[bernardoGui]

- Aug. 19th 2014 -

Charlton Athletic vs. Derby County


From a Derbyshire Point of View, today's story seems to be the three consecutive Clean Sheets that the Rams have somehow managed to pull out from somewhere, as of late..

Only once before have a Derby team not conceded in their first three games of a season. The last time was 41 years ago, at the start of the 1973-74 season when the Rams beat Chelsea and Manchester City 1-0 before drawing 0-0 away vs. Birmingham City. Derby lost 2-0 to Liverpool at Anfield in their fourth fixture in 1973-74 and so a fourth consecutive clean sheet from the start of the campaign for Steve McClaren’s side tonight would be a first in the club’s 130-year history.

The betting line for a Derby County FC 'Clean Sheet' in tonight's away match is @ abouts: +165.

Strictly informational of course !

---

Moving on, the Rams have scored 2 goals in their latest 2 away matches; or rather: 2 goals in 1 match away vs. Carlisle in the 'Capital One Cup'. Carlisle resides in the English League Two and besides from the 0-2 loss vs. Derby, Carlisle have also lost their two opening matches in League Two.

This, I think, provides a valuable perspective on the actual form of the Derby FC squad when you also add that they have only scored 1 goal in two league games so far. And that, BTW, was @ home vs. Up Comers from Rotherham.

There have been some changes made on the Derby team card for this season and lately both Centre Forward Leon Best (former Blackburn Rovers) and Midfielder Omar Mascarell (from Real Madrid Castilla) have entered the squad. Both played around 30 minutes in the latest match away vs. Sheffield Utd. It ended 0-0.

Derby have also signed Attacking Midfielder Alban Bunjaku, but up until now I can't seem to gather any news on when he might appear for the Rams. This summer, He shifted to Derby on a free transfer from Sevilla Atlético; before Sevilla, he was part of the Arsenal Youth Programme. He is still only 20 years old. Anyone got any news on the lad?

Either way, I think they are still getting adjusted in Derby FC and that both Charlton and the observant bettor might be able to take advantage of that tonight..

From a Charlton Point of View, things are not looking less bright when you look at the table as well as the first three overall results this season.. 2 wins and a draw. The Addicks have scored 7 goals in their first 3 matches, conceding only 2. They have scored 6 goals @ home in the two latest matches, conceding only 1. That was in last rounds game vs. Wigan. Charlton won 2-1 with a late goal in the added time. In the Capital One Cup, they kept a Clean Sheet vs. Colchester, winning the match 4-0.

But Colchester is not to be compared with Derby as an opponent and with Charlton only being able to keep 1 Clean Sheet in their first three matches, I'm leaning 'BTTS' @ -125. And when you consider the goalkeeper-situation in Charlton, the BTTS becomes even more interesting.

It is of some concern to the Charlton establishment, that newly arrived Goalkeeper, Stephen Henderson, left the pitch injured in the 67th minute of the Wigan match. This leaves the spot open for 22-year-old substitute goalie Nick Pope who went on, substituting Henderson in Saturday's match, and he finished it with sort of a Clean Sheet. He is set to start vs. Derby tonight and with a record of 16 clean sheets, while on loan at York City last season, he seems a promising young man.

Whether he will keep the sheets clean tonight is another question though..


1. 'BTTS' @ -125 x 1.25 u.

2. Charlton 'DNB' @ +162 x 0.75 u.


G L .

[bernardoGui]

- Aug. 19th 2014 -


PARLAY


1. Charlton vs. Derby County

- Over 2 goals AH @ -190 / 1.53

- X -

2. Salzburg vs. Malmö FF

- Salzburg(ML) @ -350 / 1.28


TOTAL ODDS: -104 / 1.96 x 2.75 u.



GOOD NIGHT AND GOOD LUCK !

[Monohan]

Great picks today, keep up the good work!

[bernardoGui]

Great picks today, keep up the good work!

Right on. Thanx mate!

[bernardoGui]

- Aug. 19th 2014 -

Charlton Athletic vs. Derby County - final result: 3 - 2 / (2-1)


1. 'BTTS' @ -125 x 1.25 u.

