New Baseball Power Rating System

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  • ShivaBowl
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-09-10
    • 5133

    #1856
    Team Projected Runs for 7/30/2010
    Update 07/31
    MIN 2.4 WIN
    MIL 1.9 LOSS No Play MIL L/2
    TOR 1.1 WIN No Play >-175
    STL 1.1 WIN No Play >-175
    No TPR plays if -175 and over
    TPR, since A.S. break, 20-16
    COMP, since A.S. break, 7-3

    Complimentary Selection for 7/30/2010 No Play
    Take Toronto W/Marcum over Cleveland W/Sanchez
    NO PLAY if < -175 or > -175
    Check sportrends.com for an update.
    Comment
    • HoulihansTX
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 02-12-09
      • 30566

      #1857
      7/30

      S/A System

      Padres (No Play >-175)
      Blue Jays (No Play >-175)
      Texas (No Play >-171)
      Comment
      • Formulawiz
        Restricted User
        • 01-12-09
        • 1589

        #1858
        ML plays today based on early lines.

        PHI, CIN

        The NYM were no play yesterday using SA system. Make sure you have your math signs correct. NYM proj line was -163 and act was -150. In order for mets to have been a play they would have to be less ( < ) -138 and it was not.
        Comment
        • HoulihansTX
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 02-12-09
          • 30566

          #1859
          Originally posted by Formulawiz
          ML plays today based on early lines. PHI, CIN The NYM were no play yesterday using SA system. Make sure you have your math signs correct. NYM proj line was -163 and act was -150. In order for mets to have been a play they would have to be less ( < ) -138 and it was not.
          I filtered them out.

          I just listed them as a potential play, and my initial post "Mets ( No Play >-138)" showed that. I did not list them on the end of the day list.
          Comment
          • ShivaBowl
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-09-10
            • 5133

            #1860
            HoulihansTX, Forget the Mets play yesterday, you were right no play if >-138
            Bad day yesterday, on my part.
            Thanks
            With my numbers.
            Also, TPR has been HOT.

            Comment
            • Formulawiz
              Restricted User
              • 01-12-09
              • 1589

              #1861
              Originally posted by ShivaBowl
              HoulihansTX, Forget the Mets play yesterday, you were right no play if >-138
              Bad day yesterday, on my part.
              Thanks

              Why was it a bad day when the SA went 2-1?? There is no way I would go against COL and Jimenez.
              Comment
              • HoulihansTX
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 02-12-09
                • 30566

                #1862
                Originally posted by Formulawiz
                Why was it a bad day when the SA went 2-1?? There is no way I would go against COL and Jimenez.
                7/29 (1-2) -1.2 Units

                Not going against Umbaldo is your opinion, but the system lacks that type of filter. Pitt was a play.

                Though I totally agree with not playing pitt in that situation. I dont play all the games, but according to the system Pitt as a play.
                Comment
                • Formulawiz
                  Restricted User
                  • 01-12-09
                  • 1589

                  #1863
                  Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                  7/29 (1-2) -1.2 Units

                  Not going against Umbaldo is your opinion, but the system lacks that type of filter. Pitt was a play.

                  Though I totally agree with not playing pitt in that situation. I dont play all the games, but according to the system Pitt as a play.

                  WAS , NYY SF were the SA plays and they went 2-1. How do you get 1-2. Can you give me the games. I may have missed something.

                  Yes I agree with you PIT was a play for the record, but you cant play every game it comes up with and then go against Ubaldo. Secondly COL was on an 8 game losing streak and the line was -280. They were begging you to take PIT.
                  Comment
                  • ShivaBowl
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 03-09-10
                    • 5133

                    #1864
                    Team Projected Runs for 7/31/2010
                    Update 08/01
                    MIN 2.4 WIN
                    MIL 1.8 LOSS N/P L/3
                    TOR 1.1 LOSS N/P >-175
                    STL 1.1 WIN N/P >175
                    TPR, since A.S. break, 21-16
                    COMP, since A.S. break, 8-3

