Reverend's 2010 MLB

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  • SkivChef
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 10-19-09
    • 730

    #1366
    Rally Time!!!!!!!
    Comment
    • khaden
      SBR MVP
      • 01-19-09
      • 1864

      #1367
      That was not fun
      Comment
      • goldseeker
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-11-05
        • 604

        #1368
        Let's bouce back tomorrow
        Comment
        • timmyboy34243
          SBR MVP
          • 04-06-10
          • 1379

          #1369
          Originally posted by JW Cash
          c'mon....Is that anyway for a pro to react....

          this is a very positive thread......


          we dont need your type of reaction in this thread...
          okay, my bad, now i'm very positive that the astros sukk.....
          Comment
          • JVP3122
            SBR MVP
            • 05-02-09
            • 1048

            #1370
            Unbelievable. The first week I start tailing and the system has its first loss. I feel like I'm the bad luck charm.
            Comment
            • Manaconda
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 03-22-10
              • 818

              #1371
              Originally posted by JVP3122
              Unbelievable. The first week I start tailing and the system has its first loss. I feel like I'm the bad luck charm.

              just what i was thinking too! been a rough week for me outside of this system also, only thing keeping me alive right now was the bucks win last night
              Comment
              • daneault23
                SBR MVP
                • 09-08-09
                • 3851

                #1372
                Originally posted by Manaconda
                just what i was thinking too! been a rough week for me outside of this system also, only thing keeping me alive right now was the bucks win last night
                Haha yeah, well since I stupidly took the BoSox over a week ago, this is my 2nd chase loss so far. Great. I would probably be down money if it wasn't for fading some Today's Action plays while following others. It's really frustrating to realize that you lost a series (BoSox) knowing you never should have played it. This Astros series was questionable, but I really thought Oswalt would get SOME run support.

                I thought about betting huge on the Braves tomorrow vs the Astros since Hanson is on the mound for them, and one of these lowly teams has to win. However, I'm not gonna risk $4555654343 just to win back my original unit size so I will take this loss and move on. It's a shitty feeling, but this should be a lesson to us to not play a mediocre team at best at home.
                Comment
                • khaden
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-19-09
                  • 1864

                  #1373
                  I've been following this thread weeks before the season started and made every play since the beginning, to include this one tonight on Houston-regrettably.

                  The concept of this system was to:
                  1. Play the top 3-5 teams at home,
                  2. Play against the bottom 3-5 teams on the road, and
                  3. Pick situational plays as they came up during the year -meaning playing top teams when the played bottom teams (such as the Yankees AT Baltimore this week).

                  Houston does not fit into any of those main categories of the system. I know these are not hard and fast rules but the are main principles of the system. Even if this would have hit tonight it should not have been played. This needs to be remembered so the same mistake is not made again as the season progresses.
                  Last edited by khaden; 04-29-10, 10:30 PM.
                  Comment
                  • G's pks
                    Restricted User
                    • 01-01-09
                    • 22251

                    #1374
                    Just wanted to stop in and show support for the Rev who had his first series loss tonight. Guys if you think these systems are perfect and never lose....that is simply not true... There can and will be losses, mostly games within a series and once in a while a whole series. If you have been playing the revs system for a while you should easily be up. As far as those who mentioned they just started watching his thread and lost over 12 units following the Astros...it is tough for you but just joining into a system series thread randomly after so many wins obviously there is a greater chance you may hit a loss sooner than later.

                    Money management, patience, long season, and in for the long haul...hopefully you all have a big bounce back coming up....and for those of you up...suck up the loss and start winning again... GL guys...
                    Comment
                    • G's pks
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-01-09
                      • 22251

                      #1375
                      Originally posted by khaden
                      I've been following this thread weeks before the season started and made every play since the beginning, to include this one tonight on Houston-regrettably.

                      The concept of this system was to:
                      1. Play the top 3-5 teams at home,
                      2. Play against the bottom 3-5 teams on the road, and
                      3. Pick situational plays as they came up during the year -meaning playing top teams when the played bottom teams (such as the Yankees AT Baltimore this week).

