SirtySree's Rookie Player Watch + Match Analysis

**SirtySree** · 03-12-15, 03:58 AM

Pereira @4

**SirtySree** · 03-12-15, 04:11 AM

Bondar @3.5

**SirtySree** · 03-12-15, 04:17 AM

Mikael Ymer @6.5. Not a fav down a set play but I like this play.

**SirtySree** · 03-12-15, 05:32 AM

Shinikova @5.5 down set and 1-3 40-40

**SirtySree** · 03-12-15, 05:45 AM

+$832

Rough day. Very undisciplined, took too many random bets that weren't my usual favourites down a set bets.

**SirtySree** · 03-12-15, 05:52 AM

Kharchenko @3 down a set. Almost double bagelled the same opponent last week.

**SirtySree** · 03-12-15, 06:58 AM

De Greef @2.2. If he goes down a break early, I might chuck another unit on him.

**SirtySree** · 03-12-15, 07:02 AM

Added another unit @3.25. If he loses this, will not be very impressed. Lopsided matchup is an understatement.

**SirtySree** · 03-12-15, 08:10 AM

Sometimes all it takes is that early break in the 2nd set for a player to wake up and realise they are about to lose. De Greef ended up cruising to victory with ease after being a set, break 1-0, and 40-0 down. Made a shocking day into just a bad one which I am more than happy with given the circumstances.

+$1077

**SirtySree** · 03-12-15, 08:45 AM

Alves @3.4 down set and break

**Snowball** · 03-12-15, 09:36 AM

Sirty, no offense but your tracking needs improvement.
I fail to see how 11 consecutive losses followed by 1 win
results in this.
+ $1332
fratangelo - loss
ward - loss
russell - loss
rodina - loss
yashina - loss
dzalamidze - loss
pereira - loss
bondar - loss
ymer - loss
shinikova - loss
result of 10 consecutive losses
only down to +$832 ?
kharchenko - loss
de greef - win
result - +$1077 ?

**SirtySree** · 03-12-15, 09:49 AM

fratangelo wasnt a bet. pereira won and de greef was two units. the maths should b rite aftr that

**SirtySree** · 03-12-15, 09:53 AM

that also outlines the beauty of this strategy or high odds. i lost 9 out of 11 plays and im only down bou $250. if my math is wrong, let me knw bt i double checked nd seems rite

**makman** · 03-12-15, 10:02 AM

This thread is a good useful one to find which players can have a chance of big comeback online.
Personally i dont do any math about what he writes there the +money.
Everyone has his own units how much they are betting online, SS has his, sometimes he doubles them, sometimes put the half...who cares

**SirtySree** · 03-12-15, 10:06 AM

Originally posted by makman

This thread is a good useful one to find which players can have a chance of big comeback online.
Personally i dont do any math about what he writes there the +money.
Everyone has his own units how much they are betting online, SS has his, sometimes he doubles them, sometimes put the half...who cares

Thanks. Every bet is 1 unit or $100 though which im pretty sure i mentioned before. De Greef was my first bet at more than one unit and i did post above that i added a unit to him aftr he got broken

**Snowball** · 03-12-15, 10:10 AM

Originally posted by SirtySree

that also outlines the beauty of this strategy or high odds. i lost 9 out of 11 plays and im only down bou $250. if my math is wrong, let me knw bt i double checked nd seems rite

ok pereira i was looking at the woman, not the man.
you have to post amounts when you post bet if the tracking is going to be
taken seriously.

**SirtySree** · 03-12-15, 10:14 AM

Originally posted by Snowball

ok pereira i was looking at the woman, not the man.
you have to post amounts when you post bet if the tracking is going to be
taken seriously.

Every bet in this thread has been the same amount of 1 unit/$100 which had been mentioned a few times in this thread. I never bet more or less than that unless otherwise stated but I am yet to bet anything other than $100 but if I do, I would mention it.

**SirtySree** · 03-12-15, 05:19 PM

Jarry @3.75

**SirtySree** · 03-12-15, 09:23 PM

Bourchier @3

**SirtySree** · 03-12-15, 11:03 PM

+$1077

Been a very up and down week and ended up not really going anywhere. Had a huge play late yesterday that failed and would've been a massive difference maker. Had Bogdan @7.5 and ended up losing in a 3rd set tiebreak after being up 4-2. Would've hedged due to the huge return but 10bet pulled the game off really early so I couldn't.

**SirtySree** · 03-12-15, 11:53 PM

Wallace @4

**SirtySree** · 03-13-15, 04:59 AM

Ferrando @3

**SirtySree** · 03-13-15, 05:14 AM

De Greef @2.5

**Coolsmarti** · 03-13-15, 05:15 AM

With you on De Greef .. I hope he does it again!

**SirtySree** · 03-13-15, 05:23 AM

Arcangioli @2.5

**SirtySree** · 03-13-15, 05:45 AM

Originally posted by Coolsmarti

With you on De Greef .. I hope he does it again!

Hopefully so.

Added another unit @4.5. Down set 4-2 but up 30-0 against serve.

**SirtySree** · 03-13-15, 06:07 AM

Fking Arcongioli 2/16 break points while her opponent is breaking at 71%. Arcongioli completely dominating the whole match and ends up losing by a lobsided scoreline 2-6 3-6. How is that even possible...

De Greef hopefully makes up for it. Down 4-1 and wins set 6-4 after I put the bet in.

**kenz** · 03-13-15, 06:20 AM

waiting for Hugo Nys to drop first?

**Coolsmarti** · 03-13-15, 06:28 AM

De Greef choke loaded ..

**SirtySree** · 03-13-15, 06:38 AM

Originally posted by kenz

waiting for Hugo Nys to drop first?

Tough one. Reboul just took out Boutillier who is better than both of them by quite a bit. Reboul could end up having a good run in this tournament which isn't unusual for ITF players to do at random tournaments.

On indoor hard in 2014/2015, Reboul has won more than 50% of the time as an underdog. Nys has an okay record as the favourite but I think I may have to pass on this one.

Definitely won't play it straight after the 1st set but may do so depending how the 2nd set is going. Reboul has all the momentum so could break early so will only consider putting a bet in once I see Nys starting to turn things around.

**SirtySree** · 03-13-15, 06:46 AM

No words can explain what fking De Greef just did.

**kenz** · 03-13-15, 06:50 AM

Originally posted by SirtySree

No words can explain what fking De Greef just did.

"Choke"?

**SirtySree** · 03-13-15, 06:53 AM

Originally posted by kenz

"Choke"?

Coolsmarti can explain it if he was following the point by point of that match.

I'm out for the night before I go nuts.

**SirtySree** · 03-13-15, 10:47 PM

+$877

Coppejans @3.25

**SirtySree** · 03-13-15, 11:14 PM

Huixin Wang @3.75 up a break in 1st set against Matsui. Not counting to the tally as it's not a play but just saying it could be a good bet.

As mentioned in one of my earlier posts in here, Matsui lost to Khan and I personally think going off stats that it could easily have been a fix. Matsui here once again a huge favourite but allowing Wang to throw down aces much like he did against Khan.

EDIT: Looks like Matsui just wanted to lose the 1 set. No more aces for Wang after the 1st set.