2. Charlton 'DNB' @ +162 x 0.75 u.

- Aug. 19th 2014 -

Charlton Athletic vs. Derby County

1. 'BTTS' @ -125 x 1.25 u. ( +1 u.)

2. Charlton 'DNB' @ +162 x 0.75 u. ( +1.22 u.)


[ 2-0 ( +2.22 u.) ]


PARLAY


1. Charlton vs. Derby County

- Over 2 goals AH @ -190 / 1.53. WIN.

- X -

2. Salzburg vs. Malmö FF (Final result: 2-1 / (1-0) ).

- Salzburg(ML) @ -350 / 1.28. WIN.


TOTAL ODDS: -104 / 1.96 x 2.75 u. ( +2.64 u.)


[ 2 - 0 ( +2.64 u.) ]

----------------------------------------------------

- Aug. 19th 2014 -

[ 4 - 0 ( +4.86 u.) ]

[bernardoGui]

bernardoGui's Footy record: 34 - 35 - 10 ( +0.23 u.)


ANOTHER (LONG AWAITED!) SWEEP UNDER THE BELT !

[bernardoGui]

Lets face it. It is going to be hard producing another '4-0'. Nevertheless, I am sure as hell gonna' try !


3 matches in focus for this evening:

1. AaB vs. APOEL Nicosia

2. Stjarnan vs. Inter Milan

3. Lille vs. FC Porto


As I'm sure many readers will appreciate, there will be no big write up today, as I'm actually going to the AaB vs. APOEL match in a few minutes..

---

DAILY PARLAY

1. AaB vs. APOEL

- 'Over 2 goals AH' @ -208.

- X -

2. Stjarnan vs. Inter Milan

- 'Inter to win 1st Half' @ -200.

TOTAL ODDS: +122 x 1 u.

---

3. AaB vs. APOEL Nicosia

- AaB 'DNB' @ -150 x 1.5 u.

- AaB to win 1st Half' @ +225 x 0.5 u.

---

4. Lille vs. FC Porto

- 'Under 2 goals AH' @ -125 x 1.25 u.

- 'Under 1.5 goals' @+160 x 0.75 u.

---

GOOD NIGHT AND GOOD LUCK !

[bernardoGui]

CAM00152.jpg

[RubberKettle]

Nice, good luck tonight.

I think Porto get an away win as they've put out their strongest team.

[Monohan]

I like your picks for the most part. I was nervous about the AAB game, as I'm unfamiliar with Nicosia, so I decided to stay away from it, but I will be cheering for them. I really like your Porto pick. I'm on Porto DNB (as I think it will end 0-0 or 0-1) parlay with Zenit.

Good luck!

[RubberKettle]

Porto should have won by 2 or even 3 goals, but a wins a win boyz

[bernardoGui]

Porto should have won by 2 or even 3 goals, but a wins a win boyz

A win is a win is a win ! Good call on the Porto match


Just got home... Watching Inter Milan freeze their asses of in Iceland.

[bernardoGui]

I like your picks for the most part. I was nervous about the AAB game, as I'm unfamiliar with Nicosia, so I decided to stay away from it, but I will be cheering for them. I really like your Porto pick. I'm on Porto DNB (as I think it will end 0-0 or 0-1) parlay with Zenit.

Good luck!

A couple of nice ones, Monohan !

[bernardoGui]

Lets face it. It is going to be hard producing another '4-0'. Nevertheless, I am sure as hell gonna' try !


3 matches in focus for this evening:

1. AaB vs. APOEL Nicosia

2. Stjarnan vs. Inter Milan

3. Lille vs. FC Porto


As I'm sure many readers will appreciate, there will be no big write up today, as I'm actually going to the AaB vs. APOEL match in a few minutes..

---

DAILY PARLAY

1. AaB vs. APOEL

- 'Over 1.5 goals total in the match' @ -208.

- X -

2. Stjarnan vs. Inter Milan

- 'Inter to win 1st Half' @ -200.

TOTAL ODDS: +122 x 1 u.

---

3. AaB vs. APOEL Nicosia

- AaB 'DNB' @ -150 x 1.5 u.

