Rally Time!!!!!!!
Reverend's 2010 MLB
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SkivChefSBR Wise Guy
- 10-19-09
- 730
#1366Comment -
khadenSBR MVP
- 01-19-09
- 1864
#1367That was not funComment -
goldseekerSBR Wise Guy
- 09-11-05
- 604
#1368Let's bouce back tomorrowComment -
JVP3122SBR MVP
- 05-02-09
- 1048
#1370Unbelievable. The first week I start tailing and the system has its first loss. I feel like I'm the bad luck charm.Comment -
ManacondaSBR Wise Guy
- 03-22-10
- 818
#1371Comment -
daneault23SBR MVP
- 09-08-09
- 3851
#1372
I thought about betting huge on the Braves tomorrow vs the Astros since Hanson is on the mound for them, and one of these lowly teams has to win. However, I'm not gonna risk $4555654343 just to win back my original unit size so I will take this loss and move on. It's a shitty feeling, but this should be a lesson to us to not play a mediocre team at best at home.Comment -
khadenSBR MVP
- 01-19-09
- 1864
#1373I've been following this thread weeks before the season started and made every play since the beginning, to include this one tonight on Houston-regrettably.
The concept of this system was to:
1. Play the top 3-5 teams at home,
2. Play against the bottom 3-5 teams on the road, and
3. Pick situational plays as they came up during the year -meaning playing top teams when the played bottom teams (such as the Yankees AT Baltimore this week).
Houston does not fit into any of those main categories of the system. I know these are not hard and fast rules but the are main principles of the system. Even if this would have hit tonight it should not have been played. This needs to be remembered so the same mistake is not made again as the season progresses.Last edited by khaden; 04-29-10, 10:30 PM.Comment -
G's pksRestricted User
- 01-01-09
- 22251
#1374Just wanted to stop in and show support for the Rev who had his first series loss tonight. Guys if you think these systems are perfect and never lose....that is simply not true... There can and will be losses, mostly games within a series and once in a while a whole series. If you have been playing the revs system for a while you should easily be up. As far as those who mentioned they just started watching his thread and lost over 12 units following the Astros...it is tough for you but just joining into a system series thread randomly after so many wins obviously there is a greater chance you may hit a loss sooner than later.
Money management, patience, long season, and in for the long haul...hopefully you all have a big bounce back coming up....and for those of you up...suck up the loss and start winning again... GL guys...Comment -
G's pksRestricted User
- 01-01-09
- 22251
#1375I've been following this thread weeks before the season started and made every play since the beginning, to include this one tonight on Houston-regrettably.
The concept of this system was to:
1. Play the top 3-5 teams at home,
2. Play against the bottom 3-5 teams on the road, and
3. Pick situational plays as they came up during the year -meaning playing top teams when the played bottom teams (such as the Yankees AT Baltimore this week).
Houston does not fit into any of those main categories of the system. I know these are not hard and fast rules but the are main principles of the system. Even if this would have hit tonight it should not have been played. This needs to be remembered so the same mistake is not made again as the season progresses.
I think if you noticed this when the pick was first posted you should have said something...if you did good work...if not shame on you too... Guys you have to help each other...if you spot an error i am sure the rev would take a second look... I have already forced a pick or two this year myself...
But great point about staying on track with what the system was originally intended for..Comment -
daneault23SBR MVP
- 09-08-09
- 3851
#1376Just wanted to stop in and show support for the Rev who had his first series loss tonight. Guys if you think these systems are perfect and never lose....that is simply not true... There can and will be losses, mostly games within a series and once in a while a whole series. If you have been playing the revs system for a while you should easily be up. As far as those who mentioned they just started watching his thread and lost over 12 units following the Astros...it is tough for you but just joining into a system series thread randomly after so many wins obviously there is a greater chance you may hit a loss sooner than later.
Money management, patience, long season, and in for the long haul...hopefully you all have a big bounce back coming up....and for those of you up...suck up the loss and start winning again... GL guys...Comment -
chase1SBR Wise Guy
- 11-02-09
- 842
#1377Haha yeah, well since I stupidly took the BoSox over a week ago, this is my 2nd chase loss so far. Great. I would probably be down money if it wasn't for fading some Today's Action plays while following others. It's really frustrating to realize that you lost a series (BoSox) knowing you never should have played it. This Astros series was questionable, but I really thought Oswalt would get SOME run support.
