RLM System Plays

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  • detroitigerz
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-19-12
    • 865

    #1716
    Well seeing as it is Saturday, I'm opening up my parameters a bit. Looking at my spreadsheet Saturdays tend to be pretty good for RLM, guess that's maybe cause the sharps or out and hunting I don't know. Just basically playing our "old-fashioned," haha RLM system. I'll keep updating this post as the day goes on. That Connecticut was a tough play... syracuse scares me. And I am noticing somewhat of a trend in RLM, seems to me like the teams that are GETTING numbers seem to be hitting more often that the ones giving points... so staying away from indiana state although I think they cover that... =(.

    Today's plays:

    Georgia +9
    Connecticut +10
    South Carolina +5.5

    BOL all! Let's win some money today!
    Comment
    • darkenergy
      SBR MVP
      • 01-08-09
      • 4013

      #1717
      Originally posted by Night-Tripper
      Connecticut +10/450 Georgia +9.5/450 South Carolina +5.5/450 South Carolina +200/200 I'm sure there'll be more later
      Why is Georgia a play, less than 1.4k bets on Miss St., and less than 3k for both teams combined, is it a non-system play?
      Best of luck today guys.
      Comment
      • darkenergy
        SBR MVP
        • 01-08-09
        • 4013

        #1718
        Oops, I forgot to refresh my browser, sorry for clustering this thread.
        Comment
        • R19
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-31-11
          • 433

          #1719
          Baylor vs. Missouri - O/U is static.

          I'm finding searching by game number is the fastest way to get back to games. Especially today where there are a lot of games out of order.
          Last edited by R19; 02-11-12, 01:22 PM.
          Comment
          • R19
            SBR Sharp
            • 10-31-11
            • 433

            #1720
            Saturdays - Thesis Update for 02-11-12
            Who the f is on Free Sports registering plays? Maybe gamblers. Maybe fantasy sports players. But regardless, these are people that are really into making decisions about the outcome of sports events. Most likely Free Sports is not catching true public participation which explodes on Saturdays. Although number of plays are big on other days as well, it's because these same Free Sports members keep making their 'bets'. The Saturday numbers are not really accounting for public numbers. That is why RLM has done so well on Saturdays.

            Sucks that The RX is down. Much easier to track scores on it.
            Comment
            • wiseguy007
              SBR Sharp
              • 01-20-12
              • 444

              #1721
              UPDATE 1:33PM

              Games to Watch 2/11/12

              Based on this:

              1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

              2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

              3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from

              http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing

              them to your book.

              4. NCAAB SPREADS 8PTS & UNDER, NBA SPREADS 11PTS & UNDER (IF

              YOU WANT)


              NCAAB

              1:00pm 535 Connecticut Huskies OPEN +11 NOW +10

              1:30pm 539 South Carolina Gamecocks OPEN +6.5 NOW +5.5

              1:30pm 541 Georgia Bulldogs OPEN +10 NOW +9

              4:00pm 576 UNLV Runnin' Rebels OPEN -9.5 NOW -10

              4:00pm 573 Hofstra Pride OPEN 13 NOW +11.5


              O/U:

              1:00pm 535 Connecticut Huskies/536 Syracuse Orange OPEN 132.5 NOW 132 - PLAY UNDER 132

              2/10/12: 1-0

              NCAAB O/U YTD: 2-0


              NBA

              7:05pm 503 Denver Nuggets OPEN +3.5 NOW +3

              O/U:


              2/10/12: 2-0

              NBA O/U YTD: 4-0


              RECORD 2/10/12: 3-3

              RECORD 2/9/12: 3-5

              RECORD 2/8/12: 2-5

              RECORD 2/7/12: 2-2

              RECORD 2/6/12: 1-1

              YTD: 81-65-1 55%


              NHL PK LINE: 1-0

              1:05pm 1 Nashville Predators OPEN +1.5 -240 NOW -225


              NHL ML: 0-1
              Last edited by wiseguy007; 02-11-12, 04:01 PM.
              Comment
              • Night-Tripper
                SBR MVP
                • 12-14-09
                • 3205

                #1722
                Originally posted by darkenergy
                Why is Georgia a play, less than 1.4k bets on Miss St., and less than 3k for both teams combined, is it a non-system play?
                Best of luck today guys.
                It was a play for me, because for my gambling purposes, I still use a total of 3,000 bets... not 3,000 on one team. And, if it's anywhere close to 3,000 total, I will make the play instead of waiting... has managed to save me a .5 point from time to time.