                      Houston does not fit into any of those main categories of the system. I know these are not hard and fast rules but the are main principles of the system. Even if this would have hit tonight it should not have been played. This needs to be remembered so the same mistake is not made again as the season progresses.
                      Great point here...but you know what happens... I do because it happens in my thread too... The rev put out nothing but winners...and people were pushing...more, more more! This causes picks that do not fall within the perimeters of the system sometimes due to lack of time and people being hungry for another pick.

                      I think if you noticed this when the pick was first posted you should have said something...if you did good work...if not shame on you too... Guys you have to help each other...if you spot an error i am sure the rev would take a second look... I have already forced a pick or two this year myself...


                      But great point about staying on track with what the system was originally intended for..
                      Comment
                      • daneault23
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-08-09
                        • 3851

                        #1376
                        Originally posted by G's pks
                        Just wanted to stop in and show support for the Rev who had his first series loss tonight. Guys if you think these systems are perfect and never lose....that is simply not true... There can and will be losses, mostly games within a series and once in a while a whole series. If you have been playing the revs system for a while you should easily be up. As far as those who mentioned they just started watching his thread and lost over 12 units following the Astros...it is tough for you but just joining into a system series thread randomly after so many wins obviously there is a greater chance you may hit a loss sooner than later.

                        Money management, patience, long season, and in for the long haul...hopefully you all have a big bounce back coming up....and for those of you up...suck up the loss and start winning again... GL guys...
                        Well said. It's a looonnnggg season so we have MANY more plays to go. Those who have played this series and lost (including me) pick your heads up, dust yourself off, and live to see another day.
                        Comment
                        • chase1
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-02-09
                          • 842

                          #1377
                          Originally posted by daneault23
                          Haha yeah, well since I stupidly took the BoSox over a week ago, this is my 2nd chase loss so far. Great. I would probably be down money if it wasn't for fading some Today's Action plays while following others. It's really frustrating to realize that you lost a series (BoSox) knowing you never should have played it. This Astros series was questionable, but I really thought Oswalt would get SOME run support.

                          I thought about betting huge on the Braves tomorrow vs the Astros since Hanson is on the mound for them, and one of these lowly teams has to win. However, I'm not gonna risk $4555654343 just to win back my original unit size so I will take this loss and move on. It's a shitty feeling, but this should be a lesson to us to not play a mediocre team at best at home.
                          Yeah it really sucks to lose this one but we all knew a loss would eventually happen. I just wish it wasn't on a mediocre team like the Astros. It is hard to walk away and not try to keep chasing with them but our money would be better put on another team tomorrow night. I'll stick to the system and chalk it up as a loss and move on.
                          Comment
                          • G's pks
                            Restricted User
                            • 01-01-09
                            • 22251

                            #1378
                            Originally posted by khaden
                            I've been following this thread weeks before the season started and made every play since the beginning, to include this one tonight on Houston-regrettably.

                            The concept of this system was to:
                            1. Play the top 3-5 teams at home,
                            2. Play against the bottom 3-5 teams on the road, and
                            3. Pick situational plays as they came up during the year -meaning playing top teams when the played bottom teams (such as the Yankees AT Baltimore this week).

                            Houston does not fit into any of those main categories of the system. I know these are not hard and fast rules but the are main principles of the system. Even if this would have hit tonight it should not have been played. This needs to be remembered so the same mistake is not made again as the season progresses.

                            Also remember following this will greatly reduce plays...even sometimes maybe skip a whole series... People cannot expect a pick every single day... Also anyone could hold themself to the rules you mentioned... Discipline guys...lots of people working different angles on these chases... But good point...
                            Comment
                            • JVP3122
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-02-09
                              • 1048

                              #1379
                              Originally posted by G's pks

                              Great point here...but you know what happens... I do because it happens in my thread too... The rev put out nothing but winners...and people were pushing...more, more more! This causes picks that do not fall within the perimeters of the system sometimes due to lack of time and people being hungry for another pick.

