EP36's Tennis Talk

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  • JNic
    SBR MVP
    • 01-03-10
    • 4272

    #4796
    EP do you got any leans on the Marchenko/Lu match? it seems Marchenko is in better form here because he qualified and he seems like he can hit through Lu's defense
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #4797
      Notes to self for later, these are not definite plays - just ones I will be looking at more before placing bets:

      Istomin-Ferrer o22
      Montanes +129
      Mayer +4
      Cibulkova-Sevastova o21
      Kleybanova +145
      Robredo +380

      Parlay Options: Gasquet,Kanepi,Youzhny
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #4798
        Originally posted by JNic
        EP do you got any leans on the Marchenko/Lu match? it seems Marchenko is in better form here because he qualified and he seems like he can hit through Lu's defense
        Not particularly. Marchenko is one of those guys I don't ever get a good read on. Helps that he got through qualis, but he's an inconsistent guy. I don't really like either side in that one.
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #4799
          MONDAY NIGHT PLAYS

          FERRER-ISTOMIN OVER 22 [-110]
          Ferrer comes in to Beijing in good form after a somewhat surprising run on the indoor court of Kuala Lumpur last week. Istomin was his mercurial self last week with a topsy turvy three set win and then he got trounced by Soderling. I know it sounds like a broken record from me, but Istomin is one of the most inconsistent guys on tour IMO right now. That often leads to these roller coaster three setters, but he also has the potential to serve lights out and make it at least two tight sets.

          CIBULKOVA-SEVASTOVA OVER 21 [-110]
          Cibulkova remains highly competitive since her US Open run, while Sevastova has also quietly been in good form on hard surfaces. Both got wins over quality players in Round 1. Cibulkova over Wickmayer and Sevastova in 3 over Stosur. Think this is competitive from the beginning to the end and should get over.

          TUESDAY MORNING PLAY

          KLEYBANOVA +150
          She draws the home standing Li Na, Na Li in Beijing. Li got her first match in yesterday since the US Open, an easy straight sets win. Still, her summer n this surface has been poor by her standards and she has not fared well in Beijing in the past few years. Kleybanova won easily over a qualifier which should have boosted her confidence after she lost to Ivanovic in Tokyo. That could have been expected though after she won a hard court tournament the week before. Kleybanova is very capable on this surface and there's no way I can back Li at her price even if she's in her home country.
          Comment
          • beefcake
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-26-09
            • 14029

            #4800
            thought the same thing about Li. she has been ASS since mid year.. GL
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #4801
              Thanks. How'd the wedding go?! That was recent right?
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #4802
                Totals are going to split. Istomin was awful. Cibulkova-Sevastova going the distance.
                Comment
                • mav924
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 12-06-09
                  • 718

                  #4803
                  Good luck today. Liking the Kleybanova pick
                  Comment
                  • JNic
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-03-10
                    • 4272

                    #4804
                    Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                    Notes to self for later, these are not definite plays - just ones I will be looking at more before placing bets: Istomin-Ferrer o22 Montanes +129 Mayer +4 Cibulkova-Sevastova o21 Kleybanova +145 Robredo +380 Parlay Options: Gasquet,Kanepi,Youzhny
                    Shit, just hope this doesn't play out. good thinking though
                    Comment
                    • Mikail
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 07-19-09
                      • 21689

                      #4805
                      Soderling down a set against Robredo. Seems like dejavu. Looks like Sod will bow out early again.
                      Comment
                      • beefcake
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-26-09
                        • 14029

                        #4806
                        Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                        Thanks. How'd the wedding go?! That was recent right?
                        Thanks for asking!...Great..Got hitched on Saturday..Off to St Marteen for the honeymoon. Gonna check out the casinos there for some sports action. The hotel Im staying at has a sports betting kiosk there..Sounds like all I would need..Wonder if they would have some tennis lines...Will have the laptop handy to get some good EP advice!
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #4807
                          Kleybanova sucks or I guess Li is just too good today. Wish I would have taken Robredo at least on the handicap! Might as well try the last one doggy style. Mayer isn't much on this surface, but is there a reason to trust Donkey-denko? Nope.

                          Mayer +230 or with the handicap +4 [-120]
                          Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 10-05-10, 07:37 AM.
                          Comment
                          • beefcake
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-26-09
                            • 14029

                            #4808
                            Dam you stole the thunder Ep! Davy has done nothing at all lately,Im still not sure he is totally healthy still..Lets get it!
                            Comment
                            • dlweaver
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-28-10
                              • 3428

                              #4809
                              Li is killing us
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #4810
                                CHALLENGER PLAY: PRODON -135
                                Prodon was one of the in-form players on clay at the Challenger Level this summer until some sort of injury early in September that forced his withdrawal from a tournament. He just returned last week and was admittedly rusty. Still, if Prodon is recovered he is the better player here having won two titles out of his last four entries.
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #4811
                                  CHALLENGER PARLAY: VLIEGEN + MALISSE [+111]
                                  Not usually a fan of Vliegen, but he's playing a young Dutch player who only plays on clay. Getting him on an indoor hard court should suit Vliegen who just played on this surface in France, winning one and losing one. Malisse draws Koubek whom he is unbeaten against. Dropping down to the Challenger level means Malisse is probably here to make some money. The surface should suit his game, while Koubek has to transition back from clay.
                                  Comment
                                  • jojo85
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 03-22-10
                                    • 277

                                    #4812
                                    nice idea to back the belgians on homeground! leg1 looking good so far
                                    Comment
                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-06-06
                                      • 71662

