Shut Out System

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  • pagodo
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 05-09-11
    • 669

    #666

    UPDATE
    Wednesday, 6/8

    Shutouts on Tuesday (6/7):
    BAL vs OAK 4-0
    CLE vs MIN 1-0
    SD vs COL 2-0
    ATL @ FLA 1-0

    ---
    System 1 (fade a team that has been shut out, 6 game chase):

    Results (6/7)
    fade Kansas City, game 2 WON
    fade San Diego, game 1 LOST

    Plays for 6/8:
    fade San Diego, game 2
    fade Florida, game 1
    fade Minnesota, game 1
    fade Colorado, game 1
    fade Oakland, game 1


    Game 1: 63-61
    Game 2: 34-26
    Game 3: 12-14
    Game 4: 7-7
    Game 5: 3-4
    Game 6: 3-1

    SYSTEM 1 = (122-1)


    ---
    System 2 (tail a team that has shut another out, 6 game chase):

    Results (6/7)
    tail Arizona, game 2 LOST
    tail Texas, game 2 LOST
    tail Colorado, game 1 LOST

    Plays for 6/8:
    tail Arizona, game 3
    tail Texas, game 3
    tail Colorado, game 2
    tail Baltimore, game 1
    tail Cleveland, game 1
    tail Atlanta, game 1
    tail San Diego, game 1


    Game 1: 61-63
    Game 2: 33-29
    Game 3: 14-13
    Game 4: 3-10
    Game 5: 2-8
    Game 6: 4-4

    SYSTEM 2 = (117-4)

    ---
    For rules and stats on both systems, check out post #445 in this thread!
    ---
    Comment
    • pagodo
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 05-09-11
      • 669

      #667
      Note that on Monday Colorado shut out San Diego and yesterday it was the other way round, so the system is fading and tailing both COL and SD. Thanks, zeusky, for pointing that out with the Royals earlier

      Lots of games on the board, so get your labby lines ready and let's get 'em.
      Good luck, everyone!
      --
      Comment
      • apwmel
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 03-26-09
        • 789

        #668
        Could someone explain why Oakland wasn't a system lost? They lost to the NYY last week 5-0 on tuesday and have lost 6 or 7 in a row.
        Comment
        • grecycle99
          SBR MVP
          • 12-18-09
          • 3795

          #669
          Originally posted by apwmel
          Could someone explain why Oakland wasn't a system lost? They lost to the NYY last week 5-0 on tuesday and have lost 6 or 7 in a row.
          You fade the team that been shutout. So you fade and the yankees won on the next game.

          Great system you got here.

          Thanks and GL
          Comment
          • cancan
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-11-10
            • 128

            #670
            yesterday bad, better today!
            Comment
            • zeusky
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 12-10-09
              • 622

              #671
              Good work Pagodo; lots of plays guys-- money management is the most crucial requirement here. GL all.
              Comment
              • packster77
                SBR Rookie
                • 06-08-11
                • 48

                #672
                hey guys great work here new to this system i would like to start with system one if possible can you give me a example of your 6 game labby system and how it works any help would be great thanks
                Comment
                • pagodo
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 05-09-11
                  • 669

                  #673

                  UPDATE
                  Thursday, 6/9

                  Shutouts on Wednesday (6/8):
                  PHI vs LAD 2-0

                  ---
                  System 1 (fade a team that has been shut out, 6 game chase):

                  Results (6/8)
                  fade San Diego, game 2 WON
                  fade Florida, game 1 WON
                  fade Minnesota, game 1 LOST
                  fade Colorado, game 1 LOST
                  fade Oakland, game 1 WON

                  Plays for 6/9:
                  fade Colorado, game 2
                  fade Minnesota, game 2
                  fade LA Dodgers, game 1
                  (note: COL hosts LAD in a four-game series this weekend)

                  Game 1: 65-63
                  Game 2: 35-26
                  Game 3: 12-14
                  Game 4: 7-7
                  Game 5: 3-4
                  Game 6: 3-1

