College Football Projected Win Totals & Over/Under Wins Odds 2024: Georgia, Ohio State Top the Board
As the college football season approaches, we're looking at the 2024 college football win totals and Over/Unders for the season from our best college football betting sites.
With spring games wrapped up and the transfer portal closed, the college football season feels like it's almost here, especially with constant speculation around who will emerge as the Heisman Trophy odds favorite.
There's just over 100 days until the season kicks off with Week 0, and that means fans across the country are starting to daydream about their programs' potential to win double-digit games. While teams like Georgia and Ohio State have long been the favorites by the college football championship odds, the 2024-25 season will provide more opportunity than ever for teams to play meaningful football.
The 12-team playoff has completely changed the landscape of college football. That means there will be risers by the college football playoff odds that have never even qualified for the playoff before. It's a whole new world, but reaching the playoff starts with likely needing at least nine regular season wins.
We're providing a look at the top programs in college football's win totals for the 2024 regular season, with odds from our best sports betting sites.
2024 college football win total odds
(College football win totals as of Monday, May 6)
Top ACC win total odds
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The most wide open of the Power Four conferences, the ACC has no strong playoff favorite. While Florida State went undefeated in the conference last season, the Seminoles lost a lot to the NFL draft and head coach Mike Norvell will be starting transfer DJ Uiagalelei at QB.
Florida State definitely has the talent to win 10 games, but will the roster mesh quick enough? Luckily, the Seminoles don't play Clemson or Miami until October. The Tigers and Hurricanes are both ACC Championship odds contenders on paper for different reasons. Dabo Swinney brings a lot of continuity back with QB Cade Klubnik and a ferocious defense. Will his refusal to use the transfer portal hurt the Tigers?
Meanwhile, Mario Cristobal has built Miami's roster up purely through the portal. Washington State transfer Cam Ward is set to start at QB while the Hurricanes just added Oregon State RB Damien Martinez to bolster the offense. However, Miami has won 10 or more games just once since 2004.
Beyond the big three, Louisville lost most of its key contributors from Jeff Brohm's first season at the helm, but he's quickly become one of the best at utilizing the portal. NC State will similarly be leaning on transfers, led by QB Grayson McCall. Virginia Tech might be the most interesting of all, as the Hokies have the most returning production in the country.
Top Big 12 win total odds
With both the Big 12's blue bloods, Texas and Oklahoma, off to the SEC, this conference will look a lot different. Utah opened as the Big 12 Championship odds favorite in its first season in the conference, which is a testament to head coach Kyle Whittingham's consistency.
The Utes had a down season last year, but QB Cameron Rising is healthy and will be ready to roll. He'll be supported on offense by TE Brant Kuithe, WRs Money Parks and Dorian Singer, and RB Micah Bernard. Defensively, Utah looks even better with several veterans back, including LB Karene Reid.
Utah certainly has the experience and Whittingham has the track record for the Utes to win 10 games. They also don't have Kansas or Kansas State on their schedule. Both Kansas schools look scary with their running games and mobile QBs. The Jayhawks might be the one to back, though, as Jalon Daniels and Devin Neal form one of the most dynamic QB-RB duos in the country.
For as great as Arizona was last season, it's hard to gauge where the Wildcats will be at with a new coach in Brent Brennan. Can he keep the good times rolling with QB Noah Fifita and WR Tetairoa McMillan? Oklahoma State and Texas Tech are on opposite ends of the spectrum. The Cowboys return several key starters, including Ollie Gordon II, and are being slept on, while Texas Tech needs a handful of portal players to hit to reach expectations.
Top Big Ten win total odds
The Ohio State-Oregon game on Oct. 12 will tell us a lot about both programs. The Buckeyes and Ducks sit atop the Big Ten Championship odds, and there's a chance their matchup will be the only regular-season loss for whomever comes up short. These are two of the most talented rosters in the country, and both reloaded in the portal.
What makes Ohio State so scary is the amount of players that declined to enter the NFL draft to return this season. The Buckeyes brought back more than a half dozen players who could have been top-150 picks. Then, Ryan Day went and got two of the best players in the portal in RB Quinshon Judkins and DB Caleb Downs. Of course, it'll all be for not if Kansas State transfer Will Howard doesn't work out at QB.
Oregon also went the portal route to fill its QB need. Dan Lanning replaced Bo Nix with Oklahoma transfer Dillon Gabriel, one of the most decorated QBs in the country. The Ducks didn't stop there, landing WR Evan Stewart and CBs Jabbar Muhammad and Kam Alexander via the portal. Those players add to an already terrifying Ducks team that returns Josh Conerly Jr., Jordan Burch, and Tez Johnson.
What could stop one of, or both, Ohio State and Oregon from reaching 11 wins is Michigan. The defending champions are dealing with a lot of turnover in head coach Sherrone Moore's first season but return top NFL prospects like Colston Loveland, Mason Graham, and Will Johnson. However, they also have Texas on their schedule.
That leaves Iowa and Washington. The Hawkeyes always seem to win games, but never have a competent offense and likely still won't in 2024. But they did finally fire Brian Ferentz. While Washington lost the bulk of its playoff team, including its head coach, can new head coach Jedd Fisch get the Huskies' starters up to speed as quickly as he did at Arizona?
