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  • mikea33
    SBR MVP
    • 11-14-11
    • 2149

    #8891
    If under was such a lock why wasnt the game in the 180s like most clippers games as of late. And what you said about both games ending under 180. standard adjustments as LTA calls them would have the opener not even close to 194. books expect a moderately high scoring affair here.
    Last edited by mikea33; 03-28-12, 05:25 PM.
    Comment
    • mikea33
      SBR MVP
      • 11-14-11
      • 2149

      #8892
      thoroughly cap deep information other than the most commonly looked at trends. Why do you think sports books make a killing, people look at those trends and they point to a low scoring game.
      Last edited by mikea33; 03-28-12, 05:24 PM. Reason: ignorant comment
      Comment
      • pokerwhiz90
        SBR MVP
        • 10-02-10
        • 2618

        #8893
        If this game doesnt go into the 200's i would be surprised - both teams are going to get into foul trouble so expect free throws
        Comment
        • Vasco
          SBR Sharp
          • 03-16-12
          • 315

          #8894
          Originally posted by pokerwhiz90
          If this game doesnt go into the 200's i would be surprised - both teams are going to get into foul trouble so expect free throws
          Blake Griffin at the line scares me when I'm on the over, but hopefully we get to 195 before we have to worry about that.
          Comment
          • CaptainNemo89
            SBR Hustler
            • 03-31-11
            • 89

            #8895
            Originally posted by mikea33
            dmitean you might want to learn how to thoroughly cap information other than the most commonly looked at trends. Why do you think sports books make a killing, people look at those trends and they point to a low scoring game.
            everyone is entitled to their own opinions bud... the guy has solid points about the pace at which the teams play, and the line has been moving down all day, although i believe LTA got the line at its lowest... as far as the books making a killing from these "common trends," the books arent making a killing either way, it seems as though the money is pretty evenly split between both sides... i personally like the over here as well, and im tailing LTA, but the last thing you wanna do is to be completely ignorant about the other side of the argument, not a smart thing to do in the betting world
            Comment
            • SlickRick1382
              SBR MVP
              • 10-15-11
              • 3838

              #8896
              Although I agree with LTA's plays just throwing out food for thought.

              SI says the line opened at 195.5 or 196 depending on which book (currently at 194 - 193.5 on most books).

              Also the total of the last game which flew under (total 159) opened at 196 as well.

              On the other side Phoenix is coming into this as a B2B and won't have an emphasis in defending, which they aren't known for anyway. Grant Hill is out too.
              Comment
              • mikea33
                SBR MVP
                • 11-14-11
                • 2149

                #8897
                Originally posted by CaptainNemo89
                everyone is entitled to their own opinions bud... the guy has solid points about the pace at which the teams play, and the line has been moving down all day, although i believe LTA got the line at its lowest... as far as the books making a killing from these "common trends," the books arent making a killing either way, it seems as though the money is pretty evenly split between both sides... i personally like the over here as well, and im tailing LTA, but the last thing you wanna do is to be completely ignorant about the other side of the argument, not a smart thing to do in the betting world
                I am an avid poster on here I dont think I am ever ignorant intentionally. I think I misinterpretated what dm said......i thot he was coming on here trolling saying hes on the oposite site of lta to say hes on the opposite site and hit if it doesnt. these no logo-ers confuse the shit outta me haha.

                About what your saying between the money being split. yes the money is typically split and they make almost all there on the juice....thats still a killing when you take into account how much $ is actually being made.

                I dont know much about the figures and what not of the money being split and exactly how sportsbooks make there $$.....so ill leave that for an educated man on the topic.

                But, sorry if i sounded ignorant did not mean to 1 bit.
                Comment
                • mikea33
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-14-11
                  • 2149

                  #8898
                  grant being out is great.
                  shannon brown has been lights out for overs on both ends and transition game as hes a great finisher
                  Comment
                  • Pick'nParlays
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-22-08
                    • 3134

                    #8899
                    bol lta
                    Comment
                    • CaptainNemo89
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 03-31-11
                      • 89

                      #8900
                      Originally posted by mikea33
                      I am an avid poster on here I dont think I am ever ignorant intentionally. I think I misinterpretated what dm said......i thot he was coming on here trolling saying hes on the oposite site of lta to say hes on the opposite site and hit if it doesnt. these no logo-ers confuse the shit outta me haha.

                      About what your saying between the money being split. yes the money is typically split and they make almost all there on the juice....thats still a killing when you take into account how much $ is actually being made.

                      I dont know much about the figures and what not of the money being split and exactly how sportsbooks make there $$.....so ill leave that for an educated man on the topic.

                      But, sorry if i sounded ignorant did not mean to 1 bit.
                      no i see where youre coming from... and i definitely didnt like how he expressed his opinions so arrogantly as to say the only way the over can hit is through pure luck... but all im saying is you dont have to show the same kind of arrogance about your side as he is showing with his side... and as far as the books making money on evenly split sides, of course they do on that 10% juice, but that has no relevance to picking either side of this game
                      Comment
                      • Love The Action
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-08-10
                        • 10952

                        #8901
                        Originally posted by CaptainNemo89
                        everyone is entitled to their own opinions bud... the guy has solid points about the pace at which the teams play, and the line has been moving down all day, although i believe LTA got the line at its lowest... as far as the books making a killing from these "common trends," the books arent making a killing either way, it seems as though the money is pretty evenly split between both sides... i personally like the over here as well, and im tailing LTA, but the last thing you wanna do is to be completely ignorant about the other side of the argument, not a smart thing to do in the betting world
                        I agree with this.

