2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

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  • RudyRuetigger
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-24-10
    • 65085

    #2521
    Originally posted by ByeShea
    First, tell vitt to go upstairs for dinner.

    Second, Scott Rasmussen is not RasmussenReports ... Scott himself is a Democratic pollster. Here's an article he wrote (posted today) about Trump trouble - citing a tie in Iowa ... about the same time this article posted, that Iowa poll was updated to Trump +8, pulling the GOP candidate with him.

    Biden is getting SMOKED right now. Florida Dem operatives are already infighting.
    judgecrater might be d2bets other brother
    Comment
    • thomorino
      Restricted User
      • 06-01-17
      • 45842

      #2522
      2 new polls today both showing Trump ahead in Pennsylvania
      Comment
      • DwightShrute
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-17-09
        • 102779

        #2523
        Comment
        • RudyRuetigger
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 08-24-10
          • 65085

          #2524
          Originally posted by thomorino
          2 new polls today both showing Trump ahead in Pennsylvania
          which polls
          Comment
          • Auto Donk
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 09-03-13
            • 43558

            #2525
            my pole for one.....

            woke up with morning wood pointing straight toward philly.......
            Comment
            • navyblue81
              SBR MVP
              • 11-29-13
              • 4143

              #2526
              Originally posted by Judge Crater
              You got your numbers wrong.
              Rasmussen has it 48-47. But what doesn’t make sense is they gave Trumps approval at 52%. So 5% that approve of him are going to vote for the man with dementia? Yeah, makes sense lol
              Comment
              • RoyBacon
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 09-21-05
                • 37074

                #2527
                Originally posted by navyblue81
                You got your numbers wrong.
                Rasmussen has it 48-47. But what doesn’t make sense is they gave Trumps approval at 52%. So 5% that approve of him are going to vote for the man with dementia? Yeah, makes sense lol
                Been tempted to throw a flyer on Will Trump win pop vote. But it isn't tempting enough. He could do it though.
                Comment
                • ByeShea
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 06-30-08
                  • 8073

                  #2528
                  Originally posted by thomorino
                  2 new polls today both showing Trump ahead in Pennsylvania
                  Comment
                  • Poisec
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-22-18
                    • 1215

                    #2529
                    The fact that the lines barely moved last 7 days show all this new poll results were already known by the market. Total money bet on Betfair always is the best information you need.
                    Comment
                    • jt315
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-12-11
                      • 21780

                      #2530
                      Originally posted by navyblue81
                      You got your numbers wrong.
                      Rasmussen has it 48-47. But what doesn’t make sense is they gave Trumps approval at 52%. So 5% that approve of him are going to vote for the man with dementia? Yeah, makes sense lol

                      Scott went his own way in 2013 . He is not associated with the Rasmussen poll we all know anymore .


                      Scott Rasmussen has left the polling firm he founded after a disagreement over business strategy, according to a report
                      Comment
                      • ByeShea
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 06-30-08
                        • 8073

                        #2531
                        Originally posted by navyblue81
                        You got your numbers wrong.
                        Rasmussen has it 48-47. But what doesn’t make sense is they gave Trumps approval at 52%. So 5% that approve of him are going to vote for the man with dementia? Yeah, makes sense lol
                        Scott Rasmussen is not RasmussenReports. He founded the company but left it in 2013. If Scott himself did any work of value in 2016, we'd all know about it.
                        Comment
                        • CWD
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-22-12
                          • 7667

                          #2532
                          Comment
                          • vitterd
                            Restricted User
                            • 09-14-17
                            • 58460

                            #2533
                            Originally posted by CWD
                            No we don’t
                            Comment
                            • RudyRuetigger
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 08-24-10
                              • 65085

                              #2534
                              doubt rkelly comes back in thread


                              Comment
                              • Gmen30
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-13-10
                                • 1405

                                #2535
                                Galt make another video you fukkin freak
                                Comment
                                • Gmen30
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-13-10
                                  • 1405

                                  #2536
                                  Originally posted by vitterd
                                  No we don’t
                                  But they do
                                  Comment
                                  • RoyBacon
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 09-21-05
                                    • 37074

                                    #2537
                                    Originally posted by vitterd
                                    No we don’t
                                    Your theme song buddy. It slipped away.
                                    Comment
                                    • RudyRuetigger
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 08-24-10
                                      • 65085

                                      #2538
                                      All democrats tomorrow night:


                                      Comment
                                      • Judge Crater
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-05-20
                                        • 2024

                                        #2539
                                        FLORIDA
                                        Quinnipiac (B+): Biden +5
                                        Ipsos (B-): Biden +4
                                        Frederick (B/C): Biden +3
                                        Morning Consult (B/C): Biden +6


                                        Betfair


                                        Biden +121
                                        Trump -123


                                        ARIZONA
                                        Marist (A+): Tied
                                        Data Orbital (A-): Biden +1
                                        Ipsos (B-): Biden +3
                                        Morning Consult (B/C): Biden +2

                                        Betfair
                                        Biden -123
                                        Trump +122


                                        Forget 2016, in politics the favorite usually wins

                                        Article says that in the 2012 (Obama) election every states favorite won.