                I think it actually met the revised criteria before tipoff... I was simply ahead of the crowd.
                Comment
                • Night-Tripper
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-14-09
                  • 3205

                  #1723
                  Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                  Connecticut +10/450
                  Georgia +9.5/450
                  South Carolina +5.5/450
                  South Carolina +200/200

                  I'm sure there'll be more later
                  Adding:
                  UNLV -9.5/450
                  Hofstra +12/450
                  Comment
                  • Night-Tripper
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-14-09
                    • 3205

                    #1724
                    Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                    Connecticut +10/450
                    Georgia +9.5/450
                    South Carolina +5.5/450
                    South Carolina +200/200

                    I'm sure there'll be more later

                    Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                    Adding:
                    UNLV -9.5/450
                    Hofstra +12/450
                    Adding Rhode Island +7/450
                    Rhode Island +260/200
                    Comment
                    • R19
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 10-31-11
                      • 433

                      #1725
                      Looking at Rhode Island.
                      Comment
                      • Reno Gambler
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 03-24-09
                        • 175

                        #1726
                        My picks:
                        CBB
                        Lousville 135 ML already playing
                        Mich St. 8.5
                        Maryland 15.0
                        SDSU 10.0
                        Cin 6.5

                        NBA
                        Denver 3.0
                        New York 6.5
                        Charlotte 10

                        as of: 930 pst

                        Record: Starting on: 2/9/12
                        CBB: 2-2
                        NBA: 3-3
                        Comment
                        • R19
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 10-31-11
                          • 433

                          #1727
                          Over/Under's - How many total plays or plays by one team are people looking for? Also, any recommendations on position size? Thanks.
                          Last edited by R19; 02-11-12, 03:09 PM.
                          Comment
                          • wiseguy007
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 01-20-12
                            • 444

                            #1728
                            Originally posted by R19
                            Over/Under's - How many total plays or plays by one team are people looking for? Also, any recommendations on position size? Thanks.
                            I been looking for atleast 500 total plays and 63% with mostly 1pt RLM, I should have never played that under earlier.
                            Comment
                            • Night-Tripper
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-14-09
                              • 3205

                              #1729
                              Originally posted by R19
                              Over/Under's - How many total plays or plays by one team are people looking for? Also, any recommendations on position size? Thanks.
                              I use 1.2% to 1.5% for most plays and limit myself to < 3% for my larger plays. If I intend to play the moneyline, I'll adjust my spread play accordingly to make sure I've never got more than 3% on any one game.

                              Before I really built my bankroll up, I played a much larger percentage/game. The real key is money management and selective/judicious use of the moneyline in conjunction with the spread on dogs that you feel are live.

                              This is simply my modus operendi... not suggesting that it's the best, but it works for me.
                              Comment
                              • R19
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 10-31-11
                                • 433

                                #1730
                                Thanks guys. Played Baylor vs. Missouri Under and it worked out.
                                Comment
                                • Night-Tripper
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-14-09
                                  • 3205

                                  #1731
                                  Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                  Connecticut +10/450
                                  Georgia +9.5/450 W
                                  South Carolina +5.5/450 L
                                  South Carolina +200/200 L

                                  I'm sure there'll be more later

                                  Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                  Adding:
                                  UNLV -9.5/450
                                  Hofstra +12/450
                                  Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                  Adding:
                                  Rhode Island +7/450
                                  Rhode Island +260/200
                                  Adding:
                                  South Florida +1.5/450
                                  Nuggets +3/550
                                  Nuggets +130/200
                                  Hofstra +600/200
                                  Comment
                                  • Night-Tripper
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-14-09
                                    • 3205