                    No TPR plays if -175 and over

                    Complimentary Selection for 7/31/2010 WIN
                    Take San Fran W/Zito
                    over LA Dodgers W/Billingsley
                    NO PLAY if > -175
                    Comment
                    • EXhoosier10
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-06-09
                      • 3122

                      #1865
                      Wow. A big 0-5 on the SA games yesterday
                      Comment
                      • HoulihansTX
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 02-12-09
                        • 30566

                        #1866
                        Originally posted by Formulawiz
                        WAS , NYY SF were the SA plays and they went 2-1. How do you get 1-2. Can you give me the games. I may have missed something. Yes I agree with you PIT was a play for the record, but you cant play every game it comes up with and then go against Ubaldo. Secondly COL was on an 8 game losing streak and the line was -280. They were begging you to take PIT.
                        Mets (No Play >-138) (-148) No Play
                        Wash
                        (No Play <+116) (+130) W
                        Pitt
                        (No Play <+234) (+240) L
                        San Fran (No Play >-160) (-150)L
                        Comment
                        • HoulihansTX
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 02-12-09
                          • 30566

                          #1867
                          Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                          7/30

                          S/A System
                          Padres
                          (No Play >-175)(-145) L
                          Blue Jays (No Play >-175) (-190) No Play
                          Texas (No Play >-171) L (+110) L
                          7/30 (0-2) -2.45 units
                          Comment
                          • HoulihansTX
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 02-12-09
                            • 30566

                            #1868
                            7/31

                            S/A System

                            Minny (No Play >-123)
                            Detroit (No Play <+168)
                            SF (No Play >-126)
                            CWS (No Play >-163)
                            ARZ (No Play <+102)
                            FLA (No Play <+132)
                            Comment
                            • Formulawiz
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-12-09
                              • 1589

                              #1869
                              ML system went 1-1 yesterday

                              Today it looks like LAA
                              Comment
                              • Izatnice
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 12-27-09
                                • 6

                                #1870
                                Philadelphia and Cinncy both lost yesterday.
                                Comment
                                • DaProfessor23
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-07-08
                                  • 1180

                                  #1871
                                  you guys have overall record for these plays? or is any tracking games in a spreadsheet or something similar?
                                  Comment
                                  • Formulawiz
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 01-12-09
                                    • 1589

                                    #1872
                                    Originally posted by Izatnice
                                    Philadelphia and Cinncy both lost yesterday.
                                    If your referring to the ML system your wrong.
                                    CIN was not a play it dropped out. The 2 plays were PHI and LAA
                                    Comment
                                    • Formulawiz
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 01-12-09
                                      • 1589

                                      #1873
                                      I followed the ML system last year and it made well over 80 units and hit well over 65%. I started using it pretty early on in conjunction with the baseball software. Peter and I were emailing back and forth and we couldnt believe it. This season I noticed that the number of plays have declined as compared to last year, especially in the second half. I called sportrends today and discussed it with them. It seems the big boys out there are not to happy about losing all that money last year and have been following the system pretty closely and adjusting. Yeah I I know some of you dont believe it but the big boys are aware of all systems out there that make money. This year in the first half of the season ML system killed them. There was one point were the ML system went 20-4 right before the all star game. Sportrends did not admit it but they will be taking this system off their website next year so the boys out there wont know how they come up with their picks. The values are out in the open for all to see. Dont forget the ML system is going into its 2nd season and its free and made me alot of money. I hope they dont remove it from their website.
                                      Comment
                                      • EXhoosier10
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-06-09
                                        • 3122

                                        #1874
                                        Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                        7/30 (0-2) -2.45 units
                                        Wasn't Pittsburgh a play? Should read 0-3 -3.45u

                                        Originally posted by DaProfessor23
                                        you guys have overall record for these plays? or is any tracking games in a spreadsheet or something similar?
                                        Because of the hot streak of favorites that won pre-allstar break in July, the month of July has been positive for the ML.