                              I think if you noticed this when the pick was first posted you should have said something...if you did good work...if not shame on you too... Guys you have to help each other...if you spot an error i am sure the rev would take a second look... I have already forced a pick or two this year myself...


                              But great point about staying on track with what the system was originally intended for..
                              The thing is, though, Cincinnati was one of the worst teams in the NL coming into this series, they were even behind the Astros. I guess the Astros just weren't quite good enough to warrant a play. I feel like the upcoming series between the Nationals and Marlins or the Astros and the Braves fit this exactly. The Marlins and Braves should very well be able to take one game in each series, but they're just not good enough to chance it, as it would seem.
                              Comment
                              • khaden
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-19-09
                                • 1864

                                #1380
                                ...

                                Originally posted by G's pks
                                Great point here...but you know what happens... I do because it happens in my thread too... The rev put out nothing but winners...and people were pushing...more, more more! This causes picks that do not fall within the perimeters of the system sometimes due to lack of time and people being hungry for another pick.

                                I think if you noticed this when the pick was first posted you should have said something...if you did good work...if not shame on you too... Guys you have to help each other...if you spot an error i am sure the rev would take a second look... I have already forced a pick or two this year myself...


                                But great point about staying on track with what the system was originally intended for..
                                G-

                                You are on point with what I'm saying. As I stated I played Houston for all three games as the system calls for. I did in fact question the pick in the beginning of the series. I made the decision to play it out, and if you would go back through the thread you would see how I was bashed for questioning the pick. I think if I would have framed the question in this manner--Who is willing to risk app. $1900 to win $175 (that is my unit size for a series at this stage) on the Houston Astros? It might have had a different meaning. Again, I made the choice to play this series, this is not sour grapes bitching about a loss. Rev and G welcome POSITIVE comments, questions, and suggestions. This is just a reminder of the 'core principles' of the system.

                                Another point you hit on is the 'goal' was to pick app 150-200 series for the year and we already have app. 55 in the first 3 weeks. Again, maybe this one is an example of being too aggressive and pushing. Hopefully, this will be a reality check and get us back on track.
                                Last edited by khaden; 04-29-10, 11:03 PM.
                                Comment
                                • G's pks
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 01-01-09
                                  • 22251

                                  #1381
                                  Originally posted by JVP3122
                                  The thing is, though, Cincinnati was one of the worst teams in the NL coming into this series, they were even behind the Astros. I guess the Astros just weren't quite good enough to warrant a play. I feel like the upcoming series between the Nationals and Marlins or the Astros and the Braves fit this exactly. The Marlins and Braves should very well be able to take one game in each series, but they're just not good enough to chance it, as it would seem.
                                  Very good points...sometimes there just are not the strongest level of plays...but everyone wants new picks here daily... everyone decides what they want to bet...no one is forcing anyone to place a bet and if you see a series here, or anywhere including if you are doing something on your own you do not feel strong about....pass... remember in my system I do not bet all my games... Nothing wrong with passing once in a while... To many people have to have a bet every single day...
                                  Comment
                                  • daneault23
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-08-09
                                    • 3851

                                    #1382
                                    Originally posted by JVP3122
                                    The thing is, though, Cincinnati was one of the worst teams in the NL coming into this series, they were even behind the Astros. I guess the Astros just weren't quite good enough to warrant a play. I feel like the upcoming series between the Nationals and Marlins or the Astros and the Braves fit this exactly. The Marlins and Braves should very well be able to take one game in each series, but they're just not good enough to chance it, as it would seem.
                                    Yeah I guess that's why they say "that's why they play the game." Even though normally the Reds suck, apparently this weekend the Astros sucked even more. I was SERIOUSLY thinking about chasing the Braves vs the Astros tomorrow cuz Hanson is on the mound, but the Braves have to show me they can win a game again before they get my trust.

                                    About the Nats vs Fish, the Nationals so far have shown that they don't suck as much as everyone else thought they would. I see this series as pretty even, but I think the Marlins win tomorrow with Nolasco on the mound but I'm not chasing it.

