EP36's Super Serial Fuzzy Balls of Fury

**EaglesPhan36** · 10-03-13, 08:41 PM

October 4th
ATP Beijing: Nadal-Fognini Under 19 [-109]
ATP Tokyo: Raonic-Lacko Under 22 [-115]
ATP Beijing: Isner +155 *Risking 0.5 unit

**riffraff24** · 10-04-13, 12:42 AM

I was thinking about isner too. More of just a gut feeling than anything. Care to share your thoughts on that one? Thx

**riffraff24** · 10-04-13, 01:18 AM

Also why is Isner favored by this much here? They are 2-2 H2H and Isners 2 wins were on hard surface. Berdych's on clay.

**Nyjrkm06** · 10-04-13, 01:20 AM

berdych looked like crap against raonic (granted hes playing well now) and barely won as a -580 fav against Lu

**EaglesPhan36** · 10-04-13, 04:27 PM

Overall Profit: +4.54

**EaglesPhan36** · 10-04-13, 04:33 PM

October 5th
ATP Beijing: Berdych Total Games Won Over 10 [-120]

**matt1216** · 10-04-13, 07:16 PM

Originally posted by Nyjrkm06

berdych looked like crap against raonic (granted hes playing well now) and barely won as a -580 fav against Lu

He wasnt crap. Raonic served lights out. Nothing he could do.

**EaglesPhan36** · 10-05-13, 12:20 AM

Yay! Berdshit retires before he can screw this. Small break.

**Hardcoar** · 10-05-13, 02:30 AM

Originally posted by matt1216

He wasnt crap. Raonic served lights out. Nothing he could do.

You're deluding yourself if you think Berdych played well.

**matt1216** · 10-05-13, 03:22 AM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

You're deluding yourself if you think Berdych played well.

He didn't play great. All I'm saying is that was probably Raonic best serving game this year. Nothing Berdych could do

**Hardcoar** · 10-05-13, 03:41 AM

Play a lot better is what he could do.

**EaglesPhan36** · 10-05-13, 11:50 PM

October 6th
ATP Tokyo: Del Potro-Raonic Over 25 [-109]

**EaglesPhan36** · 10-06-13, 10:50 PM

October 7th
ATP Shanghai: Querrey +150

**matt1216** · 10-07-13, 01:27 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

October 7th
ATP Shanghai: Querrey +150

I'm thinking Querry as well. I think old man Hass's second wind has finally caught up to him. Querry playing solid as well.I think retirement for Hass is within this next year. Good luck.

**MTM** · 10-07-13, 05:52 AM

Ya I like Querrey too. Might also put small wager on Ito

**Brooklyn Dick** · 10-07-13, 07:16 AM

If the roof is closed should help Querry as he has the bigger serve. It becomes an indoor match.

**EaglesPhan36** · 10-07-13, 09:36 AM

No dice for Sambo. Roof is closed on these Stadium Court matches. They are the only ones being played today and Tuesday most likely due to the Typhoon.

**Demonata** · 10-07-13, 11:03 AM

Querrey couldnt at least cover.

**lucasdawg** · 10-07-13, 07:48 PM

dog im looking at for today would be Dimitrov, he was knocked out early in the previous tournament and nishi wasnt that great playing reccently. any suggestions?

**EaglesPhan36** · 10-07-13, 11:56 PM

October 8th
ATP Shanghai: Lorenzi +265
ATP Shanghai: Nishikori-Dimitrov Over 22.5 [-106]

**davopnz** · 10-08-13, 12:15 AM

i like chardy and dimitrov, thoughts?

**Chaz22** · 10-08-13, 06:43 AM

Dimitrov is playing like sh.t...no chance

**EaglesPhan36** · 10-08-13, 07:23 AM

Blah.

**Cornelius** · 10-08-13, 07:59 AM

dimtrov is so overrated (IMO, many probably wouldnt agree with me but that's understandable). I picked nishikori today (didn't bet), Dimitrov has really been playing quite crap even more so ever since he got with sharapova lol.

**EaglesPhan36** · 10-08-13, 09:00 AM

I don't think you would find much argument about Dimitrov from anyone who pays attention. I thought the shift indoors would allow him to at least serve well, but no. Tough start to the week. Hopefully now that the weather clears, it will be more level.

**Cornelius** · 10-08-13, 09:54 AM

He's just not consistent enough. He's just in that patch where he just doesn't give a shit, Nishikori has been pretty off himself lately and still got by Dimitrov quite easily. I'm sick of how often he gets pushed up just because he has similar strokes to fed. I'll give him that he has a better backhand power wise than fed but to look (copy) like fed is one thing but to play like him is another. Not that I have anything against the guy, i mean i can see potential but till he even hones it to some extent he's overrated in my eyes.

**EaglesPhan36** · 10-08-13, 01:14 PM

Overall Profit: +1.48

Hoping to have a better feel for this tournament now that there is no question about playing indoors or outdoots. Back to the full outdoor look. Weather looks solid for the remainder of the tourney.

**EaglesPhan36** · 10-08-13, 10:56 PM

October 9th
ATP Shanghai: Raonic-Verdasco Over 23.5 [-115]
ATP Shanghai: Kohlschreiber +4 [-108]

**EaglesPhan36** · 10-09-13, 09:54 AM

Overall Profit: +3.48

**ParlayininHTown** · 10-09-13, 10:10 AM

EP,

I have a much higher level of confidence in my ability to cap totals than spreads and MLs.

Is it "different strokes for different folks," or do you believe totals are easier to cap in the long run than spreads and moneylines?

**EaglesPhan36** · 10-09-13, 01:51 PM

Totals offer you more options in general, I think. Instead of trying to load up on high chalk lines for parlays, you might play an under if you think someone is going to get crushed. If you have a 50-50 type of match, you might find it better to take an over if you think it's going to be competitive rather than sweating out a ML bet on either side.

I wouldn't say easier, just more options. Same with spreads really. If you expect a tight match where the dog might win ... and you get a big number like +4 ... you can play more conservative and go that route vs. trying for the big score with the ML. Look at guys like Anderson and Kohlschreiber as prime examples today. Almost pulled off the upset ... but lost, but covered the spread.

**poet** · 10-09-13, 05:21 PM

EP, what are Haas' chances against a sick Delpo? I know Delpo needs to win to get to the final 8 in London, but still.

**EaglesPhan36** · 10-09-13, 07:14 PM

Just posted in another thread. I don't like betting on matches like that. Best bet if you feel you can get an edge is to bet it live, but otherwise you have no clue how he is going to be after getting treatment for a day. He basically won because of his serve yesterday against Kohlschreiber. He usually beats up Haas, so I really don't like Haas in that spot unless you know for sure Del Potro is going to play at a C or D level due to the fever.

**poet** · 10-09-13, 11:07 PM

Although I respect your opinion, I think you are being too conservative here, EP. Delpo is usually fairly honest about injuries, etc... And if he had the flu I doubt 24 hours is enough for him to recover. He's also been playing a lot of tennis and Haas was in control of the last match they played in Washington before the rains came. I recall Haas being ticked about that. I think at +190 it's certainly worth a shot.

**TheMLBKing** · 10-09-13, 11:11 PM

EP, thoughts on joker and nadal tonight?