                                        Since the AS break,
                                        ML....(23-19) -3.25u
                                        TPR....(17-17) -4.6u
                                        SA....(37-46) -11.95u
                                        Comment
                                        • Izatnice
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 12-27-09
                                          • 6

                                          #1875
                                          Originally posted by Formulawiz
                                          If your referring to the ML system your wrong.
                                          CIN was not a play it dropped out. The 2 plays were PHI and LAA

                                          Well then do not post Cincy and Philly then come back and say it went 1-1. Post the change to. I have been following this system for a while to and i do not have the same results you have. You posted the 2 plays and all the filters fit, then you come back and say that one went down. Very difficult for anyone to follow when you do it like that. You posted Philly and Cinncy they both lost, so no i am not wrong. Which doesn't matter i just want to make money could care less about right or wrong.
                                          Comment
                                          • HoulihansTX
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 02-12-09
                                            • 30566

                                            #1876
                                            Originally posted by EXhoosier10
                                            Wasn't Pittsburgh a play? Just because they were going against Ubaldo doesn't mean they aren't a play. Should read 0-3 -3.45u
                                            You are looking at the wrong day. They played Cardinals last game. I counted the Umbaldo loss.
                                            Comment
                                            • HoulihansTX
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 02-12-09
                                              • 30566

                                              #1877
                                              Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                              7/31

                                              S/A System

                                              Minny
                                              (No Play >-123) (-115) W
                                              Detroit
                                              (No Play <+168) (+170) L
                                              SF
                                              (No Play >-126) (-110) W
                                              CWS
                                              (No Play >-163) (-160) No Play
                                              ARZ
                                              (No Play <+102) (+130) L
                                              FLA
                                              (No Play <+132) (+100) No Play
                                              Texas (+135) W
                                              7/31 (3-2) +1.35units

                                              TX has been added. Tks Forumula
                                              Comment
                                              • Formulawiz
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 01-12-09
                                                • 1589

                                                #1878
                                                Originally posted by Izatnice
                                                Well then do not post Cincy and Philly then come back and say it went 1-1. Post the change to. I have been following this system for a while to and i do not have the same results you have. You posted the 2 plays and all the filters fit, then you come back and say that one went down. Very difficult for anyone to follow when you do it like that. You posted Philly and Cinncy they both lost, so no i am not wrong. Which doesn't matter i just want to make money could care less about right or wrong.
                                                With all due respect, the plays are all based on early lines and its your job to go back and check the plays 15 to 20 minutes prior to start of game. Those who contribute cant be expected to sit around all day to baby sit you. You have the system and the filters so take some initiative on your own and stop blaming people.
                                                Comment
                                                • Formulawiz
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 01-12-09
                                                  • 1589

                                                  #1879
                                                  Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                  7/31 (2-2) 0units

                                                  You left out TEX which was a win with the SA system.

                                                  The ML had the opposite side with LAA so it went 0-1 yesterday.

                                                  ML plays later today.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Formulawiz
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 01-12-09
                                                    • 1589

                                                    #1880
                                                    Todays plays based on early lines.

                                                    FLA, TOR, NYY, CWS, TEX
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EXhoosier10
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 07-06-09
                                                      • 3122

                                                      #1881
                                                      Originally posted by Formulawiz

                                                      With all due respect, the plays are all based on early lines and its your job to go back and check the plays 15 to 20 minutes prior to start of game. Those who contribute cant be expected to sit around all day to baby sit you. You have the system and the filters so take some initiative on your own and stop blaming people.
                                                      I do track the system by myself. When I compare records, they are usually wrong. I ask you why, and you don't give clear responses. All of the data that I've collected has shown no real progress towards a winning system.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ShivaBowl
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 03-09-10
                                                        • 5133

                                                        #1882
                                                        Team Projected Runs for 8/1/2010
                                                        Update 08/02
                                                        MIN 2.4 WIN N/P >-175
                                                        MIL 1.8 N/P L/4
                                                        STL 1.2 WIN N/P >-175
                                                        TOR 1.1 LOSS
                                                        BOS 1.0 WIN
                                                        No TPR Plays, If Lines are -175 & Over


                                                        TPR, since A.S. break, 22-17
                                                        COMP, since A.S. break, 9-3

                                                        Complimentary Selection for 8/1/2010
                                                        WIN
                                                        Take Chi W Sox W/Floyd over Oakland W/Gonzalez
                                                        NO PLAY if < -145 or > -175
                                                        Comment
                                                        • HoulihansTX
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 02-12-09
                                                          • 30566

