EP36's Equalizers

TWEETS · 09-04-09, 10:51 AM

Just asked Bookmaker to put a line up for this, let's see how ugly it is. I'm guessing I would be lucky to get it at -190

RoagBettor · 09-04-09, 10:52 AM

Originally posted by TWEETS

Just asked Bookmaker to put a line up for this, let's see how ugly it is. I'm guessing I would be lucky to get it at -190

Yeah, I noticed BookF*cker had every other Ireland League game except this one. WTF?

-190? LOL that would be a gift from BookF*cker! It'll probably be -300!

TWEETS · 09-04-09, 10:53 AM

Wow impressive at (-167)

EaglesPhan36 · 09-04-09, 12:01 PM

I might suggest that cover on the draw. Shamrock could be missing several 1st teamers today. Goalie is away on International duty. Sorry I didn't get this info out earlier for those interested. They still have plenty of quality to win, but you never know what adjustments come when starters are out.

BTTNext · 09-04-09, 01:06 PM

I'm on this as well -- Shamrock has been very dominant at home and I feel like they're just a better team than St. Pats, even with some of the starters off for internationals.

Wilforth · 09-04-09, 01:12 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

I might suggest that cover on the draw. Shamrock could be missing several 1st teamers today. Goalie is away on International duty. Sorry I didn't get this info out earlier for those interested. They still have plenty of quality to win, but you never know what adjustments come when starters are out.

It's good that Shamrock are missing players. Firstly, that's why the price is as good as it is. Secondly, they won't take things foregranted. Thirdly, those replacing the missing regulars would want to prove a thing or two to the coach. Fourthly, they'll play with a greater sense of urgency.

Wilforth · 09-04-09, 01:15 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

It's good that Shamrock are missing players. Firstly, that's why the price is as good as it is. Secondly, they won't take things foregranted. Thirdly, those replacing the missing regulars would want to prove a thing or two to the coach. Fourthly, they'll play with a greater sense of urgency.

Fifthly, you won't have too much money on them, which makes it rather safe.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-04-09, 01:30 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

It's good that Shamrock are missing players. Firstly, that's why the price is as good as it is. Secondly, they won't take things foregranted. Thirdly, those replacing the missing regulars would want to prove a thing or two to the coach. WILFourthly, they'll play with a greater sense of urgency.

tbill11 · 09-04-09, 02:41 PM

2 red cards for St. Patrick's and a 1-0 lead for Shamrock. Looks like we're headed in the right direction

Wilforth · 09-04-09, 02:45 PM

The red cards make me uncomfortable. The lead is still narrow.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-04-09, 02:55 PM

Yeah Shamrock really needs to grab a 2nd goal to feel comfortable at all. 1 goal is nothing. Also believe it is a single red card picked up by St.Patrick's & that actually led to the PK goal I believe.

Wilforth · 09-04-09, 03:29 PM

EaglesPhan36,

Please note this:

Brays Wanderers +1200, Barnet +295, and Hartlepool +225, the "hugest" dogs in Ireland, England League 1, and England League 2, respectively, all won today! Just note that.

TWEETS · 09-04-09, 03:34 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

EaglesPhan36,

Please note this:

Brays Wanderers +1200, Barnet +295, and Hartlepool +225, the "hugest" dogs in Ireland, England League 1, and England League 2, respectively, all won today! Just note that.

Dang, I almost parlayed that!

EaglesPhan36 · 09-04-09, 03:42 PM

Play #102 Result: [W] 59-36-7 (+15.97)

Wilforth · 09-04-09, 03:42 PM

Tweets,

I should find time to make the write-up I promised earlier. It'll contain some of these recurrent pitfalls in soccer betting.

Wilforth · 09-04-09, 03:43 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Play #102 Result: [W] 59-36-7 (+15.97)

Congrats!!!

pitman · 09-04-09, 03:55 PM

thanks bud, tailed ya on this one. congrats

EaglesPhan36 · 09-05-09, 11:50 PM

Play #103: [Brazil Serie A] Avai vs. Internacional OVER 2.5/3 (-105)
Avai's 11 home matches have seen totals of 3 or more, 8 times. They average 1.73 goals per home match, but have been pretty stout offensively, allowing just one per match. They will be up against it though against high flying Internacional who have scored multiple goals in 5 of their last 7 road matches. They have also had some issues stopping opponents on the road, yielding 10 goals in their last 5. Internacional has scored 10 goals overall in their last 3 matches in Serie A. Avai has scored 9 goals in their last 5 and at home, have netted multiple goals in 3 of their last 4. Even with Avai's stout home form on defense, Internacional looks set to score at least one as they've only been kept off the score sheet twice all season. Avai should find success at home as well, so that would leave one of these squads to net a 2nd goal or more to get some sort of win for this. First meeting went 2-1 @ Internacional for Internacional.

