New MLB System Strategies, Based on Statistics.

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  • HoulihansTX
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-12-09
    • 30566

    #666
    BPR No Plays, Since May 3rd
    (57-48) Failed to track Units, as I did not copy down the ML's.
    Comment
    • BrewMaster
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 12-03-10
      • 555

      #667
      30May11 Result: 1-3 -2.06
      Record Official Start 15May11: 31-32, -0.17 units


      Scientific Approach 31May11:


      SF, -113
      NYY, -235

      Filtered (BAL, COL, DET)
      System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck.
      Comment
      • losemyloot
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-26-11
        • 697

        #668
        Yesterdays PT Power Plays 05/30
        OAK -112 L
        COL -103 L
        ARZ -135 n/p over -130 (system really needed this one)
        Yesterday 0-2 -2.0 Units
        Start Date 05/01
        56-68 -7.00 Units


        Todays PT Power Plays 5/31
        NYY
        n/p if >-130

        Filtered Out
        WAS n/p L3
        BOS n/p L2
        COL n/p L2
        Last edited by losemyloot; 05-31-11, 09:34 AM. Reason: explaination of ARZ n/p
        Comment
        • losemyloot
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-26-11
          • 697

          #669
          Yankees seem to be a pick in several of the systems today. Usually I wait on betting dogs but with the Yankees being a public team is it better to put it in now or to wait?
          Comment
          • barts185
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 12-13-09
            • 815

            #670
            Originally posted by Formulawiz
            Guys thanks for posting yesterday.

            ML system went 4-1, +2.8
            YTD 30-15, 9.95

            Although I played SEA yesterday I did not find them to be a ML play.

            By the way I was following ML plays towards the end of April and it was on fire before I started keeping official records. If I had to guess it hit at a 70% clip and that is pretty good.

            ML plays later today.


            I'd appreciate if you would confirm that the 4th win yesterday was LAA and if the reasoning I posted was accurate.

            I agree that the SEA line never made it high enough to qualify.


            For today, and I think this is the case but would appreciate a confirmation, we only filter on less than 20 innings pitched if the team we are playing on fits that criteria, correct? So the CIN pitcher having less than 20 IP doesn't matter if the play is on MIL.

            Thanks.
            Last edited by barts185; 05-31-11, 11:44 AM. Reason: quoted wrong post initially, also added question about MIL
            Comment
            • Formulawiz
              Restricted User
              • 01-12-09
              • 1589

              #671
              Todays ML plays

              MIL, NYM
              Comment
              • docvinny
                SBR Sharp
                • 11-21-09
                • 386

                #672
                good luck today guys
                Comment
                • losemyloot
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-26-11
                  • 697

                  #673
                  Yesterdays PT Power Plays 05/31
                  NYY +102
                  Yesterday 1-0 +1.02 Units
                  Start Date 05/01
                  57-68 -5.98 Units


                  Todays PT Power Plays 6/1
                  WAS
                  TEX
                  NYY
                  TOR
                  SDP
                  CIN
                  PIT 1/2U
                  FLA
                  STL
                  LAD 1/2U
                  n/p if >-130
                  Watch line on Tor -125

                  Filtered Out
                  BOS n/p L3
                  DET 1/2U n/p -162
                  Comment
                  • Formulawiz
                    Restricted User
                    • 01-12-09
                    • 1589

                    #674
                    ML went 1-1, -0.5
                    YTD 31-16, +9.9

                    Todays plays must be < -140

                    NYM, MIL, SF
                    Comment
                    • HoulihansTX
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 02-12-09
                      • 30566

                      #675
                      Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                      (May 5 - Current)
                      (46-36) +5.95Units

                      May31 BPR

                      Seattle 4.73 W (-130)
                      Yanks 4.33 W (+110)
                      Angels 4.20 L (-105)
                      Houston 3.01 W (+150)
                      Texas 2.04 L (-130)
                      Milwaukee 1.26 W (-140)
                      .
                      (May 5 - Current)
                      (50-38) +8.20Units