                        I like when when posters such as dmitean post their reasons for opposing my play. Thats how we all learn from each other and it spurs discussion. We all pick plays for different reasons and its a great thing to share.
                        Comment
                        • apurvaas
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 01-09-12
                          • 586

                          #8902
                          Any lean on raptors? Pinny dropped to +3.5 still +4.5 at local

                          BOL
                          Comment
                          • mikea33
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-14-11
                            • 2149

                            #8903
                            if u like the raptors....i think u202.5 gives u a lot more cushion for a cover.....i dont see them keeping within 10 points of denver if this turns into a high scoring trackmeet
                            Comment
                            • Pivotpoint
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-02-06
                              • 1762

                              #8904
                              I'm on the Nuggets laying 3 1/2. gl with your pick.
                              Comment
                              • Love The Action
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-08-10
                                • 10952

                                #8905
                                Really like detroit -1 tonight....
                                Comment
                                • blumpkin
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 06-16-11
                                  • 359

                                  #8906
                                  Im seeing 193 at this point.
                                  Comment
                                  • jas19illini
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 10-27-10
                                    • 682

                                    #8907
                                    Originally posted by Love The Action
                                    Really like detroit -1 tonight....
                                    As do I. What's holding you back?
                                    Last edited by jas19illini; 03-28-12, 06:21 PM.
                                    Comment
                                    • mikea33
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-14-11
                                      • 2149

                                      #8908
                                      you passed on them right lta?
                                      Comment
                                      • JM92
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-27-12
                                        • 1140

                                        #8909
                                        I would've played Detroit at PK. Actually, I would've played also the Pacers at 5.5, the Jazz at 4.5, the Hornets at + 3 and maybe even the Clippers. Still, ended up skipping classes today and spent all day with my girlfriend, so when I came back home it was too late for me anyway. All would've been good plays and I would've likely beaten all closers.

                                        I'm going to go work on tommorows card now.
                                        Comment
                                        • TC Woods
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-17-11
                                          • 1780

                                          #8910
                                          Decisions, decisions, decisions.... been watching the book all day, have not even seen 182 let alone 183...
                                          Comment
                                          • mikea33
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-14-11
                                            • 2149

                                            #8911
                                            tc looks like its going to drop more before tip...pinnacle was juicing u181.5 -109
                                            Comment
                                            • Catchn_Picks
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-02-11
                                              • 2984

                                              #8912
                                              Originally posted by Love The Action
                                              Really like detroit -1 tonight....
                                              Well LTA, now that you didn't play it, please root for me with Cleveland.

                                              Comment
                                              • TC Woods
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-17-11
                                                • 1780

                                                #8913
                                                Originally posted by mikea33
                                                tc looks like its going to drop more before tip...pinnacle was juicing u181.5 -109
                                                Found it at 182, hated to pay the -115.... played 1/2 unit
                                                Comment
                                                • JM92
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-27-12
                                                  • 1140

                                                  #8914
                                                  LTA, Under 200.5 tommorow in LA is looking mighty juicy, don't you think? Last game hit 185 points and that is my biggest concern with the books now opening it this high. Though, Pinnacle already dropped down it's initial line a little bit as it had the under 201 at + 102 and now only has the 200.5 at - 105. Thoughts?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Love The Action
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                    • 10952

                                                    #8915
                                                    Originally posted by Catchn_Picks
                                                    Well LTA, now that you didn't play it, please root for me with Cleveland.

                                                    Go cavs!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Catchn_Picks
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-02-11
                                                      • 2984

                                                      #8916
                                                      Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                      Go cavs!

                                                      Like a blessing from the Pope...ty.

                                                      Comment
                                                      • Les_Nuts
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 02-01-12
                                                        • 931

                                                        #8917
                                                        Originally posted by Catchn_Picks
                                                        Like a blessing from the Pope...ty.

                                                        Lol
                                                        Comment
                                                        • meader99
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-30-10
                                                          • 4223

                                                          #8918
                                                          Originally posted by JM92
                                                          LTA, Under 200.5 tommorow in LA is looking mighty juicy, don't you think? Last game hit 185 points and that is my biggest concern with the books now opening it this high. Though, Pinnacle already dropped down it's initial line a little bit as it had the under 201 at + 102 and now only has the 200.5 at - 105. Thoughts?
                                                          Don't think you can factor in the last meeting. Lakers seem to be playing at a faster pace since the acquisition of Sessions. Of course if I'm wrong about that, I'm sure LTA will correct me as he is much more knowledgable when it comes to pace.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mikea33
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-14-11
                                                            • 2149

                                                            #8919
                                                            Any other strong leans or is the card final??
                                                            Thanks
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mikea33
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-14-11
                                                              • 2149

                                                              #8920
                                                              they aint missing a shot wtf
                                                              Comment
                                                              • alamo
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-21-09
                                                                • 7131

                                                                #8921
                                                                Bulls started game 2/9.... have since gone 16/20 and are 6/6 from outside arc
                                                                Comment
                                                                • XGamer
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 02-05-12
                                                                  • 38

                                                                  #8922
                                                                  CHICAGO 6-6 3 POINTS! That's 18 points here.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Love The Action
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                                    • 10952

                                                                    #8923
                                                                    Bulls 7-7 now from beyond the arc. Both teams shooting over 60%. Unreal shooting that cannot continue. Despite all that, the under's not out of reach. I'm not too worried, but we will need a classic Bulls/Hawks 35 point quarter.....
                                                                    I'm done for the night. Time to hang out with the fam. Good luck tonight on everyone's plays
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mikea33
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-14-11
                                                                      • 2149

                                                                      #8924
                                                                      we are slightly off pace according to simple math. but i love where we are at.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Pick'nParlays
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-22-08
                                                                        • 3134

                                                                        #8925
                                                                        WOW THEY FINALLY MISSED A 3 EFFIN CHI
                                                                        Comment
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