                                                          #1883
                                                          8/1

                                                          S/A System

                                                          ATL (No Play >-175)
                                                          Bos (No Play >-142)
                                                          NYY (No Play >-173)
                                                          CWS (No Play >-124)
                                                          KC (No Play >-175)
                                                          FLA (No Play >-135)
                                                          SF (No Play >-102)
                                                          Mets (No Play >-165)**


                                                          **
                                                          D. Hudson(ARI Pitcher) doesnt have 20 IP, but the Mets(Niese) pitcher does.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ShivaBowl
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 03-09-10
                                                            • 5133

                                                            #1884


                                                            Its all Sportrends, ST from 06/22 on up, until the last two days,
                                                            also, I lost my spreadsheets, for most of there Comp Plays +$
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Formulawiz
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 01-12-09
                                                              • 1589

                                                              #1885
                                                              Originally posted by EXhoosier10
                                                              I do track the system by myself. When I compare records, they are usually wrong. I ask you why, and you don't give clear responses. All of the data that I've collected has shown no real progress towards a winning system.

                                                              Well its obvious all the data you've collected is worthless if you couldnt even come up with the correct plays the other day. If you feel there is no progress with this thread then go somewhere else. We dont need people like yourself that continually complain, when those of us put in a tremendous amount of time to help others. Look all the numbers are up on the website for you to come up with the same plays as us.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EXhoosier10
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-06-09
                                                                • 3122

                                                                #1886
                                                                I'm just here to make sure that people don't come to this thread and believe all the hype you give these systems. Not one is even close to being up money since the all star break.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ShivaBowl
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 03-09-10
                                                                  • 5133

                                                                  #1887
                                                                  FLA.
                                                                  Marlins (-130) @ Padres with a total of 6.5; J. Johnson vs. J. Garland;
                                                                  Both of these starters have tremendous numbers against the other team, which brings to mind a couple questions. First, Johnson has gone 17 innings in two starts against the Padres, beating Mat Latos way back in April, and losing a 2-1 nail biter to Garland, in Florida, at the end of June. So, to some degree, this is a Rematch Game. Still, with them battling to a 3-run total, wouldn't you think that this line might have even come out at 6? I suppose Garland is never going to drive the total that low, Garland is 4-1 with a 2.01 ERA against the Marlins, and could very well pitch solidly against them, again. This game has all the makings of a pitchers' duel, and potentially a slow one.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ShivaBowl
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 03-09-10
                                                                    • 5133

                                                                    #1888
                                                                    Originally posted by EXhoosier10
                                                                    I'm just here to make sure that people don't come to this thread and believe all the hype you give these systems. Not one is even close to being up money since the all star break.


                                                                    To bad I lost my spreadsheet, for the comp plays, just add + $500 to ST, Sportrends.
                                                                    GL
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Formulawiz
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 01-12-09
                                                                      • 1589

                                                                      #1889
                                                                      Originally posted by EXhoosier10
                                                                      I'm just here to make sure that people don't come to this thread and believe all the hype you give these systems. Not one is even close to being up money since the all star break.

                                                                      Unlike yourself, you dont have to worry about other people, they get it. Secondly no one is hyping up anything here, we only provide the plays. I do agree the ML system has cooled off a bit since the allstar break, but prior to that we did pretty well.
                                                                      I ask, how can you keep an accurate record when your making the wrong plays and then you have the nerve to tell us our record is incorrect. You need to read previous posts and filters that have been established here instead thinking someone here will spoon feed you like a baby. Well it wont happen. I will no longer answer any of your comments, I just cant tolerate stupidity.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • SolidDala
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-14-09
                                                                        • 1696

                                                                        #1890
                                                                        Originally posted by Formulawiz

                                                                        If your referring to the ML system your wrong.
                                                                        CIN was not a play it dropped out. The 2 plays were PHI and LAA
                                                                        CIN may have dropped out but you did not mention LAA until AFTER the games with is not the right thing to do. A prime example why so many seems to play this wrong, getting different records etc..There is a thin line between Ignorance and Stupidity..
                                                                        Comment
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