CFL 2018 Thread

**danshan11** · 09-07-18, 08:42 PM

I hope they win too

**Hngkng** · 09-07-18, 09:47 PM

Ottawa down 7-0, there is Ottawa +6.5 in play. I took it

**Coolcanuck79** · 09-07-18, 10:41 PM

2nd half offensive explosion or more of what we've seen in the 1st half with pressure on the QB?

**cankid** · 09-07-18, 10:43 PM

Took 2nd Half Ott Mline and Under 24.5 straight

**cankid** · 09-07-18, 10:54 PM

WTF didnt know Davis was playing 2nd half f..

**Coolcanuck79** · 09-07-18, 10:56 PM

Originally posted by cankid

WTF didnt know Davis was playing 2nd half f..

Who knows what's going on. The team is in shambles! My goodness.

**Hngkng** · 09-07-18, 11:08 PM

Originally posted by cankid

WTF didnt know Davis was playing 2nd half f..

Well only in for 2 series and threw a pick. So basically as productive as Harris.

**Hngkng** · 09-07-18, 11:25 PM

Team head shots looking good in the 2nd half

**KVB** · 09-08-18, 11:02 AM

The sharp forecast has Hamilton winning with 40 or more points to Toronto's 27 points. The stacking forecast shows Hamilton winning with 36 points to Toronto's 17 or 19 points. The public gauge say Hamilton wins 29-23.

We've seen slight movement towards the forecasts and the line sits at the public gauge. This is a rematch from last week and is the first of three games today. I see no reason to counter the forecast with a bold play at this point.

I wish I had more but my focus has been on other markets and my analysis very thin here since pulling the forecasts from posting at the open. It's not really by choice.

**Hngkng** · 09-08-18, 11:38 AM

I like going against the winning team when it comes to these back to back games.
Therefore, I am going small on Toronto +5.5

**KVB** · 09-08-18, 01:48 PM

Originally posted by Hngkng

I like going against the winning team when it comes to these back to back games.
Therefore, I am going small on Toronto +5.5

All three games are back to back repeats today. Maybe there's a story out of it.

**KVB** · 09-08-18, 01:56 PM

The sharp forecast has Saskatchewan winning with 36 points to Winnipeg's 23 or 24 points. The stacking forecast shows Saskatchewan winning with 24 or 25 points to Winnipeg's 23 or 24 points. The public gauge has Saskatchewan winning 28 to 27.

The numbers agree on Saskatchewan and but metrics indicate this has a high probability of failure over the short term and I have countered the forecasts with Winnipeg Blue Bombers -4 (-105) over Saskatchewan Roughriders.

I think the patient streak breaking bettors get paid here.

Good Luck.

**Sam Losco** · 09-08-18, 02:27 PM

no wager, but good game to watch so far

**Hngkng** · 09-08-18, 02:40 PM

I’m on Saskatchewan +4.0 as my main play this week

**icon** · 09-08-18, 02:42 PM

Is anybody besides Hngkng betting the CFL now that NCAAF & NFL have started?

**KVB** · 09-08-18, 04:01 PM

Originally posted by Hngkng

I’m on Saskatchewan +4.0 as my main play this week

**KVB** · 09-08-18, 05:01 PM

The sharp forecast shows Calgary winning with 24 or 25 points to Edmonton's 20 points. The stacking forecast has Calgary winning with 27 points to Edmonton's 24 points. The public gauge says Calgary wins 29-22.

Again we see little line movement. There are certain money flow indications that may lead me into a bold play, countering the Calgary forecast. Right now, however, it appears that all eyes are on the NCAAF markets and little attention is being paid to the CFL side of things.

I have little back end information to go on at this point as well, focus is elsewhere.

I do think Winnipeg has a good chance of coming back here to win this game, if not outright cover the spread but it something watch, not quite bet.

**Hngkng** · 09-08-18, 06:18 PM

I’m on Edmonton +3.0 in game

**Hngkng** · 09-08-18, 06:28 PM

Originally posted by Coolcanuck79

Good info on the Winnipeg QB. I like the under 11.5 as well.

This won today!

**KVB** · 09-14-18, 04:20 PM

The sharp forecast gives British Columbia the edge with 20 or 22 points to Montreal's 20 points. The stacking forecast shows BC winning with 31 points to Montreal's 20 or 22 points. The non-predictive pubic gauge says BC wins 24-17.

Again posting these mostly to go over at another point but I have been very busy running several NCAAF Funds and baskets, grinding those markets and have given minimal time to the CFL.

I still like the forecasts this season overall but notice a difference here in the sharp and stacking forecasts. I think the agreement that BC wins tonight, in Montreal, is stronger than the disagreement about the 3 point spread, of which the sharp forecast sits inside.

