EP36's Super Serial Fuzzy Balls of Fury

EaglesPhan36 · 10-09-13, 11:20 PM

October 10th
ATP Shanghai: Nishikori +145
ATP Shanghai: Monfils +240
WTA Linz: Stephens-Petkovic Over 22 [-110]

MTM · 10-09-13, 11:41 PM

EP, I'm keen on nishikori but I haven't seen tsonga play in awhile. What kind of form do you think tsonga's in?

STAY STRONG · 10-09-13, 11:44 PM

Really like that Monfils play. Gonna take a shot with ya. Thanks EP.

Jago2008 · 10-09-13, 11:50 PM

You guys like Monfils today huh, understandable, I think the match is going to be a grinder with Federer ultimately pulling away. Monfils line has value, but I have Federer in a small parlay, hopefully I haven't underestimated Monfils. Ill trust the Swiss tho.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-09-13, 11:51 PM

Tsonga looks about normal. Thing against Nishikori though is that I think he is a little lost strategically against him at times. I think Nishi mixes it up well against him. Big thing certainly is Nishi serving well to give himself a chance.

STAY STRONG · 10-10-13, 12:35 AM

Originally posted by Jago2008

You guys like Monfils today huh, understandable, I think the match is going to be a grinder with Federer ultimately pulling away. Monfils line has value, but I have Federer in a small parlay, hopefully I haven't underestimated Monfils. Ill trust the Swiss tho.

I feel at these odds, Monfils is worth a shot. Like you said, value is there. Then again, value doesn't mean shit if you're holding a losing ticket

MTM · 10-10-13, 12:35 AM

I can't imagine his serve will be any better this match. In my opinion his strength has been winning the rallies through consistency. I'm worried about tsonga's powerful hitting. Mmm think I'll give it a miss. Thanks for your thoughts.

STAY STRONG · 10-10-13, 01:01 AM

Joined the Nishi party too. A split would be fantastic

fitguy67 · 10-10-13, 01:28 AM

Originally posted by MTM

I'm worried about tsonga's powerful hitting. Mmm think I'll give it a miss. Thanks for your thoughts.

seems square to mention it...but these two have played three tyms over the last few years...each tym a full-set match (one of them a GS-five-setter)...current #18 Nishi won all three of these against current #9 Tsonga...

given water under the bridge since then, i'm not saying Nishi should be favored this tym of course, but i am saying another Nishi win's not a stretch...and he is not likely to get "just thrilled/surprised to be there" choke-inducing jitters if he manages to get into deep water with him yet again...previous success breeds "been here before and came through" composure..

good value at the more-than-40% premium payout for a guy in roughly the same ATP-ranking ballpark with some encouraging H2H cred

FreddieGibbs · 10-10-13, 01:41 AM

Took Nishi today,

whats the plays for games after

Jago2008 · 10-10-13, 01:50 AM

Originally posted by STAY STRONG

I feel at these odds, Monfils is worth a shot. Like you said, value is there. Then again, value doesn't mean shit if you're holding a losing ticket

Well said, I know we're on opposite sides but GL. May the best player win, as homo as that sounds.

fitguy67 · 10-10-13, 01:56 AM

Originally posted by FreddieGibbs

Took Nishi today,

whats the plays for games after

very top of THIS page, post #2521

poet · 10-10-13, 02:30 AM

Yeah, this guy Nish has a history of back troubles (not to mention he is fragile as hell) and might retire here. Hell, he lost in his home country (last week) siting back troubles.

matt1216 · 10-10-13, 02:32 AM

Originally posted by poet

Yeah, this guy Nish has a history of back troubles (not to mention he is fragile as hell) and might retire here. Hell, he lost in his home country (last week) siting back troubles.

Its funny. U know damn well if he won that first set, there's no back pain

poet · 10-10-13, 02:37 AM

Originally posted by matt1216

Its funny. U know damn well if he won that first set, there's no back pain

Agreed 100%, Matt. Which also means you got a bit lucky there

Had he won that first set (which he should have, being up a break and 40-30 in the 8th game), it would be a different story here.

matt1216 · 10-10-13, 02:40 AM

Originally posted by poet

Agreed 100%, Matt. Which also means you got a bit lucky there

Had he won that first set (which he should have, being up a break and 40-30 in the 8th game), it would be a different story here.

