LTA's NFL PLays

[Love The Action]

NFL 2011-2012 Week 10

Play #1

Bills/Cowboys over (48) 4x (Locked)

I've been watching this one all day and just don't see it going down to 47, so I'm going to lock it in now. First, the Buffalo defense is really struggling right now, especially against the pass. They are suffering from a few injuries that are affecting both their secondary and pass rush. On the other despite, despite some horrible offensive efficiency in the red zone, the Cowboys offense is moving the ball at will right now with the addition of Demarco Murray at rb. That running game with Murray really opens up the play action and keeps the linebackers away from defending that deep in to Dez Bryant across the middle. Miles Austin will be out a couple weeks, but I don't see this affecting Dallas' ability to move the ball against this Buffalo defense. The Bills offense had been playing unbelievably efficient until facing that Jets buzzsaw at home last week. I expect a turnaround performance from Ryan Fitzpatrick and Co. on the road, playing against another Ryan family coached defense. Buffalo is a top 5 defense in Off EPA and WPA as well as Passing EPA and WPA in addition to top 5 DVOA efficiency. Buffalo will be playing on a fast track in warm temps which will be conducive to their passing attack. I expect a rebound from Buffalo's skill position players, especially Johnson and Jackson. I have this game set at 51 and we are covering the key number of 48, while getting three points of value. I would have liked to get 47 for coverage on that key number, but I just see this number going up throughout the week and I am rolling with the over for 4x. Good luck.

Play #2

Chiefs (-3) 1x (Locked)

See my thoughts above. I also agree with SK about his points respecting this game. Tebow loses this one as KC will force him to pass in a tough game at Arrowhead. Good luck.

Play #3

Ravens/Seahawks under (41) 1x (Locked)

Both teams are top 10 in advanced defensive stats. Seattle truly dominates against the run where they rank in the top 5 in virtually every statistical category in rushing defense. However, they do struggle against the pass where they rank in the bottom third of the league. Nevertheless, because this game is at Seattle, I expect that crowd to help out with Baltimore's ability to audible and I'm hoping they can limit that dangerous Balty passing offense just enough to keep this one under the posted total. Balty dominates on defense across the board and Seattle's offensive is not exactly the best in the league, so I expect this one to come in at 37 or under which is where I have this one set. I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

[Love The Action]

Hey LTA...I know your usually bigger on totals, but I need an opinion on a side. I'm loving the Falcons at home at PK. Thinking of a large play on this. Any thoughts?

I don't really have an opinion on that particular play. I can't find a true edge and look at that one more as a coinflip. Although, you can't go wrong with playing Atlanta at home at a great number where they have a dominate record with "Matty Ice" at qb. Good luck in whatever you choose, I hope you cash. I may play the over.

[Love The Action]

NFL 2011-2012 Week 10

Play #1

Bills/Cowboys over (48) 4x (Locked)

I've been watching this one all day and just don't see it going down to 47, so I'm going to lock it in now. First, the Buffalo defense is really struggling right now, especially against the pass. They are suffering from a few injuries that are affecting both their secondary and pass rush. On the other despite, despite some horrible offensive efficiency in the red zone, the Cowboys offense is moving the ball at will right now with the addition of Demarco Murray at rb. That running game with Murray really opens up the play action and keeps the linebackers away from defending that deep in to Dez Bryant across the middle. Miles Austin will be out a couple weeks, but I don't see this affecting Dallas' ability to move the ball against this Buffalo defense. The Bills offense had been playing unbelievably efficient until facing that Jets buzzsaw at home last week. I expect a turnaround performance from Ryan Fitzpatrick and Co. on the road, playing against another Ryan family coached defense. Buffalo is a top 5 defense in Off EPA and WPA as well as Passing EPA and WPA in addition to top 5 DVOA efficiency. Buffalo will be playing on a fast track in warm temps which will be conducive to their passing attack. I expect a rebound from Buffalo's skill position players, especially Johnson and Jackson. I have this game set at 51 and we are covering the key number of 48, while getting three points of value. I would have liked to get 47 for coverage on that key number, but I just see this number going up throughout the week and I am rolling with the over for 4x. Good luck.