I thought about betting huge on the Braves tomorrow vs the Astros since Hanson is on the mound for them, and one of these lowly teams has to win. However, I'm not gonna risk $4555654343 just to win back my original unit size so I will take this loss and move on. It's a shitty feeling, but this should be a lesson to us to not play a mediocre team at best at home.Comment -
G's pksRestricted User
- 01-01-09
- 22251
#1378I've been following this thread weeks before the season started and made every play since the beginning, to include this one tonight on Houston-regrettably.
The concept of this system was to:
1. Play the top 3-5 teams at home,
2. Play against the bottom 3-5 teams on the road, and
3. Pick situational plays as they came up during the year -meaning playing top teams when the played bottom teams (such as the Yankees AT Baltimore this week).
Houston does not fit into any of those main categories of the system. I know these are not hard and fast rules but the are main principles of the system. Even if this would have hit tonight it should not have been played. This needs to be remembered so the same mistake is not made again as the season progresses.
Also remember following this will greatly reduce plays...even sometimes maybe skip a whole series... People cannot expect a pick every single day... Also anyone could hold themself to the rules you mentioned... Discipline guys...lots of people working different angles on these chases... But good point...Comment -
JVP3122SBR MVP
- 05-02-09
- 1048
#1379
Great point here...but you know what happens... I do because it happens in my thread too... The rev put out nothing but winners...and people were pushing...more, more more! This causes picks that do not fall within the perimeters of the system sometimes due to lack of time and people being hungry for another pick.
I think if you noticed this when the pick was first posted you should have said something...if you did good work...if not shame on you too... Guys you have to help each other...if you spot an error i am sure the rev would take a second look... I have already forced a pick or two this year myself...
But great point about staying on track with what the system was originally intended for..Comment -
khadenSBR MVP
- 01-19-09
- 1864
#1380...
Great point here...but you know what happens... I do because it happens in my thread too... The rev put out nothing but winners...and people were pushing...more, more more! This causes picks that do not fall within the perimeters of the system sometimes due to lack of time and people being hungry for another pick.
I think if you noticed this when the pick was first posted you should have said something...if you did good work...if not shame on you too... Guys you have to help each other...if you spot an error i am sure the rev would take a second look... I have already forced a pick or two this year myself...
But great point about staying on track with what the system was originally intended for..
You are on point with what I'm saying. As I stated I played Houston for all three games as the system calls for. I did in fact question the pick in the beginning of the series. I made the decision to play it out, and if you would go back through the thread you would see how I was bashed for questioning the pick. I think if I would have framed the question in this manner--Who is willing to risk app. $1900 to win $175 (that is my unit size for a series at this stage) on the Houston Astros? It might have had a different meaning. Again, I made the choice to play this series, this is not sour grapes bitching about a loss. Rev and G welcome POSITIVE comments, questions, and suggestions. This is just a reminder of the 'core principles' of the system.
Another point you hit on is the 'goal' was to pick app 150-200 series for the year and we already have app. 55 in the first 3 weeks. Again, maybe this one is an example of being too aggressive and pushing. Hopefully, this will be a reality check and get us back on track.Last edited by khaden; 04-29-10, 11:03 PM.Comment -
G's pksRestricted User
- 01-01-09
- 22251
#1381The thing is, though, Cincinnati was one of the worst teams in the NL coming into this series, they were even behind the Astros. I guess the Astros just weren't quite good enough to warrant a play. I feel like the upcoming series between the Nationals and Marlins or the Astros and the Braves fit this exactly. The Marlins and Braves should very well be able to take one game in each series, but they're just not good enough to chance it, as it would seem.Comment -
daneault23SBR MVP
- 09-08-09
- 3851
#1382The thing is, though, Cincinnati was one of the worst teams in the NL coming into this series, they were even behind the Astros. I guess the Astros just weren't quite good enough to warrant a play. I feel like the upcoming series between the Nationals and Marlins or the Astros and the Braves fit this exactly. The Marlins and Braves should very well be able to take one game in each series, but they're just not good enough to chance it, as it would seem.
