MLB Player Props & Best Bets Today: Game Info, Picks for Jackie Robinson Day
Major League Baseball commemorates Jackie Robinson Day with a full slate of games on Monday, and we're offering our best MLB player props and best bets based on the top MLB odds.
In honor of the legendary Jackie Robinson, MLB players will don the iconic No. 42 on Monday, which isn't not the only novel aspect of the unforgettable day across professional baseball.
The action started early Monday with the Cleveland Guardians taking on the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park, with the early start time part of the annual tradition associated with the Boston Marathon.
The games continue in the evening, with the Minnesota Twins and Baltimore Orioles picking back up from Oriole Park at Camden Yards, with first pitch at 6:35 p.m. ET.
Finally, Robinson's former team, the World Series odds-favorite Los Angeles Dodgers - then in Brooklyn when he broke MLB's color barrier - host the Washington Nationals from Dodger Stadium, with first pitch expected for 10:10 p.m. ET.
Here are our MLB player props and best bets for Monday (MLB picks based on odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Monday’s MLB best bets
- Luis Gil Under 5.5 strikeouts (-104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- George Kirby Under 6.5 strikeouts (+110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Seth Lugo Under 5.5 strikeouts (-150 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Tyler Glasnow Under 8.5 strikeouts (+108 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Monday’s MLB player props
Luis Gil Under 5.5 strikeouts (-104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | Under 5.5 (-110) | Under 5.5 (-104) | Under 5.5 (-105) | Under 5.5 (-114) | Under 5.5 (-105) |
Game info: Yankees vs. Blue Jays | Moneyline: Blue Jays (-115 via Betway) | Total: Over 8.5 (-125)/Under 8.5 (+105) via Betway | Start time: 7:07 p.m. ET
We've already lost on one Luis Gil strikeout Under this season, but that won't deter us from going back to the well.
The New York Yankees' flamethrowing right-hander has a whopping 14 punchouts across two starts, impressively racking them up in only nine innings. However, the number of innings itself is the problem. Gil didn't make it out of the fifth in either start due to serious command issues, as he's allowed seven walks in his two appearances.
On Monday, Gil takes on a Toronto Blue Jays team that's been good this season at both taking walks (eighth-highest walk rate at 9.9%) and avoiding strikeouts (seventh-lowest K rate at 20.3%)
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Gil's projection reflects all of that information, too. Across two of our trusted projection models, Gil's average projection is 5.09 strikeouts. Based on that number, we're getting better than 17.5% positive expected value on this bet.
All of our best sports betting sites have similar odds for this Under, which is interesting because Pinnacle - which features one of the most respected trading teams in the sports betting industry - already has its Under priced at -135 after opening at +105.
George Kirby Under 6.5 strikeouts (+110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | Under 6.5 (+105) | Under 6.5 (+104) | Under 6.5 (+110) | Under 6.5 (+110) | Under 6.5 (-105) |
Game info: Reds vs. Mariners | Moneyline: Mariners (-150 via Betway) | Total: Over 7.5 (+110)/Under 7.5 (-135) via Betway | Start time: 9:42 p.m. ET
Seattle Mariners right-hander George Kirby was among the most popular bets by the MLB Cy Young odds before the season began. However, it's been anything but smooth sailing for the 26-year-old.
Kirby owns an 8.16 ERA through three starts, and he's managed just 13 strikeouts across 14 1/3 innings. That comes after he dominated the Red Sox in his first appearance to the tune of eight punchouts over 6 2/3 frames, further illustrating his recent struggles.
The Cincinnati Reds roll into town to try to extend Kirby's woes on Monday, and they've actually been improving from a strikeout perspective in recent games. The Reds entered last week's action with the second-highest strikeout rate in the league, hovering around 27%. However, they now own the sixth-highest rate, dropping their K percentage to 25.3.
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Kirby isn't projected to have an especially bad day from a strikeout perspective, but his average total of 6.01 is nearly a full K below what he'd need to clear this line. As a result, we're getting 27% +EV on this bet via the +110 odds found at both BetMGM and Caesars.
Once again, Pinnacle is already far shorter than any of our best sports betting apps, as its Under is trading at -118 after opening at +100.
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Seth Lugo Under 5.5 strikeouts (-150 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | Under 5.5 (-180) | Under 5.5 (-170) | Under 5.5 (-167) | Under 4.5 (+110) | Under 5.5 (-150) |
Game info: Royals vs. White Sox | Moneyline: Royals (-170 via Betway) | Total: Over 7.5 (-125)/Under 7.5 (+105) via Betway | Start time: 7:40 p.m. ET
Seth Lugo has put together three quality starts this season despite the fact that he allowed a ton of baserunners in two of them and hasn't really struck anyone out. The Kansas City Royals right-hander has just nine punchouts in 18 2/3 innings, and his 3.89 xERA is far more indicative of the pitcher he's been than his 1.45 ERA suggests.
Working in Lugo's favor, though, is the fact that the Chicago White Sox are horrendous. Not only do they own the second-worst wRC+ in the league, but they're also striking out at the seventh-highest rate in the majors. Can Lugo take advantage of this plus-matchup?
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According to our projections, Lugo should eclipse his strikeout average to this point in the season, but not enough to clear this bloated total. Across three of our trusted projection models, Lugo's average total is 4.44, more than one-and-a-half strikeouts below the six he'd need to go Over this line.
Based on that data, we're getting better than 18% +EV on this bet. Meanwhile, Pinnacle is already as short as -220 on its Under, showing us just how valuable these odds at bet365 really are.
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Tyler Glasnow Under 8.5 strikeouts (+108 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | Under 9.5 (-180) | Under 8.5 (+108) | Under 9.5 (-161) | Under 9.5 (-175) | Under 9.5 (-170) |
Game info: Nationals vs. Dodgers | Moneyline: Dodgers (-350 via Betway) | Total: Over 8.5 (-110)/Under 8.5 (-110) via Betway | Start time: 10:10 p.m. ET
Dodgers right-hander Tyler Glasnow struck out an absurd 14 in his last start against the Minnesota Twins, allowing only three hits and no runs over his seven innings of work. However, that very performance provides us with this Under on Monday.
For that start against the Twins, I bet Glasnow Under 7.5 strikeouts at +115. Now, for this game against the Washington Nationals, we're getting Under 8.5 at nearly identical odds via FanDuel's +108.
As far as the two teams go, Minnesota owns the third-highest strikeout rate in the league at 27.6%, while the Nationals are closer to the middle of the pack at 22.2%. That's likely why, despite his massive performance against the Twins, Glasnow's projection this week is a very similar 6.83.
Based on that projection, we're getting an absurd 52% positive expected value on this bet. These odds will likely be gone soon, so make sure you use our exclusive FanDuel promo code and bet this Under before it's too late.
MLB best bets made Monday at 8 a.m. ET.
Here are our best MLB betting sites:
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- BetRivers Promo Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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- Best Live Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)
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