Shut Out System

[zeusky]

Dodgers will get the Mets tomorrow. Sleep well all!!

[pagodo]

Oakland looks like a potential candidate for another game 6 soon.

UPDATE
Thursday, 7/7

Shutouts on Wednesday:
OAK vs SEA, 2-0

---
System 1 (fade a team that has been shut out, 6 game chase):

Results (7/6)
fade LA Angels, game 5
fade Seattle, game 4
fade Detroit, game 1
fade LA Dodgers, game 1

Plays for 7/7:
fade Detroit, game 2
fade Seattle, game 1


Game 1: 90-92
Game 2: 50-41
Game 3: 18-23
Game 4: 13-10
Game 5: 6-4
Game 6: 3-1

SYSTEM 1 = (180-1)


---
System 2 (tail a team that has shut another out, 6 game chase):

Results (7/6)
tail Houston, game 6
tail LA Dodgers, game 5
tail LA Angels, game 1
tail NY Mets, game 1

Plays for 7/7:
tail LA Dodgers, game 6
tail LA Angels, game 2
tail Oakland, game 1


Game 1: 89-93
Game 2: 50-42
Game 3: 21-21
Game 4: 6-15
Game 5: 5-10
Game 6: 5-4

SYSTEM 2 = (176-4)

---
For rules and stats on both systems, check out post #445;
For a rundown on 2011 system losses, check out post #702;
2009-2010 system losses @ post #738;
2008 system losses @ post #742.
---

[GGPLAYER]

Houston has just had a massive top 6th scoring five runs. Took the lead, 5-1. I'm tempted to watch the game, but I'm in Italy now and it's 3 am, I'm barely awake.

Looking at the scores, Oakland and Detroit got the job done, so the fade wave hit the spot again, we had a triple-game-1 hit yesterday and games 4 & 5 went out of the way tonight! Great stuff. Let's hope Houston holds on and the Dodgers manage to come through -- it would be an absolutely perfect round of results for the system.

What a difference a day makes!! If LAD won I would have capped off the greatest day of baseball betting I have ever had. Finished 9-1 with 3 C bets (Hou,Fla, Tex) 3 B bets (TB,Det,SF) Oak as an A bet and hit both my score in 1st innings plays. When Fla came back to win from being down 3-6 I really thought I had a chance to sweep the board. No complaints. Just need LAD to bring it home today.

[apwmel]

Yes, I was one win away also from one of my greatest days, ever. The Dodgers just couldn't bring it home.

[thelimit0310]

Got -180 at my book for fading Seattle, hope it pulls through, thanks Pagodo keep it up!

[pagodo]

My pleasure!

It's great that everyone got on the ride this week, it's been fabulous.
I managed to clear almost all of my lines and made ~30 units since Monday (Wallco, Shutout and some JM, also slowly but surely getting on board with the 1st inning strategy).

I'd love the Dodgers to win as I don't want to put up another 'loss' in the thread but honestly, my 1+6 line has been cleared twice during the last week, so whatever, I'll make that loss up tomorrow or on Saturday, no big deal. Labby =

I'm doing a backtest on Wallco's system at the moment -- it would be up serious money (the posted plays) using an aggressive 4-strike labby and playing only plus run lines and underdogs. The shutout's a bit more modest, I think, but I'll have a full sim ready by the end of the season.

Good luck and see you tomorrow!

[atari5200]

just stopping in to say congrats. I was thinking about you guys when those big wins came in with houston and LAD. I almost took them as my plays of the day but had to continue my -1 method a little longer. Pagodo, you haven't been around my thread for a few days or more, I'm still picking em, at 18-3 now.

Shut out system is very dear to me , because I spent so many hours tracking it and finding a way to make it work. I'm so glad it's working out for you guys right now. Keep it up!

once again 18-3

http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/1139259-atari5200-mlb-play-day-p11.html

[pagodo]

Just stopping in to say congrats. I was thinking about you guys when those big wins came in with houston and LAD. I almost took them as my plays of the day but had to continue my -1 method a little longer. Pagodo, you haven't been around my thread for a few days or more, I'm still picking em, at 18-3 now.

Shut out system is very dear to me , because I spent so many hours tracking it and finding a way to make it work. I'm so glad it's working out for you guys right now. Keep it up!

I'm a visitor @ your thread daily, Atari and believe me, I haven't missed out on all the winning
I have two separate lines for my personal system picks and I play your picks on these lines whenever I agree with your research. I'm currently 5-0 when playing your picks
You are absolutely rocking this sht right now, hope you'll ride this wave til October.

It has also been a brilliant couple of days for everyone who chased the final games of the shutout system. There was cash collected on fading LAA (Detroit scored game 5), and tailing Houston and LAD. Congrats!

There's some crazy plus money in tailing Oakland right now, so I'm playing that out. Am I mad or what.

Update!