                  SYSTEM 1 = (125-1)


                  ---
                  System 2 (tail a team that has shut another out, 6 game chase):

                  Results (6/8)
                  tail Arizona, game 3 LOST
                  tail Texas, game 3 WON
                  tail Colorado, game 2 WON
                  tail Baltimore, game 1 WON
                  tail Cleveland, game 1 LOST
                  tail Atlanta, game 1 WON
                  tail San Diego, game 1 LOST

                  Plays for 6/9:
                  tail Arizona, game 4
                  tail San Diego, game 2
                  tail Philadelphia, game 1
                  (note: Cleveland game 2 pending)

                  Game 1: 63-65
                  Game 2: 34-29
                  Game 3: 15-14
                  Game 4: 3-10
                  Game 5: 2-8
                  Game 6: 4-4

                  SYSTEM 2 = (121-4)

                  ---
                  For rules and stats on both systems, check out post #445 in this thread!
                  ---
                  Comment
                  • goodone
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 05-15-11
                    • 60

                    #674
                    Originally posted by zeusky
                    Good work Pagodo; lots of plays guys-- money management is the most crucial requirement here. GL all.
                    Very true. Btw, I like the friendly tone in this thread!
                    Comment
                    • zeusky
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 12-10-09
                      • 622

                      #675
                      I smell a Diamond-back come-back today

                      Thanks Pagodo as usual.
                      Comment
                      • pagodo
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 05-09-11
                        • 669

                        #676
                        Originally posted by packster77
                        hey guys great work here new to this system i would like to start with system one if possible can you give me a example of your 6 game labby system and how it works any help would be great thanks
                        PM-d back.

                        Thanks, everyone, it was a great night yesterday, shame the D-backs threw away another win, pretty much the third game in a row that they had in the bank -- but yeah with Collmenter on the mound it looks very promising

                        I'll be able to keep the updates going for another several days, we'll see how it goes from then on. Loving the system, with a proper bet size and proper labby lines it's just amazing.

                        Good luck, all!
                        Comment
                        • zeusky
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 12-10-09
                          • 622

                          #677
                          Don't worry Pagodo, between you, me and Prime1 this thread is in safe hands. I stopped posting as you had picked up the mantle well; just give us a heads up before you go on a break.
                          Comment
                          • pagodo
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 05-09-11
                            • 669

                            #678

                            UPDATE
                            Friday, 6/10

                            Shutouts on Thursday (6/9):
                            ARI @ PIT 2-0
                            CIN @ SF 3-0

                            ---
                            System 1 (fade a team that has been shut out, 6 game chase):

                            Results (6/9)
                            fade Colorado, game 2
                            fade Minnesota, game 2
                            fade LA Dodgers, game 1

                            Plays for 6/10:
                            fade Colorado, game 3
                            fade Minnesota, game 3
                            fade Pittsburgh, game 1
                            fade San Francisco, game 1


                            Game 1: 66-63
                            Game 2: 35-28
                            Game 3: 12-14
                            Game 4: 7-7
                            Game 5: 3-4
                            Game 6: 3-1

                            SYSTEM 1 = (126-1)


                            ---
                            System 2 (tail a team that has shut another out, 6 game chase):

                            Results (6/9)
                            tail Arizona, game 4
                            tail San Diego, game 2
                            tail Philadelphia, game 1

                            Plays for 6/10:
                            tail Cleveland, game 2
                            tail Philadelphia, game 2
                            tail Arizona, game 1
                            tail Cincinnati, game 1


                            Game 1: 63-66
                            Game 2: 35-29
                            Game 3: 15-14
                            Game 4: 4-10
                            Game 5: 2-8
                            Game 6: 4-4

                            SYSTEM 2 = (123-4)

                            ---
                            For rules and stats on both systems, check out post #445 in this thread!
                            ---
                            Comment
                            • TheAntFather
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-14-11
                              • 3021

                              #679
                              Good job. I will be tailing these.
                              Comment
                              • cancan
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 12-11-10
                                • 128

                                #680
                                Arizona and San Diego OK!!
                                Comment
                                • pagodo
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 05-09-11
                                  • 669

                                  #681
                                  And another Arizona chase we got! Gotta love 'em.