- AaB to win 1st Half' @ +225 x 0.5 u.

---

4. Lille vs. FC Porto

- 'Under 2 goals AH' @ -125 x 1.25 u.

- 'Under 1.5 goals' @+160 x 0.75 u.

---

GOOD NIGHT AND GOOD LUCK !

I LIKE IT, BUT UPS !

I am afraid that I'll have to start off with a correction.. With regards to the PARLAY, the Aab pick posted is not right. The price (-208) is correct, but the actual pick is 'Over 1.5 goals total in the match'. The price for the 'Over 2 goals AH' was @ abouts -120 when I booked my plays. I was in a bit of a hurry when I posted them and I guess that it's when motherf@ckers are in a hurry, that motherf@ckers mess up. My bad.


- : -

[bernardoGui]

3 matches in focus this evening:

1. AaB vs. APOEL Nicosia - final result: 1 - 1 / (1-0).

2. Stjarnan vs. Inter Milan - final result: 0 - 3 / (0-1).

3. Lille vs. FC Porto - final result: 0 - 1 / (0-0).

---

DAILY PARLAY

1. AaB vs. APOEL

- 'Over 1.5 goals total in the match' @ -208. WIN.

- X -

2. Stjarnan vs. Inter Milan

- 'Inter to win 1st Half' @ -200. WIN.


TOTAL ODDS: +122 x 1 u. ( +1.22 u.).

[ 2 - 0 - 0 (+1.22 u.) ]

---

AaB vs. APOEL Nicosia

- AaB 'DNB' @ -150 x 1.5 u. ( PUSH )

- AaB to win 1st Half' @ +225 x 0.5 u. ( +1.13 u.)

[ 1 - 0 - 1 (+1.125 u.) ]

---

Lille vs. FC Porto

- 'Under 2 goals AH' @ -125 x 1.25 u. ( +1 u.)

- 'Under 1.5 goals' @+160 x 0.75 u. ( + 1.2 u.)

[ 2 - 0 - 0 ( +2.2 u.) ]

---

Aug. 20th 2014

[ 5 - 0 - 1 ( +4.55 u.) ]

---

bernardoGui's Footy record: 39 - 35 - 11 ( +4.78 u.)

[bernardoGui]

2 matches in focus for now:

1. AEL Limassol vs. Tottenham

2. Karabukspor vs. St. Etienne

---

DAILY PARLAY

* St. Etienne 'DNB' @ -250

* Tottenham -0.5 @ -250

TOTAL ODDS: -104 x 1.1 u.

---

* Karabukspor vs. St. Etienne : 'Over 2 goals total in the match AH' @ -111 x 1.1 u.

* AEL Limassol vs. Tottenham : 'Tottenham to win + over 2.5 goals total' @ +120 x 0.5 u.

---

GOOD NIGHT AND GOOD LUCK !

[Monohan]

I'm on Totts too, as they are my EPL team I cheer for. They are down 1 early, and not looking too great. Really hope they come back and make us all winners

[bernardoGui]

I'm on Totts too, as they are my EPL team I cheer for. They are down 1 early, and not looking too great. Really hope they come back and make us all winners

Yeah.. As far as I can see Spurs are pretty dominant and I wouldn't be surprised if they push through.

˝ an hour, fingers crossed !!

[bernardoGui]

2 matches in focus for now:

1. AEL Limassol vs. Tottenham

2. Karabukspor vs. St. Etienne

---

DAILY PARLAY

* St. Etienne 'DNB' @ -250

* Tottenham -0.5 @ -250

TOTAL ODDS: -104 x 1.1 u.

---

* Karabukspor vs. St. Etienne : 'Over 2 goals total in the match AH' @ -111 x 1.1 u.

* AEL Limassol vs. Tottenham : 'Tottenham to win + over 2.5 goals total' @ +120 x 0.5 u.

[..]

2 matches in focus this CET-evening:

1. AEL Limassol vs. Tottenham - final result: 1 - 2 / (1-0).

2. Karabukspor vs. St. Etienne - final result: 1 - 0 / (0-0).

---

DAILY PARLAY

* St. Etienne 'DNB' @ -250 - LOSS

* Tottenham -0.5 @ -250 - WIN

TOTAL ODDS: -104 x 1.1 u. ( -1.1 u.)

