LTA's NBA Plays

**Love The Action** · 05-23-12, 06:42 AM

Originally posted by alamo

LTA, Is this a first for you with the 6x play ?

I remember you saying that your plays rate from 1x-5x ?

Just wondering. Good luck with it.

Biggest play this season, not in my life. GL

**Love The Action** · 05-23-12, 06:44 AM

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season

135 - 122 = +3.65x

NBA 2011-2012 Playoffs 5/22/2012 Recap

0 - 1 = -1.1x

NBA 2011-2012 Playoffs

17 - 13 = +6.65x

NBA 2011-2012 Season

151 - 135 = +10.3x

Indy did not come to play the 2h. As soon as Lebron ended the 1h with b2b dunks, all the momentum went to Miami and Indy checked out mentally. Big day today. Good luck.

**Les_Nuts** · 05-23-12, 06:57 AM

Ha just check the odds on the total for Thunder/Spurs and one book over here has it at 201, easy 3x play there. He also has Celtics/6ers total at 174

, needs to sharpen up

**1Time!** · 05-23-12, 07:36 AM

Sportsbet in Australia has the spurs/thunder total still at 201.. How many units would you hit it for at that number?

**1Time!** · 05-23-12, 07:48 AM

Cancel that! Someone there must be reading this tread as it just shot up to 204.5 after I wrote the question! Dammit!!

**jayson311** · 05-23-12, 08:06 AM

Shitty book book but I have money in it, bovada open at 175 and now at 176, I might go heavy with you LTA

**MrXYZ** · 05-23-12, 08:20 AM

I'm on this play as well, 4 units at 175.5. Good luck everyone.

**Pick'nParlays** · 05-23-12, 10:16 AM

LTA,

Rondo scares me.. He loves to push that pace...

**ren2_laurence** · 05-23-12, 11:55 AM

took the under also. I think this will be a close game and great defense will be played since it's an elimination game. I think, we can't really worry about the garbage time because if ever boston blows philly tom, philly will still play its starting 5. I believe Bos will end the series tomorrow just like T-Wiz. promised myself not to take under totals again after going 0-5 in it. but I really can't pull the trigger of going over here so i'll stick with my pick. GL to all!

**MrCollinWilson** · 05-23-12, 01:30 PM

Grabbed U 176 at Bovada... just fell to 175

**Speedy88** · 05-23-12, 02:28 PM

I'd be on the UNDER if Bradley was playing, but it sounds like he'll be out tonight. He is so key to their defense, and at the same time he is a pretty weak offensive player. Hard to pull the trigger on the under if he is out.

**hey buddy** · 05-23-12, 03:04 PM

Who are the refs tonight and how do they lean as far as o/u?

**ColdBeerHere** · 05-23-12, 04:00 PM

Originally posted by jayson311

Shitty book book but I have money in it, bovada open at 175 and now at 176, I might go heavy with you LTA

get out of brovada bro...i've read a bunch on them lately that they havent been paying....try looking at 5dimes or heritage

**DesignatedT** · 05-23-12, 04:01 PM

Joey Crawford the only one you have to worry about tonight.

**pepero428** · 05-23-12, 04:40 PM

Originally posted by ColdBeerHere

get out of brovada bro...i've read a bunch on them lately that they havent been paying....try looking at 5dimes or heritage

second this, leave bovada

**CheeseHead** · 05-23-12, 05:15 PM

Should it be a concern that Pinnacle keeps juicing the hell outta 175.5 but isn't dropping down to 175?

**Pride** · 05-23-12, 05:25 PM

i see it as a good sign. pinny is begging to take the over at +odds

**dlunc3** · 05-23-12, 05:34 PM

LTA, what does your model have tonights game set at?

BOL

**SlickRick1382** · 05-23-12, 05:42 PM

Sports Insights shows 71% of all bets on the Over with two triggering smart money plays on the Under if that helps anyone ...

**CheeseHead** · 05-23-12, 05:49 PM

Originally posted by Pride

i see it as a good sign. pinny is begging to take the over at +odds

On the other hand...5dimes has been juicing over 175 -108 and giving the under away at -102 pretty much all day. Surprised to see basically no line movement going on...sharp line?

**Pride** · 05-23-12, 05:53 PM

i guess the only conclusion we can come to is the game lands on 174

**CheeseHead** · 05-23-12, 05:57 PM

Originally posted by Pride

i guess the only conclusion we can come to is the game lands on 174

I would rather it land in the 150s but I know it's never that easy...especially when it comes to bigger plays. Just wondering if I should wait to see what the pace is like and do some live betting on this one...which would be risking losing value on a line of course. Wish these teams would have just cashed the under on the last one so we could've avoided this!

**SpreadSniper** · 05-23-12, 06:02 PM

i like it.... which means you are prolly fuct

**CheeseHead** · 05-23-12, 06:28 PM

5Dimes just moved to 175.5. Is this late smart money or just a matter of the general public betting the over based on the fact the over has been hitting in this series so far?

**Love The Action** · 05-23-12, 06:31 PM

Good luck tonight guys....trying to interpret a 1/2 to 1 point of line movement in the NBA playoffs is a waste of time. Money is moving back and forth with a bigger handle in the playoffs. That's the just the natural ebb and flow. I see nothing in the line movement that favors the over or the under. The books seem to be pretty happy with the number in the 175ish range. To me, however, this is all about the unliklihood that these teams shoot so well again. The role players like Stiesma are unlikely to go off two games in a row. This is an elimination game and defense will finally be intensified. You never know, I could be 100% right and it ends 1 point over just like last Saturday. However, I expect this one to end in the 160's.

Good luck to all....we need this one

**absolutkaos** · 05-23-12, 06:57 PM

Good luck to everyone tonight! After a crazy season like this one we deserve to catch a big win!

**alamo** · 05-23-12, 07:52 PM

Loving the early start ere guys. Pace is around 164. Lets keep it that way.

**jameski999** · 05-23-12, 08:03 PM

y

Originally posted by alamo

Loving the early start ere guys. Pace is around 164. Lets keep it that way.

Dont be "that" guy, looks back at game 4 mid 2nd quarter and what was that pace? How'd that work out for us?

**Vinnie Paz** · 05-23-12, 08:05 PM

Hah yeah lets not start cashing our tickets just yet but yes we are in nice shape... Should have a solid cushion for 2nd half

**Sport_Fish** · 05-23-12, 08:05 PM

Brick-City in Philly tonight

**SoxSide Irish** · 05-23-12, 08:06 PM

Under 165.5 juiced at -135 right now

**absolutkaos** · 05-23-12, 08:18 PM

155.5 @ -115 on Bet365 in live betting right now

**SlickRick1382** · 05-23-12, 08:19 PM

2.88 points per minute thus far leaving us a nice cushion of 4.46 points per minute for the rest of the game. That's going to be tough. Gained almost 8/10 of a point per minute with the amazing 1st Half

**jameski999** · 05-23-12, 08:21 PM

Originally posted by SlickRick1382

2.88 points per minute thus far leaving us a nice cushion of 4.46 points per minute for the rest of the game. That's going to be tough. Gained almost 8/10 of a point per minute with the amazing 1st Half

Very nice cushion, but we got a close game and that makes me nervous.

**alamo** · 05-23-12, 08:22 PM

Originally posted by jameski999

Very nice cushion, but we got a close game and that makes me nervous.

******* hell. Get the hell out of here with your negativety.