1. #1
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    MLB - Thursday, 5/5/16

    4 MLB Plays Thursday

    Diamondbacks / Marlins OVER 8 +100 (Heritage)
    Brewers / Reds OVER 9 +100 (Heritage)
    Mariners / Astros UNDER 9 -105 (5 Dimes)
    Padres +173 (5 Dimes)

    YTD: 65-90-3, -19.80

  2. #2
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Totals over 9 are tough

    I do not like it

  3. #3
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    4 MLB Plays Thursday

    Diamondbacks / Marlins OVER 8 +100 (Heritage)
    Brewers / Reds OVER 9 +100 (Heritage)
    Mariners / Astros UNDER 9 -105 (5 Dimes)
    Padres +173 (5 Dimes)

    YTD: 65-90-3, -19.80
    Well a 9 at Great American Ball Park is like an 8 anywhere else. But the way my year if going, somebody will win 1-0.

  4. #4
    Nitronett
    Nitronett's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-11-14
    Posts: 116
    Betpoints: 786

    Padres over mets huh?

  5. #5
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by Nitronett View Post
    Padres over mets huh?

  6. #6
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18704

    No Texas today? Im looking at Texas, Arizona, or Colorado

  7. #7
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    No Texas today? Im looking at Texas, Arizona, or Colorado
    I do like Texas but hate the RLM

  8. #8
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    60%ers:

    St. Louis 68% (-213)
    Toronto 61% (-156)
    Mets 60% (-150)

  9. #9
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18704

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I do like Texas but hate the RLM
    Yeah, me too. Well, I'm dropping Texas and Arizona from my list. What about the Yankees?

  10. #10
    PorkChop
    PorkChop's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-08
    Posts: 8,193
    Betpoints: 601

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Well a 9 at Great American Ball Park is like an 8 anywhere else. But the way my year if going, somebody will win 1-0.

    Anderson hasn't started a game that's finished in less than 10 runs yet, (0-5), and Simon hasn't made it to the 5th inning in his last two starts.

    Id say all signs point to over here, Under 9 has to be the play.

  11. #11
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18704

    ...
    Last edited by RavensFan2k3; 05-05-16 at 01:39 PM.

  12. #12
    unusialsusp5
    unusialsusp5's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-19-10
    Posts: 4,183
    Betpoints: 3577

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    anyone with any baseball wagering knowledge would agree the mets are overpriced in this spot. but that doesn't give credence to bet SD. most sensible thing would be to pass the game. i know, the value is there so you play it. 25 games below .500 in baseball? keep plugging.

  13. #13
    icecapper
    icecapper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-29-09
    Posts: 786
    Betpoints: 394

    Rockies, Tigers.

  14. #14
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18704

    Quote Originally Posted by icecapper View Post
    Rockies, Tigers.


    what about Arizona?

  15. #15
    PorkChop
    PorkChop's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-08
    Posts: 8,193
    Betpoints: 601

    Quote Originally Posted by unusialsusp5 View Post
    anyone with any baseball wagering knowledge would agree the mets are overpriced in this spot. but that doesn't give credence to bet SD. most sensible thing would be to pass the game. i know, the value is there so you play it. 25 games below .500 in baseball? keep plugging.

    Analytically Mets & Cubs are overpriced every single day

  16. #16
    Memento
    Short Term Memory Loss Required
    Memento's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-28-15
    Posts: 1,190
    Betpoints: 457

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    60%ers:

    St. Louis 68% (-213)
    Toronto 61% (-156)
    Mets 60% (-150)
    Your numbers may vary based on time and place of bet:

    107 Graded Games:

    ML: +8.61 units (67.3%)
    RL: +3.08 units (48.6%)
    Adj. RL (-2.5): +11.46 units (40.2%)

    FYI...of the 107 games, 72.9% have been decided by at least 2 runs and 58.9% decided by 3 or more runs.

  17. #17
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by Memento View Post
    Your numbers may vary based on time and place of bet:

    107 Graded Games:

    ML: +8.61 units (67.3%)
    RL: +3.08 units (48.6%)
    Adj. RL (-2.5): +11.46 units (40.2%)

    FYI...of the 107 games, 72.9% have been decided by at least 2 runs and 58.9% decided by 3 or more runs.
    Thanks for the work. So I'd be up about 3 units on the year if I'd played all of those. Actually not exactly because I actually went against quite a few of them.

  18. #18
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    1 MLB 5-Inning Addition

    5 MLB Plays Thursday

    Diamondbacks / Marlins OVER 8 +100 (Heritage)
    Brewers / Reds OVER 9 +100 (Heritage)
    Mariners / Astros UNDER 9 -105 (5 Dimes)
    Mariners / Astros UNDER 5 -105 (5 innings) (5 Dimes)
    Padres +173 (5 Dimes)

  19. #19
    Memento
    Short Term Memory Loss Required
    Memento's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-28-15
    Posts: 1,190
    Betpoints: 457

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Thanks for the work. So I'd be up about 3 units on the year if I'd played all of those. Actually not exactly because I actually went against quite a few of them.
    Probably even or so....I'll update again at 250 games.

  20. #20
    Winner_13
    Winner_13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-04-10
    Posts: 1,744
    Betpoints: 1087

    LT do you think you will break even or be up units?

    It does not seem likely as the EV doesnt seem as high as last year.

  21. #21
    Amadeo-Picks
    Amadeo-Picks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-14
    Posts: 1,084
    Betpoints: 3492

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    after th season u had last year it's hard to disagree . But it' shouldn't be all about "price is right" (like the other u had Jon Niese over Arrietta ? ) , but for today I watched degrom pitch last year and it was by far his best outing of the few he's had. And he's yet to hit with consistency 94-95 he has been 90-93 . But last game he was sitting at 93-94. The line is right where it should be in my opinion . Either team can win just Padres lineup , degrom can shut them down hitting 90-92 tonight

  22. #22
    Ghenghis Kahn
    Best Baller on SBR
    Ghenghis Kahn's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 19,735
    Betpoints: 2261

    you know you're running like shit if the cincy game doesn't go over.

  23. #23
    Slanina
    Slanina's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-21-09
    Posts: 3,826
    Betpoints: 5871

    Finally a solid day with the Padres dog hitting. That Houston push was a bit ridiculous.

  24. #24
    Ghenghis Kahn
    Best Baller on SBR
    Ghenghis Kahn's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 19,735
    Betpoints: 2261

    hope today turn things around for you lt.

  25. #25
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by Slanina View Post
    Finally a solid day with the Padres dog hitting. That Houston push was a bit ridiculous.
    Yes, would have been 4-1 without three-run ninth. But I will take 3-1-1 with a +173.

  26. #26
    unusialsusp5
    unusialsusp5's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-19-10
    Posts: 4,183
    Betpoints: 3577

    great call on SD. never in doubt.

Top