---

* Karabukspor vs. St. Etienne :

'Over 2 goals total in the match AH' @ -111 x 1.1 u. ( -1.1 u.)

* AEL Limassol vs. Tottenham :

Tottenham to win + over 2.5 goals total' @ +120 x 0.5 u. ( +0.6 u.)

---

- Aug. 21st 2014 -

[ 2 - 2 - 0 (-1.6 u.) ]

---

bernardoGui's Footy record: 41 - 37 - 11 ( +3.18 u.)


"THEY'LL BE RUNNING AROUND TOTTENHAM WITH THEIR PRICKS HANGING OUT TONIGHT !"
[ http://www.barnesandnoble.com/sample/read/9780061978050 ]

[bernardoGui]

THE CALEDONIAN QUADRUPLE SYSTEM

- Aug. 23rd 2014 -

1. Inverness vs. Celtic

- Celtic (ML) @ -200 / 1.50.

2. Hibernian vs. Falkirk

- Hibernian (ML) @ -133.33 / 1.75.

3. Raith vs. Hearts

- Hearts (ML) @ -125 / 1.80.

4. Rangers vs. Dumbarton

- Rangers -1 AH 1st Half @ -107.5 / 1.93.


4 TRIPLE PARLAYS (1x2x3; 1x2x4; 1x3x4; 2x3x4) x 0.75 u. each.

& 1 QUADRUPLE ( 1x2x3x4 @ +812 ) x 0.5 u.


G L .

[bernardoGui]

DOUBLE BARGAIN

- Aug. 23rd 2014 -


1. Millwall 'DNB' @ -225 / 1.44.

2. Wigan (ML) @ -200 / 1.50.


TOTAL ODDS: +116 x 1.5 u.

---

* Millwall -0.5 @ +110 x 0.9 u.

* Wigan -1 AH @ -111 x 1.1 u.


G L .

[bernardoGui]

THE CALEDONIAN C@NTS !!

- Aug. 23rd 2014 -

1. Inverness vs. Celtic

- Celtic (ML) @ -200 / 1.50.


[..]

http://www.resultat.dk/kamp/dKiuGvgf/#kampreferat

[bernardoGui]

THE CALEDONIAN QUADRUPLE - revisited

2. Hibernian vs. Falkirk

- Hibernian (ML) @ -133.33 / 1.75.


[..]

..fingers crossed, that the Hibernian firm watched Tottenham's 2nd half the other night .

[bernardoGui]

- Aug. 23rd 2014 -

1. Inverness vs. Celtic - final result: 1 - 0 / (0-0). OWN GOAL !

- Celtic (ML) @ -200 / 1.50. LOSS.

2. Hibernian vs. Falkirk - final result: 0 - 1 / (0-1).

- Hibernian (ML) @ -133.33 / 1.75. LOSS.

3. Raith vs. Hearts - final result: 0 - 4 / (0-2).

- Hearts (ML) @ -125 / 1.80. WIN.

4. Rangers vs. Dumbarton - final result: 4 - 1 / (2-0).

- Rangers -1 AH 1st Half @ -107.5 / 1.93. WIN.


4 TRIPLE PARLAYS (1x2x3; 1x2x4; 1x3x4; 2x3x4) x 0.75 u. each. ( -3 u.).

& 1 QUADRUPLE ( 1x2x3x4 @ +812 ) x 0.5 u. ( - 0.5 u.).



[ 2 - 2 - 0 ( -3.5 u.) ]

[bernardoGui]

DOUBLE BARGAIN

- Aug. 23rd 2014 -


1. Millwall 'DNB' @ -225 / 1.44. LOSS.

2. Wigan (ML) @ -200 / 1.50. WIN.


TOTAL ODDS: +116 x 1.5 u. ( -1.5 u.)

---

* Millwall -0.5 @ +110 x 0.9 u. ( -0.9 u.)

* Wigan -1 AH @ -111 x 1.1 u. (PUSH)

[..]