Play #2

Chiefs (-3) 1x (Locked)

See my thoughts above. I also agree with SK about his points respecting this game. Tebow loses this one as KC will force him to pass in a tough game at Arrowhead. Good luck.

Play #3

Ravens/Seahawks under (41) 1x (Locked)

Both teams are top 10 in advanced defensive stats. Seattle truly dominates against the run where they rank in the top 5 in virtually every statistical category in rushing defense. However, they do struggle against the pass where they rank in the bottom third of the league. Nevertheless, because this game is at Seattle, I expect that crowd to help out with Baltimore's ability to audible and I'm hoping they can limit that dangerous Balty passing offense just enough to keep this one under the posted total. Balty dominates on defense across the board and Seattle's offensive is not exactly the best in the league, so I expect this one to come in at 37 or under which is where I have this one set. I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #4

Steelers/Bengals under (41) 1x (Locked)

No time for a writeup. Line starting to move, but still available at Legends if you like this one. Good luck.

[Love The Action]

NFL 2011-2012 Week 10

Play #1

Bills/Cowboys over (48) 4x (Locked)

I've been watching this one all day and just don't see it going down to 47, so I'm going to lock it in now. First, the Buffalo defense is really struggling right now, especially against the pass. They are suffering from a few injuries that are affecting both their secondary and pass rush. On the other despite, despite some horrible offensive efficiency in the red zone, the Cowboys offense is moving the ball at will right now with the addition of Demarco Murray at rb. That running game with Murray really opens up the play action and keeps the linebackers away from defending that deep in to Dez Bryant across the middle. Miles Austin will be out a couple weeks, but I don't see this affecting Dallas' ability to move the ball against this Buffalo defense. The Bills offense had been playing unbelievably efficient until facing that Jets buzzsaw at home last week. I expect a turnaround performance from Ryan Fitzpatrick and Co. on the road, playing against another Ryan family coached defense. Buffalo is a top 5 defense in Off EPA and WPA as well as Passing EPA and WPA in addition to top 5 DVOA efficiency. Buffalo will be playing on a fast track in warm temps which will be conducive to their passing attack. I expect a rebound from Buffalo's skill position players, especially Johnson and Jackson. I have this game set at 51 and we are covering the key number of 48, while getting three points of value. I would have liked to get 47 for coverage on that key number, but I just see this number going up throughout the week and I am rolling with the over for 4x. Good luck.

Play #2

Chiefs (-3) 1x (Locked)

See my thoughts above. I also agree with SK about his points respecting this game. Tebow loses this one as KC will force him to pass in a tough game at Arrowhead. Good luck.

Play #3

Ravens/Seahawks under (41) 1x (Locked)

Both teams are top 10 in advanced defensive stats. Seattle truly dominates against the run where they rank in the top 5 in virtually every statistical category in rushing defense. However, they do struggle against the pass where they rank in the bottom third of the league. Nevertheless, because this game is at Seattle, I expect that crowd to help out with Baltimore's ability to audible and I'm hoping they can limit that dangerous Balty passing offense just enough to keep this one under the posted total. Balty dominates on defense across the board and Seattle's offensive is not exactly the best in the league, so I expect this one to come in at 37 or under which is where I have this one set. I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #4

Steelers/Bengals under (41) 1x (Locked)

This play is similar to the Ravens/Seahawks play. Even though Pittsburgh and Cincy have better offenses than those two teams, you still have to remember that Dalton is remains a rookie and will not play perfect every game. At some point, he is going to struggle and the Steelers have righted their once struggling defensive ship. Both teams are top 15 or better (most top 10) in advanced defensive stats. I think both offenses struggle just enough today to keep this under the posted total. I am rolling with the under for 1x.