                                  Some nice plus/even money series with the Indians, the Reds and the Mets.

                                  Take a look at the plays, choose whichever you like, remember to put proper $ management in place and good luck!
                                  Comment
                                  • pagodo
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 05-09-11
                                    • 669

                                    #682

                                    UPDATE
                                    Saturday, 6/11

                                    Shutouts on Friday (6/10):
                                    BAL vs TB, 7-0
                                    MIL vs STL, 8-0

                                    ---
                                    System 1 (fade a team that has been shut out, 6 game chase):

                                    Results (6/10)
                                    fade Colorado, game 3
                                    fade Minnesota, game 3
                                    fade Pittsburgh, game 1
                                    fade San Francisco, game 1

                                    Plays for 6/11:
                                    fade Colorado, game 4
                                    fade San Francisco, game 2
                                    fade St Louis, game 1
                                    fade Tampa Bay, game 1


                                    Game 1: 67-64
                                    Game 2: 35-28
                                    Game 3: 13-15
                                    Game 4: 7-7
                                    Game 5: 3-4
                                    Game 6: 3-1

                                    SYSTEM 1 = (128-1)


                                    ---
                                    System 2 (tail a team that has shut another out, 6 game chase):

                                    Results (6/10)
                                    tail Philadelphia, game 2
                                    tail Cleveland, game 2
                                    tail Arizona, game 1
                                    tail Cincinnati, game 1

                                    Plays for 6/11:
                                    tail Cleveland, game 3
                                    tail Arizona, game 2
                                    tail Cincinnati, game 2
                                    tail Milwaukee, game 1
                                    tail Baltimore, game 1


                                    Game 1: 63-68
                                    Game 2: 36-30
                                    Game 3: 15-14
                                    Game 4: 4-10
                                    Game 5: 2-8
                                    Game 6: 4-4

                                    SYSTEM 2 = (124-4)

                                    ---
                                    For rules and stats on both systems, check out post #445 in this thread!
                                    ---
                                    Comment
                                    • zeusky
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 12-10-09
                                      • 622

                                      #683
                                      Traveling; good work Pagodo as usual!!
                                      Comment
                                      • cancan
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 12-11-10
                                        • 128

                                        #684
                                        Good luck today .
                                        Comment
                                        • pagodo
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 05-09-11
                                          • 669

                                          #685
                                          Lots of handicappers are picking the Dodgers tonight, I haven't been following this series (fade Colorado), but I might just jump in. Loving my holiday, catching up now on this year's MLB and I'm having a very good feeling about this season

                                          Thanks, everyone, good luck and see you tomorrow!
                                          Comment
                                          • GGPLAYER
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-26-09
                                            • 2981

                                            #686
                                            LAD is a nice dog play today. Almost got them last night when they put up 5 runs in the 9th! I usually jump in on these around play 4 so I'm liking this series to finish today.
                                            Comment
                                            • pagodo
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 05-09-11
                                              • 669

                                              #687
                                              Brilliant night!

                                              Nice underdog wins with the Dodgers and Reds, also slight favorites with the D-backs and Brewers.

                                              GGPlayer it's time to get on board with the Indians tonight. A shame they didn't score yesterday, so we've got them on both sides of the system. I'll obviously stick to tailing them, but on the other hand, I think I'll be tailing NYY on the -1,5 as well.