[ 1 - 2 - 1 ( -2.4 u.) ]

[bernardoGui]

- Aug. 23rd 2014 -


WHAT A MESS !

[ 3 - 4 - 1 ( -5.9 u.) ]


bernardoGui's Footy record: 44 - 41 - 12 ( -2.72 u.)

[bernardoGui]

- Aug. 24th 2014 -


TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR vs. Q P R

* Tottenham -1 AH @ +110 x 2 u.


HAVE A GOOD ONE !

[bernardoGui]

- Aug. 24th 2014 -


TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR vs. Q P R - final result: 4 - 0 / (3-0).

* Tottenham -1 AH @ +110 x 2 u. ( +2.2 u.)

[ 1 - 0 - 0 ( +2.2 u.) ]


bernardoGui's Footy record: 45 - 41 - 12 ( -0.52 u.)

[bernardoGui]

Barca looking like a team that could squeeze in a couple tonight !

Here's a little something from Spanish 'AS':

http://futbol.as.com/futbol/2014/08/...49.html?u=pbgb

[bernardoGui]

- Aug. 25th 2014 -

A PARLAY

2 picks from LA LIGA and 2 picks from the Swedish 2nd Southern Division.


TOTAL ODDS: +492 x 0.5 u.


Screenshot - 08252014 - 05:37:25 PM.png


* TWO of the picks are also doubled:

Atlético Madrid -1 @ -111 /1.90

Örgryte IS -0.5 @ 166.7 /1.60.


TOTAL : +204 x 1.7 u.



A GOOD DAY - A NICE EVENING - AND SOME GOOD LUCK !

[bernardoGui]

..and all of a sudden, the Real Madrid -1.5 @ - a billion, seems like a VERY expensive mistake ! I still hope not..

1-0 , 10 mins.. C'mon!

[bernardoGui]

..and all of a sudden, the Real Madrid -1.5 @ - a billion, seems like a VERY expensive mistake ! I still hope not..

1-0 , 10 mins.. C'mon!

2 - 0 Real !!

[bernardoGui]

1. LOSS

2. WIN

3. WIN

4. WIN


[ 3 - 1 - 0 ( -2.2 u.) ]



bernardoGui's Footy record: 48 - 42 - 12 ( -2.74 u.)

[bernardoGui]

Chelsea FC vs. Leicester City FC

final result: 2 - 0/ (0-0). 0 points.

1 point / goal difference: -2 (2-4) / 2 matches played of 38.

Arsenal is the next Premiership opponent. Sunday, Aug. 31st. 17:00 CET.

---

On Tuesday evening Leicester takes on Shrewsbury Town @ home in the Capital One Cup.

Shrewsbury reside in League Two and have recorded 8 points in 4 matches this season (W-D-D-W). Goal difference: +5 (9:4).

While I lean toward the 'Leicester ML' as a parlay potential, I'm also chewing on the 'Leicester -1.5' @ -105 and the -2 AH @ +150.

The Leicester 'Clean Sheet' line @ +120 / 'Only Leicester to score' @ +130, is also very tempting, as we are aware that Kasper Schmeichel and the Leicester defense produced an outstanding 18 clean sheets (not 17!) in the 13/14 Championship season.

On the other hand, they've already conceded 4 goals in 2 matches in the Premiership this season. Not a good start, but considering the two opponents (Everton and Chelsea) and the 1 point recorded in the thick of it, the outcome is almost bearable. But I know for a fact that our Danish keeper is not at all pleased with the goals conceded and that a clean sheet will be a priority on Tuesday evening.

The opponent is a smaller caliber than Leicester and although Shrewsbury Town have scored 9 in the latest 4 League Two matches, it is hard to believe that they will hold this average against a team who will be focusing on improving their defensive structure and tactics, not least in order to be able to stay in the Premier League. That is also why I think that the ' -2 AH' and the 'totals', for that matter, could be a bit too risky!?

GOOD NIGHT !

[Monohan]

I don't know much about Shrewsbury Town, I have been impressed with Leicester in their two opening EPL matches. I will be throwing the 'Leicester ML' on to a parlay, I'm thinking with Swansea today and Arsenal to win tomorrow.

What do you think about AAB to qualify @2.8?