New MLB System Strategies, Based on Statistics.

[BrewMaster]

11May11 Result: 1-1
May Record: 25-26 (-0.82 units)


Scientific Approach 12May11:

STL, -326
KC, -180

System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck.

[Formulawiz]

Todays ML plays

BAL

[ShivaBowl]

Todays ML plays BAL

SAM, NBA 2010 Premium Internet Service Plays 211 - 127 ( +71.3 Units )
WOW! and that's including the 10% Vig.

[ShivaBowl]

Yesterdays TPR Plays 05/11
DET 1.9 +111 W
TEX 1.8 R/O
STL 1.3 +121 L
MLW 1.2 –121 L
1-2 –1.21u

Start Date 05/01
15-19 –3.60u

TPR Plays 05/12
STL 1.0 No Play if STL >-140
ARI 1.1 No Play L/3

[losemyloot]

Yesterdays PR Plays 05/11
MIL -121 L
DET +111 W
TEX -107 PPD
CIN -108 L
BAL +120 W
CLE +134 L
BOS -130 L
WAS +188 W
FLA ½ U -102 L
STL +121 L
3-6 -1.91u
Start Date 05/01
33-33 +4.24 Units



Today’s Power Plays 05/12
CHC


2 Games to watch line movement on that could be added as plays
SF 1/2U if <-130 (currently np at -135)
BAL 1/2U if <-130 (currently np at -146)
No other games were filtered out.

[barts185]

SAM, NBA 2010 Premium Internet Service Plays 211 - 127 ( +71.3 Units )
WOW! and that's including the 10% Vig.

I'll preface this by saying this isn't meant as a negative comment, or that I'm questioning his record, I'm just curious.

Do you know if he is tracked anywhere other than by himself?

[HoulihansTX]

Overall
(57-42) +18.96 Units
_____________________
May 11
Bullpen Projection System

Mets 5.25 PPD
Toronto 3.76 W (+120)
Pitt 3.54 L (-105)
Angels 2.97 L (-110)
Washington 2.80 W (+190)
Oakland 2.44 PPD
Detroit 1.56 W (+115)

Overall
(60-44) +21.06 Units

_____________________
May 12
Bullpen Projection System

Mets 5.25
Kansas City 1.68
Washington 1.53
Cubs 1.47

Pitt np L2
Seattle np L2

[ShivaBowl]

BJ Upton CF Suspension Out will miss 2 games
5/12 Grady Sizemore CF Knee Questionable was not in the starting lineup Thursday, is questionable Friday (5/13) vs Seattle


5/12 Lance Berkman RF Rest Probable was not in the starting lineup Thursday, is probable Friday (5/13) at Cincinnati Stats


5/12 Buster Posey C Head Doubtful is not expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday (5/12) vs. Arizona

5/12 Alex Gordon RF Rest Probable pinch hit Wednesday, is probable Thursday (5/12) at New York Yankees
5/12 Robinson Cano 2B Head Doubtful is downgraded to doubtful Thursday (5/12) vs Kansas City

[ShivaBowl]

FYI: New System up on Sportrends,
Predicted Runs: This system calculates the number of runs the starting pitcher and bullpen is expected to give up.
Filters,
Pitchers need at least 5 starts.
Two run overlay.
Play on dogs and try to go against an opponent’s ace, particularly at home.

Losemyloot and I will start tracking it, as of today.

Tracking KC
BOL

[barts185]

FYI: New System up on Sportrends,
Predicted Runs: This system calculates the number of runs the starting pitcher and bullpen is expected to give up.
Filters,
Pitchers need at least 5 starts.
Two run overlay.
Play on dogs and try to go against an opponent’s ace, particularly at home.

Losemyloot and I will start tracking it, as of today.

No Predicted Run plays today.
BOL

Where is this on the site?

I see

Power Rating
Matchup Analysis
Stats on Demand
Projected Money Line
Bullpen Projected Runs
Team Projected Runs
Team H/A Power Ratings

Is there another header?

[barts185]

Where is this on the site?

I see

Power Rating
Matchup Analysis
Stats on Demand
Projected Money Line
Bullpen Projected Runs
Team Projected Runs
Team H/A Power Ratings

Is there another header?

Sorry - I see now that this is part of the Power Ratings.

[barts185]

FYI: New System up on Sportrends,
Predicted Runs: This system calculates the number of runs the starting pitcher and bullpen is expected to give up.
Filters,
Pitchers need at least 5 starts.
Two run overlay.
Play on dogs and try to go against an opponent’s ace, particularly at home.

Losemyloot and I will start tracking it, as of today.

No Predicted Run plays today.
BOL

Are you going to play all dogs, or just road dogs?

[ShivaBowl]

Sorry - I see now that this is part of the Power Ratings.

Sorry barts, you have it now, on me.
BOL

Are you going to play all dogs, or just road dogs?

We are just tracking it for right now.
KC would be a play today, but not against an ace, by no means.

[thienlong82]

BOL everyone

[barts185]

Sorry barts, you have it now, on me.
BOL


We are just tracking it for right now.
KC would be a play today, but not against an ace, by no means.

I thought you were supposed to go against an ace (of course, having a definition of what makes someone an Ace would be helpful), especially when the ace is at home.


"This system calculates the number of runs the starting pitcher and bullpen is expected to give up and should predominantly be used with road dogs if success is going to occur. Try to go against an opponents ace, particularly at home. Pitchers need at least 5 starts. Subtract both pitchers predicted runs and use a 2 run overlay."

[Tommygunn]

I thought you were supposed to go against an ace (of course, having a definition of what makes someone an Ace would be helpful), especially when the ace is at home.