                                              Here's the update.
                                              Comment
                                              • pagodo
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 05-09-11
                                                • 669

                                                #688

                                                UPDATE
                                                Sunday, 6/12

                                                Shutouts on Saturday (6/11):
                                                NYY vs CLE, 4-0

                                                ---
                                                System 1 (fade a team that has been shut out, 6 game chase):

                                                Results (6/11)
                                                fade Colorado, game 4
                                                fade San Francisco, game 2
                                                fade St Louis, game 1
                                                fade Tampa Bay, game 1

                                                Plays for 6/12:
                                                fade Tampa Bay, game 2
                                                fade Cleveland, game 1


                                                Game 1: 68-65
                                                Game 2: 36-28
                                                Game 3: 13-15
                                                Game 4: 8-7
                                                Game 5: 3-4
                                                Game 6: 3-1

                                                SYSTEM 1 = (131-1)


                                                ---
                                                System 2 (tail a team that has shut another out, 6 game chase):

                                                Results (6/11)
                                                tail Cleveland, game 3
                                                tail Arizona, game 2
                                                tail Cincinnati, game 2
                                                tail Milwaukee, game 1
                                                tail Baltimore, game 1

                                                Plays for 6/12:
                                                tail Cleveland, game 4
                                                tail Baltimore, game 2
                                                tail NY Yankees, game 1


                                                Game 1: 64-69
                                                Game 2: 38-30
                                                Game 3: 15-15
                                                Game 4: 4-10
                                                Game 5: 2-8
                                                Game 6: 4-4

                                                SYSTEM 2 = (127-4)

                                                ---
                                                For rules and stats on both systems, check out post #445 in this thread!
                                                ---
                                                Comment
                                                • cancan
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 12-11-10
                                                  • 128

                                                  #689
                                                  Have a good Sunday!! GL
                                                  Comment
                                                  • atari5200
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 09-15-10
                                                    • 464

                                                    #690
                                                    has anyone been following since the beginning of the season?

                                                    I was playing this hard everyday but tying up too much bankroll while playing other systems on separate labby lines.

                                                    this system was a pain in the ass at times but it produced the best results with the labby method, i made some good coin off it. I can tell you better chase systems out there for MLB but this one and the labby are a great match.

                                                    I''ve been back on this system for the past week and its going well. BOL shut out followers..
                                                    Comment
                                                    • GGPLAYER
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-26-09
                                                      • 2981

                                                      #691
                                                      Clev just scares me. They are free falling into reality.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • zeusky
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 12-10-09
                                                        • 622

                                                        #692
                                                        I just have a feeling that the tail system might work out for us well after the comparartively rough start; again, it's just a feeling
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pagodo
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 05-09-11
                                                          • 669

                                                          #693
                                                          I decided to use a 3-strike labby (as per Icebet's spreadsheet) with this system and it's working wonders. I agree, this is simple, efficient and a perfect match for a well-thought-out labby, it's just a matter of not going too risky with the starting unit size.

                                                          I have a good feeling on the tails as well and I'm sticking to Clev, I'm absolutely loving the prices on them and after having seen bits of yesterday's game, I suspect they'll explode again soon.

                                                          GL all!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DustyDiamond
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 12-19-09
                                                            • 772

                                                            #694
                                                            Originally posted by pagodo
                                                            I decided to use a 3-strike labby (as per Icebet's spreadsheet) with this system and it's working wonders. I agree, this is simple, efficient and a perfect match for a well-thought-out labby, it's just a matter of not going too risky with the starting unit size.

                                                            I have a good feeling on the tails as well and I'm sticking to Clev, I'm absolutely loving the prices on them and after having seen bits of yesterday's game, I suspect they'll explode again soon.

                                                            GL all!
                                                            Pagodo, I went and downloaded the spreadsheets but find it a little confusing. Can you give a few examples of this three strike labby to show how it works? I'd greatly appreciate it! Thanks
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pagodo
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 05-09-11
                                                              • 669

                                                              #695

                                                              UPDATE
                                                              Monday, 6/13

                                                              Shutouts on Sunday (6/12):
                                                              NYM @ PIT, 7-0
                                                              WSH @ SD, 2-0
                                                              KC @ LAA, 9-0

                                                              ---
                                                              System 1 (fade a team that has been shut out, 6 game chase):