                      June 1 BPR

                      Pitt 8.69
                      Seattle 4.84
                      Yanks 4.32
                      TX 3.70
                      Angels 3.4
                      Florida 3.05
                      Brew Crew 1.28

                      Philly np >-150
                      Atl np L2
                      Colorado np L2

                      AussieCapper, thank you for the points
                      .
                      Comment
                      • barts185
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-13-09
                        • 815

                        #676
                        Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                        (May 5 - Current)
                        (50-38) +8.20Units

                        June 1 BPR

                        Pitt 8.69
                        Seattle 4.84
                        Yanks 4.32
                        TX 3.70
                        Angels 3.4
                        Florida 3.05
                        Brew Crew 1.28

                        Philly np >-150
                        Atl np L2
                        Colorado np L2

                        AussieCapper, thank you for the points
                        .

                        I think the SEA line is too high.

                        And I'd also like to thank Aussiecapper for the points.
                        Comment
                        • HoulihansTX
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 02-12-09
                          • 30566

                          #677
                          Seattle probably is too hig have not looked @ all the lines yet.

                          Remember No Play @ -150 or higher.
                          BOL
                          Comment
                          • ShivaBowl
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 03-09-10
                            • 5133

                            #678
                            Originally posted by barts185
                            I think the SEA line is too high. And I'd also like to thank Aussiecapper for the points.
                            Barts198, if you want to help out? You can start posting the daily summery of plays, if you like?
                            But please, only post it one time and use simple fonts if you can, EX post #606 page #18.
                            It would be a big help.
                            Thanks
                            Comment
                            • barts185
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-13-09
                              • 815

                              #679
                              Originally posted by ShivaBowl
                              Barts198, if you want to help out? You can start posting the daily summery of plays, if you like?
                              But please, only post it one time and use simple fonts if you can, EX post #606 page #18.
                              It would be a big help.
                              Thanks
                              Shiva,

                              I might be able to in the future, but can't right now - I'm getting on a plane in about 8 hours, and then going to have to see how things are where I'm going.
                              Comment
                              • BrewMaster
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 12-03-10
                                • 555

                                #680
                                31May11 Result: 1-1 +.05units
                                Record Official Start 15May11: 32-33, -0.15 units


                                Scientific Approach 01Jun11:


                                TB, -106
                                CLE, -157
                                MLW, -156
                                PIT, -139

                                Filtered (HOU)
                                System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck.

                                Thanks for the points AussieCapper
                                Comment
                                • ShivaBowl
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 03-09-10
                                  • 5133

                                  #681
                                  TPR system went 1-0, yesterday +1.15u
                                  NYY 1.9 +115 W
                                  STL np if >-150 W
                                  DET np if >-150 W
                                  YTD 34-32 +2.32u

                                  H/A plays yesterday.
                                  N/P
                                  YTD +3.28u

                                  TPR Plays, 06/01
                                  NYY 1.9
                                  STL 1.9
                                  DET 1.4 np if DET >-150
                                  BOS 1.3 np BOS L/3

                                  H/A Plays, 06/01
                                  TB
                                  ARZ
                                  CLE
                                  ATL np L/2

                                  I have been tracking the over and under run totals since last year, within the H/A System.
                                  And I feel its time to start wagering a 1u on the over, when H/A is on a play.

                                  Today’s H/A Run Plays
                                  TB&TEX over 7.5 runs +100 L
                                  ARZ& FLA over 9 runs -110 W
                                  CLE&TOR over 8.5 runs -110W
                                  2-1 +1u

                                  AussieCapper, thanks for the points!

                                  Take San Fran W/Lincecum over St Louis W/Westbrook NO PLAY if > -125
                                  Last edited by ShivaBowl; 06-02-11, 08:19 AM.
                                  Comment
                                  • gryfyn1
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-30-10
                                    • 3285

                                    #682
                                    Is anyone keeping detailed track of when these systems cross over --I have been looking at them the last few week but have been shoddy on exact records.