                                    #1732
                                    Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                    Connecticut +10/450 L
                                    Georgia +9.5/450 W
                                    South Carolina +5.5/450 L
                                    South Carolina +200/200 L

                                    I'm sure there'll be more later

                                    Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                    Adding:
                                    UNLV -9.5/450
                                    Hofstra +12/450
                                    Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                    Adding:
                                    Rhode Island +7/450 P
                                    Rhode Island +260/200 L
                                    Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                    Adding:
                                    South Florida +1.5/450
                                    Nuggets +3/550
                                    Nuggets +130/200
                                    Hofstra +600/200
                                    Adding:
                                    Duquesne +4/450
                                    Duquesne +165/200
                                    Last edited by Night-Tripper; 02-11-12, 04:25 PM. Reason: Marked results of RI game
                                    Comment
                                    • R19
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 10-31-11
                                      • 433

                                      #1733
                                      I don't believe it!

                                      "Rhode Island Born"

                                      We're Rhode Island born
                                      We're Rhode Island bred
                                      And when we die
                                      We'll be Rhode Island dead.
                                      We're here to play
                                      And we're here to win,
                                      And when we play
                                      We play like sin.

                                      For it's Rah! Rah! Rah! Rhode Island, Island,
                                      Rah! Rah!, Rhode Island, Rah, Rah,
                                      Rhode Island R.I. State.
                                      Attached Files
                                      Comment
                                      • wiseguy007
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-20-12
                                        • 444

                                        #1734
                                        update

                                        Games to Watch 2/11/12

                                        Based on this:

                                        1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

                                        2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

                                        3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from

                                        http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing

                                        them to your book.

                                        4. NCAAB SPREADS 8PTS & UNDER, NBA SPREADS 11PTS & UNDER (IF

                                        YOU WANT)


                                        NCAAB

                                        1:00pm 535 Connecticut Huskies OPEN +11 NOW +10 L

                                        1:30pm 539 South Carolina Gamecocks OPEN +6.5 NOW +5.5 L


                                        1:30pm 541 Georgia Bulldogs OPEN +10 NOW +9 W

                                        4:00pm 571 South Florida Bulls OPEN +2 NOW +1.5

                                        4:00pm 576 UNLV Runnin' Rebels OPEN -9.5 NOW -10

                                        4:00pm 573 Hofstra Pride OPEN 13 NOW +11.5

                                        9:00pm 660 Vanderbilt Commodores OPEN +5.5 NOW +4.5


                                        O/U:

                                        1:00pm 535 Connecticut Huskies/536 Syracuse Orange OPEN 132.5 NOW 132 - PLAY UNDER 132 L


                                        2/10/12: 1-0

                                        NCAAB O/U YTD: 2-0


                                        NBA

                                        7:05pm 503 Denver Nuggets OPEN +3.5 NOW +3

                                        O/U:


                                        2/10/12: 2-0

                                        NBA O/U YTD: 4-0


                                        RECORD 2/10/12: 3-3

                                        RECORD 2/9/12: 3-5

                                        RECORD 2/8/12: 2-5

                                        RECORD 2/7/12: 2-2

                                        RECORD 2/6/12: 1-1

                                        YTD: 81-65-1 55%


                                        NHL PK LINE: 2-0

                                        1:05pm 1 Nashville Predators OPEN +1.5 -240 NOW -225


                                        10:05pm 24 Calgary Flames OPEN +1.5 -245 NOW -225


                                        NHL ML: 0-1
                                        Last edited by wiseguy007; 02-11-12, 04:26 PM.
                                        Comment
                                        • Night-Tripper
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-14-09
                                          • 3205

                                          #1735
                                          Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                          Connecticut +10/450 L
                                          Georgia +9.5/450 W
                                          South Carolina +5.5/450 L
                                          South Carolina +200/200 L

                                          I'm sure there'll be more later

                                          Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                          Adding:
                                          UNLV -9.5/450
                                          Hofstra +12/450
                                          Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                          Adding:
                                          Rhode Island +7/450 P
                                          Rhode Island +260/200 L
                                          Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                          Adding:
                                          South Florida +1.5/450
                                          Nuggets +3/550
                                          Nuggets +130/200
                                          Hofstra +600/200
                                          Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                          Adding:
                                          Duquesne +4/450
                                          Duquesne +165/200
                                          Adding:
                                          Wichita State -0/450
                                          GWU +7/450
                                          GWU +250/200
                                          Comment
                                          • Laissez Faire
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 01-31-12
                                            • 536