                                    As far as the Astros vs Bravos, they both are on losing streaks, and it seems like the Astros can't hit at all. Meanwhile, the Braves have also struggled losing 9 in a row, so this is also a NO PLAY for me, not that anyone would play it anyways.

                                    However, I do see some potential plays for this weekend. Not trying to take Rev's job or anything, but since I'm already here rambling I mind as well add it. Here are the plays I see so far:

                                    maybe Red Sox vs Orioles
                                    White Sox vs Yankees
                                    Twins vs Indians
                                    Reds vs Cardinals

                                    Some other series that could be close:
                                    Giants (Giants dont' score enough though)
                                    Athletics (Decent team, lost game 1 of 4 game series tonight)
                                    Phillies (Mets on winning streak though)
                                    Comment
                                    • JVP3122
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-02-09
                                      • 1048

                                      #1383
                                      Originally posted by daneault23

                                      Yeah I guess that's why they say "that's why they play the game." Even though normally the Reds suck, apparently this weekend the Astros sucked even more. I was SERIOUSLY thinking about chasing the Braves vs the Astros tomorrow cuz Hanson is on the mound, but the Braves have to show me they can win a game again before they get my trust.

                                      About the Nats vs Fish, the Nationals so far have shown that they don't suck as much as everyone else thought they would. I see this series as pretty even, but I think the Marlins win tomorrow with Nolasco on the mound but I'm not chasing it.

                                      As far as the Astros vs Bravos, they both are on losing streaks, and it seems like the Astros can't hit at all. Meanwhile, the Braves have also struggled losing 9 in a row, so this is also a NO PLAY for me, not that anyone would play it anyways.

                                      However, I do see some potential plays for this weekend. Not trying to take Rev's job or anything, but since I'm already here rambling I mind as well add it. Here are the plays I see so far:

                                      maybe Red Sox vs Orioles
                                      White Sox vs Yankees
                                      Twins vs Indians
                                      Reds vs Cardinals

                                      Some other series that could be close:
                                      Giants (Giants dont' score enough though)
                                      Athletics (Decent team, lost game 1 of 4 game series tonight)
                                      Phillies (Mets on winning streak though)
                                      I'm still not sold on the Sox. I've gotten burned by them earlier this season. Another you might want to look at is Seattle at home versus Texas. Lee's scheduled to start tomorrow and then Felix goes on Saturday. Also, for some reason my bet on TB didn't go through in my book, so I'm considering playing the weekend as a three-game series for them. Remember, we might also be on a B bet on the Dodgers tomorrow, the way this game is going.
                                      Comment
                                      • robert_wrath
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-16-09
                                        • 2122

                                        #1384
                                        Originally posted by robert_wrath
                                        Indeed Tampa Bay is. Have a look/see at the RunLine Payout. I'm seriously considering bumping up the OVER to 9 1/2. KC's Hochevar gives up way too many runs against Tier 1 Teams: http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/players...;pageContainer . Tampa Bay score averages 6+ runs in the last 11 games against Tier 1 & 2 opponents. Adding fuel to this fire, the Royals HAVE NOT BEEN SHUTOUT this season avg loss scoring 3 runs.
                                        Excellent result on a gutsy bet. Final score 11-1.
                                        Comment
                                        • JW Cash
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-31-08
                                          • 4453

                                          #1385
                                          Originally posted by TNT28
                                          GL to us all tonight I got on the Astros last night but haven't put in for the Rays or Dodgers yet. Did decide to risk $437 on a 6 team parlay to win $8,601.06. Hou, Tampa, NYY, Oakland, Padres and Dodgers. Anyone like my chances?



                                          ...sorry about your parlay.....just came up a game or two short.....



