John Morrison 2011-12 NBA Thread

**Kev the Brit** · 02-21-12, 06:59 PM

Originally posted by COBRA31

Hey Kev...I like the thinking here. Question: the 5-1 record on C bets this season is betting M/L and buying 3 pts. Correct ? What is the win percentage and have 3 C's ever lost back to back just buying 3 pts.....no M/L and no filters. Better yet....is it possible to achieve same results ( perhaps a different bet strategy)...no filters, no M/L, and no points. I agree that 3 C loses would be very unlikely...but backtest would be needed.

No ML bets, but buying 3 points always.

2 C bets have not lost back to back in 4 years (the limit of my experience). Unless someone knows differently, I don't think 3 Cs have ever lost back to back.

If no points buy, then you move into thelimit0310 7/5 system and he says that 7/5 is the best. Given that 7/5 reduces with the C Bet, it would appear that the B Bet (no point buy; odds -110) is the best bet.

**Kev the Brit** · 02-21-12, 07:09 PM

Originally posted by COBRA31

Also...if you lose a C bet towards end of season....you may be holding onto that loss til the following season if 1 or 2 more C's don't pop up. Maybe the B/C 7/5 method that has been tested is way to go, but push any C loses out over next several C bets as you have suggested. May not be practical depending on size of bet and your bankroll...but anytime you can think of 100% and perfect is worth discussion for sure.

All stats based systems do not recognise season breaks. Its only us humans that analyse them in this way. So, yes, any open chase should always be carried forward to the next season's system start point. Regarding unit size, if we agree that a regular JM series risks 22 units, a C loss can be recovered by 5 C bet chases for 5 additional units each chase (up to 15 C Bet games required). It will be a lengthy recovery process, but it looks as certain as can be...

**NZT-48** · 02-21-12, 08:19 PM

Originally posted by Kev the Brit

JM has lost the plot. JJ does indeed have a new system: same as the old system but also avoid worst teams in their conferences. One series loss so far from 24. It was Detroit in early Jan, lying 2nd bottom at the time. So, with 23-1 record he's climbed back up to the green zone. Also, like last season, he doesn't e-mail all system picks as per the pdf. I've bet and won (A Bet) at least 6 times without his e-mail.

Kev

yeah lol that sounds about right he gets very flakely as well with sending out proper picks on time and just period in general specificly with his MLB system as well.......is the 23-1 record from his v1.0 or the new one Kev?

**jcygts6** · 02-22-12, 01:07 AM

Sixers fail again. I think this team has given up. Will start fading them.

**knugen** · 02-22-12, 01:20 AM

76ers has beeen best in all NBA first half of season, and now the are not even close to win..

**Kev the Brit** · 02-22-12, 01:53 AM

Originally posted by NZT-48

yeah lol that sounds about right he gets very flakely as well with sending out proper picks on time and just period in general specificly with his MLB system as well.......is the 23-1 record from his v1.0 or the new one Kev?

His new one

**jrsync** · 02-22-12, 02:47 AM

Originally posted by thelimit0310

V = Version, 1 2 and 3 are types of versions. So they mean Version 1, Version 2, and Version 3.

Oke but How bet this ? JM say 76ers V1 A Bet , how much bet that V1 ?

so How much betting start minimum to JM system A Bet,B Bet, C Bet ?

thank you

**Nino7** · 02-22-12, 04:49 AM

jr lets say u ve got $100 then ull bet TO WIN $1 on A,then if A fail u will bet to WIN what u lost on A +1,if B fail ull bet TO WIN what u lost on A+B +1.
@-200 thats $2 on A,$6(2x(2+1) on B,$18(2x(6+2+1) on C
hope that help

**Wallco99** · 02-22-12, 06:08 AM

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2011-12 System to date: 39-2 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +1.71 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 2 (-2.40 units)

(2/21/12):
#43 Philadelphia (M/L) (A) - Loss

v1 Plays
(A) 26-17
(B) 6-9
(C) 4-5
(D) 3-2

V2 Plays
In production

Games for (2/22/12):
#42 Boston (**) @ Oklahoma City (B) (7:05 pm EST)
#43 Philadelphia (+4½) @ Houston (B) (8:05 pm EST)
#44 Sacramento @ Washington (M/L) (A) (7:05 pm EST)

We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a zero point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change, but it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from my post. On occasion, we will have plays that go head-head. The system will grade ALL bets, regardless of opponents, how you wish to play these games is your choice.

**thelimit0310** · 02-22-12, 10:02 AM

JM Feb 22

V2 GOLDEN STATE +7.5 @ Phoenix (A)

All official plays are posted with 3 points bought. ML will not be taken on favorites greater than -3.

**J.M. Disciple** · 02-22-12, 12:28 PM

Originally posted by thelimit0310

JM Feb 22

V2 GOLDEN STATE +7.5 @ Phoenix (A)

All official plays are posted with 3 points bought. ML will not be taken on favorites greater than -3.

Love this play!

Even if you usually avoid A bets, I think this is a

**Win89** · 02-22-12, 01:48 PM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

Love this play!

Even if you usually avoid A bets, I think this is a

You sure know what to say, V2 is solid!

**petters72** · 02-22-12, 03:24 PM

on what sportsbooks can I bet 3 points?

**knugen** · 02-22-12, 03:43 PM

bet365

**million2one** · 02-22-12, 03:47 PM

Philly 7 - 2 ATS and SU in the second game of a b2b

**hockey216** · 02-22-12, 03:51 PM

morrison is a scam

**WWSports** · 02-22-12, 03:53 PM

Originally posted by hockey216

morrison is a scam

God forbid!!!!