Even if he did Tsonga was coming on huge. Nishikori was battling every service game. I Tsonga wins either way.

good luck on yur plays

Cornelius · 10-10-13, 02:49 AM

as much as a fan i am of nishikori the guy never does me a favour and retires when he gets injured.. he was ****** up against seppi earlier this year no retirement now against tsonga and rides it out to a bagel..

poet · 10-10-13, 02:49 AM

Originally posted by matt1216

Even if he did Tsonga was coming on huge. Nishikori was battling every service game. I Tsonga wins either way.

good luck on yur plays

Thanks, but I'm afraid I've given up betting tennis for the most part. Have no feel for what's happening out there anymore and when I see knowledgable guys like EP get their asses handed to them (sorry EP, I'm just using you as an example) on a daily basis I know it's time to quit. BTW, luck plays a huge role. Don't discount it!

matt1216 · 10-10-13, 02:53 AM

Originally posted by poet

Thanks, but I'm afraid I've given up betting tennis for the most part. Have no feel for what's happening out there anymore and when I see knowledgable guys like EP get their asses handed to them (sorry EP, I'm just using you as an example) on a daily basis I know it's time to quit. BTW, luck plays a huge role. Don't discount it!

It's true, luck plays a big role to. Well I'm always posting plays in my thread as well. Tough tournament to gauge. A lot of guys are tired from the gruelling schedule. Lots of upsets

Cornelius · 10-10-13, 02:54 AM

Originally posted by poet

Thanks, but I'm afraid I've given up betting tennis for the most part. Have no feel for what's happening out there anymore and when I see knowledgable guys like EP get their asses handed to them (sorry EP, I'm just using you as an example) on a daily basis I know it's time to quit. BTW, luck plays a huge role. Don't discount it!

Luck does play a huge role. Sometimes it doesn't matter how good of a reader you are, when you have bad luck you just cant win

I haven't betted for a few weeks, just played the nishi match small to see if the toss up would fall my way but guess not. Oh well was a good match for the first set.

davopnz · 10-10-13, 02:58 AM

did nishi have a wager on tsonga 6-0? what a clown

Cornelius · 10-10-13, 03:15 AM

Originally posted by davopnz

did nishi have a wager on tsonga 6-0? what a clown

Nishikori just isnt that type to retire when he gets injured. Well at least when he can play through it anyway. Tends to throw the match and finish it rather than retire.

davopnz · 10-10-13, 03:20 AM

^ are you kidding me? he retires all the time...

Cornelius · 10-10-13, 03:25 AM

then I must have bad luck lol. He has played through the only two times i've betted on him this year.. and injured both times. Oh well life goes on.

matt1216 · 10-10-13, 03:34 AM

Ya he does retire a lot. Especially when it's hot. Makes no sense to me. The guy is in great shape. I think he's just got way to much sand in his vagina

davopnz · 10-10-13, 03:36 AM

doesnt he have a fake name in japan because he's such a superstar or some crap? dude is starting to seem like a massive douche lol

BigPage25 · 10-10-13, 04:55 AM

Damn Monfils had his chance to win the tie break but choked it away

Jago2008 · 10-10-13, 05:37 AM

Damn, great, great match by Monfils.

BigPage25 · 10-10-13, 05:38 AM

Heck yeah cash that monfils ticket

thanks for the play eagles

EaglesPhan36 · 10-10-13, 09:24 AM

Yeah got what I wanted from the two dogs today, which was a split and some profit. I don't really get how anyone can justify taking Federer as huge chalk against any sort of competent player at this point in his career and maybe especially at this point in the season.

Nishikori, you get what you get. He's not the first guy who just absolutely falls apart after losing a set and starts looking lame when he seemed okay in the 1st set. Of course with back injuries, you step wrong one time and it crushes you - so I'm not gonna bury the guy. He's fragile, you know this going in and if you trust him - you can take a chance.

Stokes36 · 10-10-13, 12:11 PM

Petkovic just has to win 2 more games for this to clinch. Looks like she's falling apart. Ugh

Stokes36 · 10-10-13, 12:16 PM

nevermind. lol. It's clinched now, barring a retirement

EaglesPhan36 · 10-10-13, 12:25 PM

This is why I much more enjoy betting on a total in these coin flip matches. Just when you think it's settled in one player's favor, it rolls the other way. Especially in WTA.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-10-13, 01:31 PM

Overall Profit: +5.88

Creeping back in the right direction after a poor start to the week.

matt1216 · 10-10-13, 01:58 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

This is why I much more enjoy betting on a total in these coin flip matches. Just when you think it's settled in one player's favor, it rolls the other way. Especially in WTA.

Good call on Monfilis EP. Federer just done mentally