                                      #4813
                                      Prodon choked in the 3rd set tie break. Up 5-3, lost 7-5. Blah.
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #4814
                                        Alrighty. Vliegen wins in straights. Malisse plays later this afternoon, obviously you can hedge too on Koubek at +250 if you so choose on that parlay, but I think Malisse has the goods to do it.
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #4815
                                          CHALLENGER PARLAY: KENDRICK + DANIEL [+104]
                                          Kendrick draws DeHeart at the Sacramento Challenger, an outdoor hard court. Kendrick has done well at this event, making the QFs last year and the final the year before. The main concern today will be rust with him as he has not played since the US Open. DeHeart played last week in Bangkok, making it through qualis before losing his opener. DeHeart has not done much on this surface recently with a 2-5 mark in the main draw this summer. Kendrick was in good form winning the Binghamton Challenger before the US Open and he seems to pick & choose his events as the year has gone on, so I'd expect he intends to do well here. Daniel draws Estrella on clay in Ecuador. Daniel defeated Estrella in straights in Colombia just a few weeks ago. He did lose early last week, but that may have helped refresh him more so than hurt him. He's had a very solid year on clay and if he's 100% or close to it, he should have enough to beat the Dominican today.
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #4816
                                            Looks like Malisse dropped out, so the parlay cashes at less than even odds on a straight play on Vliegen.
                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662

                                              #4817
                                              Hadn't checked in awhile, Dmitry Tursunov Tweets


                                              Never, EVER, cahnge batteries while you are on the toilet. They have a tendency to fall down in there!!!

                                              ok, going to bed now... That & go fish for batteries in the toilet that will surprize u with a stream of h2o when u press a button to ur -->
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #4818
                                                Daniel wins going away in 3. Kendrick remains, match starts about 6pm ET me thinks.
                                                Comment
                                                • Mirar Baseball
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-05-10
                                                  • 1263

                                                  #4819
                                                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                  Hadn't checked in awhile, Dmitry Tursunov Tweets
                                                  This guy's having too much fun.

                                                  awesome, lol

                                                  to Dmitriy's tweets - and life
                                                  Comment
                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                    • 71662

                                                    #4820
                                                    TUESDAY NIGHT PLAY

                                                    STEPANEK-CHIUDINELLI OVER 22.5 [-112]
                                                    Don't trust either of these guys to put together two solid sets in a row, but I do think they could wind up going the distance in a topsy turvy style match. Stepanek will have revenge on his mind for C.H.U.D. whipping his ass in Washington early in the summer when Steps was just beginning to work his way back. Chiudinelli crushed Llodra, but I get the feeling that was more of a fukk job from the French. Stepanek did not look overly steady against Falla, going 3 including two tie breaks. Not expecting this to get done if it goes straights because I think both will have their problems serving as is their custom from time-to-time.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • azplaya
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 09-12-10
                                                      • 378

                                                      #4821
                                                      EP did Kendrick win his match?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jiyebhutto
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 06-16-10
                                                        • 63

                                                        #4822
                                                        hi what are your thoughts on taking cilic tonight?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Jrod124
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 10-31-09
                                                          • 5622

                                                          #4823
                                                          Any read on Isner at plus money tonight? Or is PK in too good of form?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #4824
                                                            Driving me crazy, cannot find info on Kendrick. Match is over, I know this because I have seen finals for matches started after his.

                                                            Cilic-Davydenko to me is bar none, the WORST match of the year to wager on. How anyone could have confidence in one or the other is beyond me.

                                                            Don't know what to think about Isner. Kohlschreiber has been real solid lately, but he's a streaky player.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #4825
                                                              Finally found it! Kendrick wins in a 3rd set tie break.

                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #4826
                                                                WEDNESDAY MORNING PLAY

                                                                DJOKOVIC-FISH OVER 22 [-112]
                                                                Expecting a much more competitive match than when these two met at the US Open. Fish was fatigued there from a long summer and has had some good rest since then. He was solid vs. Tipsarevic in his opener, while Djokovic cruised against a qualifier in his opener. The quick surface should aid Fish if he can get his first serve in. Not sure he has enough to pull off the upset against Djokovic who seems in good shape after also getting some rest following the Davis Cup. Weather shouldn't factor much.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #4827
                                                                  CHALLENGER PARLAY: BRANDS + ROCHUS [-106]
                                                                  Both matches here at the Mons Belgium Challenger on an indoor hard court. Brands draws Rosol whom he is 4-0 against lifetime. Brands comes in off a good run in Bangkok on a similar surface last week with a pair of wins. Rosol is transitioning off playing mostly clay of late and that should help Brands get a jump on him again. Rochus is the home standing Belgian against Bozoljac who isn't useless on this surface. Rochus has always fared well here with a 12-4 lifetime mark. Rochus got some good time on this surface last week, beating Del Potro and losing to Kukushkin. Bozoljac last played on dirt, so he's shifting back onto the hard surface but has had prep time. Rochus will have to work for this one, but I think having played on the surface last week - that will be key.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • badbyzdmx
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 12-23-09
                                                                    • 232

                                                                    #4828
                                                                    EP, new to the tennis side, can you tell me your record this year? i wanna follow and learn a bit more about handicapping just need to know who to start with lol... thanks and gluck
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #4829
                                                                      I haven't really kept an accurate record. Probably 51-55% winners maybe. I can't really offer up who to follow because we all run hot & cold, but one guy I'd definitely recommend reading his write-ups is Excellence. He offers good insight.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Jrod124
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 10-31-09
                                                                        • 5622

                                                                        #4830
                                                                        Originally posted by badbyzdmx
                                                                        EP, new to the tennis side, can you tell me your record this year? i wanna follow and learn a bit more about handicapping just need to know who to start with lol... thanks and gluck
                                                                        EP's thread is def worth stopping in daily to read his plays. Solid player here
                                                                        Comment
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