In other words, I like the forecasts against the moneyline tonight; I like BC to win tonight.

Good Luck whatever you bet and I will try to give a stronger, fact based outlook on the state of the markets as I see them.

**Hngkng** · 09-14-18, 06:26 PM

I’m on Montreal +3.5

**Hngkng** · 09-15-18, 02:23 PM

On Calgary -2.5 today

**KVB** · 09-15-18, 02:35 PM

The sharp forecast has Hamilton winning with 36 or 37 points to Calgary's 33 or 34 points. The stacking forecast shows Hamilton winning with 30 points to Calgary's 24 or 25 points. The public gauge has Calgary 28-23.

The line has moved away from the forecasts on public support for Calgary. I continue to back the forecasts as they recover from that epic market slide earlier in the season and think this is a good game to watch and gather info before making a bold play.

For the second game the sharp forecast shows Saskatchewan winning with 27 points to Ottawa's 17 or 19 points. The stacking forecast has Saskatchewan winning with 30 points to Ottawa's 20 points. The public gauge has Saskatchewan winning 27-23.

I think, given the agreement in the numbers, especially the moneyline, that the market is setting up for an Ottawa cover or outright win.

I am holding off on an Ottawa play to counter the Forecast but wouldn't be surprised to see the 5 lines tick back down to 4.5, towards the opener.

I wish I had more but again the CFL information is still be analyzed and I have been very busy.

**KVB** · 09-15-18, 02:41 PM

Originally posted by Hngkng

On Calgary -2.5 today

Good Luck, tough for me to counter the forecast in the first game but I can see the attraction to Calgary.

I'm thinking Ottawa to win later but I'd like to see this first game play out.

I don't think the Calgary/Ottawa moneyline two pick pays, but perhaps Ottawa covering the spread is the only adjustment to make there.

**Hngkng** · 09-15-18, 08:22 PM

Small bet on Ottawa +5.0

**KVB** · 09-15-18, 08:42 PM

Originally posted by Hngkng

Small bet on Ottawa +5.0

Agreed, I picked up Ottawa Redblacks +5 (-110) over Saskatchewan Roughriders in a counter to the forecast.

Let's cash Hngkng!

**KVB** · 09-21-18, 04:45 PM

The sharp forecast has Montreal winning with 31 or 33 points to Winnipeg's 24 or 25 points. The stacking forecast shows Winnipeg winning with 30 points to Montreal's 24 or 25 points. The public gauge has Winnipeg 33-21.

The sharp forecast calling for a big upset here, in disagreement with everyone else.

Johnny Football, from what I know, is back tonight and Winnipeg is under heavy pressure to cover spread here.

I'm still not turning too much attention to the CFL markets so tonight we watch, with no bold action.

**turtledoves** · 09-21-18, 04:57 PM

POUND MONTREAL against the spread!

have it from a very good source they will cover.

**Hngkng** · 09-21-18, 06:14 PM

Originally posted by turtledoves

POUND MONTREAL against the spread!

have it from a very good source they will cover.

Did your source simply check the night clubs for Johnny Manziel?

**turtledoves** · 09-21-18, 06:54 PM

Originally posted by Hngkng

Did your source simply check the night clubs for Johnny Manziel?

he will hit the club after the big win tonight. it was all a test, there is no source. within 15 minutes of the post, according to sbr odds, the line moved to a -115 at a place. clearly it was a reaction to my post.

**Hngkng** · 09-21-18, 07:12 PM

I have no bet right now, will watch then decide.

**gojetsgomoxies** · 09-21-18, 07:57 PM

why do teams run in the CFL? it seems like there's no point to it except perhaps keep the other team's D honest.

i do see winnipeg has had good runs tonight...... but in general a running play just seems like a waste of first down. you basically need to complete a pass to make a first down so why not attempt it twice?

4 down football is completely different. although it's gone to pass dominance itself

**kingdom** · 09-21-18, 10:14 PM

do they not run the fukn clock out in cfl when up ten? they run a 2 minute drill as the clock is draining to get another td. is this normal in cfl? i don't remember seeing this before.

**icon** · 09-21-18, 10:18 PM

Originally posted by kingdom

do they not run the fukn clock out in cfl when up ten? they run a 2 minute drill as the clock is draining to get another td. is this normal in cfl? i don't remember seeing this before.

20 second clock not 40 so its harder to run it out in CFL hence teams still keep playing late. Sorry about your Montreal bet.

**Hngkng** · 09-21-18, 10:18 PM

Originally posted by kingdom

do they not run the fukn clock out in cfl when up ten? they run a 2 minute drill as the clock is draining to get another td. is this normal in cfl? i don't remember seeing this before.

20 seconds play clock in the CFL, not 40 seconds. So yes what you saw today was normal.