                                            #1736
                                            1-0 NHL so far today...good job Panthers with the upset
                                            Comment
                                            • Kurtz
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 02-04-12
                                              • 182

                                              #1737
                                              Line just jumped from PK to LSU -1.5 in last five minutes at Pinnacle.
                                              Comment
                                              • crazed
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 12-01-11
                                                • 56

                                                #1738
                                                Do you ever bet ML on NHL or just the spread? Looking what bets to put on Toronto. Would you put 1x on ML and 1x on spread?
                                                Comment
                                                • PAULYPOKER
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 12-06-08
                                                  • 36581

                                                  #1739
                                                  Hofstra is a team that needs to be removed from your rlm list because these fukks could not cover if the rlm was 10
                                                  Comment
                                                  • R19
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 10-31-11
                                                    • 433

                                                    #1740
                                                    Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                                                    Hofstra is a team that needs to be removed from your rlm list because these fukks could not cover if the rlm was 10
                                                    They covered! That's the way I feel about RLM and NBA teams. It's always the same usual suspects that keep making the cut.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Night-Tripper
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-14-09
                                                      • 3205

                                                      #1741
                                                      Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                                                      Hofstra is a team that needs to be removed from your rlm list because these fukks could not cover if the rlm was 10
                                                      Come again Pauly?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • PAULYPOKER
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-06-08
                                                        • 36581

                                                        #1742
                                                        Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                                        Come again Pauly?
                                                        It worked but these fukks don't usually cover along with ball state...........
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Night-Tripper
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-14-09
                                                          • 3205

                                                          #1743
                                                          Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                                          Connecticut +10/450 L
                                                          Georgia +9.5/450 W
                                                          South Carolina +5.5/450 L
                                                          South Carolina +200/200 L

                                                          I'm sure there'll be more later

                                                          Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                                          Adding:
                                                          UNLV -9.5/450 L
                                                          Hofstra +12/450 W
                                                          Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                                          Adding:
                                                          Rhode Island +7/450 P
                                                          Rhode Island +260/200 L
                                                          Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                                          Adding:
                                                          South Florida +1.5/450 W
                                                          Nuggets +3/550
                                                          Nuggets +130/200
                                                          Hofstra +600/200 L
                                                          Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                                          Adding:
                                                          Duquesne +4/450 L
                                                          Duquesne +165/200 L
                                                          Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                                          Adding:
                                                          Wichita State -0/450
                                                          GWU +7/450
                                                          GWU +250/200
                                                          Today obviously ain't the day to be playing moneylines... oh well. Turning everything left on my list now, because I'm going to be preoccupied tonight.

                                                          Arkansas State +6/450
                                                          Arkansas State +220/200
                                                          Auburn +7.5/450
                                                          Auburn +275/200
                                                          Austin Peay +11/450
                                                          Citadel +3.5/450
                                                          Citadel +145/200
                                                          Princeton +5.5/450
                                                          Princeton +200/200
                                                          Vanderbilt +5/450
                                                          Vanderbilt +175/200
                                                          FAU -5.5/450
                                                          San Jose State +7/450
                                                          San Jose State +270/200

                                                          Good luck to everyone RLM'ing tonight!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • wiseguy007
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 01-20-12
                                                            • 444

                                                            #1744
                                                            UPDATE

                                                            Games to Watch 2/11/12

                                                            Based on this:

                                                            1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

                                                            2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

                                                            3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from

                                                            http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing

                                                            them to your book.