BTTNext · 09-06-09, 01:56 AM

Tailing you EP. GL!

TurkzZ · 09-06-09, 06:03 AM

Looks good to me, Also International to win maby, ill check it outlater, BOL dude

EaglesPhan36 · 09-06-09, 11:41 AM

I wasn't as confident with the Internacional side with Avai playing so well at home in their last 5, all wins.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-06-09, 05:08 PM

Thought we were headed for another scoreless first half involving Internacional, but they just snagged a goal.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-06-09, 05:18 PM

2nd half will be interesting. Internacional picked up a red card in the 44th minute. Hopefully that opens it up for Avai to score and get this over done, but it could simply mean Internacional packs it in and doesn't go for much offense which won't help much.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-06-09, 05:58 PM

Play #103 Result: [L] 59-36-7 (+14.92)

Still 15 minutes & change left, but pretty apparent Internacional is trying to hang onto the 1-0 result and nothing more. Might get a late equalizer, but no way in hell two goals come home.

lamhung_503 · 09-06-09, 06:15 PM

Late 2nd goal and Internacional got a red card, we'll see.

lamhung_503 · 09-06-09, 06:20 PM

Avai playing like they're at a practice game.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-06-09, 06:25 PM

Yeah don't know how they couldn't get one up a man for a whole half and managed to yack one up. Oh well.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-08-09, 11:56 AM

Play #104: [Sweden Superettan] GIF Sundsvall -1 (-135)
Sundsvall has fallen just once at home this season with a 6-1-3 record at home altogether. Of those home wins, only one was by a single goal with the rest coming by two or more. That should be a good match against Sirius' struggling road form that has seen them go 2-8-1. Their lone wins came against the #9 and #16 teams in the table. Sundsvall heads into this one in 4th, Sirius in 12th. Sundsvall's home defense has allowed a league low 7 goals, while Sirius has yielded the 2nd most away goals (28). Of the 8 away losses from Sirius, 7 have been my multiple goals. Sirius has been a very schizophrenic club from home to road this season and in their last 5, they have been shut out 3 times. Sundsvall's superior home form and revenge (Sirius won 1-0 at home in May) should be enough to see them through in this one.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-08-09, 02:31 PM

Play #104 Result: [W] 60-37-7 (+15.92)

pitman · 09-08-09, 03:18 PM

nice hit

EaglesPhan36 · 09-11-09, 10:51 AM

Play #105: [Croatia HNL] Cibalia PK, +0.5 (+115)
Cibalia travels to play winless Zagreb. Zagreb is 0-2 at home and 0-6 overall. They yield 2.5 goals per match, while scoring just 0.67. Cibalia is 1-2 on the road, but 4-2 overall. Cibalia averages 1 goal per road match & concedes 1 as well. So it's a bottom of the table Zagreb squad against 3rd place Cibalia. Maybe Cibalia isn't good enough on the road to win, but I'll take a shot at no worse than a draw at a solid price for what so far is the better squad overall.

kmarinouofm · 09-11-09, 12:01 PM

Whats up Eagles?? Haven't been around much in the Soccer Forums since football started... How's the season treating you so far?

Anyway wanted to drop by and show some love...

By the way mark your calendar for the 19th.. Seattle is at home against Chivas in MLS... Seattle hasn't won a home game in like 4 matches and have been winning and pushing against good teams both on the road and at home... Chivas is a club in trouble.. Seattle will have all it's players back...

Pure gut play for me homie!!

EaglesPhan36 · 09-11-09, 12:23 PM

Doin' alright. I'm trying not to spread myself too thin as well with football, tennis & soccer! Once the U.S. Open is over, should be able to pay some more attention to soccer during the week.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-11-09, 02:21 PM

Play #105 Result: [W] 61-37-7 (+17.07)

Late goal for the full stakes, 1-0 win!

Club · 09-11-09, 02:26 PM

Nice work. I just went through your thread and it looks like you do a great job with soccer. I am going to start following, not so much because of your success but because I trust anyone to pick winners in an international sport with an avatar like that.