Play #5

Lions/Bears under (43) 1x (Locked)

I'm really kicking myself for not taking this earlier in the week at 45, but we're still covering the key total numbers of 43 and 41 so I will take a shot with some crazy winds here in Chicago and a Lions offense that should struggle against the run. I am also starting to have a Bears lean and may tease the Bears with the under (and break the rule of crossing zero) and/or play the Bears if I can get them -2.5. For now, I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

[No coincidences]

This sounds crazy LTA, but the only thing that worries me about your DAL/BUF over play is the Bills scoring enough.

I could easily see a 30-17 type win for Dallas. Hope I'm wrong though.

[Love The Action]

This sounds crazy LTA, but the only thing that worries me about your DAL/BUF over play is the Bills scoring enough.

I could easily see a 30-17 type win for Dallas. Hope I'm wrong though.

That's not crazy, it's a fundamental fear of any over play...I'm worried both teams don't score enough

Sounds like you like Dallas....good luck.

[Love The Action]

NFL 2011-2012 Week 10

Play #1

Bills/Cowboys over (48) 5x (Locked)

I've been watching this one all day and just don't see it going down to 47, so I'm going to lock it in now. First, the Buffalo defense is really struggling right now, especially against the pass. They are suffering from a few injuries that are affecting both their secondary and pass rush. On the other despite, despite some horrible offensive efficiency in the red zone, the Cowboys offense is moving the ball at will right now with the addition of Demarco Murray at rb. That running game with Murray really opens up the play action and keeps the linebackers away from defending that deep in to Dez Bryant across the middle. Miles Austin will be out a couple weeks, but I don't see this affecting Dallas' ability to move the ball against this Buffalo defense. The Bills offense had been playing unbelievably efficient until facing that Jets buzzsaw at home last week. I expect a turnaround performance from Ryan Fitzpatrick and Co. on the road, playing against another Ryan family coached defense. Buffalo is a top 5 defense in Off EPA and WPA as well as Passing EPA and WPA in addition to top 5 DVOA efficiency. Buffalo will be playing on a fast track in warm temps which will be conducive to their passing attack. I expect a rebound from Buffalo's skill position players, especially Johnson and Jackson. I have this game set at 51 and we are covering the key number of 48, while getting three points of value. I would have liked to get 47 for coverage on that key number, but I just see this number going up throughout the week and I am rolling with the over for 5x. Good luck.

Play #2

Chiefs (-3) 1x (Locked)

See my thoughts above. I also agree with SK about his points respecting this game. Tebow loses this one as KC will force him to pass in a tough game at Arrowhead. Good luck.

Play #3

Ravens/Seahawks under (41) 1x (Locked)

Both teams are top 10 in advanced defensive stats. Seattle truly dominates against the run where they rank in the top 5 in virtually every statistical category in rushing defense. However, they do struggle against the pass where they rank in the bottom third of the league. Nevertheless, because this game is at Seattle, I expect that crowd to help out with Baltimore's ability to audible and I'm hoping they can limit that dangerous Balty passing offense just enough to keep this one under the posted total. Balty dominates on defense across the board and Seattle's offensive is not exactly the best in the league, so I expect this one to come in at 37 or under which is where I have this one set. I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #4

Steelers/Bengals under (41) 1x (Locked)

This play is similar to the Ravens/Seahawks play. Even though Pittsburgh and Cincy have better offenses than those two teams, you still have to remember that Dalton is remains a rookie and will not play perfect every game. At some point, he is going to struggle and the Steelers have righted their once struggling defensive ship. Both teams are top 15 or better (most top 10) in advanced defensive stats. I think both offenses struggle just enough today to keep this under the posted total. I am rolling with the under for 1x.

Play #5

Lions/Bears under (43) 1x (Locked)

I'm really kicking myself for not taking this earlier in the week at 45, but we're still covering the key total numbers of 43 and 41 so I will take a shot with some crazy winds here in Chicago and a Lions offense that should struggle against the run. I am also starting to have a Bears lean and may tease the Bears with the under (and break the rule of crossing zero) and/or play the Bears if I can get them -2.5. For now, I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Added 1x to Play #1 for total of 5x Bills/Cowboys over (48) (Locked)

Biggest football bet so far this year. Correct units denoted above. Good luck.