**Wallco99** · 02-22-12, 03:59 PM

Originally posted by hockey216

morrison is a scam

Damn! I guess I'm done then.

**WWSports** · 02-22-12, 04:08 PM

Originally posted by Wallco99

Damn! I guess I'm done then.

Just your luck, as soon as you turn a profit, they pull the plug!!!

**J.M. Disciple** · 02-22-12, 04:09 PM

Originally posted by hockey216

morrison is a scam

His bankroll management at 10% starting bet to win 1 million is a scam because it assures you will go bust!

His system is not a scam with proper management.

**J.M. Disciple** · 02-22-12, 04:12 PM

Someone want to post their graph of all the JM NBA bets over the season to see what the variance looks like?

Maybe a graph comparing the A-B-C to win 1 unit vs B&C to win 3 unit graph would be nice to see over the last few seasons. I'm sure all of us would be willing to give our 2 points.

**Wallco99** · 02-22-12, 04:13 PM

Originally posted by WWSports

Just your luck, as soon as you turn a profit, they pull the plug!!!

I know, this information could have been sooooo helpful BEFORE I made 70 units...what will I do???

**Wallco99** · 02-22-12, 04:14 PM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

Someone want to post their graph of all the JM NBA bets over the season to see what the variance looks like?

Maybe a graph comparing the A-B-C to win 1 unit vs B&C to win 3 unit graph would be nice to see over the last few seasons. I'm sure all of us would be willing to give our 2 points.

Or we could give you 2 points to just do it already!

**WWSports** · 02-22-12, 04:44 PM

Originally posted by Wallco99

Or we could give you 2 points to just do it already!

And will somebody just play $100 a unit for me, and at the end of the year AFTER you send me MY money, I will give you 100 points and 10%...oh hell, I feel generous today, make it 20% of the Profit.

**Wallco99** · 02-22-12, 04:47 PM

Originally posted by WWSports

And will somebody just play $100 a unit for me, and at the end of the year AFTER you send me MY money, I will give you 100 points and 10%...oh hell, I feel generous today, make it 20% of the Profit.

Let me see.....three days of backtesting, and charting, and running results, for 2 points, sign me up!!!

**WWSports** · 02-22-12, 04:59 PM

Originally posted by Wallco99

Let me see.....three days of backtesting, and charting, and running results, for 2 points, sign me up!!!

Life can't get any better, huh?

**Wallco99** · 02-22-12, 05:26 PM

Originally posted by WWSports

Life can't get any better, huh?

Not unless I could do it for 3. But who am I to ask for that much, that would be greedy!

**thelimit0310** · 02-22-12, 06:22 PM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

Someone want to post their graph of all the JM NBA bets over the season to see what the variance looks like?

Maybe a graph comparing the A-B-C to win 1 unit vs B&C to win 3 unit graph would be nice to see over the last few seasons. I'm sure all of us would be willing to give our 2 points.

You should do it.

**thelimit0310** · 02-22-12, 06:26 PM

Someone want to post a scatter plot graph of all occurances within the nomenclature margin of the paradigms between teams and how they correlate to the reverse nomenclature when situated on high % variance situations based on the infrastructure of said graphing complex? I'm sure all of us would be willing to give 2 points.

**WWSports** · 02-22-12, 06:41 PM

Originally posted by thelimit0310

Someone want to post a scatter plot graph of all occurances within the nomenclature margin of the paradigms between teams and how they correlate to the reverse nomenclature when situated on high % variance situations based on the infrastructure of said graphing complex? I'm sure all of us would be willing to give 2 points.

I'm kinda new, can I just give 1 now and 1 at a latter date?

**Wallco99** · 02-22-12, 06:52 PM

Originally posted by thelimit0310

Someone want to post a scatter plot graph of all occurances within the nomenclature margin of the paradigms between teams and how they correlate to the reverse nomenclature when situated on high % variance situations based on the infrastructure of said graphing complex? I'm sure all of us would be willing to give 2 points.

OOH....OOH...pick me...pick me!!!!!

**onacloud** · 02-22-12, 07:44 PM

Originally posted by thelimit0310

Someone want to post a scatter plot graph of all occurances within the nomenclature margin of the paradigms between teams and how they correlate to the reverse nomenclature when situated on high % variance situations based on the infrastructure of said graphing complex? I'm sure all of us would be willing to give 2 points.

Originally posted by WWSports

I'm kinda new, can I just give 1 now and 1 at a latter date?

Originally posted by Wallco99

OOH....OOH...pick me...pick me!!!!!

**Maxi_EV** · 02-22-12, 08:46 PM

Originally posted by thelimit0310

Someone want to post a scatter plot graph of all occurances within the nomenclature margin of the paradigms between teams and how they correlate to the reverse nomenclature when situated on high % variance situations based on the infrastructure of said graphing complex? I'm sure all of us would be willing to give 2 points.

I'll do it.

**bauerranch** · 02-22-12, 09:20 PM

OK I have worked it out with 110 SBF members to pitch in 2 points each and with my primitive adding machine it came up with 220 points.

Take that 220 points and cash it in for a $15 Papa John Pizza Gift Certificate.

Sweat Deal- I might stop betting and just learn this new thing called Excel Spreadsheet and make some true money $$$$

**COBRA31** · 02-22-12, 10:49 PM

Originally posted by thelimit0310

Someone want to post a scatter plot graph of all occurances within the nomenclature margin of the paradigms between teams and how they correlate to the reverse nomenclature when situated on high % variance situations based on the infrastructure of said graphing complex? I'm sure all of us would be willing to give 2 points.

No problem...Do you want that with buying 3 pts or just ATS ?