                                                              Results (6/12)
                                                              fade Tampa Bay, game 2
                                                              fade Cleveland, game 1

                                                              Plays for 6/13:
                                                              fade Tampa Bay, game 3
                                                              fade Pittsburgh, game 1
                                                              fade San Diego, game 1
                                                              fade LA Angels, game 1


                                                              Game 1: 69-65
                                                              Game 2: 36-29
                                                              Game 3: 13-15
                                                              Game 4: 8-7
                                                              Game 5: 3-4
                                                              Game 6: 3-1

                                                              SYSTEM 1 = (132-1)


                                                              ---
                                                              System 2 (tail a team that has shut another out, 6 game chase):

                                                              Results (6/12)
                                                              tail Cleveland, game 4
                                                              tail Baltimore, game 2
                                                              tail NY Yankees, game 1

                                                              Plays for 6/13:
                                                              tail Cleveland, game 5
                                                              tail NY Mets, game 1
                                                              (series pending: tail BAL, tail WSH, tail KC)

                                                              Game 1: 65-69
                                                              Game 2: 38-31
                                                              Game 3: 15-15
                                                              Game 4: 4-11
                                                              Game 5: 2-8
                                                              Game 6: 4-4

                                                              SYSTEM 2 = (128-4)

                                                              ---
                                                              For rules and stats on both systems, check out post #445;
                                                              For a rundown on 2011 system losses, check out post #702.

                                                              ---
                                                              Comment
                                                              • systemmonitor
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 06-11-11
                                                                • 2

                                                                #696
                                                                Good luck with this system, one of the better systems in here which I will be monitoring!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • pagodo
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 05-09-11
                                                                  • 669

                                                                  #697
                                                                  Originally posted by DustyDiamond
                                                                  Pagodo, I went and downloaded the spreadsheets but find it a little confusing. Can you give a few examples of this three strike labby to show how it works? I'd greatly appreciate it! Thanks
                                                                  The basic rule of the labby is to cross off two numbers after a win and only add one after a loss; with the 3-strike you simply cross off three after a win. You're clearing lines faster, so the key is deciding on a proper starting unit size. I went with the 3-strike as I'm running lots of lines for different systems and plays and more numbers give me more flexibility with variance.

                                                                  An example; starting line:
                                                                  20-20-20-20-20-20
                                                                  I'm betting on Game 1 and win, cross off three:
                                                                  20-20-20
                                                                  Next day, betting on another Game 1 (favorite, 80 to win 60) and lost:
                                                                  20-20-20-80
                                                                  I always distribute the loss throughout a line (or two, but never more than two), so let's say it could look like this:
                                                                  40-30-30-40
                                                                  And next day, betting on Game 2 to win 100.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • andywend
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-20-07
                                                                    • 4805

                                                                    #698
                                                                    A 6 game chase, LOL with 3 teams omitted (those 3 teams were probably omitted because they represented the 3 system losses).

                                                                    Since its a 6 game chase, (assuming -110 per bet), you would have to win about 69 out of each 70 bets to break even.

                                                                    Therefore a 285-3 record is NOT that impressive especially considering that the sample has already been tinkered with by a 3 team omission.

                                                                    COMPLETELY WORTHLESS SYSTEM!!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • pagodo
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 05-09-11
                                                                      • 669

                                                                      #699
                                                                      Originally posted by andywend
                                                                      A 6 game chase, LOL with 3 teams omitted (those 3 teams were probably omitted because they represented the 3 system losses).

                                                                      Since its a 6 game chase, (assuming -110 per bet), you would have to win about 69 out of each 70 bets to break even.

                                                                      Therefore a 285-3 record is NOT that impressive especially considering that the sample has already been tinkered with by a 3 team omission.

                                                                      COMPLETELY WORTHLESS SYSTEM!!!
                                                                      Are you sane?

                                                                      Disappear, please.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • cancan
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 12-11-10
                                                                        • 128

                                                                        #700
                                                                        I'd appreciate it too, very much
                                                                        Comment
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