[No coincidences]

That's not crazy, it's a fundamental fear of any over play...I'm worried both teams don't score enough

Sounds like you like Dallas....good luck.

Hard to ever trust them, but I don't see the Bills putting up much of a fight.

[No coincidences]

Best of luck on your play LTA. Greek has a 47.5 if you have an acct. there.

[Overbettor]

Hey lta, I don't see how falcons/saints doesnt go over. Falcons are going to get their points at home and no team is better at third down conversions than the saints. Strong play in my mind. Any thoughts?

[Love The Action]

Hey lta, I don't see how falcons/saints doesnt go over. Falcons are going to get their points at home and no team is better at third down conversions than the saints. Strong play in my mind. Any thoughts?

Over is a very solid play. I am leaning very hard on the over in that game. GL

[Dexter]

is live odds down for everyone else as well?

[Dexter]

Added 1x to Play #1 for total of 5x Bills/Cowboys over (48) (Locked)

Biggest football bet so far this year. Correct units denoted above. Good luck.

Good Luck with the monster play...

[Overbettor]

Thanks lta, good luck to u as well

[Love The Action]

Good Luck with the monster play...

Thanks...same to you

[Love The Action]

Best of luck on your play LTA. Greek has a 47.5 if you have an acct. there.

Thanks...good luck to you as well

[Anthonyg7]

Good luck LTA.

[Ab34]

lets cash today lta

[Donnie Brasco]

Best of luck LTA, riding the totals with u as well as my sides! Lets get it!

[Love The Action]

NFL 2011-2012 Week 10

Play #1

Bills/Cowboys over (48) 5x (Locked)

I've been watching this one all day and just don't see it going down to 47, so I'm going to lock it in now. First, the Buffalo defense is really struggling right now, especially against the pass. They are suffering from a few injuries that are affecting both their secondary and pass rush. On the other despite, despite some horrible offensive efficiency in the red zone, the Cowboys offense is moving the ball at will right now with the addition of Demarco Murray at rb. That running game with Murray really opens up the play action and keeps the linebackers away from defending that deep in to Dez Bryant across the middle. Miles Austin will be out a couple weeks, but I don't see this affecting Dallas' ability to move the ball against this Buffalo defense. The Bills offense had been playing unbelievably efficient until facing that Jets buzzsaw at home last week. I expect a turnaround performance from Ryan Fitzpatrick and Co. on the road, playing against another Ryan family coached defense. Buffalo is a top 5 defense in Off EPA and WPA as well as Passing EPA and WPA in addition to top 5 DVOA efficiency. Buffalo will be playing on a fast track in warm temps which will be conducive to their passing attack. I expect a rebound from Buffalo's skill position players, especially Johnson and Jackson. I have this game set at 51 and we are covering the key number of 48, while getting three points of value. I would have liked to get 47 for coverage on that key number, but I just see this number going up throughout the week and I am rolling with the over for 5x. Good luck.

Play #2

Chiefs (-3) 1x (Locked)

See my thoughts above. I also agree with SK about his points respecting this game. Tebow loses this one as KC will force him to pass in a tough game at Arrowhead. Good luck.

Play #3

Ravens/Seahawks under (41) 1x (Locked)

Both teams are top 10 in advanced defensive stats. Seattle truly dominates against the run where they rank in the top 5 in virtually every statistical category in rushing defense. However, they do struggle against the pass where they rank in the bottom third of the league. Nevertheless, because this game is at Seattle, I expect that crowd to help out with Baltimore's ability to audible and I'm hoping they can limit that dangerous Balty passing offense just enough to keep this one under the posted total. Balty dominates on defense across the board and Seattle's offensive is not exactly the best in the league, so I expect this one to come in at 37 or under which is where I have this one set. I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #4

Steelers/Bengals under (41) 1x (Locked)

This play is similar to the Ravens/Seahawks play. Even though Pittsburgh and Cincy have better offenses than those two teams, you still have to remember that Dalton is remains a rookie and will not play perfect every game. At some point, he is going to struggle and the Steelers have righted their once struggling defensive ship. Both teams are top 15 or better (most top 10) in advanced defensive stats. I think both offenses struggle just enough today to keep this under the posted total. I am rolling with the under for 1x.