                                                            4. NCAAB SPREADS 8PTS & UNDER, NBA SPREADS 11PTS & UNDER (IF

                                                            YOU WANT)


                                                            NCAAB

                                                            1:00pm 535 Connecticut Huskies OPEN +11 NOW +10 L

                                                            1:30pm 539 South Carolina Gamecocks OPEN +6.5 NOW +5.5 L


                                                            1:30pm 541 Georgia Bulldogs OPEN +10 NOW +9 W

                                                            4:00pm 571 South Florida Bulls OPEN +2 NOW +1.5

                                                            4:00pm 576 UNLV Runnin' Rebels OPEN -9.5 NOW -10

                                                            4:00pm 573 Hofstra Pride OPEN 13 NOW +11.5

                                                            6:30pm 608 Arizona State Sun Devils OPEN +4.5 NOW +3.5

                                                            7:00pm 628 Princeton Tigers OPEN +6 NOW +5

                                                            8:30pm 711 Austin Peay Governors OPEN +12 NOW +11

                                                            9:00pm 660 Vanderbilt Commodores OPEN +5.5 NOW +5

                                                            11:00pm 680 San Jose State Spartans OPEN +8 NOW +7


                                                            O/U:

                                                            1:00pm 535 Connecticut Huskies/536 Syracuse Orange OPEN 132.5 NOW 132 - PLAY UNDER 132 L

                                                            2/10/12: 1-0

                                                            NCAAB O/U YTD: 2-0


                                                            NBA

                                                            7:05pm 503 Denver Nuggets OPEN +3.5 NOW +3

                                                            O/U:

                                                            8:05pm 509 San Antonio Spurs/510 New Jersey Nets OPEN 191.5 NOW 194 - PLAY OVER 194

                                                            2/10/12: 2-0

                                                            NBA O/U YTD: 4-0


                                                            RECORD 2/10/12: 3-3

                                                            RECORD 2/9/12: 3-5

                                                            RECORD 2/8/12: 2-5

                                                            RECORD 2/7/12: 2-2

                                                            RECORD 2/6/12: 1-1

                                                            YTD: 81-65-1 55%


                                                            NHL PK LINE: 1-0

                                                            1:05pm 1 Nashville Predators OPEN +1.5 -240 NOW -225 W

                                                            10:05pm 24 Calgary Flames OPEN +1.5 -245 NOW -225


                                                            NHL ML: 0-1
                                                            Last edited by wiseguy007; 02-11-12, 07:00 PM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • hkssupra69
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 11-22-10
                                                              • 272

                                                              #1745
                                                              vandy i think should be removed from the list, kentucky is favored by 5.5 again
                                                              Comment
                                                              • R19
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 10-31-11
                                                                • 433

                                                                #1746
                                                                Looking at Colorado St and Kentucky O/U's
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ksnooksk
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-18-11
                                                                  • 2890

                                                                  #1747
                                                                  This system is money in "big" games where Vegas is trying to trap big-time public teams....like Kentucky, UNC, Duke, etc....
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • detroitigerz
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 01-19-12
                                                                    • 865

                                                                    #1748
                                                                    Originally posted by ksnooksk
                                                                    This system is money in "big" games where Vegas is trying to trap big-time public teams....like Kentucky, UNC, Duke, etc....
                                                                    This Kentucky games making me super nervous. Kentucky is absolutely insane. I don't think I can get myself to do it, even though everythings set up perfect. I really like the games under the 8 spread like we've been talking about in previous situations, but this games line is way off IMO. I have kentucky capped at around 8 or more. Gunna stay away, but good luck to all who play it!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • detroitigerz
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-19-12
                                                                      • 865

                                                                      #1749
                                                                      Originally posted by R19
                                                                      Looking at Colorado St and Kentucky O/U's
                                                                      Hey man,
                                                                      Don't suppose you have checked RLM in other sports or moneylines/over unders? I'd be curious to see what the record looks like in Over/Unders since in basketball those are notoriously the best bets to make.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • R19
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 10-31-11
                                                                        • 433

                                                                        #1750
                                                                        Originally posted by detroitigerz
                                                                        Hey man,
                                                                        Don't suppose you have checked RLM in other sports or moneylines/over unders? I'd be curious to see what the record looks like in Over/Unders since in basketball those are notoriously the best bets to make.
                                                                        Started and stopped in NHL. Looking at NCAAB and NBA.
                                                                        Comment
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