Friday, 7/8

Shutouts on Thursday:
FLA vs HOU, 5-0
TEX vs OAK, 6-0
LAD vs NYM, 6-0

---
System 1 (fade a team that has been shut out, 6 game chase):

Results (7/7)
fade Detroit, game 2
fade Seattle, game 1

Plays for 7/8:
fade Detroit, game 3
fade Oakland, game 1
fade Houston, game 1
fade NY Mets, game 1


Game 1: 91-92
Game 2: 50-42
Game 3: 18-23
Game 4: 13-10
Game 5: 6-4
Game 6: 3-1

SYSTEM 1 = (181-1)


---
System 2 (tail a team that has shut another out, 6 game chase):

Results (7/7)
tail LA Dodgers, game 6
tail LA Angels, game 2
tail Oakland, game 1

Plays for 7/8:
tail Oakland, game 2
tail Florida, game 1
tail Texas, game 1
tail LA Dodgers, game 1


Game 1: 89-94
Game 2: 51-42
Game 3: 21-21
Game 4: 6-15
Game 5: 5-10
Game 6: 6-4

SYSTEM 2 = (178-4)

---
For rules and stats on both systems, check out post #445;
For a rundown on 2011 system losses, check out post #702;
2009-2010 system losses @ post #738;
2008 system losses @ post #742.
---

[zeusky]

Good work Atari and Pagodo; let's keep enjoying!

[thelimit0310]

Thanks again Pagodo!

[pagodo]

UPDATE
Saturday, 7/9

Shutouts on Friday:
LAD vs SD, 1-0

---
System 1 (fade a team that has been shut out, 6 game chase):

Results (7/8)
fade Detroit, game 3
fade Oakland, game 1
fade Houston, game 1
fade NY Mets, game 1

Plays for 7/9:
fade Detroit, game 4
fade NY Mets, game 2
fade San Diego, game 1


Game 1: 93-93
Game 2: 50-42
Game 3: 18-24
Game 4: 13-10
Game 5: 6-4
Game 6: 3-1

SYSTEM 1 = (183-1)


---
System 2 (tail a team that has shut another out, 6 game chase):

Results (7/8)
tail Oakland, game 2
tail Florida, game 1
tail Texas, game 1
tail LA Dodgers, game 1

Plays for 7/9:
tail Oakland, game 3
tail LA Dodgers, game 1


Game 1: 92-94
Game 2: 51-43
Game 3: 21-21
Game 4: 6-15
Game 5: 5-10
Game 6: 6-4

SYSTEM 2 = (181-4)

---
For rules and stats on both systems, check out post #445;
For a rundown on 2011 system losses, check out post #702;
2009-2010 system losses @ post #738;
2008 system losses @ post #742.
---

[thelimit0310]

Thanks for the plays Pagodo!

[apwmel]

GL to all. Let's shut down at least 4 of these plays today.

[pagodo]

I'll be on the road for most of the day tomorrow, so I might post the update later than usual.
I'm really rooting for the Royals tonight, there's only one line left that needs a workout and it's my shutout 'game 3+4 line'

Tailing Oakland is pretty much the most ridiculous thing I've ever done in my gambling/investing career, but I'm going to ride it out. If they get swept by Texas, they probably will finish the job against the Angels, but it won't be plus money anymore. Atari's on Texas tonight, but I don't trust Colby Lewis at all at the moment and it's Cahill vs Harrison tomorrow, so there is some hope that the dreadful A's pull a stupid win out of the blue for me.

Good luck and let's make

[pagodo]

Managed to get this done quickly and I'm offline for the day.

And we have another ...... fade wave!
You're not the un-lucky charm anymore, thelimit.
The Royals went KABOOM at last and cashed beautifully. I'm just going to divide the Oakland losses through all my lines now and go into the All-Star break in perfect condition and with a healthy profit (this week was simply fantastic). The A's getting the win tonight would be the icing on the cake, so I'm keeping my fingers crossed. They were so close yesterday. Those walk-off home runs, love em or hate em, depending on which way you bet

Sunday, 7/10

Shutouts on Saturday:
BOS vs BAL, 4-0
LAD vs SD, 1-0 (yes, the Dodgers haven’t allowed a run in three games, WTF)
---
System 1 (fade a team that has been shut out, 6 game chase):

Results (7/9)
fade Detroit, game 4
fade NY Mets, game 2
fade San Diego, game 1

Plays for 7/10:
fade Baltimore, game 1
fade San Diego, game 1


Game 1: 94-93
Game 2: 51-42
Game 3: 18-24
Game 4: 14-10
Game 5: 6-4
Game 6: 3-1

SYSTEM 1 = (186-1)


---
System 2 (tail a team that has shut another out, 6 game chase):

Results (7/9)
tail Oakland, game 3
tail LA Dodgers, game 1

Plays for 7/10:
tail Oakland, game 4
tail Boston, game 1
tail LA Dodgers, game 1


Game 1: 93-94
Game 2: 51-43
Game 3: 21-22
Game 4: 6-15
Game 5: 5-10
Game 6: 6-4

SYSTEM 2 = (182-4)

---
For rules and stats on both systems, check out post #445;
For a rundown on 2011 system losses, check out post #702;
2009-2010 system losses @ post #738;
2008 system losses @ post #742.
---

[thelimit0310]

Hahaha, thanks Pagodo, it's good to see that I'm actually not the cause of all the bad luck I was having. Great night last night! By the way, my 3+6 line is a little lengthy as well Pagodo, it should level out soon enough! Thanks for the card!