Play #5

Lions/Bears under (43) 1x (Locked)

I'm really kicking myself for not taking this earlier in the week at 45, but we're still covering the key total numbers of 43 and 41 so I will take a shot with some crazy winds here in Chicago and a Lions offense that should struggle against the run. I am also starting to have a Bears lean and may tease the Bears with the under (and break the rule of crossing zero) and/or play the Bears if I can get them -2.5. For now, I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #6

Saints/Falcons over (49) 1x (Locked)

While Atlanta's defense has made some major improvements, I just don't forsee this game following the recent under trend between these two teams. Both teams' offense are functioning on all cylinders in this game. I have this one at 51 and as soon as 49 became available, I had to jump on it and roll with the over for 1x. Good luck.

Play #7

Jaguars/Colts under (38) 1x (Locked)

It's time for the Colts defense to show up at home against a rookie QB that has not found a lot of success so far. Even though I think Painter is not as bad as has been portrayed, I do not believe he will get to the end zone enough against this top 10 Jaguars defense to blow this under. We are covering the key numbers of 37 and 38, so I am rolling with the over for 1x. Good luck.

Play #8

Texans/Bucs over (45) 1x (Locked)

I've been eyeing this game all week for an over play and there has been very little line movement. I think we see a Bucs offense wake up at home today against a tough, but susceptible Texans defense. On the other side, I expect the Texans dominate rush attack to show up strong today against a weakened Bucs defense sans McCoy. I think we see a close game and a strong game from home dog that helps push this one over the posted total. I am rolling with the over for 1x. Good luck.

[Love The Action]

Good luck LTA.

lets cash today lta

Best of luck LTA, riding the totals with u as well as my sides! Lets get it!

Thanks guys...good luck on your plays as well

[Love The Action]

NFL 2011-2012 Week 10

Play #1

Bills/Cowboys over (48) 5x (Locked)

I've been watching this one all day and just don't see it going down to 47, so I'm going to lock it in now. First, the Buffalo defense is really struggling right now, especially against the pass. They are suffering from a few injuries that are affecting both their secondary and pass rush. On the other despite, despite some horrible offensive efficiency in the red zone, the Cowboys offense is moving the ball at will right now with the addition of Demarco Murray at rb. That running game with Murray really opens up the play action and keeps the linebackers away from defending that deep in to Dez Bryant across the middle. Miles Austin will be out a couple weeks, but I don't see this affecting Dallas' ability to move the ball against this Buffalo defense. The Bills offense had been playing unbelievably efficient until facing that Jets buzzsaw at home last week. I expect a turnaround performance from Ryan Fitzpatrick and Co. on the road, playing against another Ryan family coached defense. Buffalo is a top 5 defense in Off EPA and WPA as well as Passing EPA and WPA in addition to top 5 DVOA efficiency. Buffalo will be playing on a fast track in warm temps which will be conducive to their passing attack. I expect a rebound from Buffalo's skill position players, especially Johnson and Jackson. I have this game set at 51 and we are covering the key number of 48, while getting three points of value. I would have liked to get 47 for coverage on that key number, but I just see this number going up throughout the week and I am rolling with the over for 5x. Good luck.

Play #2

Chiefs (-3) 1x (Locked)

See my thoughts above. I also agree with SK about his points respecting this game. Tebow loses this one as KC will force him to pass in a tough game at Arrowhead. Good luck.