                                          Excellence is rarely an accident.....
                                          Comment
                                          • G's pks
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 01-01-09
                                            • 22251

                                            #1386
                                            Originally posted by khaden
                                            G-

                                            You are on point with what I'm saying. As I stated I played Houston for all three games as the system calls for. I did in fact question the pick in the beginning of the series. I made the decision to play it out, and if you would go back through the thread you would see how I was bashed for questioning the pick. I think if I would have framed the question in this manner--Who is willing to risk app. $1900 to win $175 (that is my unit size for a series at this stage) on the Houston Astros? It might have had a different meaning. Again, I made the choice to play this series, this is not sour grapes bitching about a loss. Rev and G welcome POSITIVE comments, questions, and suggestions. This is just a reminder of the 'core principles' of the system.

                                            Another point you hit on is the 'goal' was to pick app 150-200 series for the year and we already have app. 55 in the first 3 weeks. Again, maybe this one is an example of being too aggressive and pushing. Hopefully, this will be a reality check and get us back on track.
                                            Agree with everything you said...and good job pointing it out in the thread... Just remember though our systems are alike Houston was not a play in my thread... But I notice several are the same. Also the point about the rev possibly playing too many series...point well taken...but also remember you guys are playing three systems now not one. My system has picked 21 series total...and to be honest I have forced a few... You may want to reevaluate your risk/reward levels...

                                            Also when you play the largest favs, and home teams most of the time...it does take two to three wins just to cover an "A" bet loss... My betting system is completely different than what you guys are doing in here... Much less risk but in general that also in the long run means less reward. If playing the revs three system plan is too much for some people they should reduce downward. I play only one system this year...last year I did two for a while but members were confused...
                                            Comment
                                            • incomeraise
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-28-09
                                              • 1136

                                              #1387
                                              all am thinking about now, is the dodgers lol mlb is crazy sometimes
                                              Comment
                                              • G's pks
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 01-01-09
                                                • 22251

                                                #1388
                                                Originally posted by incomeraise
                                                all am thinking about now, is the dodgers lol mlb is crazy sometimes
                                                Not sure what the Dodgers play was based on... did not clear my first level of filters in my system...but hopefully you guys get a rally and win.... Up to now this year they have been a weak team.

                                                But on the positve side...it is a four game series but the juice on dodgers was what -300? Way to high even if they do rally and win..

                                                But with a four game series it would be as big a shock as Montreal beating the Caps if the Dodgers did not win one of them...well maybe not that big...but you get the idea...
                                                Last edited by G's pks; 04-29-10, 11:19 PM. Reason: add series note...
                                                Comment
                                                • TNT28
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 03-22-10
                                                  • 274

                                                  #1389
                                                  Originally posted by khaden
                                                  G-

                                                  You are on point with what I'm saying. As I stated I played Houston for all three games as the system calls for. I did in fact question the pick in the beginning of the series. I made the decision to play it out, and if you would go back through the thread you would see how I was bashed for questioning the pick. I think if I would have framed the question in this manner--Who is willing to risk app. $1900 to win $175 (that is my unit size for a series at this stage) on the Houston Astros? It might have had a different meaning. Again, I made the choice to play this series, this is not sour grapes bitching about a loss. Rev and G welcome POSITIVE comments, questions, and suggestions. This is just a reminder of the 'core principles' of the system.

                                                  Another point you hit on is the 'goal' was to pick app 150-200 series for the year and we already have app. 55 in the first 3 weeks. Again, maybe this one is an example of being too aggressive and pushing. Hopefully, this will be a reality check and get us back on track.
                                                  We have about 55 total plays in ALL THE SERIES COMBINED. Only the series system was the one was saying could have 150-200 plays for the year.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • daneault23
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-08-09
                                                    • 3851

                                                    #1390
                                                    Originally posted by JVP3122
                                                    I'm still not sold on the Sox. I've gotten burned by them earlier this season. Another you might want to look at is Seattle at home versus Texas. Lee's scheduled to start tomorrow and then Felix goes on Saturday. Also, for some reason my bet on TB didn't go through in my book, so I'm considering playing the weekend as a three-game series for them. Remember, we might also be on a B bet on the Dodgers tomorrow, the way this game is going.
                                                    Yeah I just figured the Sox have to beat the O's at least once on the road. I'm not going to play it though. As far as Seattle goes, I don't know if they score enough runs. The Rangers have some pretty good hitters and can hit homers whenever they feel like it. The Dodgers better get their butts in gear and play like Dodgers should and stop f'in around.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • khaden
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-19-09
                                                      • 1864

                                                      #1391
                                                      ...