Top SEC win total odds
A conference so loaded with talent and playoff contenders that its slogan is "it just means more," the SEC got even tougher this offseason. The addition of Oklahoma and Texas expands the conference footprint and gives it at least one new SEC Championship odds contender. The Longhorns are right there with Georgia, Ohio State, and Oregon for the highest win total in the country at 10.5.
Texas appears to be back under Steve Sarkisian after making the playoff last year, but the SEC jump is a large one. The Longhorns lost their top four receivers, leading rusher, and four of their best defenders to the NFL. Still, the team returns QB Quinn Ewers, a contender to go No. 1 by the 2025 NFL Draft odds. Sarkisian also brings back a strong O-line and added a few potential stars in the portal. Will it be enough in the SEC?
Texas not only has Michigan on its schedule, but it plays Georgia on Oct. 19. The Bulldogs are as arguably the most talented team in the country. Carson Beck is maybe the best QB in college football and is supported by several talented pass-catchers and Florida transfer Trevor Etienne at RB. And Kirby Smart's defense is always one of the best and has several All-American candidates. If the Bulldogs slip up, it's because they have an incredibly tough schedule with Clemson, Texas, Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Alabama.
The Crimson Tide no longer have Nick Saban, but new head coach Kalen DeBoer did lead Washington to the playoff last year. He inherits QB Jalen Milroe, a physical O-line, and a veteran defense. DeBoer's squad will need to beat one of Georgia, Missouri, and LSU to hit the Over on 9.5 wins. Both LSU and Missouri are polarizing.
Brian Kelly's Tigers lose Heisman winner Jayden Daniels and star WRs Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr. from an LSU team that only won nine regular-season games last year. How much better can they be? Eliah Drinkwitz's Tigers lost three star defenders and All-American RB Cody Schrader to the NFL, but Missouri still looks strong on paper. The team returns QB Brady Cook and WR Luther Burden III and added several interesting portal pieces.
Notre Dame win total odds
| Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | 10 (+100)/(-120) | 10.5 (+138)/(-170) | 10.5 (+115)/(-145) | 10.5 (+140)/(-170) |
There are only three independents left in college football, and the other two combined to win fewer games than Notre Dame last season (UConn and UMass went 6-18). The Fighting Irish have improved in each of Marcus Freeman's two seasons as the bench boss, and they're expected to reach the 12-team playoff this season.
After winning nine regular-season games last year, can Freeman guide Notre Dame to two more wins this season? It'll be tough after losing several pieces to the NFL, but Notre Dame's schedule isn't all that scary. The team opens with Texas A&M at Kyle Field, but the Aggies have a new head coach in Mike Elko. Other tough games include Louisville and Florida State at home and USC on the road.
While QB Sam Hartman graduated, the Irish may have upgraded with Duke transfer Riley Leonard. And the defense is the real showstopper. Freeman brings back stars Benjamin Morrison, Xavier Watts, and Howard Cross III. He also added Leonard's old teammate, RJ Oben, to fortify the pass rush.
How to bet college football Over/Under win totals
Betting on college football win totals can be tricky with how much roster attrition there is each year between graduation, NFL declarations, and the transfer portal. The best way to bet on win totals is to focus on just a few programs and familiarize yourself with how they played last season and who they return.
Two great metrics for that are SP+ from after last year's bowl season and returning production. It also helps to take a look at where some of the top players in the transfer portal are headed for the upcoming season and if certain teams have been impacted by the coaching carousel.
Once you've narrowed down a few teams, take a look at their schedule. While the bulk of a college football schedule is made up of conference games, some programs will play top teams in their non-conference games (like Texas and Michigan this season). And just because two teams are in the same conference doesn't mean they play each other every year.
Remember, team win totals are futures bets and won't pay out until the regular season concludes. Consider the cost of that time when placing a bet in this market.
Final 2023 college football playoff ranking
| Ranking | Team | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan | 15-0 |
| 2 | Washington | 14-1 |
| 3 | Texas | 12-2 |
| 4 | Georgia | 13-1 |
| 5 | Alabama | 12-2 |
| 6 | Florida State | 13-1 |
| 7 | Oregon | 12-2 |
| 8 | Missouri | 11-2 |
| 9 | Ole Miss | 11-2 |
| 10 | Ohio State | 11-2 |
| 11 | Arizona | 10-3 |
| 12 | LSU | 10-3 |
| 13 | Penn State | 10-3 |
| 14 | Notre Dame | 10-3 |
| 15 | Oklahoma | 10-3 |
| 16 | Oklahoma State | 10-4 |
| 17 | Tennessee | 9-4 |
| 18 | Kansas State | 9-4 |
| 19 | Louisville | 10-4 |
| 20 | Clemson | 9-4 |
| 21 | NC State | 9-4 |
| 22 | SMU | 11-3 |
| 23 | Kansas | 9-4 |
| 24 | Iowa | 10-4 |
| 25 | Liberty | 13-1 |
College football odds pages
| CFP National Championship Odds | SEC Odds | Big 12 Odds | Bowl Season Odds & Info |
| Heisman Trophy Odds | Big Ten Odds | Pac-12 Odds | |
| College Football Playoff Odds | Mountain West Odds | ACC Odds |
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