LTA's NBA Plays

**Redscot** · 05-23-12, 08:31 PM

Originally posted by jameski999

Very nice cushion, but we got a close game and that makes me nervous.

Close game plays into our favor buddy. As long as both teams are invested we will see contested shots and high intensity on every possession. It's a blow out type situation that would throw a monkey wrench in the play.

**Vinnie Paz** · 05-23-12, 08:34 PM

Originally posted by Redscot

Close game plays into our favor buddy. As long as both teams are invested we will see contested shots and high intensity on every possession. It's a blow out type situation that would throw a monkey wrench in the play.

I think he was referring to overtime, but yes your points are valid as well.

**SlickRick1382** · 05-23-12, 08:35 PM

Originally posted by jameski999

Very nice cushion, but we got a close game and that makes me nervous.

If that makes you nervous than you shouldn't be betting these games.

Any game with a total that low usually represents a close game. So it's implied in that total. Last I recall we haven't even had any OT's in this series despite these low totals so it's not something I particularly worried about

**jameski999** · 05-23-12, 08:40 PM

Originally posted by Vinnie Paz

I think he was referring to overtime, but yes your points are valid as well.

At least somebody can read between the lines.

**jameski999** · 05-23-12, 08:42 PM

Originally posted by SlickRick1382

If that makes you nervous than you shouldn't be betting these games.

Any game with a total that low usually represents a close game. So it's implied in that total. Last I recall we haven't even had any OT's in this series despite these low totals so it's not something I particularly worried about

My fault Rick your right, since there hasn't been an OT game yet in this series then no chance tonight either.

**Redscot** · 05-23-12, 08:45 PM

Originally posted by Vinnie Paz

I think he was referring to overtime, but yes your points are valid as well.

I hear that, that is definitely valid.

Just think a blow out presents more danger to the play.

**SlickRick1382** · 05-23-12, 08:46 PM

Originally posted by jameski999

My fault Rick your right, since there hasn't been an OT game yet in this series then no chance tonight either.

Right because I said that since there were no past results that went in to overtime then that's 100% indicative of future results. Stop being an ass bro. It was a simple assessment. You're worried about a low scoring game in a game set at 175. That makes no sense ....

**Love The Action** · 05-23-12, 08:54 PM

Stop fighting with each other, have a beer and relax. There's no use getting nervous or excited, because in the NBA it all comes down to the last 9 minutes. Go take the dog for a walk and come back for the last half of the 4th quarter. That's when the play will be won or lost. Good luck.

**Speedy88** · 05-23-12, 08:55 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Stop fighting with each other, have a beer and relax. There's no use getting nervous or excited, because in the NBA it all comes down to the last 9 minutes. Go take the dog for a walk and come back for the last half of the 4th quarter. That's when the play will be won or lost. Good luck.

**grizzy** · 05-23-12, 09:03 PM

Is anyone going to try and middle this? I was about to take O156.5 @ -115 but didn't. Thinking, I may buy some protection this quarter.

**jameski999** · 05-23-12, 09:12 PM

**SoxSide Irish** · 05-23-12, 09:36 PM

Wow please dont screw us

**ph0208** · 05-23-12, 09:42 PM

**absolutkaos** · 05-23-12, 09:42 PM

Great call LTA!

**alamo** · 05-23-12, 09:43 PM

**bmur714** · 05-23-12, 09:44 PM

And there you have it

Thank you LTA

**G-manFan** · 05-23-12, 09:44 PM

Fantastic call. Thanks LTA.

**CheeseHead** · 05-23-12, 09:45 PM

Awesome winner there...cashed pretty easily too actually, not sure what all the sweating was all about going on in here. Onto the next one LTA, there's a lot more money to be won in these playoffs. Let's keep focus

**BeardedTaco** · 05-23-12, 09:48 PM

lol no foul with 15 secs this time mr.Dooling?

**Pick'nParlays** · 05-23-12, 09:48 PM

score!!!!

finally got an under with philly/boston.

glad my BR is deeper than most

**dmitean** · 05-23-12, 09:53 PM

Nice work LTA! Took the Under as a big bet as well!