"This system calculates the number of runs the starting pitcher and bullpen is expected to give up and should predominantly be used with road dogs if success is going to occur. Try to go against an opponents ace, particularly at home. Pitchers need at least 5 starts. Subtract both pitchers predicted runs and use a 2 run overlay."

Looks like KC's 11 runs would of been bang on tonight. I'm just going to watch it too though and play the other five systems. If it tracks well this year maybe I'll include it next year.

[rask7rask7]

Very good Scientific Approach: good job

[Formulawiz]

SAM, NBA 2010 Premium Internet Service Plays 211 - 127 ( +71.3 Units )
WOW! and that's including the 10% Vig.

Sportrends NBA playoff selections have been terrific. Made a tremendous amount of money.

[Formulawiz]

Todays ML plays

WAS, CIN, ATL, MIL, TEX

[BrewMaster]

12May11 Result: 2-0
May Record: 27-26 (+1.98 units)


Scientific Approach 13May11:

SF, -185
WAS, -220
STL, -199
NYM, -185
TOR, -299
SD, -192
CWS, -143

System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck. Teams filtered out (SEA, NYY, PIT, ARZ)

[joeytunes]

good job boyz!!!

[ShivaBowl]

Todays ML plays WAS, CIN, ATL, MIL, TEX

Formulawiz, your PM is down?
Please Go to Settings, click on Settings & Options, click on Edit Options then click Enable Private Messaging.
Thanks

[ShivaBowl]

Yesterdays TPR Plays 05/12
No Plays
Start Date 05/01
15-19 –3.60u

TPR Plays 05/13
TOR 1.7
FLA 1.2

CLE 1.9 n/p L/2

PR Predicted Runs 05-12
KC +175 W

05/13
CWS
PIT n/p L2

[ShivaBowl]

(of course, having a definition of what makes someone an Ace would be helpful),"

My thoughts exactly barts185,
So I am going to post the plays and track them.
BOL

[HoulihansTX]

Overall
(60-44) +21.06 Units
_____________________
May 12
Bullpen Projection System

Mets 5.25 W (+180)
Kansas City 1.68 W (+180)
Washington 1.53 L (+185)
Cubs 1.47 L (+160)

Overall
(62-46) +22.66 Units

_____________________
May 13
Bullpen Projection System

San Diego 5.75
Mets 4.40
ATL 3.32
STL 3.30
Washington 3.28
Toronto 2.95

Kansas City np (Detroit W2)
Yankees np L2
Tampa np (Balty W2)
Arizona np L2

[losemyloot]

Yesterdays PR Plays 05/12
CHC +135 L
SF 1/2U -123 W
Yesterday 1-1 -.5 Units
Start Date 05/01
34-34 +3.74 Units

Todays PR Plays 5/13
FLA 1/2U
TEX
NYM
SDP
CWS 1/2U

n/p if >-130

Filtered Out
CHC 1/2U n/p SF W6
KC n/p DET W5
BOS n/p L2
TB 1/2U n/p BAL W3
PIT n/p L2
MIN n/p L5
ARZ n/p L4

[ShivaBowl]

FYI: If you’re looking to post? I have work for you.
If anyone would like to volunteer, please send me a PM.
Thanks

[ShivaBowl]

Are you playing every one of the systems covered in your thread? If so, are you playing each system independently? Meaning are you playing the teams if they conflict between two systems or increasing bet size for teams that show up in more then one system? I've just been using the the Bullpen Projection System but think expanding to using the others may be beneficial. BTW - Yes, HoulihansTX is doing an awesome job! As are all of you guys!

Hey Dollar Bin, yes I am wager on all systems.
But you need to know the differences in each system.
The BPR, TPR, PR System, and PR Predicted Runs, are performance based.
I cross check these systems and play on all of them.
While the SA and ML Systems, are based on directional money lines.
When there’s a conflict between two systems, do your own handicapping, or go with the hot system.
BOL

[ShivaBowl]

Originally Posted by HoulihansTX
May 13
Bullpen Projection System

San Diego 5.75
Mets 4.40
ATL 3.32
STL 3.30
Washington 3.28
Toronto 2.95

Originally Posted by ShivaBowl
Team Projected Runs
TOR 1.7
FLA 1.2
PR Predicted Runs
CWS

Originally Posted by Losemyloot
PR Plays
FLA 1/2U
TEX
NYM
SDP 1/2U
CWS 1/2U

Originally Posted by BrewMaster
Scientific Approach

TOR, -299
WAS, -220
STL, -199
SD, -192
NYM, -185
SF, -185
CWS, -143

Originally Posted by Formulawiz
ML plays
WAS, CIN, ATL, MIL, TEX

Nice work everyone, Thank You!

[docvinny]

good luck guys, thanks for posting

[thienlong82]

Thanks everyone. BOL

[HoulihansTX]

You are right. San Diego's bullpen keeps them in play for the system, but their bats keep them from winning. From this point forth, we will make San Diego a half unit play.

I am going to rescind this comment.

I'm going to keep San Diego as a regular unit play.

I'm just going treat all teams as equals. These teams run hot, and cold. I dont want to get in front of a profitable system.

[Dollar Bin]

I am going to rescind this comment.

I'm going to keep San Diego as a regular unit play.

I'm just going treat all teams as equals. These teams run hot, and cold. I dont want to get in front of a profitable system.

I agree. Everytime I try to out think the system I seem to be wrong.

[HoulihansTX]

I say that, and then the San Diego's pitcher acts like a complete jackass.

[staf]

Is anybody using this filter from Sportrends ML page?

"Try to stay away from teams traveling long distances in their first game."

It might have saved us from a few losses today.