                                    The five system i pay attention to are the BPR, SA, ML, PTpowerplays and TPR.

                                    For instance yesterday NYY were 4-0 on systems (4 plays 1 no opinion) and Milw 2-0.

                                    Usually I look for any team that has at least 3 plays and and eye any team that has 2-0 ratio.

                                    Such as today.

                                    Milw 3-1 (PTP likes cincy)
                                    Pitt 3-1 (ML likes NYM)

                                    NYY 2-0
                                    Fla 2-0
                                    Comment
                                    • losemyloot
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-26-11
                                      • 697

                                      #683
                                      AussieCapper thanks for the points
                                      Comment
                                      • Zion21
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 07-28-10
                                        • 42

                                        #684
                                        Anyone betting on 5Dimes recently? I seem to have the best luck with them.
                                        Comment
                                        • rask7rask7
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 10-01-10
                                          • 159

                                          #685
                                          gl on your plays today
                                          Comment
                                          • HoulihansTX
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 02-12-09
                                            • 30566

                                            #686
                                            Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                            (May 15 - Current)
                                            (50-38) +8.20Units

                                            June 1 BPR

                                            Pitt 8.69 W
                                            (+120)
                                            Seattle 4.84 No Play >-150
                                            Yanks 4.32 W (+100)
                                            TX 3.70 W (+130)
                                            Angels 3.4 L (-115)
                                            Florida 3.05 L (+150)
                                            Brew Crew 1.28 L (-110)
                                            .
                                            March 26 to May 14
                                            Overall
                                            (68-52) +22.56 Units

                                            Official start (May 15 - Current)
                                            Overall

                                            (53-41) +8.45Units

                                            Further Updates tomorrow
                                            Comment
                                            • BrewMaster
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 12-03-10
                                              • 555

                                              #687
                                              01Jun11 Result: 2-2
                                              Record Official Start 15May11: 34-35, -0.66 units


                                              Scientific Approach 02Jun11:


                                              PIT, -178
                                              TB, -160

                                              Filtered ()
                                              System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck.
                                              Last edited by BrewMaster; 06-02-11, 01:11 PM.
                                              Comment
                                              • ShivaBowl
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 03-09-10
                                                • 5133

                                                #688
                                                TPR system went 1-1, yesterday.
                                                NYY –105 W
                                                STL +100 L
                                                DET >-150 W
                                                The No Play if > -150 changing to np if >-175 as of today.
                                                Start Date 05/01
                                                35-33 +2.32u

                                                H/A plays went 2-1 yesterday.
                                                TB –142 L
                                                ARZ –165 W
                                                CLE +100 W
                                                Start Date 05/29
                                                5-1 +3.86

                                                H/A Total Plays went 2-1 yesterday.
                                                TB&TEX over 7.5 runs +100 L
                                                ARZ& FLA over 9 runs -110 W
                                                CLE&TOR over 8.5 runs -110W
                                                Start Date 06/01
                                                2-1 +1u

                                                PR Predicted Runs went 1-0 yesterday
                                                CLE +100
                                                Start Date 05/13
                                                9-5 +6.62u
                                                Comment
                                                • ShivaBowl
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 03-09-10
                                                  • 5133

                                                  #689
                                                  Aussiecapper101 I hope your not cashing out?
                                                  If you want to post the PR Runs Plays? send me a PM.
                                                  BOL
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Tommygunn
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 02-26-09
                                                    • 669

                                                    #690
                                                    Any plays for 1 O'clock game ???
                                                    Comment
                                                    • HoulihansTX
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 02-12-09
                                                      • 30566

                                                      #691
                                                      Originally posted by Tommygunn
                                                      Any plays for 1 O'clock game ???
                                                      Sportrends has not updated its site.