[Richta Bean]

thanks for the work you put in every day Pagodo it's very much appreciated

[cancan]

good luck for your nexts plays.

[thelimit0310]

EDIT - Was going to make a play post for the day, as I thought Pagodo was just having a hard time posting today, however I was blind to the fact that it's the break! No games until the 14th!

But this raises a question, will the Shutouts that happened on the 10th carry over or no?

Have a good one guys

[pagodo]

I was wondering the same thing, whether the shutout plays should carry over the all-star break. I went through my previous years' rundown for system losses occurring over that period and here's what I got:

2010 -- eight total losses, one over the break (tail LA Dodgers);
2009 -- four total losses, none over the break;
2008 -- eight total losses, none over the break.

Edit: I ran a check on 2005, 2006 and 2007 and there were no all-star break system losses either.

--

UPDATE
Thursday, 7/14

Shutouts on Sunday (7/10):
NYY vs TB, 1-0
WSH vs COL, 2-0
TEX vs OAK, 2-0

---
System 1 (fade a team that has been shut out, 6 game chase):

Results (7/10)
fade Baltimore, game 1
fade San Diego, game 1

Plays for 7/14:
fade Colorado, game 1
(pending: fade OAK g1, fade TB g1)

Game 1: 96-93
Game 2: 51-42
Game 3: 18-24
Game 4: 14-10
Game 5: 6-4
Game 6: 3-1

SYSTEM 1 = (188-1)


---
System 2 (tail a team that has shut another out, 6 game chase):

Results (7/10)
tail Oakland, game 4
tail Boston, game 1
tail LA Dodgers, game 1

Plays for 7/14:
tail Texas, game 1
tail NY Yankees, game 1
(pending: tail OAK g5, tail WSH g1)

Game 1: 95-94
Game 2: 51-43
Game 3: 21-22
Game 4: 6-16
Game 5: 5-10
Game 6: 6-4

SYSTEM 2 = (184-4)

---
For rules and stats on both systems, check out post #445;
For a rundown on 2011 system losses, check out post #702;
2009-2010 system losses @ post #738;
2008 system losses @ post #742.
---

[thelimit0310]

So your saying shut outs that carried through the break are okay to play? Guess we'll pick em up on the 14th then!

[apwmel]

Take a few days off.

[pagodo]

So your saying shut outs that carried through the break are okay to play? Guess we'll pick em up on the 14th then!

Since there was only one loss over the break during the last six years, I don't think the break is a factor.
We're back at it on Thursday.

Take a few days off.

When one's investing, days off suck!
There is a need for those though.

[goodone]

Take a few days off.

Good idea! lol

[thelimit0310]

Tomorrow we start again! See you all then!

[zeusky]

Back to work folks! Hope everyone had a good break

[apwmel]

Let's make some more money the 2nd half. GL to all.

[pagodo]

Glad to see everyone's back!

Let's pound those

[pagodo]

Just a quick post today, full update tomorrow.

One shutout yesterday:
TEX @ SEA, 5-0

Plays for 7/15:
---
fade Colorado, game 2
fade Tampa Bay, game 1
fade Oakland, game 1
---
tail Oakland, game 5
tail NY Yankees, game 2
tail Washington, game 1

[zeusky]

I hope your prognosis of a game 6 with the dreaded O's is wrong

[thelimit0310]

Texas and Seattle play their game at 10 tonight, why are they not listed as a play? Shouldn't we have Fade Seattle / Tail Texas as well?

[pagodo]

Sorry for that mistake!

Of course we tail Texas / fade Seattle tonight as well!

One of my rare off days when there's so much going on, it's hard to focus.

I'm on the O's til the (hopefully not) bitter end. Looks very risky with Haren pitching for the Angels tonight (and JW tomorrow), but I'm doing this for the plus money
If they do lose their series, the labby will take care of the losses and I'll be back on track within a week.

[thelimit0310]

Honest mistake Pagodo, no worries! Thanks for the correction! Time to make some money tonight

[zeusky]

Oakland and their Athletes came together for once

[thelimit0310]

Whew, good thing I came back for the Fade Seattle bet, that's the only one that pulled through for me tonight! See you all tomorrow!