**Love The Action** · 05-23-12, 09:55 PM

Thanks gentlemen, let's get another big one tomorrow

**dlunc3** · 05-23-12, 09:55 PM

good stuff man... thanks and congrats

**zilchy** · 05-23-12, 09:55 PM

Good stuff LTA. I wonder how unplayable the total for game 7 will be though...

**Kurtz** · 05-23-12, 09:57 PM

Great Job LTA

THANK YOU!

**Redscot** · 05-23-12, 10:01 PM

Originally posted by zilchy

Good stuff LTA. I wonder how unplayable the total for game 7 will be though...

Opened at 171.

**Love The Action** · 05-23-12, 10:01 PM

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season

135 - 122 = +3.65x

NBA 2011-2012 Playoffs 5/23/2012 Recap

1 - 0 = +6x

NBA 2011-2012 Playoffs

18 - 13 = +12.65x

NBA 2011-2012 Season

152 - 135 = +16.3x

We improve to 16-7 on plays of 2x or more on the season. However, it's back to business as we have another possible 2x or more play for tomorrow to work on. Good luck.

**Pick'nParlays** · 05-23-12, 10:06 PM

pacers?!

**zilchy** · 05-23-12, 10:10 PM

Originally posted by Redscot

Opened at 171.

Under might actually be playable but it's tough.

**pepero428** · 05-23-12, 10:11 PM

Originally posted by zilchy

Good stuff LTA. I wonder how unplayable the total for game 7 will be though...

2nd round or further in playoffs
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 32-11-1

**Love The Action** · 05-23-12, 10:21 PM

Originally posted by pepero428

2nd round or further in playoffs
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 32-11-1

**Love The Action** · 05-23-12, 10:37 PM

NBA 2011-2012 Playoffs 5/24/2012

Play #1

Heat/Pacers under (182) 2.5x (Locked)

S-O-F-T....Larry Bird gave his instructions and this game is going to be a dog fight consisting of half-court play and defense. If you look at the games Miami has won, the PACE has been in the 90 range. In the games won by Indy, the PACE was at 84. Well I lean to Indy in this game in somewhat of a correlation because the only way this team keeps it close is to keep the PACE slow, keep Miami away from transition points and control the ball. I think the safer play is the under, because although I think Indy comes to play I'm just not sure they can cover the 3 points. Nevertheless, without Haslem -- Pittman does not really matter -- the Heat lose their most consistent offensive threat from the 12 foot range and someone who opens it up for Wade and James. The Heat will be forced to play Howard, who will hold his own defensively but do not expect a 10 point output. This game has a slow slug-fest written all over it, especially coming off two high scoring games with Bird challenging his team you can expect a very intense game. I suppose fouls are a concern but everyone knows that the refs will be extra sensitive and I don't see any stupid things happening. These guys should play it straight. I expect Indy to slow down the PACE by controlling the ball and forcing half court sets so I am rolling with the under for 2.5x. Good luck.

**dmitean** · 05-23-12, 11:19 PM

If not for Haslem's suspension, I would have been all over the Under. Right now, still thinking about it.
Without Udonis, Bron will play 4 or 5 and that means really small line up for the Heat that will be looking to run even more...
Good luck!

**Love The Action** · 05-23-12, 11:35 PM

Originally posted by dmitean

If not for Haslem's suspension, I would have been all over the Under. Right now, still thinking about it.
Without Udonis, Bron will play 4 or 5 and that means really small line up for the Heat that will be looking to run even more...
Good luck!

That doesn't mean they will be able to dictate that pace though....without Udonis, they have no consistent scoring inside whatsoever. Lebron and Wade tend to take lazy jump shots and neither stays in the killer "driving to the hoop" mode for the entire game. Indy wants to force Miami into jumpshots as that is one of their defensive strengths and without Haslem, combined with the lack of front court depth from the loss of Bosh and Pittman, Miami is going to get killed on the boards. That is going to lead to less second chance points, less possessions and less opportunities for Miami to run. As a result, Indy will have more time to walk the ball up and down the court, get set offensively and pound the paint. Personally, I think the loss of Haslem hurts the "flow" of Miami's offense more than it helps their transition game. I expect Miami to struggle in half court sets and that will help the under.

**Catchn_Picks** · 05-23-12, 11:55 PM

No Ms. Piggy tonight? Tennis pro?

We miss you.

Congrats LTA.