                                                      Originally posted by TNT28
                                                      We have about 55 total plays in ALL THE SERIES COMBINED. Only the series system was the one was saying could have 150-200 plays for the year.

                                                      Your right, I missed that it included 3 different systems.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Echofox
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 10-31-09
                                                        • 35

                                                        #1392
                                                        Kou's in...G.O.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • antifoil
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-11-09
                                                          • 3993

                                                          #1393
                                                          i dont care about the loss i just want to know whats next
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JVP3122
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-02-09
                                                            • 1048

                                                            #1394
                                                            I think if the Dodgers can't pull it out tonight I might cut my losses and call this one. Thinking about what G and khaden said, tomorrow's B might just be too expensive. I was able to get the Dodgers today at -250, but they're already at -255 at the Greek for tomorrow, and that means I'd be laying just under nine units to win one. There are some other series I like tomorrow that are much less expensive. Luckily for me it looks like the Padres are going to hit, so missing out on the Rays pick evens out.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SkivChef
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 10-19-09
                                                              • 730

                                                              #1395
                                                              I'm with u for the long haul rev, keep up the good work!!!!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JW Cash
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-31-08
                                                                • 4453

                                                                #1396
                                                                Originally posted by JVP3122
                                                                I think if the Dodgers can't pull it out tonight I might cut my losses and call this one. Thinking about what G and khaden said, tomorrow's B might just be too expensive. I was able to get the Dodgers today at -250, but they're already at -255 at the Greek for tomorrow, and that means I'd be laying just under nine units to win one. There are some other series I like tomorrow that are much less expensive. Luckily for me it looks like the Padres are going to hit, so missing out on the Rays pick evens out.



                                                                Why not do the -1RL in that case??
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JVP3122
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-02-09
                                                                  • 1048

                                                                  #1397
                                                                  Originally posted by JW Cash




                                                                  Why not do the -1RL in that case??
                                                                  Still looking at laying about 6.67 units as of the line right now unless I did some math wrong.
                                                                  Last edited by JVP3122; 04-30-10, 12:24 AM. Reason: Stupidity
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • reverend
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 06-01-09
                                                                    • 880

                                                                    #1398
                                                                    Originally posted by reverend
                                                                    Thursday April 29:


                                                                    Series System:

                                                                    C Bet: Houston (ML) 8.35 Units to Win 5.03 Units (2 Units Profit)

                                                                    A Bet: Dodgers (ML) 4.8 Units to Win 2 Units

                                                                    A Bet: Tampa Bay (ML) 4.8 Units to Win 2 Units


                                                                    FAV System:

                                                                    A Bet: Dodgers (-1 RL) 3.57 Units to Win 2 Units



                                                                    *I have increased the Houston Series Bet to now win 2 Units for the Series

                                                                    *Due to the heavy juice in the 2 Series System A Bets, possibly consider playing them on the -1 RL if you want to keep the juice down
                                                                    Thursday April 30:

                                                                    Chase Systems: 1-1 (-10.4 Units)

                                                                    Pending Chases: 2
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BillAccpetor
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 02-07-09
                                                                      • 790

                                                                      #1399
                                                                      Originally posted by JW Cash
                                                                      Why not do the -1RL in that case??
                                                                      I did... The juice is too much.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • sapidoc
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 03-25-10
                                                                        • 1273

                                                                        #1400
                                                                        Originally posted by JW Cash
                                                                        Why not do the -1RL in that case??
                                                                        That's what I'm doing. The pitching lineup looks to favor LAD tomorrow as well. I think they can get some points on the board in tomorrow's game. g/l all
                                                                        Comment
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