record Official Start 15May11: TBD

Scientific Approach 12Jun11:

PIT, -158
TEX,-243
CIN,-188


Filtered (FLA,BAL,PHI,ATL,MLW,LAD,ANA)
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck. Will update record when I can.

[chinoloco]

Thanks TX I need to here from chinoloco ?? I gave him first ..

CWS No Play OAK IP <-20
No Play if >-150 ?

Thanks Shiva. TX please do it. With my new job I am traveling a lot, maybe next year, but as always you guys are doing great jobs. Thank you.

[Formulawiz]

Its all new calculations on what is a play or not.
Are you looking at the same thing as I am?
Now you have to factor in the P-DF and the T-DF please read it again.
The old system is out.
TKS
http://www.sportrends.com/team_pr_mlb.htm

Your correct. I always used the pitcher with the higher value, I guess by accident. Anyway it looks like I was correct. Anyway its another good stat to use.

[Formulawiz]

Just to clarify todays ML plays, CWS. PIT went to -105 and NYY > -140

[ShivaBowl]

Your correct. I always used the pitcher with the higher value, I guess by accident. Anyway it looks like I was correct. Anyway its another good stat to use.

Thanks WIZ,
Also, I noticed that you and TX: had a play on CWS that I missed with TPR,
it’s a play when the pitcher on a play has 20IP?
I know we went over this last year and I had forgotten about it.
Thanks

[rask7rask7]

Good luck today, doing well.

[Formulawiz]

Yesterday ML plays went 1-0, +1 unit
YTD 49-28, +14.2 units

Plays later today.

[Formulawiz]

Todays ML plays. Fav must be < -140

PIT, ATL

[BrewMaster]

Record Official Start 15May11: 53-51 (+2.19 units)

Scientific Approach 13Jun11:

PIT, -188
MLW, -179


Filtered (CLE, ARZ, CIN)
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck

[ShivaBowl]

TPR system went 0-3 yesterday.
Start Date 05/01
48-56 –11.58u

H/A system went 2-1 yesterday.
DET –118 L
MLW np if >-150 W
WAS –105 W
SFO –103 W
ATL np if >-150 W
Start Date 05/29
15-8 +4.21u

H/A Total Plays went 1-4-1 yesterday.
½ Unit plays today
Start Date 06/01
22-17-1 +3.36u


P/T Power Plays went 1-0 yesterday.
BOS np play if >-150 W
ATL np if >-150 W
MLW np if >-150 W
SFO –107 W
Start Date 06/12
1-0 +1.00u

[ShivaBowl]

06/13/11

TPR Plays
NYY np >-175
COL np IP <-20

H/A System Plays
PIT
LAA
LAD

H/A Total Plays
PITY & NYM Over 7.5 –115
SEA & LAA Over 6.5 -110

P/T Power Plays
PIT
LAA
LAD

[HoulihansTX]

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(80-70) +6.90Units

___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

June 12
Bullpen Projection System

Florida 4.74 L (+110)
Brew 3.38 (No Play >-150)
San Fran 3.12 W (-105)
Balty 3.00 L (-130)
Minny 2.56 W (+110)
Pitt 1.88 L (-105)
Detroit 1.61L (-105)

March 26 to May 14
Overall
(68-52) +22.56 Units

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(82-74) +4.60Units
___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

June 13
Bullpen Projection System

Pitt 5.07
Angels 3.39
Dodgers 3.26
Brew 3.09
Atl 2.18

Yanks np >-150
Detroit np(Tampa W2)
Florida np L2

[Tommygunn]

Wow all systems line up today. May have to go heavy on Pitt, ATL, LAD & LAA

[sunzal]

Wow all systems line up today. May have to go heavy on Pitt, ATL, LAD & LAA

Lots on Pitt....but I'm only seeing 2 on Atl..BPS and ML

[Small Timer]

Atlanta is also the daily free pick which has been doing well