Last season this league took me to the cleaners.....hoping for better fortune
1. Farense/Casa Pia to DRAW @ 3.22/+222 (1u) Marathon
Newly promoted Farense will not want to lose their home opener to a slightly better Casa Pia side who would likely be happy with a point on the road. Interestingly the last 11 head to head encounters failed to end level. Hoping that trend ends on Saturday.
2. Porto/Moreirense UNDER 3 @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Pinnacle
3 of the past 5 games for both sides have gone under the total. The last 2 head to head encounters had 0-1 & 1-1 score lines. Moreirense at home in the second division were undefeated with 15 wins and 2 draws. I expect this game to be a tight low scoring affair just like their past head to head meetings.
Simple handicap here taking the home side that finished in 6th spot and qualified for Europe at plus money. The visitors finished just above the drop in 13th spot and the last 2 times they came to Guimaraes they lost both times and failed to score with 1-0 & 5-0 finals.
4. Chaves/Braga UNDER 2.5 @ 2.16/+116 (1u) Pinnacle
3 of the past 5 home games for Chaves went under. 3 of the past 5 away games for Braga went under. 3 of the past 5 head to head games went under. You can pay the juice and play the Under 3 but I really like the plus money on the under 2.5
Also likes this pick but for some reason last big clash in the league between the bigger clubs between Braga and Benfica went under 2.5 goals in a low scoring affair. Hope to see some goals tonight since I took BTS in this game. Best of luck!!