                                        Last edited by Judge Crater; 11-02-20, 06:46 PM.
                                        Comment
                                        • DwightShrute
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-17-09
                                          • 102779

                                          #2540
                                          2020 Election Odds: One European Sportsbook Has Taken Nearly $400 Million in Presidential Election Bets … So Far

                                          Comment
                                          • Itsamazing777
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-14-12
                                            • 12602

                                            #2541
                                            Originally posted by Gmen30
                                            But they do
                                            Mi an pa are locks for trump.
                                            the people who live there have spoken
                                            the lines are off
                                            Comment
                                            • hostile takeover
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-06-09
                                              • 2258

                                              #2542
                                              I'm sure this has been brought up. But anybody (myself included) who bets on the election may have money tied up for quite some time.

                                              There is zero chance anyone is going down without a fight that lasts weeks.
                                              Comment
                                              • CWD
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-22-12
                                                • 7667

                                                #2543
                                                Comment
                                                • RoyBacon
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 09-21-05
                                                  • 37074

                                                  #2544
                                                  What the fvvk is that lime green rag on his neck??? Is he some kind of muslim?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • thomorino
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 06-01-17
                                                    • 45842

                                                    #2545


                                                    2 new polls from trafalgar and susquena showing trump ahead in pennsylvania

                                                    trafalgar was one of the few to get 2016 right too
                                                    Comment
                                                    • vitterd
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 09-14-17
                                                      • 58460

                                                      #2546
                                                      Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                                                      Mi an pa are locks for trump.
                                                      the people who live there have spoken
                                                      the lines are off
                                                      Lmao. Your last prediction lost by 30 points. Why should we believe this one?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • teecee
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 09-18-09
                                                        • 6298

                                                        #2547
                                                        Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                                        What the fvvk is that lime green rag on his neck??? Is he some kind of muslim?
                                                        Are you being serious?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JohnGalt2341
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 12-31-09
                                                          • 9138

                                                          #2548
                                                          Originally posted by thomorino
                                                          https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

                                                          2 new polls from trafalgar and susquena showing trump ahead in pennsylvania

                                                          trafalgar was one of the few to get 2016 right too
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DwightShrute
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-17-09
                                                            • 102779

                                                            #2549
                                                            Mystery British businessman bets $5million on Donald Trump winning the US presidential election in 'largest political wager ever made

                                                            https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8907577/Mystery-British-businessman-bets-5million-Donald-Trump-winning-presidential-election.html
                                                            Comment
                                                            • homie1975
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-24-13
                                                              • 15453

                                                              #2550
                                                              Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                                                              Mi an pa are locks for trump.
                                                              the people who live there have spoken
                                                              the lines are off
                                                              MI goes Biden.
                                                              PA a virtual toss up. It goes to court
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Fishhead
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 08-11-05
                                                                • 40179

                                                                #2551
                                                                Wow, appears TRUMP is gonna win
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BigdaddyQH
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 07-13-09
                                                                  • 19530

                                                                  #2552
                                                                  Originally posted by eidolon
                                                                  Looks solid. I would say the biggest ifs are Arizona, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina.

                                                                  I'm sure others would want to throw in Ohio and Iowa.
                                                                  The problem is this. Can you name a State on that map where Biden is not a lock to win?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • RoyBacon
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 09-21-05
                                                                    • 37074

                                                                    #2553
                                                                    Originally posted by teecee
                                                                    Are you being serious?
                                                                    No. LOL
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • King Mayan
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 09-22-10
                                                                      • 21326

                                                                      #2554
                                                                      Originally posted by Fishhead
                                                                      Wow, appears TRUMP is gonna win
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • thomorino
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 06-01-17
                                                                        • 45842

                                                                        #2555
                                                                        Originally posted by homie1975
                                                                        MI goes Biden.
                                                                        PA a virtual toss up. It goes to court
                                                                        People hate Whitmer and are sick of the lockdowns, I see Trump being more likely to win Pennsylvania.
                                                                        Comment
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