About the Nats vs Fish, the Nationals so far have shown that they don't suck as much as everyone else thought they would. I see this series as pretty even, but I think the Marlins win tomorrow with Nolasco on the mound but I'm not chasing it.
As far as the Astros vs Bravos, they both are on losing streaks, and it seems like the Astros can't hit at all. Meanwhile, the Braves have also struggled losing 9 in a row, so this is also a NO PLAY for me, not that anyone would play it anyways.
However, I do see some potential plays for this weekend. Not trying to take Rev's job or anything, but since I'm already here rambling I mind as well add it. Here are the plays I see so far:
maybe Red Sox vs Orioles
White Sox vs Yankees
Twins vs Indians
Reds vs Cardinals
Some other series that could be close:
Giants (Giants dont' score enough though)
Athletics (Decent team, lost game 1 of 4 game series tonight)
Phillies (Mets on winning streak though)Comment -
JVP3122SBR MVP
- 05-02-09
- 1048
#1383
Yeah I guess that's why they say "that's why they play the game." Even though normally the Reds suck, apparently this weekend the Astros sucked even more. I was SERIOUSLY thinking about chasing the Braves vs the Astros tomorrow cuz Hanson is on the mound, but the Braves have to show me they can win a game again before they get my trust.
About the Nats vs Fish, the Nationals so far have shown that they don't suck as much as everyone else thought they would. I see this series as pretty even, but I think the Marlins win tomorrow with Nolasco on the mound but I'm not chasing it.
As far as the Astros vs Bravos, they both are on losing streaks, and it seems like the Astros can't hit at all. Meanwhile, the Braves have also struggled losing 9 in a row, so this is also a NO PLAY for me, not that anyone would play it anyways.
However, I do see some potential plays for this weekend. Not trying to take Rev's job or anything, but since I'm already here rambling I mind as well add it. Here are the plays I see so far:
maybe Red Sox vs Orioles
White Sox vs Yankees
Twins vs Indians
Reds vs Cardinals
Some other series that could be close:
Giants (Giants dont' score enough though)
Athletics (Decent team, lost game 1 of 4 game series tonight)
Phillies (Mets on winning streak though)Comment -
robert_wrathSBR MVP
- 07-16-09
- 2122
#1384Indeed Tampa Bay is. Have a look/see at the RunLine Payout. I'm seriously considering bumping up the OVER to 9 1/2.KC's Hochevar gives up way too many runs against Tier 1 Teams: http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/players...;pageContainer . Tampa Bay score averages 6+ runs in the last 11 games against Tier 1 & 2 opponents. Adding fuel to this fire, the Royals HAVE NOT BEEN SHUTOUT this season avg loss scoring 3 runs.
Comment -
JW CashSBR MVP
- 12-31-08
- 4453
#1385
...sorry about your parlay.....just came up a game or two short.....
Excellence is rarely an accident.....Comment -
G's pksRestricted User
- 01-01-09
- 22251
#1386G-
You are on point with what I'm saying. As I stated I played Houston for all three games as the system calls for. I did in fact question the pick in the beginning of the series. I made the decision to play it out, and if you would go back through the thread you would see how I was bashed for questioning the pick. I think if I would have framed the question in this manner--Who is willing to risk app. $1900 to win $175 (that is my unit size for a series at this stage) on the Houston Astros? It might have had a different meaning. Again, I made the choice to play this series, this is not sour grapes bitching about a loss. Rev and G welcome POSITIVE comments, questions, and suggestions. This is just a reminder of the 'core principles' of the system.
Another point you hit on is the 'goal' was to pick app 150-200 series for the year and we already have app. 55 in the first 3 weeks. Again, maybe this one is an example of being too aggressive and pushing. Hopefully, this will be a reality check and get us back on track.