                                                      My guess is that Pitt would still be a BPR play, since its been a play from game 1 of this series.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Small Timer
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 01-12-11
                                                        • 389

                                                        #692
                                                        Yesterday Pittsburgh was a play, and they won, I'm on them for 1 because they're 8.69 BPR advantage listed for yesterday's game probably has not disappeared and they would pass other filters.

                                                        That being said, Sportrends has not update their website for today, and I can't guarantee this would be a BPR play so take what I'm saying with a grain of salt. I'm on Pittsburgh because I think it would be a system play, but no games have been posted so I can't confirm this. BOL
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Tommygunn
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 02-26-09
                                                          • 669

                                                          #693
                                                          Originally posted by Small Timer
                                                          Yesterday Pittsburgh was a play, and they won, I'm on them for 1 because they're 8.69 BPR advantage listed for yesterday's game probably has not disappeared and they would pass other filters.

                                                          That being said, Sportrends has not update their website for today, and I can't guarantee this would be a BPR play so take what I'm saying with a grain of salt. I'm on Pittsburgh because I think it would be a system play, but no games have been posted so I can't confirm this. BOL
                                                          Thanks guys. I'll just throw 1 unit at Pitt
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ShivaBowl
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 03-09-10
                                                            • 5133

                                                            #694
                                                            TPR Plays, 06/02
                                                            KC 1.6
                                                            TB 1.3
                                                            HOU 1.1

                                                            H/A Plays, 06/02
                                                            N/A

                                                            Today’s H/A Total Plays, 06/02
                                                            N/A

                                                            PR Predicted Runs Plays, 06/02
                                                            PIT
                                                            Last edited by ShivaBowl; 06-02-11, 12:35 PM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Formulawiz
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 01-12-09
                                                              • 1589

                                                              #695
                                                              Sportrends finally has their website up

                                                              Yesterday ML plays went 1-2, -1.35
                                                              YTD 32-18, +8.55

                                                              Todays ML plays must be < -140

                                                              WAS, TEX, SEA
                                                              Comment
                                                              • losemyloot
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 01-26-11
                                                                • 697

                                                                #696
                                                                Most of sporttrends have been updated but PT Power Plays still has yesterdays games.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • HoulihansTX
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 02-12-09
                                                                  • 30566

                                                                  #697
                                                                  Pittsburgh
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • HoulihansTX
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 02-12-09
                                                                    • 30566

                                                                    #698
                                                                    Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                                    March 26 to May 14
                                                                    Overall
                                                                    (68-52) +22.56 Units


                                                                    Official start (May 15 - Current)
                                                                    Overall

                                                                    (53-41) +8.45Units
                                                                    _____________________
                                                                    Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

                                                                    June 2
                                                                    Bullpen Projection System

                                                                    Kansas Shitty 11.72
                                                                    Pitt 11.61
                                                                    Seattle 5.44
                                                                    Houston 3.65
                                                                    Stl 1.89
                                                                    Cleve
                                                                    1.21
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • losemyloot
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-26-11
                                                                      • 697

                                                                      #699
                                                                      Yesterdays PT Power Plays 6/1
                                                                      WAS +132 W
                                                                      TEX +131 W
                                                                      NYY -110 W
                                                                      TOR -103 L
                                                                      SDP +170 L
                                                                      CIN +100 W
                                                                      PIT 1/2U +110 W
                                                                      FLA +150 L
                                                                      STL -105 L
                                                                      LAD 1/2U +113 L
                                                                      Yesterday 5-5 +.6 Units
                                                                      Start Date 05/01
                                                                      62-73 -5.38 Units


                                                                      Todays PT Power Plays 6/2
                                                                      NO PLAYS
                                                                      n/p if >-130

                                                                      Filtered Out
                                                                      NYM n/p L2
                                                                      TEX n/p CLE W2
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • losemyloot
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 01-26-11
                                                                        • 697

                                                                        #700
                                                                        Watch that Kansas Shitty stuff HOULI we are on a 2 game win streak
                                                                        Comment
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