Play #3

Ravens/Seahawks under (41) 1x (Locked)

Both teams are top 10 in advanced defensive stats. Seattle truly dominates against the run where they rank in the top 5 in virtually every statistical category in rushing defense. However, they do struggle against the pass where they rank in the bottom third of the league. Nevertheless, because this game is at Seattle, I expect that crowd to help out with Baltimore's ability to audible and I'm hoping they can limit that dangerous Balty passing offense just enough to keep this one under the posted total. Balty dominates on defense across the board and Seattle's offensive is not exactly the best in the league, so I expect this one to come in at 37 or under which is where I have this one set. I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #4

Steelers/Bengals under (41) 1x (Locked)

This play is similar to the Ravens/Seahawks play. Even though Pittsburgh and Cincy have better offenses than those two teams, you still have to remember that Dalton is remains a rookie and will not play perfect every game. At some point, he is going to struggle and the Steelers have righted their once struggling defensive ship. Both teams are top 15 or better (most top 10) in advanced defensive stats. I think both offenses struggle just enough today to keep this under the posted total. I am rolling with the under for 1x.

Play #5

Lions/Bears under (43) 1x (Locked)

I'm really kicking myself for not taking this earlier in the week at 45, but we're still covering the key total numbers of 43 and 41 so I will take a shot with some crazy winds here in Chicago and a Lions offense that should struggle against the run. I am also starting to have a Bears lean and may tease the Bears with the under (and break the rule of crossing zero) and/or play the Bears if I can get them -2.5. For now, I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #6

Saints/Falcons over (49) 1x (Locked)

While Atlanta's defense has made some major improvements, I just don't forsee this game following the recent under trend between these two teams. Both teams' offense are functioning on all cylinders in this game. I have this one at 51 and as soon as 49 became available, I had to jump on it and roll with the over for 1x. Good luck.

Play #7

Jaguars/Colts under (38) 1x (Locked)

It's time for the Colts defense to show up at home against a rookie QB that has not found a lot of success so far. Even though I think Painter is not as bad as has been portrayed, I do not believe he will get to the end zone enough against this top 10 Jaguars defense to blow this under. We are covering the key numbers of 37 and 38, so I am rolling with the over for 1x. Good luck.

Play #8

Texans/Bucs over (45) 1x (Locked)

I've been eyeing this game all week for an over play and there has been very little line movement. I think we see a Bucs offense wake up at home today against a tough, but susceptible Texans defense. On the other side, I expect the Texans dominate rush attack to show up strong today against a weakened Bucs defense sans McCoy. I think we see a close game and a strong game from home dog that helps push this one over the posted total. I am rolling with the over for 1x. Good luck.

Here's my full card so far. This is by far the most money I have wagered on a Sunday this season with the big 5x play, but I feel great about the whole card and we beat the Pinny closer by at least 1/2 point in all of the plays and most by a full point. I am not going to watch the games as I have to put together some new furniture for my son, plus one of those baby saucers that the babies sit in with all the toys on it -- looks very complicated

Good luck gentlemen

[pagodo]

Good luck with the plays, LTA, and with the family chores as well

Teasing some of your totals and feeling very confident, thanks!

[Love The Action]

Just tuned in....really worried after bills were stopped on 4th down. Come on, all we need is two td's this 2h!

I really need this one....

[upscope]

Just tuned in....really worried after bills were stopped on 4th down. Come on, all we need is two td's this 2h!

I really need this one....

Do u have 48 on all that action?? Cause that line shot as high as 49 here.

[jimmy007oc]

C'on Buffalo , i need you guys score now

[upscope]

If we lose this fukkin game??

28-7 @ the half & we have to sweat this shit out??

[Krazymojo]

dallas should have easily scored there

[Krazymojo]

Weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee eeee

[upscope]

Buf can't score...we need a pick 6

[jimmy007oc]

Special thank to Ryan Fitzpatrick. He knew that his team is not gonna make the last drive. So he decide to throw a intercepted pass

[upscope]

Right on que here comes the pick 6.....

[YouHave2outs]

nice call on that over LTA. bol rest of the day!

[Love The Action]

Do u have 48 on all that action?? Cause that line shot as high as 49 here.

Hell yeah, and me, the wife and the baby are sweating it out together as a family. This one will hit dude. We have gotten screwed on too many. Its our turn to win one of these...

[Bumble Bee]

Cheers LTA congrats on the big win, Some of these overs that haven't hit for you like the Ok St game were devastating. This was looking like another winner at halftime that somehow wasn't gonna hit.
pick 6!