Also when you play the largest favs, and home teams most of the time...it does take two to three wins just to cover an "A" bet loss... My betting system is completely different than what you guys are doing in here... Much less risk but in general that also in the long run means less reward. If playing the revs three system plan is too much for some people they should reduce downward. I play only one system this year...last year I did two for a while but members were confused...Comment -
incomeraiseSBR MVP
- 11-28-09
- 1136
#1387all am thinking about now, is the dodgers lol mlb is crazy sometimesComment -
G's pksRestricted User
- 01-01-09
- 22251
#1388
But on the positve side...it is a four game series but the juice on dodgers was what -300? Way to high even if they do rally and win..
But with a four game series it would be as big a shock as Montreal beating the Caps if the Dodgers did not win one of them...well maybe not that big...but you get the idea...Comment -
TNT28SBR Sharp
- 03-22-10
- 274
#1389G-
You are on point with what I'm saying. As I stated I played Houston for all three games as the system calls for. I did in fact question the pick in the beginning of the series. I made the decision to play it out, and if you would go back through the thread you would see how I was bashed for questioning the pick. I think if I would have framed the question in this manner--Who is willing to risk app. $1900 to win $175 (that is my unit size for a series at this stage) on the Houston Astros? It might have had a different meaning. Again, I made the choice to play this series, this is not sour grapes bitching about a loss. Rev and G welcome POSITIVE comments, questions, and suggestions. This is just a reminder of the 'core principles' of the system.
Another point you hit on is the 'goal' was to pick app 150-200 series for the year and we already have app. 55 in the first 3 weeks. Again, maybe this one is an example of being too aggressive and pushing. Hopefully, this will be a reality check and get us back on track.Comment -
daneault23SBR MVP
- 09-08-09
- 3851
#1390I'm still not sold on the Sox. I've gotten burned by them earlier this season. Another you might want to look at is Seattle at home versus Texas. Lee's scheduled to start tomorrow and then Felix goes on Saturday. Also, for some reason my bet on TB didn't go through in my book, so I'm considering playing the weekend as a three-game series for them. Remember, we might also be on a B bet on the Dodgers tomorrow, the way this game is going.Comment -
EchofoxSBR Rookie
- 10-31-09
- 35
#1392Kou's in...G.O.Comment -
antifoilSBR MVP
- 11-11-09
- 3993
#1393i dont care about the loss i just want to know whats nextComment -
JVP3122SBR MVP
- 05-02-09
- 1048
#1394I think if the Dodgers can't pull it out tonight I might cut my losses and call this one. Thinking about what G and khaden said, tomorrow's B might just be too expensive. I was able to get the Dodgers today at -250, but they're already at -255 at the Greek for tomorrow, and that means I'd be laying just under nine units to win one. There are some other series I like tomorrow that are much less expensive. Luckily for me it looks like the Padres are going to hit, so missing out on the Rays pick evens out.Comment -
SkivChefSBR Wise Guy
- 10-19-09
- 730
#1395I'm with u for the long haul rev, keep up the good work!!!!!Comment -
JW CashSBR MVP
- 12-31-08
- 4453
#1396I think if the Dodgers can't pull it out tonight I might cut my losses and call this one. Thinking about what G and khaden said, tomorrow's B might just be too expensive. I was able to get the Dodgers today at -250, but they're already at -255 at the Greek for tomorrow, and that means I'd be laying just under nine units to win one. There are some other series I like tomorrow that are much less expensive. Luckily for me it looks like the Padres are going to hit, so missing out on the Rays pick evens out.
Why not do the -1RL in that case??Comment -
JVP3122SBR MVP
- 05-02-09
- 1048
#1397Comment -
reverendSBR Wise Guy
- 06-01-09
- 880
#1398Thursday April 29:
Series System:
C Bet: Houston (ML) 8.35 Units to Win 5.03 Units (2 Units Profit)
A Bet: Dodgers (ML) 4.8 Units to Win 2 Units
A Bet: Tampa Bay (ML) 4.8 Units to Win 2 Units
FAV System:
A Bet: Dodgers (-1 RL) 3.57 Units to Win 2 Units
*I have increased the Houston Series Bet to now win 2 Units for the Series
*Due to the heavy juice in the 2 Series System A Bets, possibly consider playing them on the -1 RL if you want to keep the juice down
Chase Systems: 1-1 (-10.4 Units)
Pending Chases: 2Comment
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